Category: Alabama’s Weather

Coldest Air So Far This Season By Thursday

| December 6, 2016 @ 3:21 pm

RADAR CHECK: Rain has pulled out of Alabama this afternoon, but clouds linger across much of the state with temperatures in the 50s…

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Tomorrow will a dry and cool day; the sky will be generally cloudy, although the sun could peek out at times. Again, the high will be in the mid 50s.

ARCTIC FRONT ARRIVES THURSDAY: A few light rain showers or sprinkles could move through Thursday morning ahead of the front, but moisture will be very limited, and any precipitation will be pretty much insignificant. The big story is the cold air rushing into the state Thursday with strong north winds of 15-25 mph, gusting at times to 30 mph. We will have a very hard time getting past the low 40s, and the wind will make it feel colder.

Friday will be a brighter day with sunshine returning in full force, but it will be cold. The low early Friday will be in the 20-25 degree range, followed by a high between 37 and 40 degrees. Some places near the Tennessee border could stay below freezing all day.

Then, by early Saturday, we project a low between 18 and 22 degrees for most communities across North/Central Alabama. The record low for December 10 (for Birmingham) is 13 (set in 1995)… that is probably safe.

THE WEEKEND: Saturday will be a sunny day, and warming trend begins with a high in the upper 40s. Then, on Sunday, clouds increase during the day as temperatures reach the 50s. The next wave to the west will bring rain back into the state by Sunday night into Monday morning; the latest global model guidance suggests rain amounts of around 1/2 inch will be likely.

ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT: We are still seeing strong signals that another very cold, Arctic airmass will move into Alabama late next week, Thursday and Friday (December 15-16)… and that one could very well be colder than the one we expect this week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

We stress there is no evidence of any problems with snow, ice, or other winter mischief here in Alabama despite the cold air shots over the next 10 days. As usual, we are seeing wild and crazy Facebook and Internet forecasts that are far from reality from people looking for likes and clicks. Please think before you share.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with he 5th graders at Southside Elementary School in Etowah County… be looking for those kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Just About All Rain Has Moved Out At Midday, But Cloudy Skies Remain

| December 6, 2016 @ 12:05 pm

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A Cloudy And Rainy Midday Out There In Central Alabama
Other than a few sprinkles showing up near Talladega, Anniston, Oxford, and Sylacauga, all of the rain activity associated with the low pressure center that is currently located near Lawrenceburg Tennessee and accompanying front have exited the area. There are a few sprinkles to very light showers located up in the far northeast corner of the state around Scottsboro and Fort Payne, but those will make their way out of the state soon as well. That leaves a decent amount of cloud cover across the area, but there are a few breaks in the clouds that may allow the sun to break through for a few minutes.

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Temperatures across the area at 11:30 AM are mainly in the 50s and 60s from northwest to southeast, with 70s showing up in the extreme southeastern parts of the area. The warm spot at this time is Eufaula at 73 degrees, with he cool spot at Haleyville at 52 degrees.

Birmingham’s Climatology And Records
The normal high for December 6th is 58, while the normal low is 37. The record high for today was set back in 1998 at 78. The record low was set back in 1937 at 14.

For The Rest Of Today
Skies will remain mostly cloudy to cloudy for the remainder of the daytime and evening hours, with a few areas in the extreme eastern parts of the area getting sprinkles to very light showers within the next hour or two. After that, dry conditions will move in, and highs will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s across the area from the northwest to the southeast, with a few upper 60s to low 70s in the extreme southeastern corner of the area. Skies will remain cloudy during the overnight hours, and lows will drop down mostly in the 40s across the area, with the colder spots dipping into the upper 30s.

Wednesday’s Outlook
A mix of sun and clouds can be expected for “Hump Day” across Central Alabama through the duration of the daytime hours, but a strong cold front will move into and across the area during the late evening and overnight areas bringing a slight chance of a few showers. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 50s to low 60s across the area from northwest to southeast, with lows dropping down into the 30s and 40s. Rain totals with the cold front passage will be small, around 1/10 of an inch or less.

Number Of The Day: 5.19
The Weather Factory meteorologist Bill Murray has recorded a rainfall total of 5.19 inches at his residence since Monday. Before that, he had only received 4.82 inches since July 8th when he installed his new rain gauge, including a period of no rain at all from 10/18 to 11/19.

On This Day In 1886
A great snowstorm hit the southern Appalachain Mountains. The three day storm produced 25 inches at Rome GA, 33 inches at Asheville NC, and 42 inches in the mountains. Montgomery AL received a record eleven inches of snow. Columbia SC received one to two inches of sleet.

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Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. This week, the panel will be talking about water, something that we have learned to appreciate even more in the past few weeks. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)

Rain Ends Later Today; Arctic Front Arrives Thursday

| December 6, 2016 @ 6:21 am

RADAR CHECK: We have lingering showers across Alabama early this morning…

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This rain will continue to end from west to east, and most of it will be out of the state by late morning. Clouds linger through the afternoon, and the high today will be in the mid 60s.

Tomorrow looks cool and dry, although we will see more clouds than sun…the high will be in about ten degrees cooler, in the mid 50s.

COLDEST SO FAR: An Arctic front will blow into Alabama Thursday morning; ahead of the front a band of rain showers is likely, but moisture will be limited, and amounts should be 1/4″ or less. The big story is the cold air; following the front’s passage north winds will increase to 15-25 mph with higher gusts, and temperatures won’t get past the low 40s.

Friday will be a sunny but very cold day. The low early Friday morning will be in the 20-25 degree range, and most communities across North/Central Alabama won’t make it out of the 30s during the afternoon. Some places over the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama could stay below freezing all day.

By early Saturday morning, temperatures will drop into the 18-22 degree range. Looks like the record low for December 10, 13 degrees set in 1995, is safe.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a sunny day with a high in the upper 40s as a warming trend begins, but clouds move in Sunday, and some rain could reach North and Central Alabama by Sunday night. The high Sunday will be in the upper 50s.

The European model (ECMWF) holds the rain off until Monday; one way or another this looks like a system that will bring about 1/2″ of rain to the state. And, toward the end of next week there seems to be potential for another shot of cold, Arctic air. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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We note there is NO sign of any snow or ice issues for Alabama for the next ten days based on current model output.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Southside Elementary School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

A Brief Update For Tonight’s Weather

| December 5, 2016 @ 9:10 pm

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Well there is two bits of good news for tonight’s weather. The first good news is that we will receive even more beneficial rainfall to help bring our deficits down. Even though there is a lull in the rainfall across much of the area at this moment, more rain is expected to move in from the west and southwest.

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The second bit of good news is that the SPC has cut the risk areas down a bit from earlier today. Only the southern parts of Barbour, Bullock, and Pike Counties in the southeastern corner of the area remain in the “Slight Risk” for severe storms, with locations in our area south of a line from Auburn to Montgomery to just south of Demopolis in the “Marginal Risk.”

The boundary that is expected to move north as a warm front has not started its move as of yet. With that staying in place, that has kept the convection down near the Gulf Coast, and has allowed temperatures and dew points north of that boundary to be way lower than expected, especially with the amount of precipitation that has fallen already in Central Alabama. There still may be a few thunderstorms with moderate to heavy rainfall, but for nearly the entire Central Alabama area, there will be no severe weather threat through the rest of the evening and the overnight hours.

So bring on the rain, and a few claps of thunder. That will only help me sleep better.

Soaking Rain Tonight; Arctic Blast By Thursday

| December 5, 2016 @ 3:23 pm

RADAR CHECK: Yet another large mass of rain is moving up into North/Central Alabama this afternoon…

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The air is cool and stable with temperatures in the upper 40s and low 50s, meaning we expect no severe weather problems over the northern half of the state tonight.

However, to the south, the air is unstable near the Gulf Coast, and a tornado watch remains in effect until 8:00 p.m. for the broad zone from Mobile Bay to Panama City. In Alabama, only three counties are included… Baldwin, Geneva, and Houston.

SPC maintains the standard “slight risk” of severe storms for South Alabama tonight…

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Additional rain amounts of at least one inch are likely tonight; rain ends early tomorrow morning as a surface low pulls away to the northeast. Clouds linger much of the day tomorrow, however, with a high in the upper 50s.

Wednesday looks cool and dry with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high between 55 and 59 degrees.

ARCTIC BLAST THURSDAY/FRIDAY: An Arctic front invades Alabama Thursday. Moisture will be limited, but some light rain is possible ahead of the front. The big story is the cold air; the high Thursday will be only in the low 40s with a biting north wind of 15-30 mph, making it feel much colder. By Friday morning, temperatures will be down in the 19-22 degree range. And, during the day Friday, we won’t make it out of the 30s despite sunshine in full supply. Some communities up in the Tennessee Valley will stay below freezing all day Friday.

Despite what the rumor mill is producing, there is no risk of any winter weather mischief Thursday and Friday. I guess it is possible somebody might see a few light snow flurries over Northeast Alabama Thursday evening, but it won’t amount to anything, and there is no impact.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The low Saturday morning will be down in the 17-21 degree range; Birmingham’s record low for December 10 is 13 (set in 1995)… most likely that is safe despite the cold air intrusion. The say Saturday will be sunny with a high in the upper 40s. Then, clouds return Sunday, and some light rain could move in from the west Sunday afternoon ahead of the next wave aloft. Moisture will be limited, so rain amounts should be light through Sunday night.

NEXT WEEK: Some light rain could linger on Monday, followed by drier weather through mid-week. Then, global models show another Arctic blast toward the end of next week… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

“NO BURN” ORDER LIFTED: Here is a release from the Alabama Forestry Commission…

“Effective immediately, Governor Robert Bentley and Interim State Forester Gary Cole have rescinded the statewide Drought Emergency ‘No Burn’ Order which has been in effect since early November. Officials with the Alabama Forestry Commission (AFC) say the state has received enough rainfall over the last few days to reduce the threat of dangerous wildfires.

“In recent days we have seen significant rainfall across our state and the Alabama Forestry Commission now believes the worst of the drought has ended,” Governor Bentley said. “I want to thank the Forestry Commission and the dozens of local fire departments that have worked so hard to ensure the thousands of wildfires didn’t get out of hand. These men and women have worked long hours under intense conditions to prevent as much damage as possible. We will continue to work with stake holders across the state to help everyone recover from the drought.”

According to Cole, “Although all counties in the state will return to having burn permits available, we should bear in mind that Alabama like much of the South is still experiencing extreme drought conditions this fall. The AFC will continue to monitor ground moisture levels throughout the state. If ground fuels become exceptionally dry again, it may be necessary to re-issue a Fire Alert or No Burn Order in affected areas.”

The AFC advises anyone conducting any type of outdoor burning to follow safety precautions such as not leaving a fire unattended until it is completely out, having the necessary equipment and personnel to control the fire, and having a garden hose or other water supply on hand for smaller debris burns. Any fire more than a quarter-acre in size or within 25 feet of a forested area requires a permit from the AFC.”

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Rain In The North At Midday, More Will Develop Later

| December 5, 2016 @ 1:17 pm

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A Cloudy And Rainy Midday Out There In Central Alabama
Cloudy skies cover all of Central Alabama at this midday hour, with areas along and north of I-20 and I-20/59 receiving decent amounts of rainfall, and boy do we need it. So far at the Birmingham Airport, the total rainfall since midnight is at 0.43 inches (12:20 PM), but more is on its way as more showers and storms are expected to develop later today.

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Temperatures are still rather cool at this time, with mostly 50s across Central Alabama, with a few spots in the upper 40s in the northern parts of the area. Cool spots are Cullman and Gadsden both at 48 degrees, with the warm spot being Troy at 59 degrees.

Birmingham’s Climatology And Records
The normal high for December 5th is 59, while the normal low is 37. The record high for today was set back in 1988 at 79. The record low was set back in 1907 at 21.

Latest HRRR Run: Simulated Radar at 2AM Tuesday

Latest HRRR Run: Simulated Radar at 2AM Tuesday

For The Rest Of Today
More showers are expected to develop across the western parts of the area and will spread northward and eastward through the day, as a warm front will move to the north ahead of a short wave moving northeastward out of northern Mexico and into Texas. There will probably be enough instability for a few flashes of lightning, but there will not be any surface-based convection during the day. Daytime highs will not be reached until midnight tonight, and they will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s from north to south.

That short wave will move rapidly to the northeast into the area during the late night and overnight hours, but depending on where the warm front makes it at that time, will determine where any strong to severe weather would happen. Any rain that falls north of the warm front should reinforce the cooler airmass, and keep instability levels lower, even though shear values will be high enough to support rotation. Also, an easterly flow will start to strengthen ahead of the warm front, as cold air damming will start to take place as ridging moves into the mid-Atlantic states.

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At this time, it looks like the threat of any severe weather will be located in the southern-most counties of the area, especially south of a line from Auburn to Montgomery to Coffeeville in Clarke County. The SPC have put that area in a “Slight Risk” for severe weather, with the areas north of that to a line from Wedowee to Calera to Moundville in a “Marginal Risk” for severe weather. The main threats will be from damaging winds and an isolated brief tornado due to shear and weak instability in place. Main action for stronger storms will be from about 10PM through 6AM on Tuesday morning.

Tuesday’s Outlook
Drying will start to take place for the western parts of the area early on Tuesday morning, as rainfall should come to an end by 9AM, as the short wave quickly moves to the north of the state. The rest of Central Alabama should dry out by midday. After that, skies will partly to mostly cloudy throughout the remainder of the daytime and evening hours for most of the area, with some sun possibly returning to the area south of the I-20 corridor. Afternoon highs will be in the 60s for much of the area, with a few 70s down in the southeastern part of the area. Overnight lows will mostly be in the 40s.

Number Of The Day: 15
There were 15 actual named storms in the Atlantic Basin for the 2016 Hurricane Season. Out of those 15 named storms, 7 became hurricanes, and out of those that became hurricanes, 3 became major hurricanes. Even though Matthew caused damage and major flooding in the southeastern states, we have not had a landfall from a major hurricane since Hurricane Wilma in October of 2005.

On This Day In 1886
A big snowstorm in the southeastern U.S. produced 11 inches at Montgomery AL, 18.5 inches at Rome GA, and 22.5 inches at Knoxville TN.

Follow The Blog On Twitter
Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. This week, the panel will be talking about water, something that we have learned to appreciate even more in the past few weeks. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)