Find us on Google+
James Spann

James Spann

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

rss feed

Showers/Storms Increasing Across Alabama

| 3:21 pm May 2, 2016

RADAR CHECK: As expected, we have scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across Alabama this afternoon…

Screen Shot 2016-05-02 at 3.10.47 PM

SPC maintains a “marginal risk” of severe weather for pretty much all of the state tonight; heavier storms will be capable of producing small hail and gusty winds, but a big severe weather problem is not expected. Some communities will also see heavy rain with potential for temporary flooding issues, but I doubt if we see 3 and 4 inch amounts like yesterday in cities like Clanton and Oxford.

TOMORROW: Drier air works into the state, and it looks like best chance of showers and storms will be over South Alabama. For north/central counties, we will forecast a partly sunny sky with a high in the mid 70s.

WEDNESDAY: The morning will be mostly sunny with a high in the 70s, but a clipper moving in from the north will bring clouds during the afternoon, and the risk of showers Wednesday evening. Looks like the best chance of showers will come from 5:00 until 10:00 p.m., and rain amounts should be under 1/4 inch for most places.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Sunny pleasant days, clear cool nights with dry air in place. We drop down into the mid 40s early Friday morning; some of the traditionally colder spots might even reach the upper 30s at daybreak Friday. Not many mornings like that left before the long, hot summer gets here.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Dry weather continues; lots of sun Saturday and Sunday with warming trend. We reach the low 80s Saturday, and mid 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: We stay dry Monday… looks like the best chance of showers and storms will come around Wednesday. And, for now the severe weather threat looks low. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016050212_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: Showers and storms are likely on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach tonight and tomorrow, but expect dry, sunny weather Wednesday through the weekend. Highs will be in the 70s along the immediate coast, with upper 70s and low 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Central Elementary in Tuscaloosa… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Wet Weather Continues

| 5:42 am May 2, 2016

AT DAYBREAK: All is calm across the great state of Alabama early this morning; the sky is mostly cloudy, but we have no rain on radar.

A surface front remains west of the state, and a wave of low pressure should move along that front today, and will bring widespread rain back to the state this afternoon and tonight. A few thunderstorms could be involved; SPC has defined a “marginal risk” of severe weather for about the northern third of Alabama…

AL_swody1

A few storms could produce hail and gusty winds, but the overall severe weather risk is pretty low due to marginal instability and weak dynamics. Additional rain amounts of around 1 inch are likely; we will need to watch for flooding issues since we saw a few pockets of 3-4″ rain amounts yesterday… some signifiant flooding was reported in places like Clanton and Oxford.

We won’t get out of the 70s today due to clouds and rain.

TOMORROW: Lingering showers will end early in the day, and the sky becomes partly sunny by afternoon as drier air works into North Alabama. Showers and storms will be confined to the southern half by then. The high tomorrow should be in the mid to upper 70s.

WEDNESDAY: The day should be mostly sunny and pleasant with a high in the 70s, but we will need to mention a chance of showers Wednesday night thanks a clipper approaching from the north. Rain won’t be too heavy; generally 1/4 inch or less for most places.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These two days will be cool and dry with sunny days and clear nights. Early morning lows will be in the 40s, and some of the traditionally colder spots across North/Central Alabama could reach the upper 30s early Friday morning (some people call it “Blackberry Winter”). The high Thursday will be around 70, with mid 70s Friday.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Could not be better. Sunny warm days, clear cool nights. The high Saturday will be close to 80, followed by low 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Looks like the next chance of showers and storms will come around Tuesday or Wednesday of next week… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016050200_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: Showers and storms are likely on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach late today, tonight, and tomorrow, but expect dry, sunny weather Wednesday through the weekend. Highs will be in the 70s along the immediate coast, with upper 70s and low 80s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 76 degrees. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I am speaking this morning at Central Elementary School in Tuscaloosa… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Talladega Race Update

| 7:39 am May 1, 2016

No doubt there could be a rain delay at the Talladega Superspeedway… this is high resolution model (HRRR) output valid at 4pm…

Screen_Shot_2016-05-01_at_7_00_38_AM

But I do think there is a good chance they get the GEICO 500 in today. Expect spotty showers this morning and early this afternoon, the more widespread showers will come after 3 p.m. Severe storms are not expected, and rain amounts should be 1/2 inch or less.

Bottom line… be ready for a delay, but I do expect the race to finish.

Rain Moving Into Northwest Alabama

| 4:15 pm April 29, 2016

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am live at Regions Field for the annual Birmingham Barons tornado safety night**

RADAR CHECK: Rain and storms will move into Northwest Alabama over the next few hours…

Screen Shot 2016-04-29 at 2.39.13 PM

We do note a tornado warning was issued by the NWS Memphis for parts of Calhoun, Chickawaw, and Pontotoc counties in Mississippi… but we do not expect organized severe weather in Alabama tonight. The MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) will move east/southeast, and most places will see 1-2 hours of rain tonight, with amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch.

THE WEEKEND: A moist environment will continue over Alabama, and we will need to mention the chance of a few passing showers or thunderstorms both tomorrow and Sunday. It is almost impossible to provide start/stop times for the rain both days; just be ready for the occasional shower or thunderstorm. On the positive side, we don’t expect any organized severe weather, and the sun should break out at times. Highs will be in the mid 80s tomorrow, and low 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday are looking wet at times, with periods of rain likely both days. Then, dry air returns Wednesday through Friday with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. Highs will be in the 70s most of the week; we could drop into the 40s late in the week by early Friday morning.

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: For tomorrow and Sunday, expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with the risk of a passing shower or storm from time to time. Unfortunately in this pattern, we aren’t able to give specific times when the rain will pass through, but the good news is that we don’t expect a big rain mass to set in for hours. A very good chance they get the Sparks Energy 300 in on Saturday, and the GEICO 500 in on Sunday, but a delay is very possible both days. Keep an eye on radar.

And, please remember the 8 mile lightning rule. Lightning within 8 miles, you get inside. Car, truck, building, etc. I don’t mess around with it, and you shouldn’t either.

AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine tomorrow on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores with only a small risk of a shower. Scattered showers and storms are possible Sunday and Monday… highs in the 70s on the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by Monday morning at 7:00 a.m. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday… enjoy the weekend!

Warm, Unsettled Weekend Weather

| 6:32 am April 29, 2016

QUIET MORNING: Nothing on the radar as this day begins; temperatures are mostly in the 60s. The most excitement involves the report of a small earthquake on the Tuscaloosa/Jefferson County line at 3:58 a.m…. only a M3.0 meaning most slept right through it.

Screen_Shot_2016-04-29_at_5_06_06_AM

We will forecast a partly sunny sky today with a high well up in the 80s; it will be one of the warmest days so far this year.

We are watching an MCS (mesoscale convective system) moving into Arkansas; this could very well move into Northwest Alabama late this afternoon, although it will be weakening at the time. While most of the day will be dry, we will introduce the risk of a few scattered showers or storms late this afternoon, with higher coverage over Northwest Alabama due to the MCS.

The risk of a shower or storm will continue tonight. SPC has a “marginal risk” of severe weather defined for parts of far West and Northwest Alabama; a few storms could produce gusty winds, but the overall severe weather threat is low.

AL_swody1

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A big upper trough will be lifting out of the western U.S.; the surface low underneath will slowly weaken as it moves east/northeast. Moist air will cover Alabama, and we will need to mention the risk of a few showers and storms both tomorrow and Sunday. Giving specific start/stop times for the rain is almost impossible in this setup, and model guidance is not very consistent.

Bottom line is that you will need to be ready for a few passing showers or storms tomorrow and Sunday, but the rain won’t be continuous and the sun will be out at times. A strong storm or two is possible, but the severe weather threat is very low with weakening upper dynamics. The high tomorrow will be in the mid 80s, with low 80s Sunday afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: Model madness is the story for Monday and Tuesday. The American model (the GFS) is dry, but the European model (ECMWF) looks wet both days; based on the Euro’s better track record, we will forecast mostly cloudy weather both days with some risk of rain at times. The latter half of the week will be dry and cooler; a decent chance some spots will drop into the cool 40s by Thursday or Friday morning. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016042900_min_max_16

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Partly sunny and very warm today with a high between 84 and 87 degrees. We can’t rule out a shower after 3 p.m., but the day will be generally dry.

For tomorrow and Sunday, expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with the risk of a passing shower or storm from time to time. Unfortunately in this pattern, we aren’t able to give specific times when the rain will pass through, but the good news is that we don’t expect a big rain mass to set in for hours. A very good chance they get the Sparks Energy 300 in on Saturday, and the GEICO 500 in on Sunday, but a delay is very possible both days. Keep an eye on radar.

And, please remember the 8 mile lightning rule. Lightning within 8 miles, you get inside. Car, truck, building, etc. I don’t mess around with it, and you shouldn’t either.

AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine today and tomorrow on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores with only a small risk of a shower. Scattered showers and storms are possible Sunday and Monday… highs in the 70s on the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking at Spring Valley School in Birmingham this morning, and then at the Books A Million corporate HQ for a weather safety program. And, this evening, I will be at Regions Field for a special tornado safety night at the Birmingham Barons game. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Warm/Dry Weather Tomorrow

| 3:32 pm April 28, 2016

RADAR CHECK: We are seeing only a few isolated showers across South-Central Alabama on radar this afternoon; the northern counties are warm and dry with temperatures in the low 80s in most spots. Additional showers and storms could form over the southern half of the state this evening, mostly south of U.S. 80. North Alabama stays dry.

TOMORROW: It looks like a dry day for most of the state; with a good supply of sunshine temperatures rise into the mid to upper 80s, making it one of the warmest days so far this year.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Models are trending drier. We will still need to mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers and storms Saturday, but most of the day should be dry, and temperatures rise into the low to mid 80s.

A weather system will get closer Sunday, and while a few showers and storms are certainly possible, it looks more and more like the rain won’t be too organized or heavy, and the sun should be out at times. Sunday’s high will be right around 80 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: The general pattern suggests dry and cooler weather for the state; highs most days will be in the 70s, and we could see lows in the 40s by the end of the week. A disturbance could bring a few light showers or sprinkles Tuesday night, but for now the chance of significant rain looks very low. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016042812_min_max_16

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and warm with a high in the mid to upper 80s. Saturday, partly sunny with only a few widely scattered showers; most of the day will be dry. And, the weather stays warm with afternoon temperatures reaching the low to mid 80s. I don’t think there will be many problems running the Sparks Energy 300.

The good news is that it looks like showers and storms Sunday will be pretty scattered in nature. A very good chance they get in the GEICO 500, but a rain delay is still not out of the question. The high Sunday at the Superspeedway will be around 80 degrees.

AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine tomorrow and Saturday from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach; a few scattered storms are possible Sunday, but some sun is still likely at times. Highs in the 70s along the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Sycamore Elementary… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Storms Stay To The South Today

| 6:31 am April 28, 2016

RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms are increasing over Southwest Alabama early this morning; a few severe thunderstorm warnings have been required…

Screen Shot 2016-04-28 at 6.36.00 AM

It sure looks like most of the showers and storms will stay over the southern half of Alabama today, where SPC maintains a “marginal risk” of severe storms. An isolated shower could pop up over the northern counties this morning, but that seems rather unlikely. We rise into the low to mid 80s this afternoon.

TOMORROW: Dry and very warm weather is the story for North/Central Alabama, we reach the mid to upper 80s with a partly to mostly sunny sky. Any showers will be confined to the far southwest counties of the state.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Moisture begins to return, and we will mention the risk of scattered showers, and possibly a thunderstorm Saturday, but a decent part of the day will be dry. With a mix of sun and clouds, the high Saturday will be in the mid 80s for most places.

Showers and storms should be a little more numerous Sunday, but again we will have some very nice breaks in the rain during the day, with potential for some sun at times. No severe weather is expected, and the high Sunday will be close to 80 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: It sure looks like a good part of the week will be dry, and cooler as an upper trough begins to form over the eastern U.S. Highs drop into the 70s, and we could see lows down in the 40s by mid to late week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016042800_min_max_16

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and warm at the Superspeedway with a high between 85 and 88 degrees. On Saturday, a decent part of the day will be dry, but we can’t rule out a passing shower or two. The weather stays warm with a high in the low to mid 80s. I don’t think there will be many problems running the Sparks Energy 300.

On Sunday there should be an increase in the number of showers and storms across the state, but this won’t be a wash-out, and again I think there is a good chance the GEICO 500 will run, although a delay is certainly possible. Sunday’s high will be close to 80 degrees.

AT THE BEACH: A passing shower or storm is a decent possibility today, but the sun will be out at times. Mostly dry tomorrow and Saturday, then a risk of scattered storms Sunday from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. Highs will be in the 70s along the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

ON THIS DATE TWO YEARS AGO: A total of 18 tornadoes touched down across North/Central Alabama, one person, 21-year-old University of Alabama swimmer John Servati, was killed in Tuscaloosa; there were about two dozen injuries elsewhere.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program today at Sycamore Elementary in Talladega County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

A Few Strong Storms Tonight

| 3:28 pm April 27, 2016

RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers, and a few strong thunderstorms are over West Alabama this afternoon… moving northeast…

Screen Shot 2016-04-27 at 3.17.38 PM

We will maintain the chance of showers and storms across Alabama tonight, with a very low end “marginal risk” of severe storms for most of the state. Stronger storms could produce some small hail and gusty winds, but with weakening upper support, the overall severe weather threat is low. Rain amounts tonight will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch, with isolated heavier amounts.

TOMORROW: A few lingering showers and storms are possible tomorrow morning, but the rain won’t be too widespread, and amounts should be light and spotty. Then, by afternoon, the best chance of rain shifts down into the southern half of the state. SPC has a “marginal risk” of severe weather outlooked for the southern counties…

AL_swody2

Drier air arrives over North Alabama tomorrow afternoon with a pretty decent amount of sunshine. We stay warm with high in the 80s.

FRIDAY: The day will be warm and dry with ample sunshine and a high in the mid to upper 80s. It will be one of the warmest days so far this year.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Moisture levels increase Saturday, and we should see a few scattered showers and storms around. But, a decent part of the day should be dry with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the mid 80s.

Showers and storms will increase in coverage Sunday with the approach of a surface low, but again it won’t be a total “wash out” with some decent breaks in the rain during the day. A strong storm is possible Sunday, but the overall threat of severe weather is low. Sunday’s high will be in the 77-81 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: Just a small risk of a stray shower Monday, dry Tuesday. Then, another risk of showers and storms returns on Wednesday, followed by cooler and drier air. Parts of North Alabama could see lows down in the 40s Thursday or Friday morning. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016042712_min_max_16

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Friday will be a beautiful day with a sunny sky, and afternoon temperatures well up into the 80s. Then, on Saturday, a passing shower or storm is certainly possible at the Superspeedway, but it won’t rain all day and they should get the Sparks Energy 300 in. The high Saturday afternoon will be in the mid 80s.

The weather Sunday will be more problematic as showers and storms become more widespread. Still, it won’t rain all day, and there is a chance the GEICO 500 will run, but just be ready for delays. Sunday’s high at the Superspeedway will be close to 80 degrees.

APRIL 27, 2011 SPECIAL: Here is the one hour special on ABC 33/40 that aired last night…

AT THE BEACH: About 5 to 7 hours of sunshine on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach tomorrow and Friday with the risk of a few scattered showers or storms. Saturday will be partly to mostly sunny, then scattered storms are possible Sunday. Highs in the 70s along the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

A Few Storms Late Today And Tonight

| 6:38 am April 27, 2016

QUIET MORNING: Temperatures are mostly in the 60s across North/Central Alabama early this morning, and the radar is quiet.

We rise into the 80s again today with a partly sunny sky. We will mention the risk of a shower or storm this afternoon or tonight, but the short range mesoscale models are really struggling with this pattern. The HRRR model brings in an organized batch of storms this afternoon, while the 4km NAM keeps it mostly dry. I get the idea most of today will be dry, but we will certainly mention that chance of a shower or thunderstorm this afternoon and tonight. SPC has defined a “slight risk” of severe storms for the far northwest corner of the state, with a “marginal risk” elsewhere; this outlook runs through 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

AL_swody1

Stronger storms could produce some small hail and gusty winds, but the overall severe weather threat is low through tonight.

TOMORROW: We will need to maintain some risk of showers/storms through tomorrow, but drier air begins to flow into North Alabama during the morning, and by afternoon the best coverage of rain will shift down into the southern half of the state. Instability values rise to very high levels tomorrow afternoon ahead of the surface front (CAPE values to 4,000 j/kg), but dynamic support will weaken during the day.

SPC has a “marginal risk” of severe storms defined for most of Central and South Alabama; again small hail and gusty winds are the main issues.

FRIDAY: The day will be warm and dry with a good supply of sunshine; we rise into the mid to upper 80s by afternoon. It will be one of the warmest days so far this year.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Another storm system west of the state will organize, and moisture moves northward Saturday with some risk of showers. But, a decent part of the day should be dry, and temperatures once again will rise into the 80s by afternoon.

Showers and storms become more numerous Sunday as the weather system to the west gets closer. It won’t rain all day, but no doubt it will be wet at times. A strong storm is possible, but the overall severe weather threat looks rather low, and rain amounts should be in the 1/2 to 3/4″ range for most places. The high Sunday will be close to 80 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Just a few lingering showers Monday, but the weather trends drier and cooler. Tuesday looks bright and sunny with lower humidity and a high in the 70s. A chance we see early morning lows down in the 40s later in the week… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016042700_min_max_16

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Not much change in our thinking. Friday will be a beautiful day with a sunny sky, and afternoon temperatures well up into the 80s. Then, on Saturday, a passing shower or storm is certainly possible at the Superspeedway, but it won’t rain all day and they should get the Sparks Energy 300 in. The high Saturday afternoon will be in the mid 80s.

The weather Sunday will be more problematic as showers and storms become more widespread. Still, it won’t rain all day, and there is a chance the GEICO 500 will run, but just be ready for delays. Sunday’s high at the Superspeedway will be close to 80 degrees.

AT THE BEACH: About 5 to 7 hours of sunshine on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach each day through Friday with the risk of a few scattered showers or storms. Saturday will be partly to mostly sunny, then scattered storms are possible Sunday. Highs in the 70s along the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

APRIL 27 2011 SPECIAL: You can watch our one hour special here. It was on this date five years ago that 62 tornadoes killed 252 people in our state during a generational tornado outbreak.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a safety program today at ALAGASCO in Anniston… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Active Weather Ahead

| 3:35 pm April 26, 2016

ON THE MAPS: A large scale upper trough is lifting out of the western U.S., interacting with a very volatile airmass across the nation’s heart land. A significant outbreak of severe storms and tornadoes is likely over the next 8 hours from Nebraska south through parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. Severe storms are also possible in the broad zone from St. Louis to Philadelphia near a surface warm front.

IN ALABAMA: It is a dry and warm afternoon so far with temperatures in the 80s; so far no showers have formed… but we will maintain the risk of isolated showers for the rest of the afternoon and tonight.

To the north, we are watching a cluster of severe storms just east and south of St. Louis; if this holds together it could push into far North Alabama late tonight, but it will be weakening. Most of the state will be dry tonight.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: For Alabama another warm day with a high in the low to mid 80s; a few showers or storms could pop during the afternoon and evening hours, but they should be widely scattered. But, tomorrow night and Thursday we expect a slow increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms ahead of the upper trough and surface front. SPC has defined a “slight risk” of severe storms for far West Alabama, from Muscle Shoals down to Hamilton and Cuba (in Sumter County), and a “marginal risk” for much of the rest of the state in their “Day 2” outlook, which runs through 7:00 a.m. Thursday.

AL_swody2

Model consistency has not been good, making for a lower confidence forecast. We will need to broad brush the chance of a few strong storms from about midnight tomorrow night through the daytime hours Thursday. Showers and storms should diminish from northwest to southeast during the afternoon hours Thursday as drier air slips into the state.

Understand the rain won’t be too widespread, but just be ready for a few showers or strong storms. The main threats will come form small hail and gusty winds. The tornado threat is very low, but not zero.

The high Thursday will be in the 82-85 degree range.

FRIDAY: This day looks warm and dry; a decent chance we see upper 80s in spots by afternoon, making it one of the warmest days so far this year.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The weather stays warm Saturday with a high in the mid 80s; the day will feature a mix of sun and clouds, and a few scattered showers or storms are possible, but a decent part of the day should be dry.

Then, we expect an increase in the number of showers and storms Sunday. It won’t rain all day, but rain is likely at times. A strong storm is certainly possible, and we will need to monitor atmospheric conditions for severe weather potential. It is very difficult to be specific this far in advance with such a complex pattern. Sunday’s high will be in the 78-81 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: Forecast confidence remains low, but we will maintain the chance of lingering showers Monday, but drier and cooler air drops in here Tuesday and Wednesday. Some spots could reach the 40s by early Wednesday or Thursday morning… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016042612_min_max_16

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Friday will be a beautiful day with a sunny sky, and afternoon temperatures well up into the 80s. Then, on Saturday, a passing shower or storm is certainly possible at the Superspeedway, but it won’t rain all day and they should get the Sparks Energy 300 in. The high Saturday afternoon will be in the mid 80s.

The weather Sunday will be more problematic as showers and storms become more widespread. Still, it won’t rain all day, and there is a chance the GEICO 500 will run, but just be ready for delays. Sunday’s high at the Superspeedway will be close to 80 degrees.

AT THE BEACH: Just a few widely scattered showers or storms tomorrow and Thursday, otherwise dry weather through Saturday with highs in the 70s on the immediate coast, with 80s inland. Showers and storms will arrive Sunday… See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

APRIL 27, 2011 ANNIVERSARY SPECIAL: Join us this evening at 6:00 on ABC 33/40 for a one hour special as we look back at the generational tornado outbreak of April 27, 2011 that killed 252 people in Alabama. You will see some very powerful stories.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…