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Category: Alabama’s Weather

Active Weather Pattern

| 1:36 pm February 1, 2015

A few forecast notes early this Sunday afternoon…

*The most widespread rain early this afternoon is over the eastern half of Alabama…

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*Another organized wave of rain and thunderstorms will roll through the state later this afternoon and tonight; SPC has even defined a “marginal” severe weather threat for parts of West Alabama…

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The air is cool and pretty stable, so the risk of severe storms is pretty small, but some locally heavy rain is certainly possible with the heavier thunderstorms. Rain will begin to fade away after midnight tonight.

*Tomorrow will be breezy and much colder; a few morning snow flurries are possible, but no impact with surface temperatures above freezing and the deeper moisture off to the east. We won’t make it past the low 40s tomorrow… many communities north of Birmingham will stay in the 30s all day.

*There is very little confidence in the specific forecast of the next weather system to impact Alabama Wednesday night and Thursday. Some global runs have hinted at the chance of a little snow over the northern quarter of the state Thursday morning, but there has been no good consistency in this idea. Rumors you might be hearing of a “big snowstorm” in Alabama Thursday are all bogus.

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*If you really want to see some snow, head north. Chicago is under a blizzard warning, and the heavy snow will move east through Cleveland, Pittsburgh, New York City, and Boston over the next 36 hours.

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radar

Rain Today; Cold Tomorrow

| 7:34 am February 1, 2015

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*** No Weather Xtreme Video this morning ***

Grab the rain gear heading out the door this morning. The month of February will start off on a wet note for us in Central Alabama. Low pressure moving east will be the culprit behind widespread showers we are seeing currently moving into the the state. Rain is falling across West Alabama and it is pushing east. Through out the day, we will see periods of rain and we will likely hear a few rumbles of thunder. The rain will persist into the overnight hours. Highs this afternoon should once again be in the upper 50s.

The latest model output for rainfall amounts, we see much of Alabama will see rainfall totals up to one inch. There will likely be some places that pass the one inch mark and approach an inch and a half. For the most part, many of us will certainly see a nice soaking rain the the next 24 hours.

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Looking at the weather maps, it is hard not to notice all the winter storm watches and warning to the north. A wide swath of accumulating snow will extend from Nebraska to New England and this is were we are seeing these alerts. Just to the south of this area of snow, marginal temps will lead to the possibility of a transition zone of sleet and freezing rain. Cities that will be seeing the snow are Des Moines, Chicago, Detroit, Indianapolis, Cleveland, New York, and Boston. Up to a foot of snow will be possible in these areas through Monday. Early this morning, we even see blizzard warning have been issued for the Chicago area.

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For the week ahead, tomorrow will be a very cold and it will be feeling very much like winter. It will be a cold day, with temps in the lower 40s. Winds will be briskly blowing from the northwest at 10-20 mph making it very chilly. The sky should be clearing, and we should see a mainly sunny afternoon. Then for Monday night, the winds will subside and we will see a bitterly cold overnight with many of us in the lower to mid-20s. Sun returns for Tuesday, but then we see rain chances increases for Wednesday and into Thursday. As the rain leaves Thursday another shot of cold air arrives for Friday. It will certainly be a roller coaster of temperatures this week.

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Saturday Afternoon Update

| 3:09 pm January 31, 2015

Much of Central Alabama continues to see more sun than clouds, but looking at the latest visible satellite imagery, clouds are increasing to the west and making their way east. By late this evening, and especially overnight, the sky will become mostly cloudy across the state. Before then, we continue to see seasonal temps as many locations in and throughout Alabama are into the mid and upper 50s this afternoon. With the increasing clouds, we should see some very nice colors this evening as the sun sets.

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Not much showing up currently in Alabama. There are a few radar returns stretching from Cullman County up into the Tennessee Valley, moving northward. As we expand out across the Southeast, showers are developing in the Mississippi Valley and there is a larger expanse of rain across Texas and Oklahoma, and that is heading our way. Rain will begin across Alabama on Sunday by mid to late morning. Grab the rain gear heading out the door in the morning. The rain will continue through the afternoon and nighttime hours. Some thunder is possible in a few spots, but no severe weather. Most of us will see a soaking rain as rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely. The rain will taper off late Sunday night.

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Latest Drought Monitor

| 1:49 pm January 31, 2015

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Much of the state of California continues to suffer from exceptional drought conditions. In Texas, recent rains continue to help conditions improve. The exceptional drought conditions there are only affecting northern portions of Texas and into Oklahoma.

For Alabama, locations across the Tennessee Valley continue to be in the best shape with no drought conditions being reported, except in the northeastern corner of Jackson and DeKalb counties. Abnormally dry conditions are affecting 38.94% of the state this week, which is down from 42.60% of the state last week. Also last week, moderate drought was occurring in 3.05% of the state, this week, it decreased to 1.63% of the state. These conditions are south of the Interstate 10 corridor in Baldwin County.

The monitor was released on Thursday and with additional beneficial rains in the forecast tomorrow, we should see improving conditions by the release of next week’s monitor.

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Enjoy Today; Rain Tomorrow

| 7:20 am January 31, 2015

*** No Weather Xtreme Video this morning ***

Hard to believe we are already wrapping up the first month of 2015. We are starting the day off rather chilly across the area. Temps early this morning were in the 20s for most locations in Central Alabama. Over the last few hours, we have seen the winds begin to mix up the atmosphere, and temps have increased into the 30s for much of Central Alabama. It is a cold morning, so you will certainly need the jackets heading out the door this morning. We are seeing mainly sunny conditions and as the sun continues to shine, we will see our temps on the rise. By this afternoon, temps should climb into the mid to upper 50s across Central Alabama. Certainly enjoy today, as the weather turns rather wet tomorrow.

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A trough is swinging across the eastern half of the U.S. tonight and tomorrow. Our flow becomes southerly, and we will see clouds increasing by late today and even a few showers will be possible. Rain will become widespread by tomorrow and Sunday looks to be rather wet for the entire state. For tomorrow, expect periods of rain, and as we look at the latest QPF output below, many locations across the state are forecast to receive one-half to one inch of rain. Of course some locations will receive more. Nevertheless, you will need the rain gear for the second half of the weekend.

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As this system pulls away from the state Monday we could see a few flurries where there will be some lingering moisture. However, the main headline from Monday will be the colder and very blustery day that is expected. The sky will be clearing but temps will be dropping and it looks as though temps will struggle to make it into the lower 40s for highs. Wind chills for most of Monday will likely be at or below freezing. For the rest of next week, we will see another rain event Wednesday into Thursday and it will be a cold rain. Not expecting any wintry precip as temps will be in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Then as that system exits stage right, it appears we will see a very cold end to the week as a quick hitting Arctic air plunge moves into the Deep South. The meteogram below is based off the GFS and by next Friday, it appears temperatures will struggle to reach the 40s. Keep in mind there is still a lot of winter left and I don’t think we are done with the bitterly cold air just yet. Have a great day!!!

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Rain Returns To Alabama Sunday

| 3:54 pm January 30, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL MID-WINTER DAY: Despite maximum available sunshine, temperatures are only in the 48-53 degree range across much of North/Central Alabama this afternoon. A pretty decent freeze is ahead tonight; lows early tomorrow will drop down into the 25-29 degree range.

Tomorrow will be another cool, dry day with a partly sunny sky and a high in the mid 50s.

WET WEATHER RETURNS: Rain will begin across Alabama on Sunday by mid to late morning… continuing through the afternoon and nighttime hours. Some thunder is possible in a few spots; rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely. The rain will taper off late Sunday night.

FLURRIES EARLY MONDAY? As the surface low deepens and moves northeast of Alabama, and colder air advects into the state, we will continue to mention the chance of a few snow flurries Monday morning. No impact is expected with surface temperatures above freezing, and the deeper moisture off to the east. The sky will begin to clear Monday afternoon, but the day will be blustery and cold with a high only in the low to mid 40s along with a chilly north wind.

Tuesday morning will be cold, and a low in the 20-25 degree range. Then, the day Tuesday will be sunny with a high close to 50 degrees.

MORE RAIN: The next wave in the southern branch of the jet stream promises to bring more rain back to the state on Wednesday, followed by colder and drier air Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting the 2nd graders at Bluff Park Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00; Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Cooler Today; Rain By Sunday

| 6:17 am January 30, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUNNY, BUT COOL: A cold front passed through Alabama last night; many noticed the strong north winds that developed right behind the boundary. Thanks to that front today will be noticeably cooler with a high around 50 degrees; that is about 15 degrees cooler than the highs we enjoyed yesterday. We note Tuscaloosa soared to 72 degrees yesterday, not bad for late January in Alabama. The air over Alabama is very dry, and we expect sunshine in full supply today.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Dry weather continues Saturday with a partly sunny sky; we start the day in the 25-29 degree range, but rise into the mid 50s by afternoon. Clouds thicken late in the day and Saturday night, ahead of a storm system to the west. Then, rain returns Sunday with a surface low passing just northwest of Alabama. The rain should begin by mid-morning, and continue at times through Sunday night. A few thunderstorms could be in the mix, but with a stable airmass we don’t expect any severe weather problems. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 3/4 inch look likely, with isolated amounts to one inch.

NEXT WEEK: Sharply colder air moves into Alabama Monday following the rain, and we will continue to mention a chance of snow flurries Monday morning in the cold air. No impact, however, with temperatures above freezing at the surface, and the deeper moisture off to the east. Monday’s high will be in the low to mid 40s with a strong north wind to make it feel colder.

A pretty significant freeze is likely at daybreak Tuesday, with a low in the 20-25 degree range. Tuesday will be dry with a high close to 50 degrees.

Then, the next wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will bring the next chance of rain Wednesday; we don’t have model consistency in this feature; some global model runs keep the best chance of rain over South Alabama, others show a good wet-down for the entire state. And, the European model wants to hold off the best chance of rain until Wednesday night and maybe Thursday. For now we will just mention a chance of rain for the entire state Wednesday and we can make adjustments as needed.

Then, another shot of colder air moves in late in the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
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I have a weather program today at Bluff Park Elementary in Hoover… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Cooler Air Returns Tomorrow

| 3:59 pm January 29, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MILD WINTER DAY: Temperatures, as expected, have reached the 60s across much of North and Central Alabama this afternoon; Tuscaloosa has actually hit 70 degrees at 3:00 p.m. There is some filtered sunshine, and no rain on the radar. We will maintain a small risk of a shower early tonight with a cold front passing through, but many communities won’t see a drop.

TOMORROW/SATURDAY: The weather will be noticeably cooler tomorrow with a high close to 50 degrees, but the sky will be bright and sunny. Saturday will be dry, with a partly sunny sky and a high in the mid 50s. Clouds begin to thicken late Saturday afternoon and Saturday night ahead of the next storm system in the southern branch of the jet stream.

RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY: We will forecast periods of rain statewide, and maybe even a thunderstorm or two as a surface low passes just to the north. The latest QPF numbers have come down a bit; totals of 1/2 inch are likely, with isolated amounts to one inch. Sunday’s high will be in the low 50s.

COLDER AIR MONDAY: A sharp change to colder weather is likely Monday following the rain; some places north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 30s with strong north wind, and we will maintain the chance of snow flurries Monday morning over the northern third of Alabama. The flurries should be a low or no impact event with surface temperatures above freezing, and the deeper moisture east of Alabama by then.

NEXT WEEK: Tuesday will be dry with a cold morning; lows will be in the 20-25 degree range. Then, clouds return Tuesday night, and more rain is likely Wednesday. Again we see evidence that a few snow flurries are possible as the rain ends late Wednesday night over North Alabama, but no significant impact is expected. Another shot of colder air arrives Thursday.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing the kids today at Knollwood Christian School in Sylacauga… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….