Bill Murray is the President of The Weather Factory. He is the site's official weather historian and a weekend forecaster. He also anchors the site's severe weather coverage. Bill Murray is the proud holder of National Weather Association Digital Seal #0001 @wxhistorian
Invest 91L has been upgraded to Tropical Depression Two this afternoon based on Air Force Reconnaissance which found a closed circulation in the weather system off the Southeast Coast of the United States.
It has top winds of 35 mph. It should become Tropical Storm Bonnie overnight tonight. It should reach the South Carolina coast near or just west of Charleston early Sunday morning.
The official forecast meanders it along the South Carolina coast through Tuesday, slowly moving offshore and tracking just off the North Carolina coast through Wednesday.
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the South Carolina coast from the Savannah River to Little River Inlet.
Upper level conditions are not especially favorable for intensification, and the system is not forecast to increase beyond a 45 mph tropical storm, but it will be moving over some really warm Gulfstream water, so I think we will have to watch carefully in case it strengthens a little more than anticipated.
In addition to windy conditions, very heavy rain will impact the coast of South Carolina, with at least 2-3 inches of rain expected. I think that forecast from the WPC may be low, especially given the slow movement. There will be rough surf and rip currents as well.
TD Two/Bonnie will have no direct impact on the weather for Alabama of the beautiful beaches of Northwest Florida and Alabama.
WHAT HAPPENED TO ONE
You may ask what happened to TD Number One? Hurricane Alex formed in January, the first to form in January since 1938. It formed north of Bermuda and moved toward the Azores, weakening to a tropical storm before reaching the islands.
From Cane Creek Canyon to Cahaba lilies and from crab cakes to red snapper there are many things that make Alabama beautiful and tasty. Alabama NewsCenter captures what’s best about our state. Here were some of those things from this past week.
In sharp contrast to your weather over the past month (over 7″ of rain for the month here in the DC area vs 1.38″ in Birmingham), we are now feeling the dry weather you have had and the heat (no, not from Congress) with temperatures reaching the 80’s.
And weather systems far far away in an Ocean or two will have a big impact in keep it mostly rain free in Alabama through the holiday weekend and maybe for the next seven days!
The potential bad thing/downside for a pattern like this is we may have to start talking about increased drought conditions and fire potential for for parts of the state if this were to continue through next week.
Hope your holiday weekend is great!
An unusual sight this evening across the middle of the country tonight.
You could literally walk from Terrell County, Texas, on the Mexican border, all the way to the Canadian border, and be in a severe weather watch the entire way.
Tornado warnings are in effect in Kansas and Texas as well. There have been 28 tornado reports so far, all the way from South Dakota to Texas.
A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground northwest of Garden City, Kansas right now. It is reported to be nearly stationary.
Central Alabama will get a preview of summer in the week ahead as high pressure builds over the Southeast, allowing things to heat up.
Today’s highs in the upper 70s to near 80F will be a distant memory by Tuesday, when we are more likely to see readings that begin with 9 than 7.
But for today: perfection, with highs just shy of 80F in most spots under a mostly cloudless sky. Humidities will be low, with dewpoints in the lower 50s. There will be a light northerly wind that will make it feel just perfect.
Be sure to have the sunscreen handy today as you head out for the final round of the Regions Classic. Get your tickets here.
And get ready for a great week of baseball at the Hoover Met starting Tuesday. The weather will be nearly perfect. It will feel like summer all week with highs in the middle and upper 80s, and even a few 90 degree readings Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. A few widely scattered thunderstorms could show up by Wednesday afternoon, but rain chances will remain low through the Championship Game on Sunday. Get your tickets here.
This week our friends at Alabama NewsCenter went from the Regions Tradition to regional economic development with a few ships, planes, coffee, Champs stew, a medical breakthrough and Condoleezza Rice thrown in for good measure.
Bible, ball fields, biotech, balloons and booming business highlight the good news from our friends at Alabama NewsCenter this week.
Our line of strong storms is pushing southeast this evening.
It is past Huntsville, approaching Cullman and Jasper. There is a break in the line back until you get into Fayette County. Storms extend from Fayette to west of Reform to near Pickensville.
The strongest storms are near Jasper, Fayette and north of Carrollton.
None of the storms are severe, but the strongest storms could produce wind gusts to near 50 mph, along with torrential rain and deadly lightning.
There is moderate instability across Central Alabama tonight, but all forms of wind shear are very weak. The storms are along a pre-frontal trough that is preceding a cold front that is knocking on the door of Northwest Alabama at this hour.
This will set us up for some fine weather for the weekend with highs near 80F and lows in the 50s along with lots of sunshine.