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Wet Weather Returns To Alabama

| 6:04 am April 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: At daybreak rain is widespread across Alabama generally along and south of I-20, thanks to a surface forming over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Rain is likely today for the southern two-thirds of the state, with the heavier totals over South Alabama, where a flash flood watch is in effect for the zone from Mobile over to Dothan. Rain amounts down that way could exceed two inches… up this way, along the I-20 corridor, rain totals will be generally under 1/2 inch. And, to the north, very little rain is expected over the Tennessee Valley region of extreme North Alabama.

This is the projected radar reflectivity at 3:00 this afternoon via the high resolution NAM…

today_3p_s

You can clearly see the amount of rain you get today all depends on where you are. Lots of rain south and east of Birmingham… very little north and west of the city. We won’t get past the low 60s today due to clouds and rain.

TOMORROW: Again, the weather all depends on where you live. The sky will clear over far West and North Alabama, near the Mississippi and Tennessee borders, but most of Alabama will have stubborn clouds thanks to an upper low to the east. And, periods of rain will continue over the eastern counties of the state, generally east of I-65. Here is the NAM, valid at 4:00 p.m. tomorrow…

sat_4p_s

Not sure we can get out of the cool 60s tomorrow where the clouds linger.

A-DAY FOOTBALL GAMES TOMORROW: For the spring A-Day football games tomorrow… Auburn will be cloudy and cool with some light rain; kickoff temperature near 65 degrees. Over in Tuscaloosa, the weather will be dry, and the sun might peek out at times; kickoff temperature there close to 70 degrees.?

EASTER SUNDAY: This will be a nice day statewide, with ample sunshine and a high in the upper 70s.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be warm and dry with a high around 80, then a few showers are possible Tuesday ahead of a weak front. Then, an upper ridge will bring warm and dry weather Wednesday through Friday with highs up in the low to mid 80s… the warmest weather so far this year.

A vigorous storm system will being the risk of strong to severe storms to parts of the Great Plains by Wednesday or Thursday of next week, but for now it looks like the main energy associated with this will pass well to the north of Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Rain is likely through tonight from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, with potential for heavy rain, especially for communities in the Florida Panhandle. The weather begins to improve with clearing late in the day tomorrow or tomorrow night, and Sunday will be sunny. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 60s today, with low 70s tomorrow and Sunday. A pretty decent part of next week will be dry, although a few widely scattered showers could show up Tuesday. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 64 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Englewood Elementary School in Tuscaloosa… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Clouds, Some Rain On The Way

| 2:29 pm April 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WEATHER CHANGES AHEAD: Most of Alabama is enjoying sunshine through scattered clouds this afternoon; temperatures are in the mid 60s in most places…. well below the average high of 75 for April 17. Clouds will thicken quickly tonight in advance of a developing storm system over the Northwest Gulf of Mexico.

RAIN AT TIMES TOMORROW: The surface low over the northern Gulf will spread rain up into Alabama after midnight tonight, and some rain is very possible as early as 4:00 or 5:00 a.m. over much of the state. We will forecast periods of rain throughout the day tomorrow, but keep in mind the heaviest and most widespread rain will fall over the southern counties of Alabama. A flash flood watch is in effect for the southeast tip of the state around Dothan, where rain amounts of over two inches are possible through Saturday. It will be a cool day with a high only in the low 60s.

SATURDAY: Unfortunately we will have to make some major forecast changes for East and South Alabama as the weekend begins. A deep upper low is forecast to be over North Florida, and the flow of Atlantic moisture will keep clouds over much of the state Saturday, and we will need now to insert the chance of rain for areas mainly east and south of Birmingham.

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For places like Anniston, Sylacauga, Ashland, Alex City, and Lake Martin, we will mention a good chance of lingering rain Saturday, especially during the morning hours. Birmingham might even see some light rain Saturday morning. North and West Alabama should be dry Saturday, but clouds could be an issue. Unfortunately now it looks like the best chance of seeing some sunshine will be near the Mississippi and Tennessee borders.

And, we will need to lower forecast highs Saturday over East and South Alabama; doubtful those parts of the state will get out of the 60s due to lingering clouds and rain. West and North Alabama should see low 70s.

EASTER SUNDAY: Confidence is high it will be a beautiful day, with ample sunshine and a high in the upper 70s.

NEXT WEEK: We will continue to mention a chance of showers on Tuesday with a weak surface front, then we should enjoy the warmest weather so far this year Wednesday through Friday with dry conditions and highs up in the middle 80s thanks to an upper ridge building over the region.

AT THE BEACH: Rain is likely tomorrow and tomorrow night from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, with potential for heavy rain, especially for communities in the Florida Panhandle. The weather begins to improve with clearing late in the day Saturday or Saturday night, and Sunday will be sunny. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 60s tomorrow, with low 70s Saturday and Sunday. A pretty decent part of next week will be dry, although a few widely scattered showers could show up Tuesday. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 64 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I had a great time today visiting with the first graders at Creekview Elementary in Alabaster… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Warmer Today; Some Rain Tomorrow

| 6:08 am April 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WARM-UP CONTINUES: We begin the day well above freezing; most North/Central Alabama communities are in the 40s at daybreak with a clear sky. The day ahead will be dry… the sky partly to mostly sunny with a high in the upper 60s. Clouds will thicken tonight.

SOME RAIN TOMORROW: A rather dynamic weather system will impact our state tomorrow with clouds and rain, but the heaviest and most widespread rain will come over the southern counties as a surface low forms over the Northeast Gulf of Mexico. The high resolution NAM suggests some heavy rain is possible over Southeast Alabama…

hires_t_precip_se_20

The NWS in Tallahassee has issued a flash flood watch for the southeast corner of our state, including Dothan, where rain amounts could exceed two inches.

Up our way, rain tomorrow is very possible, but it will be light and spotty. Rain amounts for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden will be generally under a tenth of an inch, and some communities north of Birmingham won’t see any rain at all. The day tomorrow will be cloudy and cool with a high in the low to mid 60s thanks to a cool easterly flow on top of the surface low to the south.

EASTER WEEKEND: Still looks great. The surface low off the southern Atlantic coast will move northeast, and we will be in a dry airmass. Lots of sun Saturday and Sunday; we reach the mid 70s Saturday, and the high Sunday will be near 80 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: A weak surface front will bring a few showers to Alabama Monday night and Tuesday, but there is little upper support, and moisture levels will be limited. So, no heavy rain and no severe weather. Then, an upper ridge will bring dry weather to the state Wednesday with highs up in the low to mid 80s… should be some of the warmest weather so far this year over the latter half of the week thanks to the ridge.

No sign of any severe weather issues for Alabama through the rest of April. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Clouds increase today along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores with just a small risk of a shower this afternoon. Rain is likely tonight and tomorrow, and heavy rain is likely tomorrow over the Florida Panhandle. Maybe even some flooding issues around Panama City. Then, the weekend looks great with sunny days and fair nights… most of next week will be dry as well with only a few isolated showers Tuesday. Highs on the coast will be in the 60s tomorrow, then low 70s are likely by the weekend and into next week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I have a weather program today at Creekview Elementary School in Alabaster… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Chilly Again Tonight

| 2:00 pm April 16, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am headed to Tuscaloosa where we will be programming NOAA Weather Radio receivers from 3:30 until 6:30 at Academy Sports on Skyland Bvld. If you need help, come see us**

COLD AGAIN TONIGHT: Cold, but not as cold as last night. Most locations will see a low near 40 degrees early tomorrow morning, but the colder pockets across Northeast Alabama will see mid 30s with a touch of frost possible.

Tomorrow will be warmer… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with a high in the upper 60s.

SOME RAIN ON FRIDAY: Rain will likely move into Alabama early Friday morning… this is the high resolution NAM valid at 7a CT Friday…

hires_ref_birmingham_49

I should note other models are not as aggressive with rain as the upward velocities with the wave are not especially robust, and moisture will be pretty limited. Still, we will mention a few periods of rain Friday with a cloudy sky and a high around 70 degrees. The rain will exit the state by mid to late afternoon.

EASTER WEEKEND: Still looks warm and dry with ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday… the high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, and low 80s are very possible Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The new 12Z run of the GFS hints a surface front will bring a chance of showers to Alabama Monday night into Tuesday. Nothing really heavy, and no severe weather threat. Then, an upper ridge could bring the warmest weather so far this year to the state by Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the low to mid 80s.

AT THE BEACH: Partly sunny tomorrow along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores with a high in the mid to upper 60s… just a slight risk of a shower tomorrow afternoon; showers become more likely tomorrow night and Friday. Then, the weekend looks great with mostly sunny days Saturday and Sunday. Highs over the weekend on the immediate coast will be around 70 degrees, with upper 70s inland. Dry weather continues Monday before showers return Tuesday. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Warming Trend Begins This Afternoon

| 5:58 am April 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUB-FREEZING START: Here are some temperatures (not official lows) just before daybreak this morning…

Black Creek 26 (Vic Bell, our Skywatcher there, has been below freezing since 9:30 last night)
Valley Head 28
Hayden 28
Crossville 28
Fort Payne 28
Gadsden 29
Gardendale 30
Sycamore 30
Cullman 31
Haleyville 31
Coker 31
Snead 31
Concord 31
Chelsea 32
Fayette 32
Russellville 32

Even a chill in the air down in far South Alabama; Mobile reports 37, and Gulf Shores is at 39.

WARMER TIMES AHEAD: We warm into the low to mid 60s today with ample sunshine; upper 60s are likely tomorrow with a partly sunny sky.

But, we should note tomorrow morning will be cold. While most places will see a low near 40, the colder valleys across Northeast Alabama will drop down into the mid 30s with a chance of frost. The coldest locations, like Black Creek and Valley Head, might even touch 32 briefly early tomorrow morning.

FRIDAY: A disturbance will bring the chance of some light rain to the state, especially along and south of I-20. No severe weather, probably no thunder, and nothing heavy. Friday’s high will be close to 70 degrees.

EASTER WEEKEND: Looks great with mostly sunny warm days and fair nights. The high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, and the GFS is printing a high of 80 degrees Sunday afternoon at Birmingham.

NEXT WEEK: A surface front will bring a chance of showers late Monday, Monday night, and Tuesday. Not much upper support and limited moisture, so no severe weather threat, and the rain probably won’t be all that heavy. And, no cold air… highs will be in the upper 70s Monday and Tuesday. Then, on Wednesday, as an upper ridge begins to build, low 80s are likely.

The good news is that the GFS shows no sign of any severe weather threat around here for the rest of April… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny today with a high in the 60s from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. A slight risk of a shower tomorrow afternoon; showers become more likely tomorrow night and Friday. Then, the weekend looks great with mostly sunny days Saturday and Sunday. Highs over the weekend on the immediate coast will be around 70 degrees, with upper 70s inland. Dry weather continues Monday before showers return Tuesday. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 60s.

NEED HELP WITH YOUR WEATHER RADIO? We will be at Academy Sports on Skyland Blvd in Tuscaloosa today from 3:30 until 6:30… we will program your weather radio, or be glad to answer questions if you have them.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program today at Hayden Elementary in Blount County… then I will be headed to Tuscaloosa for the weather radio programming event. Won’t be able to produce an afternoon video, but I will post some fresh forecast notes here by 4:00 p.m. Enjoy the day!

A Legend Retires

| 6:21 pm April 15, 2014

It is my sad duty to let you know that “the world’s greatest weatherman”… J.B. Elliott… is officially retiring this week from weather work.

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J.B. is my mentor, and the main reason I am a professional meteorologist today. He is a trusted friend that never seems to have a bad day.

His roots are in rural Hale County, at Havanna Junction, south of Moundville. J.B. was born April 17, 1932, and it seems like he loved weather from the day he was born. The passion has never faded, and his enthusiasm for the science of meteorology spreads like wildfire.

He worked for the National Weather Service as a forecaster for 32 years… and all of that time was spent at the office here in Birmingham. He is has lived and worked through so much weather history… he was the one that issued most of the tornado warnings during the “SuperOutbreak” of tornadoes April 3-4, 1974.

Upon his retirement from the NWS, we had a deal for him waiting to join “The Weather Company”… now known as “The Weather Factory”. That is our private business that provides support for ABC 33/40; J.B. is widely known for his daily afternoon forecast package here on the blog. Not only is he known for detailed, accurate forecasts, he is also loved because of the personal stories he shares. For many years, the adventures of his dog “Little Miss Molly” warmed many hearts.

I cherish all the times we rode together to school visits over the years on the “roads less traveled”.

J.B. has been the long time severe weather voice for local radio stations WBHK (Kiss-FM), WBHJ, and WAGG.

J.B.’s wife Judy had a serious fall a few weeks ago, and both Judy and J.B. have decided it is the time to retire. But, even in retirement, we will always check in with J.B. anytime we have a big weather threat since he is the voice of experience and logic around here.

I hope J.B. and Judy enjoy the retirement years; they are active members of Huffman Baptist Church and live in Trussville. It has been my honor to work alongside the “legend” for all these years, and I will always be appreciative of his support and encouragement.

You can drop J.B. a note anytime over on his Facebook page….

Freeze Warning Tonight

| 3:41 pm April 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

LONG NIGHT AHEAD FOR GROWERS: We are still projecting lows in the 25 to 35 degree range for most of North-Central Alabama early tomorrow morning with a clear sky and light wind. The colder readings will be in the lower valleys… some of the ridgetops will stay above freezing, but even there frost is likely. A freeze warning remains in effect for most of Alabama, and many communities will be below freezing for around 3 hours, generally between 4 and 7 a.m.

Birmingham’s record low for April 16, 32 set in 1983, is very much in danger. This won’t be the latest freeze on record, however… that came on April 23, 1986 when the low in Birmingham was 30.

Chilton County Peach Farmer Paul Knight told ABC 33/40 News today…

The freeze that we had a couple of weeks ago wiped out about 40% of the early crops for Chilton County, and a freeze tonight could bring that number up to a 60% loss. Some farms in lower elevations could be wiped out completely. The early crop is where farmers make most of their money due to demands on the market. He also said that the real damage may not show up for weeks or even months from now. And if the temperatures stay below freezing for more than an hour they could see a total loss on all crops.

About 110,000 styrofoam cups are being placed over tomato plants atop Chandler Mountain at K&B Farms to protect them from freezing temperatures tonight… photo below is from @tracygcash

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Tomorrow will be a sunny day with a high in the mid 60s as a warming trend begins.

THURSDAY MORNING: We need to mention that we expect mid to upper 30s across the colder pockets of North/Central Alabama at daybreak Thursday, and some frost is possible. Won’t be as cold as early tomorrow, but growers need to be aware of the potential.

Thursday will be another sunny day with a high in the upper 60s.

SOME RAIN FRIDAY: A disturbance will bring the risk of showers to Alabama Friday, but with weak dynamics and limited moisture, rain should be light and spotty. Amounts will be generally under 1/4 inch, and a decent part of the day will be dry.

EASTER WEEKEND: Looks very nice. Mostly sunny mild days, fair cool nights. Highs in the mid 70s, lows in the 50s.

We will bring in the chance of some rain early next week on Monday, but at this point it doesn’t look like a heavy rain or severe weather threat. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Lots of sun tomorrow from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with a high in the upper 60s on the immediate coast. A few widely scattered showers are possible Thursday and Friday, then expect mostly sunny weather over the weekend. Highs Saturday and Sunday on the coast will be in the low 70s, with mid 70s inland. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 65 degrees.

NEED HELP WITH YOUR WEATHER RADIO? We will be at Academy Sports on Skyland Blvd in Tuscaloosa tomorrow from 3:30 until 6:30… we will program your weather radio, or be glad to answer questions if you have them.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting the kindergarten kids at Paine Primary School in Trussville, and the first graders at Alexandria Elementary School in Calhoun County. Be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 p.m. on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Raw, Cold Day Ahead

| 6:16 am April 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MORE LIKE JANUARY: This won’t be a “Chamber of Commerce” kind of day around here as strong north winds of 15-30 mph usher in much colder air. Places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston will struggle to reach the low to mid 50s today, and many communities to the north of these cities won’t get out of the 40s.

We begin the day with clouds and some drizzle; we will forecast gradual clearing this afternoon. But, it will be a raw day.

FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT: Most of Alabama is under a freeze warning for late tonight and early tomorrow. Not much change in our thinking; the sky will become clear tonight and the wind will die down, setting up a late season freeze.

The range tomorrow morning for most communities will be from around 25 to 35 degrees. The colder readings will be in valleys; some ridge tops will avoid a freeze with mid 30s, but even there frost is likely. It is possible some of the coldest places (like Black Creek and Valley Head) will reach the low 20s.

Most places across North/Central Alabama will be below freezing for about 3 to 4 hours. And, the record low for Birmingham tomorrow (April 16) of 32, set in 1983, is very much in danger. Growers will need to protect all tender plants and vegetation tonight.

On the positive side, it is likely this is the last freeze threat of the season around here.

A warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon with a sunny sky as we rise into the mid 60s, and upper 60s are likely Thursday.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: We will bring in the chance of rain showers statewide Friday. This won’t be a heavy rain event, and there won’t be any severe weather, but confidence is high there will be some rain at times during the day Friday, and possibly Friday night; Friday’s high will be around 70 degrees.

The news for the weekend is generally good. Both the GFS/ECMWF models are suggesting the chance of a shower Saturday is very small, and most places will be dry, and Sunday for now looks like a dry day with a decent amount of sun. Highs over the weekend will be in the mid 70s.

NEXT WEEK: Moisture levels rise and a few showers are possible Monday and Tuesday, but it doesn’t look like a big rain event. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Clearing today in the zone from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but windy and cool with a high in the low 60s. Lots of sun tomorrow with a high in the upper 60s on the immediate coast. A few widely scattered showers are possible Thursday and Friday, then expect mostly sunny weather over the weekend. Highs Saturday and Sunday on the coast will be in the low 70s, with mid 70s inland.

NEED HELP WITH YOUR WEATHER RADIO? We will be at Academy Sports on Skyland Blvd in Tuscaloosa tomorrow from 3:30 until 6:30… we will program your weather radio, or be glad to answer questions if you have them.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Busy day ahead… I have weather programs today at Paine Primary School in Trussville, and at Alexandria Elementary in Calhoun County. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!