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Brian Peters

Brian Peters

Brian Peters is one of the television meteorologists at ABC3340 in Birmingham and a retired NWS Warning Coordination Meteorologist. He handles the weekend Weather Xtreme videos and forecast discussion and is the Webmaster for the popular WeatherBrains podcast.

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WeatherBrains 494: My Wife is Playing Poker

| 5:15 am July 14, 2015

WeatherBrains Episode 494 is now online (July 13, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Geoff FoxGeoff Fox had been with WTNH for 27 years, and did a brief stint at Fox CT before moving across the country to Palm Springs Ca , where I hear this time of year the average high is 107 degrees!

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 116 at Death Valley, CA, and 36 at Truckee, CA
  • TS Claudette formed off North Carolina coast
  • Claudette soon to be post tropical
  • 700+ mile squall line across Ohio Valley
  • Death ridge over Texas
  • Eastern Pacific has Hurricane Dolores and TS Enrique
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: Thanks to a tweet from a WeatherBrains fan for the topic for this episode of 101. We take a look at those interesting circles sometimes seen on the NWS Doppler radar network around dawn sometimes referred to as roosting rings.

    Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 494:

    Geoff Fox Blog

    KMIR-TV weather web site

    Full Geoff Fox biography

    Wings of Carolina Flying Club

    NASA television

    To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

    Picks of the Week:

    Geoff Fox – Bufkit plug

    Nate Johnson – Japan’s new weather satellite

    Brian Peters – Twitter posting from SPC

    John Scala – Understanding the Madden-Julian oscillation

    Kevin Selle – Italian tornado chase

    James Spann – Drone video of Kansas tornado

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Freddy the Frogcaster and the Huge Hurricane

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

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    Heat Cranks Up

    | 7:04 am July 12, 2015

    Short Version: Repeat yesterdays discussion and weather!

    A little tongue in cheek there with the fact that the overall weather pattern is not changing much as heat levels gradually climb and parts of Central Alabama come under heat advisories for the next couple of days.

    bMavTGraphic from NWS Birmingham.

    Another warm morning to start the day in Central Alabama with temperatures starting out in the lower and middle 70s. Few clouds were noted, but most of them were of the high variety so not expecting clouds to be much help with the heat. The NWS has posted a heat advisory for today and Monday for a fairly large chunk of Central Alabama generally south and west of Birmingham including Montgomery, Selma, Tuscaloosa, and Hamilton. With little change expected in the upper air pattern, heat indices of 105 degrees or just above will be possible through much of the week ahead, so the heat advisory may be expanded in time.

    With the upper ridge centered just to our west, much of the action in the weather will continue along the northeastern periphery of the ridge with a series of short waves moving through the westerly flow and keeping a good deal of serious weather just to our north and northeast. SPC has outlined a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms for Day 1 and 2 in the Upper Midwest and into the Ohio Valley. Day 3, Tuesday, sees an enhanced risk for severe storms over parts of the Southeast US centered primarily on East Tennessee and affecting parts of northern Alabama. This risk area may have to be adjusted slightly depending on the actual movement of the upper ridge.

    Heat levels might drop a bit Tuesday and Wednesday due to slightly better rain chances along with the presence of more clouds. But the ridge moves back and strengthens again on Wednesday and Thursday as the westerlies are pushed northward once again with the ebb and flow of the large upper ridge.

    But hold on! While the upper ridge positioned over Texas will be the primary feature affecting our weather pattern, the GFS is suggesting another pattern change similar to what we saw in June. As we head out into voodoo country, the GFS is developing another fairly deep trough across the eastern third of the US which if it develops would definitely spell some relief to our hot pattern while the Southwest and West would get warm again. Definitely something to keep our eyes on the evolution of this change.

    The Atlantic Basin remains quiet with just a small area of cloudiness off the North Carolina coast which is not expected to develop much as it moves away from the coast. Dolores has come into play in the Eastern Pacific and could develop into a major hurricane toward the latter part of the week as it remains away from land. And Typhoon Chan-Hom, now a tropical storm, skirted by the coast of China yesterday and is weakening as it moves toward the Korean Peninsula.

    Beach goers will see a few passing showers and storms as a daily occurrence, but away from these passing storms, you can expect 7 to 10 hours of sunshine each day from Dauphin Island east to Panama City Beach today and into much the week ahead. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with lower 90s inland. The water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab was reported as a very balmy 90 degrees.

    James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. While the current heat is not overly extreme, it is best to use common sense and factor the heat into your planned activities by not overdoing it while working or playing outside.

    -Brian-

    Little Change to Our Weather

    | 6:38 am July 11, 2015

    The fairly typical heat of July is upon us along with hit or miss thunderstorms. Yesterday we saw a band of isolated thunderstorms develop across Central Alabama, and I heard a lot of thunder but there was no rain to report in my gauge and the yard was disappointed. The good news was the drop in temperature thanks to the storms that were close by.

    p120i

    The overall weather pattern for Alabama and the Southeast US is not going to be changing much for the next week. The upper ridge will gradually migrate a tad further west into the middle of the week while a trough becomes reestablished over the Mid-Atlantic States. This essentially keeps Alabama on the edge of much of the action with the potential for isolated thunderstorms in the heat of the day mainly between about 1 pm and 8 pm. Temperatures are going to stay up for the foreseeable future with highs mainly in the lower to middle 90s. Temperatures

    The weak convergence zone that helped to develop the thunderstorms yesterday afternoon has drifted a little southward, so the best chances to see thunderstorms is expected to be across the southern half of the state. Some of the storms may pack a bit of a punch with the SPC denoting a marginal risk area for South Alabama.

    Beach goers will see mostly sunny days and fair nights along the coast from Dauphin Island to Panama City Beach for the next week with the usual risk of a passing storm from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with lower 90s inland. Water temperatures at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab have been running between 86F and 88F these past few days.

    The tropical Atlantic remains quiet but there are two areas of potential tropical development in the eastern Pacific. And Typhoon Chan-Hom is passing close to the China coast near Shanghai this morning as it recurves to the northeast.

    The GFS is forecasting a decrease in heights over the eastern US as we head out into week 2 or voodoo country. But that change is expected to be fairly brief with the upper ridge strengthening once again as we get out toward the latter part of July.

    I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video here on Sunday morning. Check back often for updates on Central Alabamas weather.

    -Brian-

    More Storms Expected

    | 6:59 am July 5, 2015

    A quick look at the radar this morning showed much of the action occurring across South Alabama where the boundary sagged last night. The flash flood watch issued yesterday was allowed to expire this morning. Additional showers are expected to develop later today in the warmth of the afternoon.

    BMX

    At 500 millibars, the small upper low was located over the eastern half of Tennessee as it slowly migrates northeastward reducing its influence on our weather pattern. As the low gets absorbed into the primary westerly flow and moves into the Mid-Atlantic States, the pattern across the Southeast US will be replaced by gradual ridging as the Bermuda high builds across the southern US from the western Atlantic. This upper air pattern should favor a return to more diurnally driven showers and storms for the week ahead as temperatures also climb back into the lower 90s.

    With the westerlies located along the northern tier of the US, another cold front will approach the Ohio and Tennessee River valleys at mid-week but is expected to wash out before we can see any kind of air mass change. This keep the moist air mass in place and keeps scattered showers and storms in the forecast for much of the week ahead.

    The Atlantic Basin remains especially quiet as the South Atlantic remains covered by a large mass of dry Saharan air. There was a little more action in the Eastern Pacific where a tropical depression is likely to form early next week well out in the Pacific.

    The SPC in Norman, OK, has continued a marginal risk of severe storms along the Gulf and Southeast US coasts for today with an enhanced risk of severe storms centered mainly on South Dakota later in the day. They have only a marginal risk area ahead of that front for Monday or Day 2.

    Headed to the beach? About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily for the Central Gulf Coast heading into next week, from Dauphin Island to Panama City Beach. Storms will be more numerous today, but each day in the week ahead there will be a decent chance for a passing storm from time to time, fairly typical with the daily sea breeze effect. Highs on the immediate coast will remain in the mid to upper 80s, with lower 90s inland. Sea water yesterday afternoon at Perdido Pass at Orange Beach was reported to be 81 degrees.

    Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS continues to advertise the potential for the trough to stay a feature across the eastern US into Week 2. While the ridge builds and decays, the presence of the overall trough across the eastern third of the country is certainly a positive sign for keeping any extreme heat at bay.

    James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. Check back here often for updates on the Central Alabama weather.

    -Brian-

    Soggy Fourth of July

    | 7:15 am July 4, 2015

    Nature is providing plenty of fireworks for the fourth of July in the form of a train of thunderstorms that stretched from Southeast Oklahoma all the way to North Georgia. Flash flood watches were posted for a sizable chunk of the Southeast US including much of the northern half of Alabama through Sunday morning. There is little change likely to occur in this weather pattern over the next 36 to 48 hours, with potential for the watch area to be extended and additional flash flood warnings added for counties generally along and north of the Interstate 20 corridor. Rain and clouds were keeping temperatures down considerably with highs only expected to reach the lower 80s. Birmingham only reached 80 yesterday for the daily high. This is a look at the latest radar image.

    BMX

    The storm total precipitation estimate also shows the impact of the training of these storms with that red area in Marion County with an estimated 8 to 10 inches of rainfall with more to come.

    BMX-STP

    The upper level low will move slowly into the Central Appalachians by Monday, so I expect rainy weather to stay with us into Sunday. But by Monday as the low gets caught up by the main westerlies, we should see the atmosphere dry out at least somewhat dropping us back to more typical afternoon and early evening storms for much of the week ahead. Again, the additional clouds and presence of showers will help to hold the heat off until mid-week when we should see highs once again near seasonal values as we record values into the lower 90s.

    The training of echoes today and Sunday will keep the flash flood threat high across much of Central Alabama. Additional rainfall values of 2 to 4 inches will be possible over the weekend with some higher values likely where the strongest storms occur. Remember, turn around, don’t drown. Don’t risk your life by driving into areas where water covers the roads to an unknown depth.

    While the flash flood threat is very high, we also continue to see potential for isolated strong to severe storms. SPC has much of the Southeast US in the area from North Georgia westward to Oklahoma in a marginal risk area. But as the upper low moves out early next week, the risk for strong storms should drop.

    The Atlantic Basic continues to be quiet thanks to the extensive area of dry air over the South Atlantic. The Eastern Pacific was a little more active with a couple of areas of disturbed weather but no named storms for now.

    For folks headed to the beach, look for about 4 to 7 hours of sunshine each day through much of next week with the risk of occasional passing thunderstorms from Dauphin Island eastward to Panama City Beach. Highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s on the immediate coast, with lower 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the low to mid 80s.

    Looking out into Week 2, the long range GFS suggests another substantial ridge to our west which will bring back highs in the 90s, but the pattern evolves back to more of a trough over the eastern US by the 19th of July suggesting at least a limit to some of the summer heat.

    The overall weather situation for Central Alabama remains highly fluid, so please check back here often for updates. A flash flood warning was issued for Jefferson County until 9:30 am while I was working on this post. I plan to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here Sunday morning.

    -Brian-

    WeatherBrains 492: Spritz Yourself ! !

    | 5:15 am June 30, 2015

    WeatherBrains Episode 492 is now online (June 29, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

    Elie MorrisonTonight’s Guest Panelist is the mastermind behind tonight’s show. He is a regular listener and commenter and is a meteorology student at York University in Canada. Elie Morrison, welcome to Weatherbrains. It was a unit on natural disasters in school that got Elie interested in the weather.

    Chris ScottTonight’s first Guest WeatherBrain is Director of Meteorology for The Weather Network. He has been with the Canadian weather channel for 15 years. Chris Scott, welcome to WeatherBrains! Chris got interested in the weather from a ferocious hail storm that affected his farm.

    Doug GillhamTonight’s other Guest WeatherBrain is a show alum, having appeared on episode 160 back in 2009! He Grew up in Canada and was Director of Distance Learning for the Mississippi State Meteorology Department. He is now the Manager of the Forecast Center for The Weather Network. Doug Gillham, welcome back to WeatherBrains.

    Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 124 at Death Valley, CA, and 34 at Mount Washington, NH
  • Heat across western Canada and smoke an issue
  • Cold front over the weekend reaching the Southeast US
  • Eastern Pacific and Atlantic tropical basins quiet
  • High amplitude pattern cooling the East with heat in the West
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer takes a look at some incoming messages from our listeners.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101:

    Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 492:

    The Weather Network

    Alert Ready

    Elie Morrison’s weather blog

    Environment Canada

    To subscribe to the new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

    Picks of the Week:

    Doug Gilliam – White Death, 77 Blizzard

    Elie Morrison – Model and Ensemble Forecast & Archive viewer and
    everypost

    Bill Murray – ducked out early

    Brian Peters – Canadian weather article with hail images

    Chris Scott – Dr. Libby Barnes

    Kevin Selle – Horseshoe vortex cloud pattern

    Rick Smith – AMS Meteorology Conference presentations

    James Spann – Picturing the Forecast

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Elephants as forecasters

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

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