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Frigid Nights Ahead For Alabama

| December 8, 2016 @ 3:21 pm

COLD IS THE WORD: Temperatures are mostly in the low to mid 40s across Alabama this afternoon with a brisk north wind making it feel colder; tonight will be the coldest night since February 10, when Birmingham had a low of 23 degrees. Most communities will fall into the 20 to 25 degree range early tomorrow morning with a clear sky. A north wind of 6-12 mph will push the wind chill index down into the teens by daybreak.

Tomorrow will be cold and dry with a good supply of sunshine; the high will be in the low 40s, although communities up over far North Alabama will stay in the 30s all day.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: It begins with another very cold morning; the low Saturday will be in the low 20s for most places, but with a clear sky and light wind, radiational cooling will bring temperatures down into the mid to upper teens for colder valleys. Then, during the day, the sky will be sunny and Saturday’s high will be in the upper 40s.

Sunday will be warmer with a partly sunny sky; the high Sunday afternoon will be in the upper 50s. Clouds return Sunday night.

NEXT WEEK: A rather complex pattern is setting up across Alabama and the Deep South. A wave will bring some rain to the state Monday; rain should be fairly light with limited moisture (generally under 1/2 inch). And, the warming trend continues as temperatures return to the 60s Monday afternoon. For now Tuesday looks dry and cooler with a high in the 50s, but rain returns Wednesday ahead of another Arctic front. For now it looks like about 1/2 inch of rain can be expected, and more cold air follows the front for Thursday and Friday with highs dropping into the low 40s, and lows down in the 20s.

The 12Z run of the GFS continues to hint at some risk of snow flurries over North Alabama Wednesday evening, but the reliable European model says no, and we will roll with that solution for now since it has better skill in the medium range. One way or another we see no evidence of any meaningful snow or ice event for Alabama for the next 7-10 days.

NEW DROUGHT MONITOR: Please understand Alabama is still in an exceptional/severe drought, despite the good rain over the past two weeks…

Birmingham’s rain deficit for the year is 11.09″… the deficiency at Anniston is 15.71″. It takes time to get into a drought, and time to get out of one as well.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Ohatchee Elementary in Calhoun County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Its Cold At Midday, And Only Going To Get Colder

| December 8, 2016 @ 1:20 pm

Brrr! A Cold Midday Across Central Alabama
At the 1:00 PM hour, skies are mostly cloudy across most of Central Alabama, with a few breaks in the clouds allowing some sun to reach the surface. Unfortunately, that sunshine is not helping much at all in providing relief from the colder temperatures that have already moved in to the area. And with winds out of the north at 15-25 MPH, it makes it feel even colder.

Temperatures at the 1 o’clock hour across the state are currently in the 30s and 40s for the northern 2/3rds of Central Alabama, with the southern 1/3rd in the 50s. The warm spot in the area at this point is Eufaula at 57 degrees, while the cold spot is Cullman at 37 degrees.

The rest of the afternoon will be mostly cloudy and windy, with afternoon highs in the 40s across much of the area with the exception of a few 50s in the southern parts of the area. Winds will start to slow for the evening hours but will still be in the 5-10 MPH range, and skies will start to clear out. Overnight lows will drop down into the 20s across the area, with the colder spots hitting the teens.

Birmingham’s Climatology And Records
The normal high for December 8th is 58, while the normal low is 37. The record high for today was set back in 1978 at 79. The record low was set back in 1917 at 16.

A Cold Friday Expected Across The Area
This will be a day you will need to break out the heavy Winter coats and gloves. With temperatures in the 20s for most at daybreak and with winds blowing at 5-10 MPH, wind chills will be in the teens across the area. Even though skies will feature sunshine to the max, temperatures will struggle to make it out of the 30s, with low to mid 40s expected across the area from north to south. A few spots in the northern parts of the area might stay in the upper 30s. Clear skies and cold temperatures can be expected for the evening and overnight areas, with the lows once again dropping into the low to mid 20s for most, with a few spots in the teens.

National Extremes
Opa Locka Florida, recorded the warmest high temperature for Wednesday at 87 degrees. The coldest low temperature for last night into the early morning hours today was recorded in Casper Wyoming at -33 degrees. Brrr, that’s nasty cold!!!

On This Day In 1988
Santa Ana winds buffeted southern California, with gusts to 92 mph reported at Laguna Peak. The high winds unroofed buildings, and downed trees and power lines, igniting five major fires, and numerous smaller ones. Damage was estimated at 15 to 20 million dollars.

Beware Of The “Fake Weather” News
It is important to note there is no firm evidence here of any snow or ice problems for Alabama for the next 7 to 10 days. It is very easy to find dozens of “weather pages and forecast centers” across social media that will give you a snow forecast one to two weeks in advance ANYTIME in every winter season… that is how they get their likes, shares, and clicks. We giggle at the concern over “fake news” these days… we have been dealing with “fake weather” sites for a long time. Welcome to our world.

Follow The Blog On Twitter
Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. This week, the panel talked about water, something that we have learned to appreciate even more in the past few weeks. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)

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Coldest Air Since February Arrives Today

| December 8, 2016 @ 6:21 am

POLAR EXPRESS ALMOST HERE: An Arctic front will blow through Alabama this morning; temperatures won’t change much at all from where we are this morning; mostly lower 40s. And, as the pressure gradient tightens, a north wind of 15-25 mph will develop making it feel colder. The front will come through in mostly dry fashion.

Early tomorrow morning temperatures will drop into the 20-25 degree range, with potential for wind chill indices in the teens. Then, during the day tomorrow, the sun will be back in full force, but the weather stays very cold with a high in the low 40s. Communities north of Birmingham, up in the Tennessee Valley, will hold in the 30s all day.

Saturday morning will also be very cold with low 20s likely for the “official” observation points, but the colder valleys and protected areas will reach the mid to upper teens.

Last time it was this cold was back on February 10 when the low in Birmingham was 23.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be sunny with a high in the upper 40s, still about 10 degrees below average for mid December in Alabama. Sunday for now looks dry with a partly sunny sky; the high will be in the mid to upper 50s as a warming trend begins. Clouds increase Sunday night with potential for rain to move into North Alabama.

NEXT WEEK: Let me say up front that forecast confidence is low next week with a tremendous amount of model madness. But, the general idea is that there will be some chance of rain during the first half of the week, followed by another Arctic blast toward Thursday and Friday.

The last few runs of the GFS (the American global model) have been running wild, showing a chance of flurries across North Alabama Wednesday afternoon with temperatures falling through the 30s in the wake of an Arctic front, but the reliable European model (the ECMWF) is totally dry and no Arctic front. We will lean toward the Euro solution here, but I do think cold air returns to the state by Thursday and Friday.

It is important to note there is no firm evidence here of any snow or ice problems for Alabama for the next 7 to 10 days. It is very easy to find dozens of “weather pages and forecast centers” across social media that will give you a snow forecast one to two weeks in advance ANYTIME in every winter season… that is how they get their likes, shares, and clicks. We giggle at the concern over “fake news” these days… we have been dealing with “fake weather” sites for a long time. Welcome to our world.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I have a weather program this monrning at Ohatchee Elementary School in Calhoun County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Scheduled Radar Outage For Birmingham (KBMX) Next Week

| December 7, 2016 @ 2:58 pm

The KBMX Doppler Radar located in Calera that serves Central Alabama will be offline for maintenance and hardware upgrades. The radar will be down from Monday 12/12 until Thursday 12/15. Surrounding radars will be available during this time.

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Coldest Air So Far This Season Arrives Tomorrow

| December 7, 2016 @ 2:56 pm

OVERCAST, COOL DECEMBER DAY: With the exception of far Northwest and Southwest Alabama… this has been a cloudy, cool day across the state with temperatures holding steady in the upper 40s and low 50s. Despite the clouds we have no rain on radar.

TO THE NORTH: Brutally cold Arctic air is over the northern states; Cutbank, Montana reports -1 (F) at 2p CT with a wind chill index of -16. That cold air is on the move, and we will feel some of it in Alabama tomorrow.

COLDEST SO FAR: The Arctic front will pass through tomorrow morning; there could be a few sprinkles involved, but very little moisture, and no measurable rain is expected. Once the front passes, north winds will increase to 15-25 mph, gusting at times to 30 mph. Temperatures won’t get past the low 40s in most places, and the wind will make it feel colder.

By Friday morning we expect a low between 20 and 25 degrees. The good news is that the sun will be back in full force Friday, but the weather stays cold with a high in he 38-42 degree range. Most of the “official” observation stations will see a low in the lower 20s early Saturday morning, but with a clear sky and light wind, the colder valleys and protected areas will see mid teens.

Last time it was this cold was back on February 10 when the low in Birmingham was 23.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A warming trend begins Saturday afternoon; with a sunny sky we rise into the upper 40s. Then, clouds move in Sunday, and rain is likely late Sunday afternoon through Sunday night. Looks like rain amounts will be around 1/2″ for most of North/Central Alabama… that rain will end early Monday morning.

NEXT WEEK: The latest GFS run hints we could see some light rain on Wednesday (December 14), followed by another Arctic blast Thursday and Friday (December 15-16). The air toward the end of next week could be a little colder than what we will experience tomorrow and Friday. And, we need to mention there is no evidence of any snow or ice problems in Alabama for the next 10 days, despite what you might hear on the street. Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Cloudy For Most At Midday, But Frigid Temperatures Are On Their Way

| December 7, 2016 @ 12:11 pm

A Cloudy And Cool December Day For Your Wednesday
At the midday hour, clouds pretty much cover all of the state except for some clear skies in the northeastern parts of the area. Gadsden, Centre, Anniston, and Jacksonville are a few locations who are lucky enough to see some sun at this point. Skies will continue to be mostly cloudy to cloudy for the remainder of the day across Central Alabama, with afternoon highs in the 50s across the area. A few spots in the extreme southeastern parts of the area may reach the low 60s. Birmingham’s high is expected to be 55 degrees, which is 3 degrees lower than the average high for today.

Temperatures at the noon hour across the state are currently in the 40s and 50s. The warm spot in the state at this point is Mobile at 64 degrees, while the cold spot is Haleyville at 43 degrees.

Birmingham’s Climatology And Records
The normal high for December 7th is 58, while the normal low is 37. The record high for today was set back in 1951 at 80. The record low was set back in 1937 at 12.

Arctic Blast Invades The Area On Thursday
A strong cold front will push across the area during the early morning hours, but it looks like the forecast models have really backed off of any rain falling along and ahead of the front. Both the HRRR and European models are showing no rainfall at all, with the GFS showing that a few sprinkles could fall over the extreme northern parts of the area. But the big news out of tomorrow will be the gusty winds with the much cooler temperatures during the day. Afternoon highs will only get to the mid to upper 40s across the area north of US-80 and I-85, with low 50s along and south of that. Clouds will start to decrease during the afternoon hours, and winds will be out of the north in the 15-25 MPH range.

National Extremes
Stuart, Florida, recorded the warmest high temperature for Tuesday, at 90 degrees. The coldest low temperature for last night into the early morning hours today was recorded in West Yellowstone, Montana, at -27 degrees. Brrr, that’s cold!!!

On This Day In 1989
A storm moving out of the Central Rocky Mountain Region spread snow across Kansas and Oklahoma into Arkansas and Tennessee. Snowfall totals ranged up to 7.5 inches at Winfield KS. Freezing rain on trees and power lines cut off electricity to 24,000 homes in northeastern Arkansas, and 40,000 homes in the Nashville TN area were without electricity for several hours.

Follow The Blog On Twitter
Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. This week, the panel talked about water, something that we have learned to appreciate even more in the past few weeks. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)

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