Find us on Google+
Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

James Spann

rss feed

A Few Showers; Then Much Colder

| 6:24 am October 31, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A little light rain is moving through North Alabama just before daybreak…

Screen Shot 2014-10-31 at 6.12.56 AM

Otherwise, it is a quiet and cool morning with temperatures in the 40s. The sky will be occasionally cloudy today, and we should reach the mid 60s before the coldest air so far this season begins to arrive late this afternoon. Strong north winds will develop late in the day, and temperatures will fall quickly tonight. It will be pretty chilly and blustery for the trick or treaters this evening with a north wind of 12-22 mph.

We will maintain the chance of a little light rain in scattered spots today and early tonight, but all of that should be over by 10:00 p.m.

FREEZING TEMPS: We are projecting early morning temperatures around 30 degrees tomorrow; for Birmingham it will be our first freeze since April 16. The wind chill index will be in the 20s as the north wind continues. Tomorrow will feature a cloudless sky, but the weather stays windy and cold with a high only around 50 degrees; communities north of Birmingham won’t make it out of the 40s.

Another freeze is likely early Sunday, with lows between 28 and 34 for most places, and as the wind goes calm widespread frost is likely. Then, we rise into the 57-60 degree range Sunday afternoon as a warming trend begins.

FYI… the average date of the first freeze in Birmingham is November 9, so we are getting it this year about a week early.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s high school games, it will be windy and sharply colder with temperatures falling through the 40s. North winds will gust to 25 mph at times, making it feel colder. A few sprinkles are possible during the first half of the games.

Auburn will be on the road; they play at Ole Miss in Oxford tomorrow evening (kickoff 6p CT). The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 48 degrees at kickoff down to near 40 degrees by the fourth quarter. A chilly, crisp night for football.

UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL tomorrow evening (6p CT kickoff). Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 80 at kickoff to the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: We stay dry Monday and Tuesday with a gradual warming trend… a few showers are possible at mid-week Wednesday night, but for now it looks like rain will be very light and spotty. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

We should note Birmingham has received only 0.36″ of rain over the past 15 days.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

First Freeze Of The Season Ahead

| 3:00 pm October 30, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today… I am live from “Boo at the Zoo” at the Birmingham Zoo on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00**

FINE FALL DAY: What a delightful day across Alabama; ample sunshine and temperatures mostly in the 60s this afternoon. The average high for Birmingham on October 30 is 70.

HERE COMES THE COLD AIR: Look for increasing north winds across North Alabama tomorrow afternoon, and clouds will increase over the northern third of the state. Tomorrow night will be windy and sharply colder, setting up a blustery and chilly Halloween evening.

We will be right at the freezing mark by daybreak Saturday, and the north wind will push wind chill index values down in the 20s. During the day Saturday, the sky will be sunny, but conditions will remain windy and cold with a high only around 50 degrees; many communities north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 40s.

Sunday morning should feature widespread frost as the wind goes calm; lows early Sunday will range from 28 to 34 degrees for most places. The sky will stay sunny Sunday with a high not too far from 60 degrees as a warming trend gets underway.

KBHM_2014103006_min_max_16

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tomorrow night’s high school games, it will be windy and sharply colder with temperatures falling through the 40s. North winds will gust to 25 mph at times, making it feel colder. A few sprinkles are possible over Northeast Alabama.

Auburn will be on the road; they play at Ole Miss in Oxford Saturday evening (kickoff 6p CT). The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 48 degrees at kickoff down to near 40 degrees by the fourth quarter. A perfect chilly, crisp night for football.

UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL Saturday evening (5p CT kickoff). Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 80 at kickoff to the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Looks like our next chance of rain comes late Wednesday and Wednesday night; for now it doesn’t look to be a major rain event with amounts generally under 1/2 inch.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, clear nights through early next week, but the weekend will be chilly from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Highs this weekend will be near 60, with lows potentially reaching the upper 40s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the 4th graders at Vernon Intermediate School in Lamar County; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Long Winter Ahead?

| 6:30 am October 30, 2014

No, I am not talking about a “long winter” due to excessive cold/snow/ice, etc… but due to the extra work that will be required of us putting down bad information that is spread around on social media. It has already started, and it isn’t even November.

PARTIALLY OUR FAULT: Let me say up front that the problem is partially ours. The weather community, as you well know, missed the forecast on January 28, when a “dusting” turned into two inches, and “no major travel issues” turned into a traffic nightmare.

Screen Shot 2014-10-30 at 6.15.57 AM

I don’t blame people for not trusting winter forecasts for a while; it will take time to earn that trust. Who cares what James Spann or the National Weather Service says? They were wrong last year, so rogue posts on Facebook are in fair play. I understand the temptation to share wild “worst case” winter forecasts. But, the point of this post is asking you NOT to do that for reasons I will explain.

YESTERDAY: I was about to leave for live weather on ABC 33/40 from Disney on Ice at the BJCC yesterday afternoon, when social media was lightning up about “James Spann forecasting a big snow for Alabama”. After some quick investigation, turns out this was floating around Facebook, and spreading like wildfire…

10733575_990291754318221_602724593_n

This, of course, was a forecast from a snow event we had back in February, and has absolutely nothing to do with current weather.

I honestly don’t know who started it; one person reported Facebook was pushing it into people’s newsfeed as a “related story” after a current post from me. Seems like folks just couldn’t resist the share button, and I spent considerable time setting the record straight.

AND… to make matters worse, another blog posted some rogue computer model run yesterday morning that suggested snow could fall over parts of Northeast Alabama as the weekend begins. This somehow came back later in the day to me as “James Spann is forecasting a snow storm this weekend in Alabama”.

Here is a piece from the Washington Post on this problem from 2013…

This is another topic for another day, to be discussed within the weather enterprise, but after the January 28 snow “bust”, you won’t see any outliers like that posted from me on social media. Generally speaking, when I show model data that seems like it won’t verify, it is on my daily Weather Xtreme video, which has been produced for over 10 years twice daily, and long time viewers understand that product goes deep into the weather forecast explanation and how to use the products I show. You can watch it anytime here, and it doesn’t take very long.

MY PLEA: Simply think before sharing extreme weather forecasts you see on social media. Many “click bait” forecasts are produced by people that have no weather training, and honestly could care less what happens. They just want the clicks, which they turn into revenue. Our team spends long, hard hours producing content for this blog; you can basically see our heart and soul here with the discussions and video products. If you see some extreme snow/ice forecast, I just ask you check the blog before sending it on to your friends.

Yep, we have been wrong before, and we will be wrong again. Our skill in handling winter weather events is not as high as severe weather forecasting, but you might be surprised at the winter weather accuracy. People will always remember the bad ones, however, which is just human nature.

Let’s all take a deep breath and get through the winter weather season with good, solid information. Think before you hit that “share button”…

Freezing Temps Possible By Daybreak Saturday

| 6:06 am October 30, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY MORNING: Phase one of the cool down is here; these are temperatures across Alabama at daybreak:

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 34
Fort Payne 34
Valley Head 36
Haleyville 37
Cullman 37
Gadsden (Noccalula Falls) 37
Concord 38
Coker 40
Anniston 42
Tuscaloosa 43
Birmingham 43

The day ahead will be sunny with a high in the mid to upper 60s.

EVEN COLDER AIR: Our weather will stay dry tomorrow with a high in the mid 60s, but look for a big increase in north winds during the afternoon into tomorrow night; that wind will usher in the coldest air so far this season.

It will be blustery and cold for the trick or treaters tomorrow night; temperatures will fall quickly into the 40s during the evening hours, with a north wind of 12-22 mph making it feel colder.

FREEZE POTENTIAL: We are still projecting lows between 30 and 35 degrees by daybreak Saturday, but the coldest morning for most should come early Sunday when the wind becomes calm. Widespread frost is likely Sunday morning, and colder valleys and protected areas will reach the 20s.

The weekend will be dry with a sunny sky both days; the high Saturday will be only in the low to mid 50s, then closer to 60 Sunday.

KBHM_2014103000_min_max_16

TO THE NORTHEAST: Winter storm watches are up for the mountains of East Tennessee and western North Carolina, where almost a foot of snow is possible for the higher elevations.

image_full6

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tomorrow night’s high school games, it will be windy and sharply colder with temperatures falling through the 40s. North winds will gust to 25 mph at times, making it feel colder. A few sprinkles are possible over Northeast Alabama.

Auburn will be on the road; they play at Ole Miss in Oxford Saturday evening (kickoff 6p CT). The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 48 degrees at kickoff down to near 40 degrees by the fourth quarter. A perfect chilly, crisp night for football.

UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL Saturday evening (5p CT kickoff). Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 80 at kickoff to the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: We will be dry Monday and Tuesday, but showers are possible Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night. For now it doesn’t look like a major rain event, and no severe weather is expected. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be going a weather program this morning at Vernon Intermediate School, and then this evening I will be live from the Birmingham Zoo on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00 for “Boo at the Zoo”… look for updated forecast notes here by 4:00 p.m. Enjoy the day!

Freezing Temps Possible By The Weekend

| 3:09 pm October 29, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am live at the opening night of “Disney on Ice” at the BJCC; part of tonight’s proceeds will go to our annual Toys for Tots campaign**

CLEARING: The clearing process is proceeding on schedule; much of North Alabama is enjoying blue sky and sunshine, and the clouds to the south will be gone soon.

GOES19302014302Q27UvK

Temperatures, as expected, are cooler with readings mostly in the 60s.

Tomorrow will be a sunny day with high in the upper 60s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The coldest air so far this season will drop into the Deep South. North winds will pick up late Friday afternoon and Friday night, gusting to 25 mph at times. Temperatures will plunge quickly Friday night, and we project a low between 30 and 35 degrees at daybreak Saturday.

Clouds will invade the northeast part of Alabama Friday night, and a sprinkle or two is not out of the question as the cold air rushes into the state.

Saturday and Sunday will be cool, but dry with a mostly sunny sky both days. The high Saturday will be only in the low 50s, and some communities north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 40s with a cool north wind of 10-20 mph.

Sunday morning will feature another freeze in many places, with a low between 28 and 34. Widespread frost is likely early Sunday with a clear sky and light wind. The high Sunday will be in the upper 50s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For Friday night’s high school games, it will be windy and sharply colder with temperatures falling through the 40s. North winds will gust to 25 mph at times, making it feel colder. A few sprinkles are possible over Northeast Alabama.

Auburn will be on the road; they play at Ole Miss in Oxford Saturday evening (kickoff 6p CT). The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 48 degrees at kickoff down to near 40 degrees by the fourth quarter. A perfect cool, crisp night for football.

UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL Saturday evening (5p CT kickoff). Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 80 at kickoff to the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Expect a slow warming trend, and some rain is possible by mid-week, but model guidance is keeping the heavier and most widespread rain west of Alabama.

TROPICS: A disturbance just northeast of the Leeward Islands could develop slowly in coming days, but it is moving north, and will not impact the U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few showers are likely on the coast this afternoon from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but expect sunny days and clear nights tomorrow through the weekend. It will be sharply colder on the coast Saturday and Sunday with highs around 60, and lows in the upper 40s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing the senior adults today at Southside… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Rain Ends Later This Morning; Cold Weekend Ahead

| 6:15 am October 29, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Rain, with embedded thunderstorms, is moving through North/Central Alabama at daybreak.

Screen Shot 2014-10-29 at 6.02.37 AM

Nothing severe, and rain amounts should be generally under 1/2 inch. The rain will end from northwest to southeast during the late morning hours.

Expect a clearing sky this afternoon, and the weather turns cooler as most communities will hold in the 60s today.

Tomorrow will be a bright, sunny, pleasant fall day with a high in the upper 60s.

COLD AIR ARRIVES THIS WEEKEND: North winds will really pick up across Alabama late Friday and Friday night as the coldest air so far this season blows into the state. It will be blustery for the trick or treaters Friday evening with falling temperatures, and a north wind of 12-22 mph.

Temperatures will drop to near the freezing mark by daybreak Saturday, easily the coldest morning so far this season.

We project a high Saturday only in the 50-55 degree range, with a gusty north wind making it feel colder. But, the air will be dry and the sky will be sunny.

Sunday morning’s lows will range from 28 to 34 degrees with widespread frost likely as the wind goes calm. Then, Sunday will be sunny with a high in the mid to upper 50s. At least the wind will be relatively light, unlike Saturday.

NORTHEAST OF ALABAMA: Places like Gatlinburg, Tennessee and Snowshoe Mountain, West Virginia should see their first snow flakes of the season as a coastal low forms near the mouth of Chesapeake Bay.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For Friday night’s high school games, it will be clear, windy, and sharply colder with temperatures falling through the 50s, reaching the 40s by the second half of the games. North winds will gust to 25 mph at times, making it feel colder.

Auburn will be on the road; they play at Ole Miss in Oxford Saturday evening (kickoff 6p CT). The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 50 degrees at kickoff down to near 40 degrees by the fourth quarter. Perfect cool, crisp night for football.

UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL Saturday evening (5p CT kickoff). Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 80 at kickoff to the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Expect dry weather Monday and Tuesday with a slow warming trend; the latest GFS run has backed off on the Wednesday rain event; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: A disturbance just northeast of the Leeward Islands could develop slowly in coming days, but it is moving north, and will not impact the U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few showers are likely on the coast this afternoon from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but expect sunny days and clear nights tomorrow through the weekend. It will be sharply colder on the coast Saturday and Sunday with highs around 60, and lows in the upper 40s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking this morning to a senior adult group in Southside, in Etowah County, and this evening I will be live from opening night of Disney on Ice at the BJCC, which is also the kickoff for our annual Toys for Tots drive. I will post updated forecast notes here later this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Rain, Cooler Air On The Way

| 3:43 pm October 28, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: As expected, temperatures are not as warm across Alabama today with readings mostly in the 70s. The sky is generally cloudy, but there is no rain in our state. But, to the west, showers and storms are over West Tennessee and North Mississippi, with some of the heaviest rain south of Memphis.

This band of showers and storms will move into the northwest corner of Alabama tonight, and slowly move through the state tomorrow morning.

For Birmingham/Tuscaloosa/Anniston/Gadsden, it looks like the main window for rain will come from 3:00 a.m. until 12:00 noon tomorrow, with amounts generally less than 1/2 inch. Some thunder is possible, but no severe weather is expected.

The sky will clear tomorrow afternoon as cooler and drier air enters our state; the high will drop back into the 60s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: On these days expect a good supply of sunshine; the high Thursday will be in the mid to upper 60s, followed by a high around 70 degrees Friday. Early morning lows will be in the 40s.

WEEKEND CHILL: The coolest air so far this season blows into the Deep South Friday night, setting up a chilly weekend. The latest model data suggests highs only in the low to mid 50s Saturday, with morning lows not too far from freezing Sunday morning. Looks like we will have widespread frost early Sunday, with many North/Central Alabama communities seeing their first freeze of the fall season, effectively ending the 2014 growing season. The air will be dry and we expect a sunny sky both days.

KBHM_2014102812_min_max_16

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For Friday night’s high school games, it will be clear and very cool with temperatures falling through the 50s, reaching the 40s by the final whistle. A north wind will gust up to 15/20 mph at times.

Auburn will be on the road; they play at Ole Miss in Oxford Saturday evening (kickoff 6p CT). The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 52 degrees at kickoff down to near 40 degrees by the fourth quarter. Perfect cool, crisp night for football.

UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL Saturday evening (5p CT kickoff). Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 80 at kickoff to the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: The GFS model continues to advertise a pretty decent rain event around the middle of the week, on Wednesday November 5. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A disturbance east of the Leeward Islands has some potential for slow development, but it will move northward across the open Atlantic, and is no threat to the U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few scattered showers are possible on the coast tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, then sunny days and fair nights Thursday through the weekend. It will be much cooler on the coast this weekend, with highs dropping into the 60s, and lows in the upper 40s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd and 4th graders at Hayden Elementary School in Blount County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Cold Front On The Way

| 6:24 am October 28, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

NOT AS WARM TODAY: Anniston established a new record high yesterday for October 27 with 87 degrees… Birmingham’s high was 86, and Tuscaloosa reached 85. The average high is 71.

Today won’t be as warm; most places will see a high in the upper 70s with a partly sunny sky. And, we should mention today is the 13th consecutive day with no rain for Alabama.

SHOWERS ARRIVE LATE TONIGHT: A band of showers and thunderstorms ahead of a cold front should move into the northwest corner of the state late tonight; it will then move slowly southward. For places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden, the main window for rain will come from about 3:00 a.m. until 12:00 noon tomorrow.

For most communities, rain amounts will be under 1/2 inch with limited moisture. And, while some thunder is possible, there is no risk of severe weather. The sky will clear tomorrow afternoon, and the day will be noticeably cooler with a high in the 60s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These two days will be cool and dry with a good supply of sunshine; the high Thursday will be in the upper 60s, followed by low 70s Friday. Lows will be generally in the 40-45 degree range, although some of the colder valleys could see upper 30s.

WEEKEND CHILL: The coldest air so far this season blows in here; we won’t get out of the 50s Saturday, and by early Sunday we project lows in the 33-38 degree range for most communities with a good chance of frost. Colder spots will see a freeze. The air over the weekend will be dry, and the sky will be sunny both days.

KBHM_2014102800_min_max_16

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For Friday night’s high school games, it will be clear and very cool with temperatures falling through the 50s, possibly reaching the 40s by the final whistle.

Auburn will be on the road; they play at Ole Miss in Oxford Saturday evening (kickoff 6p CT). The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 55 degrees at kickoff into the mid 40s by the fourth quarter. Perfect cool, crisp night for football.

UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL Saturday evening (5p CT kickoff). Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 80 at kickoff to the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Looks like we have potential for a decent rain event around Wednesday November 5… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Hanna moved into Central America last night and is dissipating; the rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet for now.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few scattered showers are possible tomorrow afternoon from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, otherwise dry weather continues through the weekend with sunny days and fair nights. The weekend will be very cool on the coast, with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s Saturday and Sunday.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program today at Hayden Elementary School in Blount County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!