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Category: Alabama’s Weather

A Nice Saturday Afternoon

| 2:48 pm February 28, 2015

Overall, it is not a bad Saturday afternoon of weather in Central Alabama. We are seeing more sun than clouds, and that sunshine is warming things up this afternoon. There are clouds building back in over the Wiregrass Region of the state in the southeastern part of the state, and these are moving north. Elsewhere, there are a few areas of clouds, but for the most part, most of us are seeing a gorgeous afternoon.

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Where the sun is out, we are seeing mild temperatures for many locations as there are more 60s on the maps this afternoon. We do note a couple of things. It remains cooler in areas of the Tennessee Valley even though they are seeing plenty of sun, but some of the areas still have snow on the ground. The snow should finish melting away today, especially with temps in the 50s and 60s. Also, where there is cloud cover is in the Wiregrass Region, temps are being held down here as well.

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Heading into the overnight hours, we will see the clouds build in across the rest of state. Those clouds will prevent temps from dropping so low tonight, and many spots will stay in the lower 40s for overnight lows. Enjoy the warm weather and sunshine today; we are in for another active week of weather ahead.

Watching Wed Night/Thursday

| 12:07 pm February 28, 2015

After a review of morning model runs, concern is growing up over another winter storm situation for Alabama Wednesday night into Thursday. It is very important to note that at this time confidence in any specific solution is low. Things could change dramatically over the next two days and we could wind up with simply a cold rain with no ice or snow issues at all. That is a very real possibility. 

However… It is possible that a significant winter weather event could unfold for parts of Alabama, if not much of the state.

Unfortunately, this model solution from the GFS suggests that much of the precipitation will fall in the form of freezing rain across North Alabama… If indeed this is the case, that could lead to an ice storm. Or, precipitation could fall mostly in the form of rain or snow. We just don’t know what this point; it is too early to tell.

But there is enough confidence now to simply put the idea on the table, and to let you know of the possibility of some winter weather problems for Alabama Wednesday night into Thursday. Let’s hope this all goes away and we just wind up with rain. We will keep you posted in coming days…

Warmer Weather Returns

| 7:15 am February 28, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

With February shaping up to be a rather chilly month, we should see our weather warm nicely into the 50s today, more typical for late February than we’ve been seeing. Clouds will persist for much of the day though we could see a few peeks of the sun during the afternoon. Radar was picking up a few returns this morning, but most of the light precipitation was not reaching the ground. Our Skywatchers in Northeast Alabama were reporting some very light snow.

A large surface high pressure to our northeast will help to create wedge conditions today and Sunday, but the upper flow becomes more zonal to southwesterly, so we should see the weather warm up a good deal with highs well into the 60s by Tuesday. A strong short wave will traverse the Ohio River Valley on Wednesday and Thursday and this will bring a cold front through Central Alabama with rain likely on Wednesday and temperatures dropping back into the 30s on Thursday.

The upper flow goes nearly zonal by Saturday so we should see temperatures recover nicely with readings back into the 50s by Saturday.

The pattern remains pretty active out into voodoo country with a series of short waves bringing us rain chances around the 10th and the 15th.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted first thing on Sunday morning. Enjoy the warmer weather today and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Warmer Days Ahead

| 3:34 pm February 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: The sky has become sunny across the great state of Alabama; temperatures are mostly in the low 40s. The snow cover over North Alabama, while fading under the February sun, still shows nicely on visible satellite imagery this afternoon…

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OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the 52-55 degree range. Then, clouds increase Sunday, and we could see a little scattered light rain. Any rain Sunday should be light and spotty; a decent part of the day will be dry. The “wedge” could bring colder air into far East Alabama; communities near the Georgia border could hold in the 40s all day, but for the rest of the state the high will be in the 50s.

ACTIVE WEATHER NEXT WEEK: A cold front will be just north of the state Monday, and we will forecast occasional showers with a high at or just over 60 degrees. Then, on Tuesday, a deep surface low passes northwest of Alabama, and we will mention a chance of showers and storms for the northern half of the state. It will be a warm day with a high up in the low 70s… it still looks like the better risk of any severe thunderstorms will be north and west of Alabama.

WINTER WEATHER MISCHIEF? The 12Z GFS shows the cold front passing through Alabama Wednesday morning; the day will feature falling temperatures and periods of rain. And, like we really need this, it continues to hint at some potential for a “wintry mix” Wednesday night.

thu-12a

While this is not exactly “voodoo”, there is no way to resolve details of this potential so far in advance, and we might escape with no winter precipitation at all. We will keep a close eye on it over the weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama rolls along; we will be in Hanceville next Tuesday evening. Just drop by anytime from 4:00 until 6:30… you can watch me do weather live on ABC 33/40, get some free stuff to take home, and have a chance to win several NOAA Weather Radios we will be giving away. If you need your weather radio programmed or checked, bring it by and we will be glad to help.

FS FIRST ALERT SCHEDULE MARCH 3

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had great visits today at Oak Grove Elementary in Jefferson County, and West Blocton Elementary in Bibb County… be looking for those kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Looks Like a Chilly February

| 9:05 am February 27, 2015

February is rapidly coming to a close, and based on the first 26 days of the month, February, 2015, will go in the record books as one of our colder Februarys since 1900. These numbers are preliminary since we have to include today and tomorrow, but for the first 26 days, the average monthly highs was 50.0 degrees which would be the 13th coldest February. The monthly low temperature was not quite as bad with 28.9 degrees which would make it the 26th coldest February since 1900.

I’m definitely ready for some warmer weather!

-Brian-

Dry Through Tomorrow

| 6:26 am February 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD, DRY FRIDAY: A secondary surge of colder air is moving into Alabama today; the high will be around 40, and many communities north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 30s. We expect intervals of sunshine, and the day will be dry.

OUR WEEKEND: Saturday will be warmer; we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the 52 to 55 degree range. Still below average (the average high for February 28 is 62)… but at least we are moving in the right direction. Sunday will be mostly cloudy day with a chance of scattered light rain as moisture returns. Nothing heavy or widespread, but no doubt some rain is possible during the day. Also, a CAD (cold air damming) setup could bring colder air into East Alabama; the high Sunday will vary from the mid 40s near the Georgia border to the upper 50s near the Mississippi border.

NEXT WEEK: The wedge breaks down Monday and our high will be close to 60. A cold front approaching from the north should bring occasional showers; maybe some thunder. Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week as an upper ridge creeps in here from the south; the GFS is now printing a high of 74 for Birmingham. A deep surface low will run through the Great Plains; we will need to monitor for the potential of strong/severe thunderstorms, but at the moment it looks like the best dynamic forcing will be a little north and west of our state. Best chance of showers/storms Tuesday will come over the northern counties; South Alabama will be dry thanks to the ridge, and communities south of Montgomery could very well approach 80 degrees.

The front creeps through Wednesday as the chance of rain continues; some global model runs have suggested a pretty good wave will run along the front, enhancing the coverage of rain. I figure rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches are likely Monday through Wednesday.

Much colder air returns Thursday; if you believe the 06Z GFS we won’t get of the 30s, and it even hints at some risk of wintry precipitation early in the day. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2015022700_min_max_16

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have weather programs today at Oak Grove Elementary in Jefferson County, and West Blocton Elementary in Bibb County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!