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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Category: Alabama’s Weather

Rain By Late Tomorrow Afternoon

| 3:53 pm December 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: The sky is generally cloudy across the great state of Alabama this afternoon, and there is very little action on radar… just a few sprinkles over the eastern counties. Temperatures are generally in the low 50s.

Clouds will linger tonight and tomorrow, and with short wave energy approaching from the west, rain will advance into Alabama from the southwest during the afternoon. The rain will be most widespread tomorrow night; the latest model guidance suggests the higher rain totals will come over South Alabama, where one inch is likely. Up our way, places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden can expect around 1/2 inch of rain. The prime window for the wet weather will come from about 3:00 p.m. tomorrow through 9:00 a.m. Saturday.

The air will be cool and stable, and there is no risk of severe weather, and we probably won’t have much thunder. We expect a high in the low 50s tomorrow, and mid to upper 50s Saturday.

Sunday looks like a dry day with a comfortable afternoon; the GFS is printing a high of 63 degrees with a little sun through the clouds. A wave in the Gulf will bring the potential for a little light rain to East Alabama late Sunday night and Monday morning; best chance of rain will be along and east of U.S. 431.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: Monday and Tuesday will feature very pleasant afternoons with highs up in the low to mid 60s. But, a cold front will move into Alabama with rain and thunderstorms likely late Tuesday into Tuesday night. A surface low over Tennessee Tuesday evening will deepen rapidly as it moves northeast, and with good upper support we could very well see a few strong thunderstorms around here, but at this point the chance of organized severe weather looks low with very limited instability values.

Wednesday (Christmas Eve) will be colder; clouds linger much of the day with cool north breeze and a high in the upper 40s. A little wrap around moisture could bring a few sprinkles or flurries to far North Alabama Wednesday morning, but for now it looks very insignificant (sorry, snow fans).

Christmas Day on Thursday looks very nice with a good supply of sunshine. We start the day near the freezing mark, down in the low 30s, but rise into the mid 50s by afternoon. Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Had a great time today visiting with the third graders at Cherokee Bend Elementary School in Mountain Brook… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Wet Beginning To The Weekend

| 6:35 am December 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: At daybreak we have some rain falling over the Tennessee Valley region of extreme North Alabama; even a few reports of sleet mixed in with the rain around Elkmont and Cloverdale. This will stay generally north of a line from Sulligent to Jasper to Oneonta to Gadsden…

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Today will be generally cloudy with a high not too far from the 50 degree mark. We note the average high for December 18 (for Birmingham) is 55 degrees.

WET START TO THE WEEKEND: A southwest flow aloft ahead of an upper trough in the southern branch of the jet stream will keep clouds over Alabama tonight and tomorrow, and with the approach of the main system rain will move in from the southwest during the day tomorrow. The places like Birmingham, Anniston, Gadsden, and Tuscaloosa, the primary threat of wet weather will come from about 2:00 p.m. tomorrow through 10:00 a.m. Saturday. The latest model runs have trended with a more southerly track to the main surface low, which should keep the heavier rain totals over South Alabama. Up our way, rain amounts should be somewhere in the 1/2 to 1 inch range. While some thunder is possible, there is no risk of severe weather for the northern two-thirds of the state.

Sunday looks like a dry day with a high in the 50s, but clouds could linger much of the day as another wave of low pressure forms in the northern Gulf of Mexico. As that wave moves northeast, it looks like we will need to introduce a chance of light rain Sunday night, mainly over the eastern half of the state. That batch of rain will end early Monday morning as the low moves on to the northeast.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: A cold front will bring a band of rain and thunderstorms to the state Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night with a rapidly deepening surface low just to the north. We might see a few strong storms Tuesday evening, but at this point it looks like the instability values will be insufficient for a severe weather problem. Then, on Wednesday (Christmas Eve), the day will be breezy and colder with lingering clouds and a high in the 40s. There could be a touch of drizzle, or a few light flurries over the Tennessee Valley Wednesday morning, but the deeper moisture will be long gone by then, and precipitation should not be significant.

Christmas Day looks pretty decent with a good supply of sunshine; we start the day with a light freeze (lows between 28 and 32), and then we rise into the low 50s Thursday afternoon.

And, another wave has the potential to bring some rain back into the state Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be doing my last weather program of 2014 today at Cherokee Bend Elementary School in Mountain Brook… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Good Soaking Beginning Friday Afternoon

| 3:38 pm December 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

VARIABLE CLOUDS: Some North/Central Alabama communities are in bright sunshine this afternoon with temperatures in the low 50s, some places are dealing with a cloud over with temperatures in the 40s. No rain on radar, and the low levels remain dry.

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Not much change in our weather tomorrow; mixed sun and clouds with a high in the low 50s for most communities. We might consider a small risk of a shower as moisture levels begin to slowly rise.

RAIN RETURNS: A rather dynamic weather system will impact Alabama as the weekend begins. Rain will spread into the state from the southwest Friday afternoon, becoming widespread Friday night. SPC has a “marginal risk” of severe weather up for the western and central Gulf Coast, but even there instability values are marginal. No severe weather is expected over the northern two-thirds of Alabama, although some thunder is certainly possible.

The rain will end from west to east during the midday hours Saturday; rain amounts will average one inch, with potential for a little more over West Alabama. Then, we expect partial clearing Saturday night as drier air works into the state.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: These two days look dry and pleasant with a partly sunny sky both days and a high close to 60 degrees.

ACTIVE PATTERN BEFORE CHRISTMAS: Clouds thicken on Tuesday, and we will forecast a good chance of rain by Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night as a strong cold front approaches. The new high resolution parallel GFS model has a 993 mb low near Nashville Tuesday night, suggesting we might even have some risk of strong thunderstorms; that will all depend on the amount of instability available, which is always questionable this time of the year. We will watch model trends in coming days.

Then, on Wednesday (Christmas Eve), the weather turns sharply colder and blustery in the wake of the cold front. The day looks mostly cloudy, windy, and cold with temperatures having a hard time getting out of the low to mid 40s. A very deep surface low (960 mb) is forecast to form just north of Buffalo, and moisture wrapping around that could squeeze out a few flurries or sprinkles during the day Wednesday. If we do see flurries, they shouldn’t amount to anything significant with surface temperatures well above freezing and very limited moisture.

CHRISTMAS DAY: For Alabama, the day looks dry. We begin with a morning low down in the upper 20s, followed by an afternoon high in the low 50s with a good supply of sunshine. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be at the Tots for Tots campaign wrap-up this evening at Legacy BBQ on Highway 150 in Hoover… on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5 and 6:00… then back in the studio at 10:00. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Rain Moves Back In By Friday Afternoon

| 6:20 am December 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL AND DRY: Not much change in the Alabama weather situation today; temperatures will be a little cooler with a high between 50 and 55 degrees for most places. The air stays dry, and we will enjoy a decent amount of sunshine through scattered clouds. Pretty much the same situation tomorrow; we might consider a slight risk of a shower during the afternoon as moisture levels rise, but for now we won’t mention it in the forecast.

WET WEATHER RETURNS: A significant storm system will bring rain into Alabama as the weekend begins. Rain will move in from the southwest Friday afternoon, and a widespread, soaking rain is likely Friday night. The guys at SPC has a “marginal” severe weather risk defined for the Gulf Coast region just south of the projected surface low track, but we do not expect any severe weather problems for the northern two-thirds of Alabama.

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The rain will end from west to east during the midday hours Saturday; average rain amounts of one inch are likely, with potential for heavier totals in a few places. The sky will clear Saturday night as dry air returns to the state, and Sunday will be a dry, pleasant day with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the upper 50s.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: Monday will stay rain-free with a high well into the 50s, but a cold front will bring rain back into the state late Tuesday and Tuesday night. A little thunder is possible, but again no severe weather is expected with a stable airmass in place.

Colder air blows into the state on Christmas Eve (Wednesday); the last few global model runs have come in colder, but this is not cross-polar air. We project a high in the mid 40s Wednesday with a chilly north wind of 10-20 mph. There could be a few snow flurries Wednesday morning over the northern quarter of Alabama in the colder air, but the deeper moisture will be long gone, and for now it doesn’t look like anything significant (sorry, for those of you dreaming of a you know what).

Christmas Day on Thursday looks dry with a cold morning… temperatures should be in the 20s early in the day, then we rise into the low 50s  by afternoon with a partly to mostly sunny sky.

Another shot of colder air will arrive Friday, and for now it looks like that surface front will come with no rain. Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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TOYS FOR TOTS MARATHON: I will be live at Legacy BBQ on Highway 150 in Hoover today on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00 as we wrap up the annual 26 hour Toys for Tots marathon… please consider coming by at any time today and bringing a new, unwrapped toy. The U.S. Marines will be delivering the toys to families in need next week. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Rain Returns Late In The Week

| 4:15 pm December 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL AND DRY THROUGH MID-WEEK: Alabama’s weather won’t change much through Thursday. Dry and cool; highs in the 50s, lows in the 30s, right at seasonal averages for the middle part of December. We expect a mix of sun and clouds both days; we might consider a slight risk of a shower Thursday afternoon as moisture begins to return, but for now the chance of any one spot getting wet looks very small.

NEXT RAIN EVENT: Clouds will thicken during the day Friday, and rain will move into Alabama from the southwest Friday afternoon. That rain becomes widespread Friday night and into at least a part of the day Saturday as a surface low moves across South Alabama. At this time we expect rain amounts close to one inch, and no threat of severe weather. The rain will end from west to east Saturday afternoon as the low moves northeast into Georgia. Afternoon highs Friday and Saturday should remain in the 50s.

Sunday will be a dry day for the state, with sunshine through scattered clouds and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: Dry weather continues Monday with a partly sunny sky and a high between 55 and 60. A cold front will pass through the state late Tuesday and Tuesday night, but with limited moisture it looks like rain amounts will be very light and spotty; the system is a “clipper” that originates in Canada, and rarely brings deep moisture.

Wednesday looks colder and dry with a high between 45 and 49 degrees, then for Christmas Day on Thursday expect a partly sunny sky with a high in the 50s. For now we see no reason to forecast any chance of precipitation; sorry snow fans. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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TOYS FOR TOTS: Our annual 26 hour final drive begins this evening; we are at Legacy BBQ on Highway 150, just west of the Galleria; please consider bringing a new, unwrapped toy by to help local families in need. It all wraps up tomorrow at 6:00… I will be there at 4, 5, 6, and 10:00 live on ABC 33/40 tonight.

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Dry And Cool Through Mid-Week

| 6:18 am December 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRIER AIR RETURNS TO ALABAMA: Showers this morning are now generally east of I-65, and south of I-85, with a clearing sky over the northern half of the state.  We project a partly sunny sky today and tomorrow with highs in the 50s, right at seasonal averages for mid-December in Alabama. Moisture levels begins to rise Thursday, and we will bring in a small risk of a shower, but much of the day should be dry.

NEXT RAIN EVENT: It comes as the weekend begins. A fairly vigorous wave will push rain in Alabama Friday afternoon, becoming widespread Friday night into Saturday morning. The latest GFS moves the surface low through South Alabama, meaning no severe weather worries for the northern two-thirds of the state. But, it should be a good rain event with amounts around one inch likely; some spots could see a little more. The rain will end from west to east during the midday hours Saturday, followed by drier air Saturday night and Sunday. Highs stay in the 50s over the weekend.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The weather here looks pretty quiet for now. A cold front will pass through Tuesday night or early Wednesday (December 23-24), and that might bring a shower or two, but at this moment it doesn’t look like a big rain event. Most of Christmas Eve looks dry, but chilly with a high in the mid to upper 40s. And, Christmas Day on Thursday (December 25) looks dry with a high in the 50s. Sorry, snow fans. See the Weather Xtreme video for a day to day walk through of the weather we expect next week.

It does look like the southern stream will be pretty active over the last week of the month; the 06Z GFS shows a significant rain/storm event here around December 27.

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ON THIS DATE 14 YEARS AGO: An EF-4 tornado tore through the southern part of the city of Tuscaloosa, killing 11 people and injuring many more.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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Don’t forget our annual Toys for Tots 26 hour marathon begins today at 4:00… I will be at Legacy BBQ on Highway 150 in Hoover; please take a few minutes and bring a new, unwrapped toy by for families in need; the U.S. Marines will deliver the thousands of toys to these families right before Christmas next week. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Rain At Times Through Tonight

| 3:27 pm December 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Showers are little ahead of schedule this afternoon; much of Central and West Alabama are wet at mid-afternoon…

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Occasional showers will continue tonight, ending after midnight in most places with rain amounts generally under 1/2 inch. Then, the sky will become partly sunny during the day tomorrow as drier air enters the state.  We expect a high tomorrow in the mid to upper 50s, about average for mid-December in Alabama.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Wednesday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds, and a high in the mid 50s. Clouds thicken Thursday as moist air begins to return, and we will mention just a chance of a shower Thursday afternoon; nothing especially widespread. The high Thursday afternoon will hold in the mid 50s.

WET WEATHER RETURNS AS THE WEEKEND BEGINS: A significant storm system in the southern branch of the jet stream will impact Alabama with rain, beginning at some point during the day Friday. The rain become more widespread Friday night, and should end during the day Saturday as a surface low moves away from the state. The forecast surface low track, right across Central Alabama, suggests there will be no risk of severe weather, although some thunder is certainly possible. Rain amounts should average one inch, with potential for more in a few spots, especially over Northwest Alabama.

Drier air returns Saturday night, and Sunday will be rain-free with a partly sunny and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: A wave of low pressure is expected to form in the western Gulf of Mexico Sunday night; the 12Z GFS keeps the rain with this feature south of the Gulf Coast, over the Gulf. One way or another it should not impact North or Central Alabama, and at this point our weather looks dry Monday and Tuesday with seasonal temperatures; highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.

An active southern branch of the jet stream is expected to set up later in the week, and a number of global model runs have suggested we might have some rain to deal with on Christmas Eve, Wednesday December 24, followed by a cold and dry Christmas Day. But, there is no way to resolve timing this far in advance. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

It does look like colder weather will impact the Deep South over the final week of December.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Showers Move Into Alabama Tonight

| 6:27 am December 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD START: Another sub-freezing morning for East Alabama; Vic Bell at Black Creek reported a low of 23 degrees early this morning; places like Anniston, Gadsden, and Fort Payne are in the upper 20s at daybreak. Most communities over the western two-thirds of the state are in the 30s.

Clouds will slowly increase today ahead of a storm system across the Southern Plains, and a few showers could enter West Alabama this afternoon with temperatures rising into the 60s. The best chance of showers will come tonight, from roughly 6 p.m. through 4 a.m. tomorrow. Moisture is limited, and the air is stable, so rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch for most places. No risk of severe weather, and probably not much thunder.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: The sky becomes partly sunny tomorrow as drier air works into the state. The weather will be a bit cooler, with a high in the mid to upper 50s. Wednesday will stay dry with a partly sunny sky and a high in the low to mid 50s.

LATER THIS WEEK: We will introduce the risk of a shower during the day Thursday as moisture begins to return, but rain amounts should be pretty light and spotty. A significant wave will bring the next band of organized rain into our state late Friday, Friday night, and early Saturday. The main window for the most widespread rain will come from roughly 6:00 p.m. Friday through 9:00 a.m. Saturday as a surface low moves right over North Alabama. This system will have good upper support, but at the moment it looks like the air will be too stable for any real severe weather threat.

It certainly has the potential to bring a significant amount of rain; for now we figure most of North/Central Alabama will see one inch, with potential for more in spots, especially over the northwest counties of the state.

REST OF THE WEEKEND: Drier air begins to work into the state Saturday afternoon, and we might see a little sun with a high close to 60 degrees. And, at this point, Sunday looks dry with a mix of sun and clouds and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The GFS shows a southern stream system that has potential to bring rain to the Gulf Coast region early in the week; best chance of wet weather Monday will be south of Montgomery, and especially near the coast. For now it looks like the rain will stay south of places like Birmingham, Anniston, Tuscaloosa, and Gadsden.

Global models are also hinting at some potential for another wet weather system on Christmas Eve; snow lovers love the 06Z GFS which hints at wintry precipitation for parts of North Alabama, but this is nothing but pure voodoo at this point. Take a few minutes and watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details on long range ideas. Seems like a pattern change is very possible toward the end of the month, but nobody knows the details for now.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!