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A Few Scattered Storms Around

| 3:22 pm September 1, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Widely scattered showers and storms have fired up across parts of Alabama this Labor Day afternoon. Most of them at mid-afternoon were south of I-20, and east of I-65… they are moving northeast, and will fade away once the sun goes down later this evening. Temperatures are generally in the 90-93 degree range.

REST OF THE WEEK: The weather just won’t change very much through Friday. Partly sunny days, and the daily risk of the hit and miss, “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Storms in an environment like this form in random places, and come and go pretty quickly. But, they can be strong and produce brief heavy rain in a few places. Afternoons highs will be somewhere between 91 and 94 degrees in most communities.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The ridge weakens a bit, and a surface front will ease down into Tennessee Saturday. This could give us a little bump in the number of thunderstorms Saturday and Saturday night, but it still won’t rain everywhere, and the day Saturday will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high around 90 degrees.

There is a chance drier air could temporarily drop into far North Alabama Sunday, but the front will probably fizzle out near the Tennessee Valley, and we will continue to mention at least a chance of a pop up shower or storm Sunday afternoon; the high will stay close to 90 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Heat levels should back off a bit as the ridge weakens; looks like highs in the mid to upper 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A disturbance in the Bay of Campeche has a decent chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm over the next 36 hours, but it will move into the Mexican coast far south of Brownsville, Texas Wednesday. The rest of the Atlantic basin is very quiet. In fact, there is not a single tropical cyclone on the planet this afternoon, a very rare thing for September 1.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Friday with a few scattered storms around daily; highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87 to 90 degree range. The sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tomorrow night at 8:30 CT.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Meteorological Fall Begins

| 6:30 am September 1, 2014

**No Weather Xtreme video this morning… I will produce one this afternoon before 4:00**

STILL LIKE SUMMER: The calendar says today is the first of September, but the weather will still be like August this week thanks to an upper ridge across the Deep South. We project a high in the low to mid 90s today and tomorrow with ample sunshine and only widely scattered afternoon showers or storms.

LATER THIS WEEK: The upper ridge will break down a bit, allowing an increase in the number of afternoon showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Friday; the chance of any one spot seeing an afternoon shower or storm on these three days is about one in three with a high in the low 90s.

WEEKEND FORECAST: Not much change; a typical late summer pattern continues with a few scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms possible Saturday and Sunday with a high at or just over 90 degrees. The primary storm track remains to the north of Alabama, and cooler air isn’t allowed to drop this far south.

LONG RANGE: Model data suggests temperatures will fall next week, with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s, making it feel more like September…

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GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day this week along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores with just a few widely scattered storms; highs in the 87-91 degree range on the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is very quiet; the only system to discuss is over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico… this has some chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next 48 hours, but it will move west into the Mexican coast, south of Brownsville, Texas at mid-week and is no threat to the U.S.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tomorrow night due to the Labor Day holiday.

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Look for today’s Weather Xtreme video and a new discussion here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Weekend Showers; But No Wash-Out

| 3:21 pm August 29, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHANGES AHEAD: Another dry day for Alabama… the last time Birmingham had more than 0.05″ of rain was back on August 19. The sky is partly to mostly sunny with temperatures around the 90 degree mark in most places.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air surges northward tonight, and we will bring back the chance of showers and thunderstorms to our state tomorrow. It won’t rain all day, and the sun should be out at times, so no “wash-out”. But, clearly a risk of a passing shower or thunderstorm will exist at just about any hour of the day. The sky will feature more clouds than sun, and the high will be in the upper 80s in most communities.

Showers and storms are still possible Sunday and Monday, but they should be more scattered in nature, and mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high around 90 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Looks pretty hot for early September with highs in the low to mid 90s much of the week as the upper ridge rebuilds; afternoon showers and storms will be widely scattered. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Just a few isolated showers across North/Central Alabama tonight; most high school stadiums will be dry. Temperatures will fall through the 80s during the games, reaching the 70s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn kicks off their season tomorrow with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun tomorrow with a few passing thunderstorms in the zone from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: There are no active tropical cyclones anywhere on Earth now, which is a bit unusual considering this is the peak of the tropical season.

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Cristobal is now a post-tropical system over the North Atlantic, and disturbances over the northwest Gulf and Caribbean remain disorganized.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Moist Air Returns To Alabama Tomorrow

| 5:56 am August 29, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

GENERALLY DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT: Not much overall change in the Alabama weather situation today; we are starting the day with a pleasant morning; Vic Bell up at Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) reports a cool 57 degrees, while Fort Payne is at 59 just before sunrise.

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We expect a good deal of sunshine today through scattered clouds with a high in the low 90s. Humidity levels will remain rather low, and we will mention just a slight risk of a shower late today and tonight as an upper trough approaches from the Great Plains.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Alabama will be covered by a moist, unstable airmass tomorrow, and we will continue to mention the chance of a few passing showers or thunderstorms. No “all day” rain, but if you have something planned outdoors just be prepared for the occasional shower or storm. The day will feature more clouds than sun, with a high in the upper 80s for most places.

The, for Sunday and Monday, we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds with the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms. The showers will thin out Monday as an upper ridge begins to rebuild across the southern U.S. Highs will be at or just over 90 degrees on these two days.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Just a few isolated showers across North/Central Alabama tonight; most high school stadiums will be dry. Temperatures will fall through the 80s during the games, reaching the 70s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn kicks off their season tomorrow with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun today and tomorrow with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is moving into the North Atlantic and is no threat to land; the rest of the Atlantic basin is pretty quiet.

NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge will mean summer-like weather for the first week of meteorological fall in Alabama; highs in the mid 90s with widely scattered afternoon storms. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Mostly Dry Tomorrow; Showers Return Saturday

| 3:37 pm August 28, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUNNY LATE AUGUST DAY: Mostly sunny weather is the story across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; nothing on radar, and temperatures are mostly in the low 90s. Dewpoints/humidity levels remain relatively low, so it feels pretty comfortable for a “low 90s” kind of day.

Tomorrow will be generally dry, but moisture levels will begin to rise, and I will mention the risk of widely scattered showers during the late afternoon and evening hours. The sky will be partly sunny with a high in the low 90s.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: A moist, unstable airmass will move in here late tomorrow night, and we will continue to mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday. We still see considerable model differences; the GFS is wet and the NAM is much drier, so confidence in the timing and placement of rain is not especially high. The sky will feature more clouds than sun, and we will have the risk of a few passing showers or thunderstorms during the day. The rain won’t be continuous, and the sun should be out at times. The high Saturday should be in the mid to upper 80s.

For Sunday and Monday, showers and storms are still possible, but they should be fewer in number, and more scattered in nature. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high in the 89-92 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge builds again for mid-week, meaning hot early September weather for mid-week with only widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms; highs will be in the low to mid 90s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tonight… only a small risk of a shower tomorrow evening; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun tomorrow and Saturday with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is moving toward the North Atlantic with sustained winds of 75 mph; no threat to land. A weak disturbance is moving into South Texas with no development; otherwise the tropics are pretty quiet. Quite a contrast to 9 years ago today, when Hurricane Katrina reached category five status over the Gulf of Mexico. The storm weakened to a category three by landfall the the following day, but the large size of the system resulted in a storm surge of 24 and 28 feet on the Mississippi coast.

elorenzo3_2014-Aug-28

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the senior adults at Cropwell Baptist Church in Pell City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Showers Return By The Weekend

| 6:18 am August 28, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PLEASANT MORNING: Another nice morning; we have low 60s at places like Cullman and Fort Payne; the sky is clear and the air is dry. Look for a good supply of sunshine today and tomorrow with a high in the 90-94 degree range. We will mention just a slight risk of a shower tomorrow afternoon.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air surges northward into the state Saturday, and we will forecast a chance of showers and thunderstorms; the day will feature more clouds than sun. There are actual considerable model differences; the GFS is much wetter than the NAM, and as usual the truth is probably somewhere in between. The rain won’t last all day, and the sun will be out at times. Just understand if you have something planned outdoors, you will have to dodge a shower or two. The high Saturday will be in the upper 80s for most communities.

A few showers and thunderstorms are still possible Sunday and Monday, but they should be fewer in number and more scattered in nature. The sky will feature a mix of sun and clouds both days, with highs generally between 88 and 91 degrees.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tonight… only a small risk of a shower tomorrow evening; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny today with only a slight risk of a shower from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Then, for tomorrow and Saturday about 3-6 hours of sun each day with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 83 degrees.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is on the way to the North Atlantic and no threat to land. A disturbance in the far western Gulf will move into the southern tip of Texas this evening with no development, and another weak wave is moving into the Caribbean with no sign of organization. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking to the senior adults today at Cropwell Baptist Church in St. Clair County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Showers/Storms Return Saturday

| 3:34 pm August 27, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY SUMMER AFTERNOON: The sky is mostly sunny across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; nothing on radar and temperatures are pretty close to 90 degrees. Tonight will be clear and pleasant; most communities will drop back into the mid 60s early tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: A dry airmass remains in place, and we expect a partly to mostly sunny sky both days with a high between 90 and 93 degrees. We might consider mentioning a slight risk of a shower Friday afternoon, but if any form they should be few and far between.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air surges northward, and with the approach of an upper trough showers and storms enter the Alabama weather scene Saturday. No all day rain, no severe storms, but the sky will feature more clouds than sun, and there is a pretty good chance of a passing shower or storm anywhere in our state during the day. No way of knowing now exactly when and where it will rain, but if you have something planned outdoors, just be aware that you will have to dodge raindrops from time to time. The high will be in the 80s.

Showers and storms should be fewer in number and more scattered in nature Sunday and Monday with a mix of sun and clouds both days; highs will range from 87 to 90 degrees.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tomorrow night… only a small risk of a shower Friday evening; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days through Friday with only a small risk of a shower or storm. Then, on Saturday, the sky will be occasionally cloudy with showers and storms becoming more numerous, but it won’t rain all day, and the sun should be out at times. Then, for Sunday and Monday, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine both days with a few scattered storms around. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, with sea water temperatures mostly in the low to mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is between the coast of the U.S. and Bermuda in the Atlantic, and will move northeast into the open North Atlantic in coming days… not threat to land. A low level swirl is in the western Gulf of Mexico; hurricane hunters actually went into that today and found nothing significant. It will drift into the southern tip of Texas within the next 36 hours; no impact here. The wave nearing the Leeward Islands remains weak and disorganized. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing a huge crowd today at Golden Living Center in Oneonta… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Moist Air Returns Over The Weekend

| 6:12 am August 27, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY THROUGH FRIDAY: Feels pretty good early this morning; Vic Bell, our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, reports 58 degrees at daybreak… up the road Fort Payne is at 61. Don’t expect much change in our weather through the end of the week, with mostly sunny days and fair nights. Highs in the low 90s, lows mostly in the 60s as dry air remains in place.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air returns, and with the approach of an upper trough we will bring in a chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday. This looks like the day with the highest coverage of rain; any one spot stands a 50/50 chance of seeing one or two showers or thunderstorms during the day. We will have more clouds than sun, and the high will drop into the 80s.

Then, for Sunday and Monday, expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range on these two days. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tomorrow and Friday night; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly sunny with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights through Friday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only a small risk of a storm. Then, clouds will increase Saturday with a few passing showers or storms possible. On Sunday and Monday expect about 5 to 7 hours of sun both days with scattered storms. Highs will stay in the 87 to 90 degree range on the immediate coast; the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is packing sustained winds of 80 mph, and is between the U.S. Atlantic coast and Bermuda. It will move northeast into the North Atlantic in coming days and is no threat to land. The rest of the Atlantic basin is pretty quiet now.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking today at the Golden Living Center in Oneonta… look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!