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Category: Alabama’s Weather

Sunny, but Hot

| 2:59 pm August 1, 2015

We continue to see ample sunshine and nearly clouds free conditions because of the drier air that remains in place across the state.

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This afternoon we are seeing lots of 90s on the maps across the state. Dew points this afternoon are in the lower 60s which is making the heat much more tolerable.

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Radars across the state are clear, and though the chance for rain is not zero, I think most locations will be staying dry today, except for portions of Southeast Alabama.

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FOR TONIGHT: A clear and pleasant night is ahead. After seeing those highs in the 90s today, once the sun sets, the temps will be heading down quickly because of the dry air. We are once again, expecting that hint of fall by tomorrow morning as most locations across Central Alabama will see lows in the 60s as we look at forecast model output below.

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SUNNY SUNDAY: It will be a rinse and repeat kind of forecast the next few days. Tomorrow will feature an abundance of sunshine, and after starting the day in the 60s, we are forecasting highs to once again return to the mid-90s for many spots across Central Alabama. This dry spell shows how efficiently the dry air heats up and cools off, by the wide diurnal temperature range we are seeing each day.

How Low?

| 8:11 am August 1, 2015

The 67F at the Birmingham Airport this morning is not close to a record, but we will take it as it represents a low that ranks in the coolest 15% of August 1st in the Birmingham climate period of record.

POSITIVELY FALLISH: Don’t get to say that too any times across Alabama in early August. 55F at Fort Payne and 59 at Cullman are the coolest first order station reports we can find this morning.

DON’T GET USED TO IT: It won’t last very long, as is often the case. By this afternoon, temperatures will be in the lower to middle 90s with all the dry air in place, and lows tonight will have a hard time dropping below 70F.

DID SOMEONE SAY DRY? The evening balloon sounding at Birmingham last night registered a preciptable water value of 0.67 inches. This is the third lowest July value ever observed in Central Alabama. Compare this to the Wednesday evening value of 2.03 inches, which is in the 90% percentile for July values here. Showers and storms on Friday were limited to Southeast Alabama, which was still in the moisture along and ahead of the front. You CAN get used to that, because It will be nearly impossible to scare up even an isolated shower north of US-80/I-85 through Sunday. And the rain chances Monday and Tuesday will be less than 10 percent in this area as well.

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WHEN RETURNETH THE RAIN? Scattered showers and storms will return to their rightful places in the firmament over Alabama by Wednesday as an upper level trough approaches from the northwest. It will take nearly three days for it to traverse an arc just to our north. As it does it will slowly push a front toward us again. On Wednesday, it will be near Louisville. By Friday, it will have only traveled 175 miles or so to be near Chattanooga. That’s worse than the rate of travel on I-65 after a summer beach week. It will slowly elevate our rain chances into the weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: The weather along the beautiful beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida will be schizophrenic over the next few days with higher rain chances from Destin to the east. Lesser chances will be observed in places like Dauphin Island, Gulf Shores and Pensacola. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner <a href=”http://www.alabamawx.com/?page_id=74617″>here</a>. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHERBRAINS:. We had a great visit with retired NWS Meteorologist in Charge Craig Edwards this week on WeatherBrains. Craig is the on site meteorologist for the Minnesota Twins and was one of the best guests in the show’s history. The Panel was all ears! Check out the weekly netcast that’s all about weather at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live at <a href=”http://live.bigbrainsmedia.com/”>live.bigbrainsmedia.com</a> You can also see the show on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

Rare July Front

| 6:49 am July 31, 2015

Don’t look now, but the models were right. Whoever said that they would believe it when they saw it is having to believe it this morning. A rare July cool front actually made it through Central Alabama. It is pushing offshore of the northern Gulf Coast this morning. In its wake, dewpoints are in the low 60s in many spots in North Alabama and will fall back into the upper 50s today. That will make for magnificently low humidities across the area today.

MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Precipitable water values that were well over two inches just a couple of days about under 1.5 inches today.

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Understand the chance of a shower is not zero, but most of North Alabama will be dry through Sunday. Today will actually be fairly pleasant for the last day of July; we project a mostly sunny sky with a high in the low 90s, and lower humidity levels making the heat a little more tolerable. Any showers or storms will be confined mostly to South Alabama.

FALLISH? We are expecting temperatures to drop down into the mid 60s early tomorrow, and some of the normally cooler pockets across North Alabama might be close to 60 for a little hint of fall. Then, for the weekend the sky will stay mostly sunny tomorrow and Sunday with highs up in the mid 90s. Scattered showers and storms will remain over far South Alabama; the chance of any one spot getting wet tomorrow and Sunday over the northern third of the state is only 2 percent.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change Monday and Tuesday, but showers and storms could increase later in the week around Thursday with a surface front approaching from the north. Highs will hold in the 90s.

AT THE BEACH: Not much change; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through early next week, with an occasional passing storm a good possibility. Highs on the coast will hold in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A weak surface low east of Georgia is moving northeast in the Atlantic, and development is not expected. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, is disorganized, but some slow development is possible over the next few days as it moves to the west. Dry air will hinder things, however.

Showers/Storms South Of I-20

| 3:19 pm July 30, 2015

DRIER AIR MOVING INTO NORTH ALABAMA: As expected, dew points are falling across the northern part of Alabama this afternoon as drier air moves into the state. Scattered showers and thunderstorms have formed, but they are mostly south of I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston).

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Showers and storms across Central and South Alabama will settle down later tonight once the sun goes down.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Understand the chance of a shower is not zero, but most of North Alabama will be dry. Tomorrow will actually be fairly pleasant for the last day of July; we project a mostly sunny sky with a high in the low 90s, and lower humidity levels making the heat a little more tolerable. Any showers or storms will be confined mostly to South Alabama.

We are expecting temperatures to drop down into the mid 60s early Saturday, and some of the normally cooler pockets across North Alabama might be close to 60 for a little hint of fall. Then, for the weekend the sky will stay mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday with highs up in the mid 90s. Scattered showers and storms will remain over far South Alabama; the chance of any one spot getting wet Saturday and Sunday over the northern third of the state is only 2 percent.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change Monday and Tuesday, but showers and storms could increase later in the week around Thursday with a surface front approaching from the north. Highs will hold in the 90… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Not much change; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through early next week, with an occasional passing storm a good possibility. Highs on the coast will hold in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A weak surface low east of Georgia is moving northeast in the Atlantic, and development is not expected. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, is disorganized, but some slow development is possible over the next few days as it moves to the west. Dry air will hinder things, however.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be taking a few days off… Bill Murray will cover the Weather Xtreme video production through early next week… enjoy tomorrow and the weekend!

Drier Air Arrives Tonight

| 6:18 am July 30, 2015

SURFACE FRONT ON THE WAY: Note we don’t call them “cold fronts” in late July in Alabama, but a surface boundary will drop into North Alabama today, and accordingly we believe the highest coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will be south of I-20 (south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). Chance of any one spot getting wet today in that part of the state will be about one in three, but the odds are much lower north of Birmingham, where dew points will begin to fall this afternoon as the drier air arrives. Most communities will see a high up in the mid 90s again today.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The GFS is suggesting dew points will drop into the upper 50s as far south as Birmingham tomorrow, and this dry means showers will be few and far between across the northern half of the state; scattered storms will be primarily over the southern quarter of Alabama. We reach the mid 90s tomorrow, but the lower humidity levels will make the heat a little more tolerable.

Some North Alabama communities could reach the mid 60s early Saturday morning for a little touch of fall.

Then, for the weekend, not much change. Mostly sunny days and fair nights for the northern half of the state with only a very small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm. Scattered storms remain possible across South Alabama. Highs stay in the 90s.

NEXT WEEK: Showers remain very isolated over North/Central Alabama Monday and Tuesday, with a slow increase in coverage over the latter half of the week as deeper moisture returns. Highs will stay in the 90s next week, which is what we expect in early August in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend on the Central Gulf Coast with a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs on the coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s just a few miles inland. Sea water temperatures remain in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A disturbance east of Jacksonville, Florida will move northeast, and no development is expected. And, out in the far East Atlantic, a tropical wave emerged off the coast of Africa yesterday… just a small chance of slow development in coming days as it moves westward. Dry air will be a problem for this wave.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Big Storms Across Alabama

| 3:51 pm July 29, 2015

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

RADAR CHECK: Strong to severe storms have been moving southward across much of Alabama today, with strong gusty winds, very frequent lightning, and torrential rain.

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These showers and storms will die down once the sun goes down later this evening.

TOMORROW: A surface boundary will push into North Alabama, and it could trigger a few storms, but not as many as today, and the more numerous ones will be south of I-20. Where they do form, however, they could be strong, as SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather threat for much of the state. The high tomorrow afternoon should be in the mid 90s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Dry air slips into the northern half of the state, meaning these three days will be mostly dry with only a very small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm. We expect mostly sunny days, fair nights, and slightly lower humidity values. The best chance of scattered storms over the weekend will be over the southern quarter of the state. Highs will remain in the mid 90s, but the lower dew points will make the heat a little more tolerable.

And, the first part of next week looks mostly rain-free with mostly sunny weather continuing Monday and Tuesday; just a slight risk of any one spot getting a storm.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach, but you will have to deal with a few passing thunderstorms from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will stay in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa in the far East Atlantic; no development expected over the next few days as it moves to the west.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…