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Slowly Warming Up and Dry

| October 1, 2016 @ 6:54 am

Welcome to October, climatologically Alabama’s driest month. And the satellite image this morning confirms clear skies across the state of Alabama as the infrared images allows us to pick out some of the larger lakes and rivers. Temperatures this morning were in the 50s, some of the lowest values we’ve seen this season. Our Skywatcher at Black Creek in Etowah County reported a low so far of 43 degrees – now that’s jacket weather. But with lots of sunshine in store for the state, we should see highs climb nicely into the upper 70s and lower 80s.

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Football weather looks great. Alabama will host Kentucky this evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The 6:00 pm CDT kickoff will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter. On the Plains, Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe this afternoon at Jordan Hare Stadium with a 2:30 pm CDT kickoff. You can expect sunshine with a kickoff temperature of 78 degrees falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

For beachgoers, weather along the coast will be mostly sunny days with fair nights. Highs will be in the lower 80s today and drop into the middle 70s for the start of the next week. Lows will be in the 60s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

The Barber Vintage Motorcycle Festival runs from Friday, October 7, through Sunday, October 9, at the Barber Motorsports Park. No real skill in a specific forecast this far out, but October is our driest month of the year, and for now we see nothing to suggest any chance of rain for the event on these three days. Get ticket information right here.

The SPC convective outlooks are shy on much organized severe storms with only a small marginal area for Day 1 in Montana and Day 3 in parts of the Dakotas and Nebraska.

The tropics are active with Matthew currently a major hurricane at Category 4. Matthew is forecast to make a turn toward the north today crossing the eastern side of Jamaica on Monday and plowing into eastern Cuba on Tuesday. After that the storm should lose a little punch as it makes its way through the Bahamas. Beyond that the track is likely to be very close to the East Coast of the US, so all interests from Florida to Maine will need to keep up with the latest information on Matthew.

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An area of disturbed weather in the Central Atlantic is not expected to undergo much development during the next several days as it moves northwestward.

The trough that has brought this wonderful taste of Fall to the Southeast will gradually migrate northeastward into New England by Monday. The trough is replaced by an upper ridge that moves to the East Coast by Wednesday as another trough sets up along the eastern slopes of the Rockies by Wednesday. From Wednesday through Friday the trough makes slow progress eastward with a front forecast to approach Central Alabama late Friday. The upper trough and the surface front will make their way across the Southeast US on Saturday, but with very little moisture there will be almost no chance for any showers to develop along or just ahead of the front. Matthew by next Saturday could be churning up the eastern seaboard in the vicinity of the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

With the weather pattern outlined by the GFS, we should see highs return to the 80s for the week ahead with lows mainly in the 60s after Sunday morning. The front on Saturday will bring slightly cooler and drier air once again dropping temperatures into the upper 70s for highs.

Looking out into voodoo country, the broad trough over the eastern US becomes a good deal sharper around the 12th of October. After that, the GFS has a very complex pattern with an area of low pressure across the Gulf Coast area under a ridge aloft. The problem is that the atmosphere is forecast to stay dry, so it will be difficult to get any rain without a big increase to the precipitable water values.

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here by 7:30 am or so on Sunday. Enjoy another beautiful Fall day for Central Alabama. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Matthew Close to Cat Five Intensity

| September 30, 2016 @ 9:49 pm

ir-animated

We haven’t seen a category five hurricane in the Atlantic Basin since 2007, a year that saw two of them (Felix and Dean).

Matthew may be about to change that.

Hurricane Matthew has been intensifying rapidly for the past 24 hours in the Central Caribbean. Between 4 p.m. CDT yesterday and 4 p.m. today, Matthew’s central pressure dropped from 993 millibars to 949 millibars, or 44 millibars. That officially satisfies the 42 millibar drop that defines rapid deepening.

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Its central pressure has dropped to 944 millibars shortly before 8:30 p.m. CDT tonight, a 51 millibar drop in 28.5 hours. The plane estimated surface winds of 158.8 mph, which is very close to the category five threshold of 160 mph. The eye is closed with a diameter of 12 nautical miles.

The storm continues moving west southwest. It is expected to turn northwest tomorrow night and will impact Jamaica Sunday night and Monday. It is forecast to have top winds of 120 mph at that time, making it a category three hurricane. But it could be stronger.

It will cross eastern Cuba and move through the Bahamas Tuesday and Wednesday. It is too early to tell if Matthew will strike the U.S. The general indication is that the hurricane will turn north and northeast after coming menacingly close to the coast between Florida, the Carolinas, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

There were six category five hurricanes between 2003 and 2005. Wilma was the last in that group, and the last major hurricane to hit the United States.

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Dry Days Continue; Slow Warming Trend

| September 30, 2016 @ 3:18 pm

FINE FALL WEATHER: Temperatures are about 10 degrees below average across the great state of Alabama today, with upper 60s and low 70s for most places. The sky is partly to mostly sunny, and no rain is on radar.

The weather won’t change much over the weekend; sunny days, clear nights, and just a slow warming trend. The high tomorrow will be close to 80, followed by low 80s Sunday. Early morning lows will be mostly in the 50s, but we will see 40s in the cooler pockets again.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for tonight’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this last Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter, and a light jacket will be in order.

Alabama will host Kentucky tomorrow evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe tomorrow at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 78 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather continues, and drought conditions will worsen across the state. Sunny days, fair nights, highs in the 80s and lows the upper 50s and low 60s. Prospects for rain over the next 10 days just are not good for Alabama.

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AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only a small risk of a shower daily on the coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores through next week. Highs in the 80s… See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

BARBER VINTAGE MOTORCYCLE FESTIVAL: This event runs from Friday October 7 through Sunday October 9 at the Barber Motorsports Park. No real skill in a specific forecast this far out, but October is our driest month of the year, and for now we see nothing to suggest any chance of rain event on these three days. Get ticket information right here.

MATTHEW: The hurricane in the Caribbean is now a major hurricane with top winds of 120 mph. It will turn right, moving over Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and the Bahamas in coming days. No threat to the Gulf of Mexico; it remains to be seen if this will directly threaten any part of the U.S. East Coast.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I had a great time today visiting with the second graders at Westminster School in Shelby County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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Midday Nowcast: Beautiful and Cool Day; Matthew is a Major Hurricane

| September 30, 2016 @ 11:45 am

simuawips

ANOTHER WONDERFUL DAY FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA:
A mostly sunny day out there for the area, with most communities still reading at 70 degrees or lower at 11:30AM. With these conditions, the radar is completely clear of any precipitation, not only for our area, but for the whole state as well. Here is a list of temperatures across the area:

Birmingham: 70
Tuscaloosa: 70
Haleyville: 64
Gadsden: 70
Anniston: 68
Alabaster: 70
Alexander City: 70
Auburn: 70
Montgomery: 70
Selma: 70

REST OF TODAY:
Skies will remain mostly clear and may become completely clear by the late afternoon and early evening hours. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 70s, and with dewpoints in the low 50s across the area, it will feel really good out there. For high school football games tonight, skies will be mostly clear with temperatures starting off at or just over 70 degrees at kickoff, and falling through the 60s throughout the games. At 10PM, temperatures will be at or just over 60 degrees.

DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO WORSEN:
The GFS model is suggesting basically no significant rain for Alabama over the next 10 days. Be extremely careful if you are doing any outdoor burning; the wildfire danger will remain high for the foreseeable future. And, pay attention to messages from your local water works authorities, water conservation is certainly in order.

NO AIR QUALITY ALERT:
Ozone and Particulate Matter 2.5 levels will be below criteria to raise an Air Quality Alert for the Birmingham metropolitan area today.

NORMS AND RECS FOR TODAY IN BIRMINGHAM:
The normal high for September 30th is 80, while the normal low is 58. The record high for today was set back in 1904 at 95. The record low was set back in 1967 at 37.

THE WEEKEND THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD:
Mostly sunny days and fair nights can be expected from Saturday all the way through Friday. Afternoon highs will be in the 80s, with overnight lows in the upper 50 to the low 60s range. We will continue to be in a very dry pattern, especially with Hurricane Matthew passing well to the east.

HEADED TO THE BEACH:
Mostly sunny days and fair nights will continue through the weekend and early next week with highs in the 80s from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. Only isolated storms are expected from Sunday through Wednesday. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

BARBER VINTAGE MOTORCYCLE FESTIVAL: This event runs from Friday October 7 through Sunday October 9 at the Barber Motorsports Park. No real skill in a specific forecast this far out, but October is our driest month of the year, and for now we see nothing to suggest any significant chance of rain event on these three days. Get ticket information right here.

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TROPICS:
Hurricane Matthew now has become the first September major hurricane in the Caribbean since 2007 (the last was Felix), and the first in the Caribbean since 2012 (Sandy). Maximum sustained winds have increased to 115 MPH, making Matthew a category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, and gusts up to 140 MPH. Movement is to the west-southwest at 12 MPH, and was located about 100 miles northeast of Punta Gallinas, Columbia, and about 495 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center continues to have Matthew turning to the north sometime between tomorrow night and Sunday night. The latest minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches), and there should be little change, if any, in strength over the next two days. Not expected to be a Gulf of Mexico storm, but could affect the southeastern Atlantic Coast before curving back out to sea.

ON THIS DAY IN 1987:
Afternoon thunderstorms in Michigan produced hail an inch in diameter at Pinckney, and wind gusts to 68 mph at Wyandotte. A thunderstorm in northern Indiana produced wet snow at South Bend. Seven cities in the northwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including readings of 98 degrees at Medford OR and 101 degrees at downtown Sacramento CA.

THE BLOG IS ON TWITTER:
Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WEATHERBRAINS:
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US:
Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact Bill Murray at (205) 687-0782.

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Prepare for Takeoff: Start Your Weekend with Good News Stories from Alabama NewsCenter!

| September 30, 2016 @ 11:29 am

From Fiesta, festivals & flea markets to ships, planes & automobiles, our Alabama NewsCenter Partners capture what is happening across our state and people who are making Alabama great.  Get your weekend started with these good news stories!

Enjoy a weekend of Fiesta, festivals, flea markets, art shows and more!

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Football preview: Lashlee takes over AU offense, Tide gets back to SEC play

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Nation’s 26th littoral combat ship will bear Mobile’s name

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CAE USA on track to open key Alabama Army aviation training center

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Milestone: Honda produces 4 millionth Alabama-made vehicle

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Japanese investment in Alabama fuels many industries

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Treatment allows WorkPlay’s Joe Benintende to walk after seven years in wheelchair

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Less fortunate children at Eufala Primary, other schools get weekend meals, thanks to Southeast APSO

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Necessity drove this mother of invention to become an Alabama Maker

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Troy University-Phenix City at the center of downtown riverfront revival

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Go Build Alabama receives national award for student engagement

2016-09-30_10-00-45awardLegacy Arena at the BJCC celebrates 40th anniversary

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Self-published artist books made by UAB students now part of Birmingham Museum of Art collection

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Alabama Power participates in ‘Be Ready Day’

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UA workshop helps law enforcement interact with deaf

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Birmingham home sales through August up 9 percent over same period during 2015

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Lake Martin area’s August home sales unchanged from 2015

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Baldwin County residential sales through August up 3 percent over 2015

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Huntsville August home sales eclipse 600 units for first time since 2007

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Warmer Next Week; Not Much Hope For Rain

| September 30, 2016 @ 6:27 am

COOLEST MORNING SO FAR: Here are some temperatures across the great state of Alabama just before sunrise…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 42
Fort Payne 45
Haleyville 46
Valley Head 46
Russellville 46
Gadsden 47
Concord 48
Tuscaloosa 50
Anniston 50
Bessemer 51
Jemison 51
Birmingham Airport 52

Today will be another delightful early autumn day, with a sunny sky along with a high in the mid 70s.

THE WEEKEND: Sunny days, fair nights, just a slow warming trend. The high tomorrow will be around 80, with low 80s Sunday. Mornings will stay cool with lows mostly in the 50s; 40s are a good possibility for the cooler pockets across North/Central Alabama.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for tonight’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter, and a light jacket will be in order.

Alabama will host Kentucky tomorrow evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe tomorrow at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Mostly sunny warm days, fair nights. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 57-63 degree range. A very dry pattern with Hurricane Matthew passing well to the east.

BARBER VINTAGE MOTORCYCLE FESTIVAL: This event runs from Friday October 7 through Sunday October 9 at the Barber Motorsports Park. No real skill in a specific forecast this far out, but October is our driest month of the year, and for now we see nothing to suggest any significant chance of rain event on these three days. Get ticket information right here.

DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO WORSEN: The GFS model is suggesting basically no significant rain for Alabama over the next 10 days…

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Be extremely careful if you are doing any outdoor burning; the wildfire danger will remain high for the foreseeable future. And, pay attention to messages from your local water works authorities… water conservation is certainly in order.

MATTHEW: Now a category two hurricane with sustained winds of 100 mph, a hard right turn is still expected over the Caribbean over the weekend. Matthew will be close to Bermuda Monday as a major hurricane, and over eastern Cuba Monday night and Tuesday.

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Matthew will continue northward into the Bahamas next week; it remains to be seen if there will be a direct impact on the U.S. East Coast. Interests all the way from Miami to Cape Cod will need to keep a close eye on this.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I have a weather program this morning at Westminster in Shelby County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Drought Conditions Worsening Across Alabama

| September 29, 2016 @ 3:23 pm

LONG DRY SPELL AHEAD: A number of wildfires have been reported across Alabama today; authorities are evacuating homes and businesses in West Jefferson County as firefighters battle a fast-spreading fire… The fire is affecting the McCalla area near Serene Drive and War Eagle Drive. A command post has been set up and deputies are going door to door making sure residents leave their homes. I saw two wildfires along I-65 between Cullman and Birmingham today.

Coleen Vansant with the Alabama Forestry Commission sent us this note:

“I wanted to fill all of you in on the current wildfire situation. Over the past few days we have experienced an increase in wildfire activity across central, northeast, and east central Alabama. We are in our usual fall fire season but the extended drought across much of the state, particularly from I-65 east is creating greater problems for wildland firefighters. In the past few days, dry conditions combined with low humidity and an increase in wind is creating a favorable weather environment for wildfire. Yesterday, Wednesday, September 28, 2016 the state had 38 wildfires for 282 acres. In the last seven days we have had 137 wildfires for approximately 1,540 acres. Most of these fires have occurred east of Interstate 65 and north of Randolph County to the Tennessee line.

Although we are under no burning restrictions at this time, the Alabama Forestry Commission is urging everyone to use extreme safety precautions when doing any type of outdoor burning. The best thing to do is postpone any burning until measurable rainfall is received.”

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Unfortunately there is little if any hope for rain over the next ten days across Alabama, so drought conditions will only worsen. Please be very careful if you are doing any outdoor burning.

COOLEST AIR SO FAR: As advertised, temperatures are only in the mid 70s across Alabama this afternoon with a fresh north breeze; tonight will be clear and cool with temperatures dropping well down in the 50s early tomorrow; colder pockets will visit the 40s. Tomorrow will be just like today; ample sunshine and a high between 74 and 77.

THE WEEKEND: Still dry; sunny Saturday and Sunday with a slow warming trend. The high Saturday will be in the 77-80 degree range, followed by low 80s Sunday. Lows will stay in the 50s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter, and a light jacket will be in order.

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Sunny days, fair nights, highs in the 80s and lows around 60. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

BARBER VINTAGE MOTORCYCLE FESTIVAL: This event runs from Friday October 7 through Sunday October 9 at the Barber Motorsports Park. No real skill in a specific forecast this far out, but October is our driest month of the year, and for now we see nothing to suggest any significant chance of rain event on these three days. Get ticket information right here.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated storms through most of next week for the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach; highs hold in the 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

MATTHEW IS NOW A HURRICANE: Still looks like Matthew will make a hard right turn over the Caribbean this weekend; it should be over eastern Cuba by Monday or Monday night.

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Almost all reliable model guidance keeps Matthew well east of the Gulf of Mexico… but it could very well be a threat to parts of the U.S. East Coast next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for more maps and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I had a great time today visiting with the 6th graders at East Elementary in Cullman… and the 3rd graders at Hayden Elementary in Blount County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Midday Nowcast: Wonderful Weather for Us; Matthew Is Now A Hurricane

| September 29, 2016 @ 12:56 pm

simuawips

NOW YOU CAN SAY FALL HAS ARRIVED:
I know, I know… You are saying to yourself, “Wasn’t the first day of Fall nearly a week ago,” and you would be correct. Today is the first time that we have a true taste of what Fall weather is supposed to be like. Temperatures at the noon hour are averaging seven to ten degrees cooler than this time yesterday, and along with dewpoints in the area in the 40s and 50s, it makes it feel even better. It is a little breezy out there, with northerly to north-northwesterly winds averaging around 10 to 15 MPH, it will make those temperatures feel a little cooler.

The only bad news about our weather is that we need rain, and looking at the latest run of the GFS through Sunday October 9th, we will be dry throughout the next 10 days. This is actually not rare, as October is usually our driest month of the year, historically. On four separate years, October was completely dry (1897, 1899, 1901, and 1924). On average, it rains on six days of the month, and only on one of those days include thunderstorms. That was just a small peak into the climatology of October.

For the rest of this afternoon and evening, we will have a case of severe clear with very comfortable temperatures. Afternoon highs will mainly be in the mid 70s, with some communities in the southern parts of Central Alabama getting into the upper 70s to 80. A few clouds may move in over the northern parts of the area, otherwise skies will be clear and it will be cool tonight. Overnight lows will be in the lower 50s for most, with the colder pockets in the 40s.

NO AIR QUALITY ALERT:
Ozone and Particulate Matter 2.5 levels will be below criteria to raise an Air Quality Alert for the Birmingham metropolitan area today.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AT THIS HOUR:
Birmingham 73
Tuscaloosa 73
Gadsden 72
Anniston 72
Cullman 68
Alexander City 77
Auburn 79
Selma 75
Montgomery 78

NORMS AND RECS FOR TODAY IN BIRMINGHAM:
The normal high for September 29th is 81, while the normal low is 58. The record high for today was set back in 1904 at 96. The record low was set back in 1967 at 40.

TOMORROW’S FORECAST:
Nearly a carbon copy forecast for your Friday… Other than a few clouds in the extreme northern parts of the area, skies will be clear, and afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 70s for the most part, with a few places in the southern part of the area reaching the low 80s. Yet, it will be another day without rain in Central Alabama.

FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
Skies will be clear at kickoff time with temperatures starting off in the low to mid 70s and falling off into the upper 50s to low 60s by the final whistle. There may be a few clouds floating over the extreme northern parts of the area, but no rain at all with those.

HEADED TO THE BEACH:
Mostly sunny days and fair nights will continue through the weekend and early next week with highs in the 80s from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. Only isolated storms are expected from Sunday through Wednesday. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

BARBER VINTAGE MOTORCYCLE FESTIVAL: This event runs from Friday October 7 through Sunday October 9 at the Barber Motorsports Park. No real skill in a specific forecast this far out, but October is our driest month of the year, and for now we see nothing to suggest any significant chance of rain event on these three days. Get ticket information right here.

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rb0-lalo

THE TROPICS:
Matthew has been upgraded to a hurricane (as I typed this entry), with maximum sustained winds at 75 MPH, gusts to 85 MPH, and the minimum pressure at 993 mb (29.32 inches). Matthew is moving to the west at 17 MPH and is expected to stay on that course for the next couple of days. It is expected to sharply turn to the north sometime during the Saturday night and Sunday morning time frame, with the eye located somewhere to the north of the eastern side of Cuba on Tuesday morning.

Odds are very high Matthew will stay well east of the Gulf of Mexico; it remains to be seen if it will move into any part of the U.S. East Coast, or stays offshore. Looks like a close call, and those from the Outer Banks of North Carolina to Cape Cod will need to keep a very close eye on this next week.

ON THIS DAY IN 1986:
A week of violent weather began in Oklahoma which culminated in one of the worst flooding events in the history of the state. On the first day of the week early morning thunderstorms caused more than a million dollars damage in south Oklahoma City. Thunderstorms produced 4 to 7 inches of rain from Hobart to Ponca City, and another round of thunderstorms that evening produced 7 to 10 inches of rain in north central and northeastern sections of Oklahoma.

THE BLOG IS ON TWITTER:
Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WEATHERBRAINS:
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US:
Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact Bill Murray at (205) 687-0782.

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Highs Drop Into The 70s

| September 29, 2016 @ 6:21 am

VERY DRY PATTERN: Let’s start with the bad news; today will be the 11th consecutive day with no rain for Birmingham (at BHM-Shuttlesworth Airport, where the records are kept), and we see no signifiant chance of rain for the next seven to 10 days. Drought conditions will only deteriorate, and keep in mind October tends to be the driest month of the year.

REFRESHING AIRMASS: An upper low just north of Alabama will send the coolest air so far this season down into the state today. We project highs only in the mid 70s today and tomorrow with sunshine in full supply. Humidity values will be low, and we will be well down in the 50s early tomorrow morning.

THE WEEKEND: Not much change. Sunny pleasant days, clear cool nights. The high Saturday will be in the 77-80 degree range, followed by low 80s Sunday.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter, and a light jacket will be in order.

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Still dry with mostly sunny days; highs will be in the 80s and lows in the upper 50s and low 60s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores with only isolated storms; highs will be in the 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

BARBER VINTAGE MOTORCYCLE FESTIVAL: This event runs from Friday October 7 through Sunday October 9 at the Barber Motorsports Park. No real skill in a specific forecast this far out, but October is our driest month of the year, and for now we see nothing to suggest any significant chance of rain event on these three days. Get ticket information right here.

EYES ON MATTHEW: Tropical Storm Matthew, in the eastern Caribbean, is expected to become a hurricane within the next 24 hours. It will take a hard right turn to the north this weekend, and should be over eastern Cuba Monday night of next week.

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Odds are very high Matthew will stay well east of the Gulf of Mexico; it remains to be seen if it will move into any part of the U.S. East Coast, or stays offshore. Looks like a close call, and those from the Outer Banks of North Carolina to Cape Cod will need to keep a very close eye on this next week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have weather programs today at East Elementary in Cullman, and Hayden Elementary in Blount County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Coolest Air So Far This Fall Arrives Tonight

| September 28, 2016 @ 3:21 pm

LONG DRY SPELL: Today is the 10th consecutive day with no rain for Birmingham (and most of North/Central Alabama), and unfortunately we see no real signifiant chance of rain around here for the next seven to ten days. And, remember October is typically the driest month of the year here. Lake Purdy is very low (photo below from Edward Burch of ABC 33/40), and the Birmingham Water Works announced a stage-one drought advisory yesterday… asking customers to “use water wisely and limit unnecessary usage.”

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COOLEST AIR SO FAR THIS SEASON: It arrives tonight. Tomorrow and Friday will be delightful with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. Highs drop into the mid 70s, with lows well down in the 50s. Cooler spots, like this morning, will hit the mid to upper 40s.

THE WEEKEND: Not much change. Lots of sunshine both days; the high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, followed by low 80s Sunday. Lows hold in the 50s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter, and a light jacket will be in order.

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Still dry with mostly sunny days; highs will be in the 80s and lows in the upper 50s and low 60s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores with only isolated storms; highs will be in the 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

NEW TROPICAL STORM: A good chance Matthew, now in the vicinity of the Windward Islands, becomes a hurricane within the next 48 hours as it moves through the Caribbean. Just about all model guidance still suggests a sharp turn to the north this weekend, and the official NHC track does the same.

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The chance of Matthew getting into the Gulf of Mexico is not zero, but very low based on the projected upper air pattern, and looking at analogs. One interesting analog is Hurricane Hazel from 1954, which also made that sharp right turn in the Caribbean. It would go to make landfall in the Carolinas, but it remains to be seen if Matthew impacts the U.S. East Coast. But, everyone from Key West to Cape Cod will need to monitor the system closely over the next 5 to 10 days. See the Weather Xtreme video for more graphics and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

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