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Warm Days Ahead

| 2:14 pm April 23, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SEVERE CLEAR: Hard to find a decent cloud in the Alabama sky this afternoon; temperatures are generally in the mid to upper 70s, the humidity is low, and the visibility is excellent. Tonight will be clear and cool… we drop into the upper 40s by daybreak.

WARMER TOMORROW: Tomorrow will be another dry day; the sky partly to mostly sunny with a high up in the low 80s, making it one of the warmest days so far in 2014. To the west, SPC has the standard “slight risk” of severe weather up from roughly Memphis down to Shreveport, but those storms will fizzle fast as they near Alabama late tomorrow night.

FRIDAY: A band of showers and storms will enter the northwest corner of Alabama around midnight tomorrow night, but they will weaken quickly as the upper air support lifts out… by the time they reach Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden during the pre-dawn hours (2:00 to 6:00 a.m.) there won’t be much left, and rain amounts will be light and spotty.

The day Friday looks nice with a partly sunny sky and a high around 80 degrees. I don’t expect any rain in the state after the early morning showers end.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: No doubt it will be the warmest weekend so far this year, with mid 80s Saturday and Sunday. The sky will be partly sunny both days, and the chance of rain looks very small. Not zero, but the chance of any one spot seeing an afternoon shower is only about one in ten, and barely worth mentioning in the forecast.

TO THE WEST: A very significant severe weather threat is shaping up for parts of the southern U.S. over the weekend…

day48prob-2

ALABAMA’S SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: Again I stress there is no way of knowing the small scale features now that will really determine the magnitude and scope of the severe weather risk in Alabama early next week, but parameters certainly look favorable for the dual risk of severe thunderstorms and heavy rain.

The 12Z GFS is a little faster, suggesting the main risk of strong to severe storms will come from about 3:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday. This could change again, however. But, if the storms do arrive Monday afternoon or Monday evening, the instability values would be higher, and the risk more substantial.

The forecast combination of instability, shear, wind fields, and lapse rates could suggest all modes of severe weather will be possible, including large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes.

BIRMINGHAM WEATHER RADIO OUTAGE: It is important to note the Birmingham NOAA Weather Radio transmitter is down, and could be down until late next week. Received this note from John DeBlock at the NWS earlier today…

“The current NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards (NWR) transmitter outage in Birmingham, AL highlights the need to have a layered approach in receiving weather notifications. The National Weather Service (NWS) recommends that no one relies on a single technology or method to receive weather warnings, and we encourage everyone to plan ahead – now – for potential severe weather in the coming days and weeks.

A good layered approach will include as many of the following options as you can employ: NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards receiver, television and/or radio broadcasts, social media, cell phone apps, and text or e-mail notification services. We are blessed with excellent broadcast and media partners across Central Alabama that work with us and local emergency management agencies to help prepare and inform the public for severe weather. Similarly, there are any number of apps and notification services available for most smartphones and devices. The NWS doesn’t endorse any particular app or service, other than the one that YOU will use to keep you and your family safe! There is a free app which was made available to all Alabamians after the April 27th outbreak, which can be found at AlabamaSafTNet.com, and many of our local broadcast and media partners offer similar free services as well. Otherwise, a partial list of available E-mail and SMS Weather Alert Services can be found at http://www.weather.gov/subscribe.”

We recommend the MyWarn and iMap WeatherRadio smart phone apps with ABC 33/40 as your chosen partner so you can watch our streaming coverage.

COLD SNAP NEXT WEEK: After the rain and storms, the weather turns much colder here Wednesday. Looks like we won’t get out of the 50s thanks to a cold core upper trough over the eastern third of the nation, and some of the colder pockets around here could visit the upper 30s by daybreak Thursday or Friday morning.

Take a few minutes to watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details on this active weather pattern.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the students this morning at Hokes Bluff Middle School… they will be on the Pepsi KIDCAM tomorrow evening at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Beautiful Spring Day

| 6:24 am April 23, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY AIR TAKES OVER: The NWS in Birmingham has issued a “dense fog advisory” for much of Central Alabama this morning, but that fog will burn off quickly, and the day ahead will be delightful with sunshine in full supply along with a high in the upper 70s. The humidity will be low as dewpoints drop into the 30s.

We stay dry tomorrow; a partly sunny sky with a high up in the low 80s. It could be the warmest day so far this year for some Alabama communities.

We do note the standard “slight risk” of severe weather tomorrow from Memphis down to Shreveport, but the storms there will weaken considerably late tomorrow night as they approach and the upper support lifts out.

FRIDAY: A band of weakening showers and storms will move into Northwest Alabama late tomorrow night around midnight, and they will continue to fizzle as they move deeper into the state. Some North Alabama communities could see some rain during the pre-dawn hours Friday, but by sunrise most of the showers will be over.

The daytime hours Friday will be mostly dry with a mix of sun and clouds; the weather stays warm with a high at or just over 80 degrees.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: It will clearly be the warmest weekend so far this year; the GFS is suggesting highs will be up in the mid 80s both Saturday and Sunday. There will be sufficient moisture and instability for a few isolated showers both days, mostly during the afternoon and evening hours, but the chance of any one spot getting wet will be only about one in eight.

TO THE WEST: A significant severe weather outbreak will unfold across the South-Central U.S. over the weekend as a vigorous upper trough moves out of the Rockies, and a very deep surface low forms over East Colorado (983 mb). This system will encounter high to extreme instability over parts of North Texas and the Southern Plains, and all modes of severe weather will be possible. Sunday seems to be the day when severe weather parameters are maximized to the west. This is the SPC convective outlook…

day48prob-2

ALABAMA EARLY NEXT WEEK: As you can see the “Day 6″ severe weather risk extends well into Alabama. It is important to understand we can’t be too specific about the severe weather threat six days in advance; you will hear lots of rumors floating around, but the skill in identifying mesoscale features that determine the magnitude of a severe weather threat this far out is small.

A sub-1000 mb surface low is forecast to be near St. Louis late Monday night, with a deep, negative tilt upper trough over the Great Plains. The 00Z GFS suggests the primary window for thunderstorms in Alabama will come from about 9:00 p.m. Monday through 12:00 noon Tuesday.

The good news is that the model is showing lower surface based instability values (under 750 j/kg) when the storms arrive late Monday night and early Tuesday, but the bulk shear values are very high, and the low level jet is strong (over 60 knots).

No doubt severe weather will be likely across Alabama late Monday night into Tuesday morning, with all modes of severe weather possible, but again I stress it is impossible to go into more detail this early in the game. Take a few minutes to watch the Weather Xtreme video to see all of the maps, graphics.

LATER NEXT WEEK: After the severe weather, much colder air invades Alabama Wednesday as a deep upper trough forms over the eastern U.S. Sure looks like we won’t make it out of the 50s Wednesday afternoon with lingering clouds, and some of the colder pockets over Northeast Alabama might make a run at lows in the upper 30s by Thursday or Friday morning.

AT THE BEACH: Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. A few isolated showers could show up Friday and Saturday, but the chance of any one spot seeing rain is small. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the 68-72 degree range because of the cooler ocean water; but just a few miles inland highs will rise into the low to mid 80s. Sea water temperatures remain in the mid 60s.

WEATHER RADIO TOUR: We will be at the Publix in the McCalla/Bessemer area (just off I-459 exit one) today from 3:30 until 6:30 p.m. If you need your weather radio programmed, or have questions, or need to buy one, come see us. The Birmingham weather radio transmitter is off the air due to equipment failure, and the NWS indicates it might be 10 days or so before it gets back on the air. We can answer questions about this as well, and reprogram your radio for other frequencies that might work in your location.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Hokes Bluff Middle School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day….

Dry Air Returns Tonight

| 3:43 pm April 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: We have a few heavy showers on radar at mid-afternoon near the I-20 corridor (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston), but I haven’t seen any lightning strikes showing up, and it looks like thunder will be unlikely for our state this evening. Temperatures are mostly in the 68-73 degree range, and the sky is mostly cloudy.

The rain will end later this evening, and we expect a clearing sky tonight as drier air works down into the state.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: These days look mostly sunny; we reach the mid to upper 70s tomorrow, followed by low to mid 80s Thursday. In fact, Thursday could be the warmest day so far this year for many Alabama communities.

A surface front could bring a few showers into the state Thursday night, however.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: That front will move into Central Alabama, stall, and dissipate over these three days. Bottom line is that we will continue to mention a chance of widely scattered showers Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, but the rain will be light and spotty, and the sun should be out at times. And, the weather stays warm with highs up in the low to mid 80s. A nice summer preview.

TO THE WEST: A significant severe weather event is possible this weekend over North Texas and parts of the Southern Plains… (D5 is Saturday; D6 is Sunday)…

day48prob

EARLY NEXT WEEK IN ALABAMA: Still too early to really determine the threat of severe weather in our state early next week. The 12Z GFS hints the main window for thunderstorms will come from about 6:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday, and severe weather parameters, while not overwhelmingly strong, do suggest some risk of thunderstorms with hail and strong winds. Just too early to determine if there will be a tornado threat. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

LATE NEXT WEEK: Global models develop a long wave upper trough over the eastern U.S. in the April 30-May 2 time frame, which would imply temperatures well below average here in Alabama and across the Deep South. I don’t think we will have to worry about a freeze threat, but on one morning late next week there could be a touch of frost across the colder valleys and protected areas of Northeast Alabama. Again, see the video for more details.

AT THE BEACH: A few scattered showers tonight from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but nothing too heavy or widespread. Then, mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend. A few isolated showers could show up Friday and Saturday, but the chance of any one spot seeing rain is small. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the 68-72 degree range because of the cooler ocean water; but just a few miles inland highs will rise into the low to mid 80s. Sea water temperatures remain in the mid 60s.

WEATHER RADIO TOUR: We will be at the Publix in the McCalla/Bessemer area (just off I-459 exit one) tomorrow from 3:30 until 6:30 p.m. If you need your weather radio programmed, or have questions, or need to buy one, come see us.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I enjoyed seeing the pre-schoolers today at Holy Spirit Catholic School in Tuscaloosa, and the second graders at Deer Valley Elementary in Hoover. Be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Occasional Showers Today

| 6:09 am April 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Showers cover a decent part of North Alabama, mostly north of I-20, just before daybreak. We will continue to forecast occasional showers across Alabama today, with potential for a few thunderstorms this afternoon. The rain won’t be especially heavy, it won’t rain all day, and no severe weather is expected. Rain amounts between 1/4 and 1/2 inch are likely across North/Central Alabama.

The rain will end this evening, and the sky will clear late tonight as drier air works into the state.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: These days will be warm and dry with a good supply of sunshine both days. The high tomorrow will be in the upper 70s, followed by low to mid 80s. Thursday could be our warmest day so far in 2014… we have hit 82 three times this year in Birmingham; the GFS is printing 83 for Thursday afternoon.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: A weak surface front will drift into Alabama, but there is very little upper support, and it looks like any showers will be few and far between Friday. Chance of any one spot getting wet Friday afternoon is only about one in five, and the high will be at or just over 80 degrees.

Very similar weather for the weekend as the front stalls out and washes out. Mixed sun and clouds Saturday and Sunday; highs in the 81-85 degree range, and only isolated showers. Most of the weekend looks rain-free for Alabama.

TO THE WEST: A significant severe weather situation is possible this weekend across parts of North Texas and the Southern Plains… in this graphic from SPC Day 5 is Saturday, and Day 6 is Sunday…

day48prob

NEXT WEEK IN ALABAMA: This weather system will impact Alabama early next week; the 00Z GFS hints the main risk of showers and storms will come late Monday, Monday night, and into Tuesday morning. It remains to be seen if severe weather will be an issue here; for now the parameters look rather marginal as the main system weakens, but we are still a week out and things could change. Take some time to see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

We also note the 00Z GFS hints at some chilly air dropping into Alabama toward the end of next week.

AT THE BEACH: A few scattered showers today from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but nothing too heavy or widespread. Then, mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend. A few isolated showers could show up Friday and Saturday, but the chance of any one spot seeing rain is small. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the 68-72 degree range because of the cooler ocean water; but just a few miles inland highs will rise into the low to mid 80s. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 66 degrees.

WEATHER RADIO TOUR: We will be at the Publix in the McCalla/Bessemer area (just off I-459 exit one) tomorrow from 3:30 until 6:30 p.m. If you need your weather radio programmed, or have questions, or need to buy one, come see us.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I have weather programs today at Holy Spirit Catholic School in Tuscaloosa, and Deer Valley Elementary in Hoover. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day….

Showers Return Tomorrow

| 3:39 pm April 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CLOUDS THICKEN TONIGHT: It has been a dry day across the great state of Alabama today with a partly sunny sky; temperatures are generally in the upper 70s at mid-afternoon. We have noted a few echoes on radar over North Alabama this afternoon, but that is not reaching the ground.

Clouds thicken tonight across the state, and showers will likely develop toward daybreak tomorrow.

TOMORROW: We will continue to mention the chance of showers and thunderstorms statewide tomorrow, but it will not be an “all-day” kind of rain, the rain won’t be too heavy, and we don’t expect severe thunderstorms. Seems like the main window for rain will come from about 4:00 a.m. until 4:00 p.m; tomorrow night looks generally dry. The high tomorrow will be in the mid 70s.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: These days will be warm and dry with an upper ridge overhead; expect a good supply of sunshine both days. The high Wednesday will be close to 80, with low 80s likely Thursday. Some of the warmest weather we have experienced so far this year.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: A weak surface front, with little upper support, will drift into Alabama Friday, and we will mention just the risk of a few widely scattered showers. The front will dissipate Saturday, and after a review of the 12Z model runs, I get the idea most the weekend will be dry and warm. Can’t totally rule out a shower somewhere Saturday or Sunday, but the chance of any one spot getting wet will be small. Looks like we stay in the low 80s over the weekend with some sun possible both days.

To the west, the GFS hints at a significant severe weather setup for the Great Plains Sunday, but it remains to be seen if the severe weather threat will continue eastward early next week.

We will mention a chance of showers and storms Monday and Tuesday, and significant rain is very possible along with some threat of strong storms, but we will have to wait until better model clarity to determine if severe weather will be an issue.

AT THE BEACH: The weather looks generally good along the coast through the upcoming weekend, although a few scattered showers and storms are possible from Panama City over to Gulf Shores tomorrow. Highs along the immediate coast will be around 70 degrees, but 80 degree warmth is likely just a few miles inland. For the weekend ahead, just a slight risk of a shower Saturday, otherwise the weather looks dry on the coast. Sea water temperatures are generally running in the mid 60s along the Central Gulf Coast.

WEATHER RADIO PROGRAMMING TOUR: This week we will be at the Publix in Bessemer, just off I-459 exit 1, Wednesday from 3:30 until 6:30 p.m. Need your radio programmed or have questions? Come see us.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd and 4th graders at Hamilton Elementary School in Marion County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Dry/Warm Today; Showers Return Tomorrow

| 6:22 am April 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CLOUDS SLOWLY INCREASING: We begin this day with temperatures mostly in the low 50s at daybreak; we rise into the upper 70s today with a partly sunny sky, although clouds will gradually increase. To the west, active weather is expected over Texas where SPC has the standard “slight risk” of severe weather up for cities like Dallas, Fort Worth, and Waco.

day1otlk_1200

TOMORROW: A surface front will bring the chance of showers and thunderstorms to the state. Thankfully there is very limited dynamic support, and severe weather is not expected. Rain amounts will be in the 1/4 to 1/2 inch range. No “all day” rain, but a few passing showers and storms are likely. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and the high will remain in the upper 70s.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: These two days will be warm and dry with a good supply of sunshine and a high up in the low 80s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: A weak surface boundary will move down into Alabama Friday, and could kick off a few scattered showers. But, like the system tomorrow, there isn’t much upper support for the front, and severe weather or really heavy rain isn’t expected.

Then, for the weekend, the front will remain stationary across Central Alabama Saturday before washing out Sunday. We will keep the chance of scattered showers and storms in the forecast Saturday, but again this isn’t a “wash out” kind of rain. Then, for Sunday, just an outside risk of a shower or two during the day. Highs over the weekend will be in the 77 to 80 degree range, and the sky will be mostly cloudy both days.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms will increase across the state Monday; the GFS hints the main surface low could be south of here which would mean more of a heavy rain threat… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: The weather looks generally good along the coast through the upcoming weekend, although a few scattered showers and storms are possible from Panama City over to Gulf Shores tomorrow. Highs along the immediate coast will be around 70 degrees, but 80 degree warmth is likely just a few miles inland. For the weekend ahead, just a small risk of a shower Saturday, otherwise the weather looks dry on the coast. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is a cool 64 degrees.

WEATHER RADIO PROGRAMMING TOUR: This week we will be at the Publix in Bessemer, just off I-459 exit 1, Wednesday from 3:30 until 6:30 p.m. Need your radio programmed or have questions? Come see us.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning at Hamilton Elementary School in Marion County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Full Sunshine By Sunday

| 3:19 pm April 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: The bulk of the rain in Alabama this afternoon (as of 2:30 p.m.) is east of a line from Gadsden to Clanton to Monroeville…

Screen Shot 2014-04-18 at 2.27.21 PM

Temperatures are below forecast, holding in the 50s in many places across North/Central Alabama. We should be in the mid 70s here in mid April.

TONIGHT/TOMORROW: Clouds will hang tough over Alabama tonight, and rain will continue in areas south and east of Birmingham. Then, during the day tomorrow, the weather will vary greatly across Alabama… your conditions will all depend on where you live.

For far West and North Alabama… places like Muscle Shoals, Fayette, Tuscaloosa, and Vernon, the sky should become mostly sunny during the day and the high will be in the low 70s. However, over Central and East Alabama, clouds will hang tough much of the day and a little light rain and drizzle is possible. Where clouds linger, highs will be in the 60s.

Easter Sunday will be mostly sunny with a high well into the 70s.

NEXT WEEK: Monday still looks warm and dry… a few showers are possible Tuesday with a weak surface front, but nothing heavy and no severe weather. Then, an upper ridge will bring the warmest weather so far this year Wednesday through Friday with low to mid 80s.

A vigorous storm system will being the risk of strong to severe storms to parts of the Great Plains by Wednesday or Thursday of next week, but for now it looks like the main energy associated with this will pass well to the north of Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Rain is likely tonight in the Florida Panhandle; some flooding is possible. The weather begins to improve with clearing late in the day tomorrow or tomorrow night, and Sunday will be sunny. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 60s today, with low 70s tomorrow and Sunday. A pretty decent part of next week will be dry, although a few widely scattered showers could show up Tuesday. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 65 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting the 3rd graders at Englewood Elementary in Tuscaloosa… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning at 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Wet Weather Returns To Alabama

| 6:04 am April 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: At daybreak rain is widespread across Alabama generally along and south of I-20, thanks to a surface forming over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Rain is likely today for the southern two-thirds of the state, with the heavier totals over South Alabama, where a flash flood watch is in effect for the zone from Mobile over to Dothan. Rain amounts down that way could exceed two inches… up this way, along the I-20 corridor, rain totals will be generally under 1/2 inch. And, to the north, very little rain is expected over the Tennessee Valley region of extreme North Alabama.

This is the projected radar reflectivity at 3:00 this afternoon via the high resolution NAM…

today_3p_s

You can clearly see the amount of rain you get today all depends on where you are. Lots of rain south and east of Birmingham… very little north and west of the city. We won’t get past the low 60s today due to clouds and rain.

TOMORROW: Again, the weather all depends on where you live. The sky will clear over far West and North Alabama, near the Mississippi and Tennessee borders, but most of Alabama will have stubborn clouds thanks to an upper low to the east. And, periods of rain will continue over the eastern counties of the state, generally east of I-65. Here is the NAM, valid at 4:00 p.m. tomorrow…

sat_4p_s

Not sure we can get out of the cool 60s tomorrow where the clouds linger.

A-DAY FOOTBALL GAMES TOMORROW: For the spring A-Day football games tomorrow… Auburn will be cloudy and cool with some light rain; kickoff temperature near 65 degrees. Over in Tuscaloosa, the weather will be dry, and the sun might peek out at times; kickoff temperature there close to 70 degrees.?

EASTER SUNDAY: This will be a nice day statewide, with ample sunshine and a high in the upper 70s.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be warm and dry with a high around 80, then a few showers are possible Tuesday ahead of a weak front. Then, an upper ridge will bring warm and dry weather Wednesday through Friday with highs up in the low to mid 80s… the warmest weather so far this year.

A vigorous storm system will being the risk of strong to severe storms to parts of the Great Plains by Wednesday or Thursday of next week, but for now it looks like the main energy associated with this will pass well to the north of Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Rain is likely through tonight from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, with potential for heavy rain, especially for communities in the Florida Panhandle. The weather begins to improve with clearing late in the day tomorrow or tomorrow night, and Sunday will be sunny. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 60s today, with low 70s tomorrow and Sunday. A pretty decent part of next week will be dry, although a few widely scattered showers could show up Tuesday. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 64 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning at Englewood Elementary School in Tuscaloosa… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!