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Hot/Muggy Weekend Ahead; Eyes On The Tropics

| August 26, 2016 @ 6:25 am

NO HEAT RELIEF: An upper ridge across the Deep South isn’t going anywhere anytime soon, meaning our weather won’t change much through at least early next week. For today and the weekend, expect partly sunny, hot, humid days with widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 90s, generally in the 91-95 degree range.

We note that next Thursday (September 1) marks the beginning of meteorological fall, but don’t expect any magical cool down. The autumnal equinox comes on September 22, and your odds of an airmass change become much higher by then. Keep in mind the hottest temperature on record in Alabama (112 degrees, recorded at Centerville) came on September 5, 1925.

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL WEATHER: A few widely scattered showers and storms will be in progress across Alabama this evening; chance of any one high school stadium seeing rain around kickoff is about one in five. Most of the showers will end by 8:00 p.m… temperatures will be in the low 80s at kickoff, dropping into the upper 70s by the final whistle. Humidity values will remain sky high tonight.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Gaston, in the Central Atlantic, is expected to reach hurricane strength again today, but it will recurve into the open Atlantic east of Bermuda, and is no threat to land.

NHC has also identified a weak disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico, well south of Louisiana, but that is not expected to develop.

Great weeping and gnashing of teeth continues over “Invest 99L”, which is really hard to define this morning over the Southeast Bahamas due to strong winds aloft, which continue to shear the system. NOAA P3 (hurricane hunter aircraft) is currently in the vicinity measuring atmospheric conditions.

*Model data is not especially helpful right now since there is no way the system can be initialized with no low level center or structure. Each batch of runs will continue to do the hokey pokey.

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*Concerning global models, the Euro (ECMWF) brings a very weak system across the Florida Peninsula, and then out into the Atlantic well east of Alabama. The GFS brings a weak system up toward the Central Gulf Coast toward the middle of next week, and the Canadian (GEM) brings a slightly stronger system toward Panama City Beach early next week. All three can’t be trusted for the same reason mentioned above at this time.

*There is a very real chance that 99L never develops into a depression or storm. And, if it does, few models show much beyond a weak tropical storm. Rain would be the main issue is land is impacted.

All we can do at this time is just keep watching to see if anything can survive the sheared environment it is in now.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Despite all this tropical weather talk, the weather looks great on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend, with mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only widely scattered showers or storms. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. The weather next week will depend on what happens with 99L, and if there is any impact (and that remains a big “IF”), it should be over by the Labor Day weekend. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Hot, Humid Days; Eyes On The Tropics

| August 25, 2016 @ 3:29 pm

RADAR CHECK: We have a random pattern of widely scattered showers and storms across Alabama this afternoon… they are drifting to the southwest.

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Away from the showers, temperatures are mostly in the low 90s with a partly sunny sky. The showers will fade quickly after sunset.

TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY: The upper ridge holds, and our weather just won’t change much. Partly sunny, hot, humid days with widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs mostly in the 91-95 degree range.

And, for now, we expect this kind of weather to continue well into next week, unless we have a surprise from the tropics.

EVERYBODY IS TALKING ABOUT 99L: I am convinced Invest 99L is the most publicized open tropical wave in history… partly because of social media, and partly because we haven’t had any hurricane activity around here in many years. Here is the latest this afternoon…

*Air Force Hurricane Hunters again today could not find a low level circulation. In fact, they found no tropical storm force winds and a very disorganized system. It is hanging on for dear life due to a high amount of shear within the atmosphere in the vicinity of the wave, and interaction with Hispaniola.

*There is a very real possibility 99L never develops into a tropical storm or hurricane. But, if the thing can survive, shear values are lower over the Southeast Gulf of Mexico, and SSTs (sea surface temperatures) are very warm, meaning it could try and get it’s act together there.

*Tropical models have shifted to the left today, which is to be expected with a weak, disorganized wave. Understand this model output doesn’t mean very much at this phase of the game.

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*The European global model (the ECMWF), suggests a weak tropical storm will form just off the west coast of Florida, moving northward toward Apalachee Bay. This scenario would bring lots of rain to the Florida Peninsula (not the panhandle), and keep the main impact east of Alabama. But again, this is just one possible scenario.

*Nobody at this point knows if 99L survives. And, if it does, nobody knows the track and intensity. We are all still in the “wait and see” mode. Interests in Florida and around the Gulf need to keep an eye on it.

GASTON: Now a tropical storm in the Central Atlantic, this one will recurve east of Bermuda and is no threat to land.

AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the weekend, with the usual risk of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with a large home school group in Tuscaloosa at Covenant Presbyterian Church… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Midday Nowcast: Hot & Humid Again in Central AL, While Gaston is Confused

| August 25, 2016 @ 12:52 pm

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Skies are mostly clear across Central Alabama at this hour, but a few scattered showers have popped up on radar. Most of the shower activity was located over northeastern Tuscaloosa and southern Walker Counties, with a few spotty showers located near Oneonta in Blount County. These are slowly moving to the southwest.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: Here is a list of temperature observations from across the area at this hour:

Birmingham 90
Tuscaloosa 90
Gadsden 90
Anniston 90
Cullman 90
Jasper 95
Alexander City 90
Selma 88
Montgomery 90

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area is in the “Code Yellow” for ozone and particulate matter 2.5. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for August 25th is 89, while the normal low is 68. The record high for today was set back in 1938 at 102. The record low was set back in 1916 at 57.

REMAINDER OF TODAY: Another hot and humid day expected for Central Alabama this afternoon, with a small risk for widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will be in the low 90 degrees for the most part, with a few places flirting with the mid 90s. The odds of any one spot getting rain today will be around one in four.

FRIDAY’S WEATHER: Much of the same news for tomorrow, as it looks like the typical summertime weather pattern will be in place for a while. It will be hot and humid, with partly to mostly clear skies, and a small risk for widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the low 90s, with a few spots reaching the mid 90s. The odds of any one spot getting rain will be around one in four.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: The weather looks great for the Central Gulf Coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend; about 8 to 10 hours of sun daily with only widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

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TROPICAL STORM GASTON: Gaston became a hurricane earlier this morning, but has just recently been downgraded back to tropical storm status. Gaston is expected to become a hurricane again as it moves northwest before making the curve back out into the open Atlantic well before reaching Bermuda and away from the Atlantic coast.

gefs_AL99_2016082412

INVEST 99L: Of course, this is the tropical wave that currently has everyone’s attention. Currently, no low level circulation has been found within the wave, and until that circulation develops, inconsistency will be shown by the models because they do not know where or how to initialize the system. This is still very early in the game, and too early to know the track and intensity, if it develops at all. If it does develop, its name will be “Hermine” (her-MEEN).

ON THIS DAY IN 2005: Before making landfall in South Florida close North Miami Beach, Katrina became a hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 80 MPH. Over 1.3 million customers were without power, and losses were estimated from $600 million to $2 billion in the state of Florida. Eleven people were killed by Katrina in Florida.

THE BLOG IS ON TWITTER: Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

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Benign Weather For Alabama; Active Tropics

| August 25, 2016 @ 6:25 am

HOT, HUMID DAYS: An upper ridge will hold across Alabama and the Deep South through the weekend, meaning little day to day change in our weather. Partly sunny, hot, humid days with just a few widely scattered showers or thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours, generally between 2 and 8 p.m. Highs in the 91-95 degree range for most communities. If you are looking for cool, crisp air, August in Alabama is not the time or the place for that.

Of course, next week’s weather will be determined by the tropical weather situation, but at the moment it sure looks like any issues will be east of Alabama, meaning our weather will pretty much remain the same.

TOPIC: TROPICS: Gaston finally achieved hurricane status this morning in the Central Atlantic; it will recurve over open water and is no threat to land.

The most curious feature remains “Invest 99L”, which is near Hispaniola. I would suggest this might be the most discussed open tropical wave in history thanks to social media and some clickbait sites.

Screen Shot 2016-08-25 at 6.15.10 AM

Here is the latest…

*A NOAA P3 Hurricane Hunter aircraft is investigating 99L early this morning; we will know more about the structure of the system soon.

*Until we get a well defined low level circulation center, computer models will struggle with initializing the system, and model output will remain suspect. However, there is pretty decent agreement among tropical and global models this morning.

*The wave will move up toward the Florida peninsula, and whether it stays an open wave, or becomes a depression or storm, the main impact initially will be the threat of heavy rain over the weekend for Central and South Florida.

*Most models turn the wave northward east of Alabama, keeping the main rain shield over Florida and Georgia.

AL99_current

*Should the center stay over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, this could indeed grow stronger, perhaps to hurricane strength. But, if the center remains over the Florida Peninsula, it will be mainly a big rain-maker.

*Please understand great uncertainty remains, so keep up with current blog discussions and info from NHC. All of this could change.

*If 99L gets a name, it will be “Hermine”… (Her MEEN)

AT THE BEACH: The weather looks great for the Central Gulf Coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend; about 8 to 10 hours of sun daily with only widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I am speaking to a home school group in Tuscaloosa this morning… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Watching The Tropics Closely

| August 24, 2016 @ 3:31 pm

RADAR CHECK: We have a few widely scattered showers and storms on radar this afternoon… moving slowly to the south…

Screen Shot 2016-08-24 at 3.15.22 PM

Away from the showers, the sky is partly sunny with temperatures pretty close to 90 degrees. Showers will fade once the sun goes down.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: The upper ridge across the Deep South won’t change much. Accordingly, the weather won’t change much. Partly sunny, hot, humid days with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. Highs mostly in the low 90s.

And, more than likely, this kind of weather holds through much of next week, and maybe even into the Labor Day weekend. Very classic late summer weather for Alabama.

EYES ON THE TROPICS: Tropical Storm Gaston is expected to become a hurricane tonight in the Central Atlantic; it will recurve over open water and is no threat to land. We continue to focus on an open tropical wave near Puerto Rico, known as “Invest 99L”.

*A hurricane hunter went into the system this morning and found tropical storm force winds, but no low level circulation, so the system remains an open wave for now.

*Until a low level center develops (IF it develops), computer model output will continue to be inconsistent, simple because they don’t know where or how to initialize the system.

*We actually have good model agreement at the moment, the latest runs of the GFS (the American global model) and the ECMWF (the European model) suggest the wave might develop into a weak tropical storm, moving up toward South Florida, then turning northward along the Atlantic coast of Florida without becoming a hurricane. Main impact in this scenario would be heavy rain for parts of the Florida Peninsula.

gefs_AL99_2016082412

*But again, we stress this is very early in the game, and model output will probably change again. It is simply too early to know the track and intensity of 99L, if it develops at all.

*If 99L becomes a tropical storm, the name will be “Hermine” (her-MEEN).

AT THE BEACH: For now, the weather looks very nice on the Gulf Coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach, with about 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend, with the risk of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. The weather next week will all depend on the tropical situation, and as stated above it is simply too early to know what will happen.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Severe Weather In Progress in Indiana, Multiple Tornado Warnings

| August 24, 2016 @ 3:10 pm

radar

Currently there are two tornado warnings in effect in Indiana, as a line of strong to severe storms are pushing there way to the east with a small southward jog to them. There has been damage reported in the town of Kokomo, where a Starbucks has been flattened by an apparent tornado. Here is the radar image from when the warned storm was approaching Kokomo.

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This image was uploaded to Twitter by Indycar star Connor Daly as he had just left a local track in Kokomo, Indiana, for a charity function. No reports of injuries at this time.

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Midday Nowcast: Hot And Humid, Scattered Showers Are Out There

| August 24, 2016 @ 1:16 pm

radar

For the most part, skies across Central Alabama are mostly clear at this hour, but we do spot some scattered shower activity popping up on radar already. Right now, the hot spot for shower activity is located in northern Jefferson, southwestern Blount, and eastern Walker Counties. Another small shower has popped up in southwestern Winston County, and a few more located in southern Clay and northern Tallapoosa Counties.

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Looking at the southeastern United States, most areas are high and dry at this time, with the only hot spots for shower activity being in northern Georgia and the southern half of the Florida Peninsula. Skies are mostly clear otherwise except for the mountain areas of eastern Tennessee, western North and South Carolina, and western Virginia.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: Here is a list of temperature observations from across the area at this hour:

Birmingham 90
Tuscaloosa 90
Gadsden 88
Anniston 88
Cullman 87
Jasper 93
Alexander City 90
Selma 90
Montgomery 88

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area is in the “Code Yellow” for ozone and particulate matter 2.5. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for August 24th is 89, while the normal low is 68. The record high for today was set back in 1924 at 103. The record low was set back in 1997 at 57.

REMAINDER OF TODAY: Another typical summertime day expected across Central Alabama. It will be hot and humid out there this afternoon, with a small risk for widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will be in the low 90 degrees for the most part, with a few places flirting with the mid 90s. The odds of any one spot getting rain today will be around one in four.

THURSDAY’S WEATHER: Much of the same news for tomorrow, as it looks like the typical summertime weather pattern will be in place for a while. It will be hot and humid, with partly to mostly clear skies, and a small risk for widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the low 90s, with a few spots reaching the mid 90s. The odds of any one spot getting rain today will be around one in four.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Very nice weather continues on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend; about 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily with widely scattered showers or storms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. If a tropical system does get into the Gulf of Mexico, there will be no impact until sometime next week (if there is any impact at all). See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

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THE TROPICS: The latest update from the National Hurricane Center still have Invest 99L as a tropical wave, but they are expecting it to strengthen to a tropical depression or storm at anytime during the next day or two. As James said in his post from earlier this morning, forecasting the track and intensity will be almost impossible until we get a well defined low level circulation center. If this becomes a tropical storm, it will be Hermine.

As far as Tropical Storm Gaston, it is knocking on the door of being a hurricane. Maximum sustained winds are at 70 MPH, and minimum pressure is at 999 mb. Good news is that Gaston should recurve over the open waters east of Bermuda and will be no threat to land.

ON THIS DAY IN 1988: Thunderstorms in the Delaware Valley of eastern Pennsylvania produced wind gusts to 95 mph around Philadelphia, and gusts to 100 mph at Warminster. A tropical depression drenched the Cabo Rojo area of southwestern Puerto Rico with up to ten inches of rain. San Juan received 5.35 inches of rain.

THE BLOG IS ON TWITTER: Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WEATHERBRAINS: This week, we previewed the upcoming National Weather Association Annual Meeting with the President, Executive Director, Social Media Chair and Program Chair. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

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Hot, Muggy Alabama Weather; Active Tropics

| August 24, 2016 @ 6:35 am

RIDGE RULES: The upper ridge will hold across Alabama and the Deep South through the weekend, meaning little day to day change in our weather; partly sunny, hot, humid days with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, generally during the afternoon and evening hours (2-8 p.m.). The chance of any one spot seeing a shower or storm today is about one in four, and the high will be in the low 90s. A few communities could see mid 90s by Friday, but highs will be mostly in the 90-94 degree range through Sunday.

This is just what you expect in August in Alabama. Then, next week, our weather will all depend on the tropical weather situation, which will dominate the discussion this morning.

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GASTON: The tropical storm in the Central Atlantic should become a hurricane today, it will move more northward, and should recurve over the open water east of Bermuda, and is no threat to land.

INVEST 99L: This is the one getting all the attention simply because it has a decent chance of impacting some part of the U.S. Here is the current thinking…

*Seems like a CDO (central dense overcast) is developing early this morning, meaning there is a chance the wave is finally beginning to get it’s act together.

*Slow development is likely over the next few days, and confidence is high the system will pass just north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, reaching the Bahamas this weekend.

*It is very important to understand that forecasting the track and intensity will be almost impossible until we get a well defined low level circulation center, and a better sampling of the environmental conditions by NOAA’s Gulfstream-IV jet. We all play the “model map” game, but it is still more of a “guessing game” at this early phase of the game.

*Could this move across South Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico? Yes. But, not a certainty. If it does, it could wind up anywhere from Galveston to Panama City Beach next week. Nobody knows; no need to cancel vacation plans.

*If this becomes a tropical storm, the name will be “Hermine”… (her-MEEN)

Screen Shot 2016-08-24 at 6.27.30 AM

Just keep up with the blog posts in coming days, and a much higher forecast solution will evolve. But you need to be working with current information. See the Weather Xtreme video for all the maps and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Very nice weather continues on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend; about 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily with widely scattered showers or storms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. If a tropical system does get into the Gulf of Mexico, there will be no impact until sometime next week (if there is any impact at all). See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be at Children’s of Alabama this morning doing a weather program… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Eyes On The Tropics

| August 23, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

RADAR CHECK: We have a few widely scattered showers and storms this afternoon, mainly over Northwest Alabama… moving eastward. Nothing widespread, and many places are dry…

Screen Shot 2016-08-23 at 3.14.26 PM

Temperatures are pretty close to 90 degrees in most places.

REST OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND: With an upper ridge in place, we really don’t expect much day to day weather change through the weekend. Partly sunny, hot, humid days with “widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” each day. Highs mostly in the low 90s… a few spots could ease up into the mid 90s late this week. Way too early to be thinking about cool, crisp, autumn weather. First good front of the season usually arrives in mid to late September, about a month from now.

The weather next week will depend on the tropical weather situation, which gathers most of the attention this afternoon…

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FIONA IS FINISHED: The depression is now an open wave, and advisories are no longer being issued by NHC. We will keep eye on the “ghost of Fiona”, but odds of regeneration are small.

TROPICAL STORM GASTON: Should become a hurricane tonight or tomorrow in the eastern Atlantic. It will be gaining latitude, and should recurve into the open Atlantic, and is no threat to land.

INVEST 99L: This is the one that will produce weeping and gnashing of teeth over the next 5 to 7 days. Let’s make some important points about this wave, which is nearing the Leeward Islands this afternoon:

*There is a chance this won’t develop at all due to dry air and shear. Unlikely, but a chance.

*A hurricane hunter was in the system today, and could not find a closed circulation. This isn’t even a tropical depression now, and until it gets it’s act together, forecasting future positions and intensity is very challenging.

*Tropical models are tightly clustered; pushing the system to the Bahamas in five days.

Screen Shot 2016-08-23 at 3.20.14 PM

*Beyond that, there is little agreement in global models concerning the long term destination. The 12Z GFS (American) model basically dissipates the system around the Bahamas, with no threat to the U.S. However, the 12Z ECMWF (European) model moves it across the Florida Peninsula, and into the Gulf of Mexico, with a landfall near Gulf Shores next Tuesday night. Understand that run of the Euro is an outlier; taking the ensemble approach, a more likely track is over South Florida, with a turn to the north well east of Alabama.

*Nobody, and I mean nobody knows the ultimate destination and intensity of this, IF it develops at all. We all just need to pay attention, and forecast confidence will grow in coming days.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Midday Nowcast: Hot And Humid, Tropics Are Active

| August 23, 2016 @ 11:26 am

radar

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Skies at this hour across much of Central Alabama are mostly clear, with the exception being the northwestern parts of the area as there are a few more clouds moving to the east. There is one shower that has popped up in the extreme northern part of Marion County and the southern part of Franklin County. Currently it is slowly moving to the east-northeast.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: Heat is building as we start to reach the daytime maximum temperatures for the day across the area. Here is a list of temperature observations from across the area:

Birmingham 86
Tuscaloosa 88
Gadsden 82
Anniston 86
Haleyville 81
Jasper 88
Alabaster 84
Alexander City 90
Montgomery 90
Selma 86

WHAT TO EXPECT FOR TODAY: We are back to a typical summertime weather pattern across Central Alabama for today. It will be hot and humid out there this afternoon, with a small risk for widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will be at or just over 90 degrees for the most part. The odds of any one spot getting rain today will be around one in four.

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Yellow” for ozone and particulate matter 2.5. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for August 23rd is 90, while the normal low is 68. The record high for today was set back in 2007 at 105. The record low was set back in 1950 at 54.

WEDNESDAY’S WEATHER: Much of the same news for tomorrow, as it looks like the typical summertime weather pattern will be in place at least until Friday. It will be hot and humid, with partly to mostly clear skies, and a small risk for widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the low 90s, with a few spots reaching the mid 90s. The odds of any one spot getting rain today will be around one in four.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Great weather on the Gulf Coast through the weekend; about 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily with just a few widely scattered showers and storms from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. Highs hold in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

Screen Shot 2016-08-23 at 6.20.45 AM

TROPICAL STORM FIONA: This one is hanging on in the open Atlantic, and should dissipate between the U.S. coast and Bermuda over the next few days. No threat to land.

TROPICAL STORM GASTON: It is in the eastern Atlantic, and should become a hurricane soon. But, it will gain latitude and this will recurve; no threat to land.

Screen_Shot_2016-08-23_at_5_20_24_AM

INVEST 99L: This is the one that we need to watch. Slow development is expected through the rest of the week and may become Tropical Storm Hermine by the end of the week as it moves north of Puerto Rico toward the Bahamas. At this point, model consistency has not been good, but latest runs over the past 24 hours has a shift to the left in its projected track, making it a threat tot he Florida Peninsula. Its too early to be able to tell where exactly it will go, but once the system becomes better organized, we can get a better idea.

ON THIS DATE IN 1988: Thunderstorms produced hail an inch in diameter, wind gusts to 64 mph, and 2.62 inches of rain at Tucson AZ resulting in three million dollars damage. Cool weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. Hartford CT reported a record low of 42 degrees.

WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

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