Category: Alabama’s Weather

Pattern Change Likely Next Week

| September 21, 2016 @ 3:21 pm

PLEASANT NIGHTS, HOT AFTERNOONS, NO RAIN: The weather just won’t change much across the great state of Alabama through the weekend thanks to an upper ridge, and dry air in place. We are forecasting mostly sunny days and fair nights through Sunday with highs in the low 90s, and lows in the upper 60s. Pretty straight forward forecast.

FALL ARRIVES TOMORROW: This is the last Wednesday of the summer of 2016; the autumnal equinox is tomorrow morning at 9:21 CT when the sun is directly over the equator.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 88 at kickoff, to 93 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures dropping from near 89 degrees at kickoff to near 80 by the end of the game.

CHANGES NEXT WEEK: Global models show a deep upper trough setting up just west of Alabama; that should drive a cold front in here Monday, and bring us a chance of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms. The front will “run of out gas” somewhere around the Alabama/Georgia line Tuesday. One way or another, heat levels will drop significantly next week; the GFS is printing a high of only 79 degrees for Birmingham Tuesday. Where dry air moves in following the front, 50s are possible by Tuesday or Wednesday morning.

But, with the front becoming nearly stationary over far East Alabama, clouds could linger, and the GFS hints that showers and storms are possible on Wednesday with the front drifting westward across the state. Confidence in specific details is low, but the idea of lower temperatures next week looks likely. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated storms on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Tropical Depression Karl, in the middle of the Atlantic, is still fighting shear and dry air. If it survives, it will recurve east of Bermuda Saturday, and could briefly strengthen into a hurricane over open water. It is no threat to land.

To the east, Tropical Storm Lisa is moving north/northwest, and will probably dissipate in 3-5 days. It won’t be close to any land mass. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet for now.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Midday Nowcast: Second Verse, Same As The First

| September 21, 2016 @ 12:05 pm

simuawips

Another carbon copy nowcast… At the noon hour across Central Alabama, no rain is showing up on radar, and the visible satellite image for the area is mostly clear except for a few fair weather cumulus clouds. It is just going to be hard to find a shower or storm out there at all today. The chance of rain is not at zero, but it is so low that there is no need to mention it in the forecast. For the rest of the afternoon and evening hours, it will stay mostly clear and dry, with afternoon highs ranging in the low to mid 90s across the area. With the lower dewpoint levels today, it will make those hot temperatures a little more bearable.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AT NOON:
Birmingham: 87
Tuscaloosa: 91
Gadsden: 86
Anniston: 90
Cullman: 87
Alabaster: 88
Alexander City: 90
Auburn: 86
Montgomery: 90
Selma: 90

TOMORROW IS FALL, Y’ALL:
The Autumnal Equinox takes place tomorrow morning at 9:21 AM CDT, but unfortunately Fall’s arrival isn’t going to help out in the rain department for now. This dry weather pattern will stay in place over Central Alabama through the rest of the week and weekend, as skies will be mostly sunny with afternoon highs ranging in the low to mid 90s. No rain is expected for tomorrow, and pretty much through the rest of the work week and weekend.

NEXT WEEK:
Cross your fingers, as the GFS is showing a frontal passage early on Tuesday, which means that we can now mention a chance of showers and storms for Monday evening through early Tuesday. This passage will also allow for cooler and drier air to filter in behind it for the middle of the week. Highs will drop back into low 80s, with overnight lows in the 50s. We’ll continue to keep an eye on this as it looks like we’ll finally get to say goodbye to the oppressive heat for 2016.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM:
The normal high for September 21st is 83, while the normal low is 61. The record high for today was set back in 1925 at 98. The record low was set back in 1918 at 42.

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY ALERT:
Ozone and Particulate Matter 2.5 level will be high enough to raise the “Code Yellow” Air Quality Alert for the Birmingham metropolitan area today. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

HEADED TO THE BEACH:
About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend with only widely scattered storms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

two_atl_2d0

TROPICS:
Karl has been downgraded to a tropical depression in the Central Atlantic; it will recurve east of Bermuda this weekend and is no threat to land, although strengthening is possible in a few days. Tropical Storm Lisa in the eastern Atlantic will move north/northwest, and is no threat to land. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

ON THIS DAY IN 1989:
Hurricane Hugo slammed into the South Carolina coast about 11 PM, making landfall near Sullivans Island. Hugo was directly responsible for thirteen deaths, and indirectly responsible for twenty-two others. A total of 420 persons were injured in the hurricane, and damage was estimated at eight billion dollars, including two billion dollars damage to crops. Sustained winds reached 85 mph at Folly Beach SC, with wind gusts as high was 138 mph. Wind gusts reached 98 mph at Charleston, and 1S09 mph at Shaw AFB. The biggest storm surge occurred in the McClellanville and Bulls Bay area of Charleston County, with a storm surge of 20.2 feet reported at Seewee Bay. Shrimp boats were found one half mile inland at McClellanville.

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ADVERTISE WITH US:
Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact Bill Murray at (205) 687-0782.

Dry Through Sunday; Changes Next Week

| September 21, 2016 @ 5:59 am

PLEASANT MORNINGS, HOT AFTERNOONS: Once again we are seeing some upper 50s in cooler pockets across Northeast Alabama as this day begins. Vic Bell at Black Creek reports 58 degrees just before daybreak… Fort Payne is at 59.

A dry airmass stays in place for a while, and with upper ridging afternoons will remain fairly hot for September despite the cool mornings. We project highs in the 90-93 degree range through the weekend, almost ten degrees above average for late September in Alabama. But, lower dew points will mean humidity values only in the 20-35 range during the peak of the heat each day. Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights today through Sunday.

FALL ARRIVES TOMORROW: This is the last Wednesday of the summer of 2016; the autumnal equinox is tomorrow morning at 9:21 CT when the sun is directly over the equator.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 87 at kickoff, to 92 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures dropping from near 89 degrees at kickoff to near 80 by the end of the game.

CHANGES NEXT WEEK: The GFS is now showing a decent frontal passage early Tuesday, meaning we can mention a chance of showers and storms Monday night and early Tuesday, followed by cooler/drier air for the middle of next week. Highs drop to near 80, with lows in the 55-60 degree range for most. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend with only isolated thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast 86-89, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Karl has been downgraded to a tropical depression in the Central Atlantic; it will recurve east of Bermuda this weekend and is no threat to land, although strengthening is possible in a few days.

Tropical Storm Lisa in the eastern Atlantic will move north/northwest, and is no threat to land. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

screen-shot-2016-09-21-at-5-58-31-am

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I am going a safety program this morning for employees at a Regions Bank facility in Riverchase… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Little If Any Chance Of Rain Through The Weekend

| September 20, 2016 @ 3:18 pm

DRY SEPTEMBER DAYS: If cooler afternoon temperatures and a good soaking rain is on your wish list, the news is not necessarily good from the weather office today. An upper level ridge, and a dry airmass will remain in place through the weekend, meaning little day to day change in the weather.

We are forecasting mostly sunny days and fair nights through Sunday, and for now the chance of an afternoon shower is so small that we won’t mention it in the forecast. Afternoon highs will remain close to 90 degrees, but at least dew points are now, making the warmth a little more comfortable.

In fact, at 3:00 Birmingham reported 92 degrees, but the dew point was 57, making the relative humidity 30 percent. The humidity was down to 29 percent at the Shelby County Airport.

FALL ARRIVES THURSDAY: This is the last Tuesday of the summer of 2016; the autumnal equinox is Thursday morning at 9:21 a.m. CT… when the sun is directly over the equator.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 86 at kickoff, to 91 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures dropping from near 88 degrees at kickoff to near 80 by the end of the game.

NEXT WEEK: Still no sign of a major pattern change. A weak front could bring a few widely scattered showers Tuesday, but nothing too widespread. Highs will be mostly in the 80s, lows in the 60s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

kbhm_2016092000_eps_min_max_15

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, only isolated storms on the coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores through the weekend. Highs on the immediate coast in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: The “ghost of Julia” is producing cloudy, breezy, and wet weather over eastern North Carolina today. Out in the Atlantic, Tropical Storms Karl and Lisa will stay well east of the U.S. Karl will recurve a little east of Bermuda this weekend, and Lisa will stay out in the East Atlantic. The Gulf of Mexico is very quiet.

screen-shot-2016-09-20-at-3-17-02-pm

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting the students at Graham Elementary in Talladega… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Midday Nowcast: May I Have Another Please?

| September 20, 2016 @ 12:27 pm

simuawips1

The same weather on a different day… At the noon hour across Central Alabama, radar is clear of any precipitation, and the visible satellite image is mainly clear of any clouds except for a few cumulus clouds floating around the northeastern portions of the area. Looking at the model runs for the area for the rest of the afternoon and evening hours, it will stay mostly clear and dry, with afternoon highs ranging from the upper 80s in the northern parts, to the low 90s in the southern parts of the area. With the lower dewpoint levels today, it will make those temperature a little more comfortable.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AT NOON:
Birmingham: 88
Tuscaloosa: no report
Gadsden: 86
Anniston: 88
Cullman: 83
Alabaster: 90
Alexander City: 90
Auburn: 88
Montgomery: 88
Selma: 88

ONLY TWO DAYS AWAY FROM FALL’S ARRIVAL:
The Autumnal Equinox takes place on Thursday morning at 9:21 AM CDT, but unfortunately Fall’s arrival isn’t going to help out in the rain department for this week. This dry weather pattern will continue for Central Alabama through the rest of the week and weekend, as skies will be mostly sunny with afternoon highs ranging in the upper 80s to the low 90s. No rain is expected for tomorrow, and any showers that show up during the afternoon hours from Thursday through Sunday will be few and far between. Overnight lows will range in the 60s to 70 degrees.

NEXT WEEK:
Even though a weak front will be approaching according to the latest run of the GFS model, there is not going to be enough upper support and available moisture for an increase in shower chances. We’ll keep an eye on it as we get closer.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM:
The normal high for September 20th is 84, while the normal low is 62. The record high for today was set back in 1925 at 100. The record low was set back in 1918 at 46.

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY ALERT:
Particulate matter 2.5 level will be high enough to raise the “Code Yellow” Air Quality Alert for the Birmingham metropolitan area today. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

HEADED TO THE BEACH:
About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend with only widely scattered storms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS:
143919w5_nl_sm

Tropical Storm Karl is in the Central Atlantic, and could become a hurricane this weekend as it turns northward. It might be close to Bermuda Saturday, but it will turn eastward back out to sea, and is no threat to the U.S.

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Tropical Depression 13 in the eastern Atlantic became Tropical Storm Lisa earlier this morning, but it will be gaining latitude and doesn’t look like it will bother any land mass, just the fish. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

ON THIS DAY IN 2005:
Hurricane Rita tracked through the Florida Straits and just south of the Florida Keys. Winds were sustained at tropical storm force at Key West, where peak winds gusted to 76 mph.

THE BLOG IS ON TWITTER:
Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WEATHERBRAINS:
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US:
Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact Bill Murray at (205) 687-0782.

Generally Dry Through The Weekend

| September 20, 2016 @ 6:16 am

A TOUCH OF FALL FOR NORTH ALABAMA: Cullman and Fort Payne have dropped to 61 degrees early this morning; our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, reports a refreshing 58 degrees. But with a strong September sun, we warm quickly and most places will be close to 90 degrees by mid-afternoon. But, the dew points will be lower, making the warmth a bit more comfortable.

CALM PATTERN CONTINUES: It is safe to say that most Alabamians could use some rain, and would like cooler daytime temperatures. Unfortunately, we really can’t offer much hope for either scenario through the weekend.

Dry air, and an upper ridge will combine for a very calm, dry pattern through the weekend as we will forecast mostly sunny days, fair nights, and highs in the 88-92 degree range. Birmingham’s average high for September 20 is 84.

RAIN UPDATE: The rain total for September is only 0.68″ (based on data from the Birmingham Airport), and since January 1 the total is 35.85″, a deficiency of 3.68″. For the year the deficiency for Tuscaloosa is 6.04″, and Anniston is down 10.32″ for the year. The dry conditions don’t bode well for the fall foliage season, but remember the colors in Alabama usually don’t peak until the first week of November.

We note the last time Birmingham had over one inch of rain in a single day was back on July 30.

FALL ARRIVES THURSDAY: This is the last Tuesday of the summer of 2016; the autumnal equinox is Thursday morning at 9:21 a.m. CT… when the sun is directly over the equator.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 86 at kickoff, to 91 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures dropping from near 88 degrees at kickoff to near 80 by the end of the game.

NEXT WEEK: Unfortunately global models don’t offer much hope for a widespread rain event next week as the upper ridge holds. It will break down, but sometimes those things can be very stubborn. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

kbhm_2016092000_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated storms through the weekend on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Karl, in the Central Atlantic, could become a hurricane this weekend, but it will make a sharp u-turn and is no threat to the U.S. It will be close to Bermuda Saturday…

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And, Tropical Depression 13 in the eastern Atlantic is expected to become Tropical Storm Lisa later today, but it will gain latitude is not expected to be a threat to any land mass.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I have a weather program this morning at Graham Elementary School in Talladega… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Just A Few Showers Around

| September 19, 2016 @ 3:11 pm

RADAR CHECK: We actually have a few small, isolated showers on radar this afternoon across North/Central Alabama… they are moving south and will be very short lived. Otherwise, the sky is partly to mostly sunny with temperatures generally in the upper 80s.

REST OF THE WEEK: A quiet weather pattern continues as we officially wrap up the summer of 2016 (the autumnal equinox is Thursday morning at 9:21 a.m.). We project a good supply of sunshine each day through Friday, and no showers are expected tomorrow and Wednesday. And, even on Thursday and Friday any showers that show up will be few and far between.

Highs will be in the 88-92 degree range, with lows between 67 and 70. Keep in mind the average high at Birmingham stays in the 80s through the end of September; we usually get the fist good “front of fall” in here around the beginning of October.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Not much change. Partly to mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday with highs not too far from 90 degrees; any afternoon showers will be very isolated.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 86 at kickoff, to 90 degrees by the final whistle. The risk of a shower looks very low for now.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures dropping from near 88 degrees at kickoff to near 80 by the end of the game. The chance of a shower is very small.

NEXT WEEK: The latest GFS model run is not very bullish on showers next week, although a weak front will get closer. There just isn’t much moisture available, and little upper support. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

kbhm_2016091912_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only widely scattered storms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Karl is in the Central Atlantic, and could become a hurricane this weekend as it turns northward. It might be close to Bermuda Saturday, but it will turn eastward back out to sea, and is no threat to the U.S.

145532w5_nl_sm

A wave in the eastern Atlantic has a good chance of becoming Tropical Storm Lisa in coming days, but it will be gaining latitude and doesn’t look like it will bother any land mass. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I had a great time today visiting with the students at C. A. Donehoo Elementary in Gadsden… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Midday Nowcast: Fall Is Nearly Here, Can We Start to Feel Like It?

| September 19, 2016 @ 12:14 pm

simuawips

HOW’S YOUR MONDAY, WEATHER-WISE?:
At the noon hour across Central Alabama, skies are mostly clear out there, and not a drop of rain can be found on radar at this point. Skies should remain mostly clear today and afternoon highs will range in the upper 80s to right over 90 degrees today, with only a very small risk of a shower or storm in the southeastern part of the area throughout the afternoon and evening hours. Skies should clear out for the evening and overnight lows will range throughout the 60s to near 70 degrees.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AT NOON:
Birmingham: 84
Tuscaloosa: 84
Gadsden: 84
Anniston: 84
Cullman: 83
Alabaster: 82
Alexander City: 88
Auburn: 82
Montgomery: 84
Selma: 84

ONLY THREE DAYS AWAY FROM FALL’S ARRIVAL:
Even though we have been in “Meteorological Fall” since the first of the month, the Autumnal Equinox actually does not take place until Thursday morning at 9:21 AM CDT. We’ll have approximately 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness. Unfortunately that doesn’t mean that we will get any additional rain chances this week, as we have settled back into a hot and dry pattern for the week. Mostly sunny days and fair nights are expected through Friday, with highs at or near 90 degrees and low ranging in the mid 60s to 70 degrees. The good news is that dew points will be a little lower and that will keep those temperatures from being unbearable.

THE WEEKEND OUTLOOK:
A little more moisture is expected to begin to flow into the state for the weekend, but really not enough to make a change to the forecast… mostly sunny and hot, with a very slight risk of an isolated afternoon or evening shower or storm. Highs will be near 90 degrees, with overnight lows in the 60s.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM:
The normal high for September 19th is 84, while the normal low is 62. The record high for today was set back in 1931 at 102. The record low was set back in 1901 at 42.

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY ALERT:
Ozone and particulate matter 2.5 level will be high enough to raise the “Code Yellow” Air Quality Alert for the Birmingham metropolitan area today. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

HEADED TO THE BEACH:
About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach this week with only widely scattered storms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

two_atl_2d0

145532w5_nl_sm

TROPICS:
Tropical Storm Karl is poorly organized as it is continuing to struggle with shear and dry air. Slow strengthening is expected to happen over the next five days as should become a hurricane later this week. Karl will start to turn to the northwest by midweek. Karl will not be a threat to the US, but it could be close to the island of Bermuda this weekend.

The last public advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Julia was given last night at 10PM as the system has become a remnant low. What’s left of the system will drift into eastern North Carolina tonight and tomorrow.

There is a tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic that is expected to strengthen into a depression before entering into a zone of less conducive environmental conditions… and is expected to curve to the north and will be no threat to land.

ON THIS DAY IN 1988:
Thunderstorms developing along a fast moving cold front produced severe weather in Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. Eight tornadoes were reported, including five in Indiana. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 74 mph at Wabash IND. Winds associated with the cold front itself gusted to 69 mph at Kenosha WI.

THE BLOG IS ON TWITTER:
Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WEATHERBRAINS:
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US:
Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact Bill Murray at (205) 687-0782.

Dry Pattern For Most Of Alabama

| September 19, 2016 @ 5:30 am

FALL ARRIVES THIS WEEK: The autumnal equinox is Thursday (September 21) at 9:21 a.m…. when the sun is directly over the equator and we have approximately 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness. And, fall arrives this week with a rather quiet weather pattern for most of Alabama.

At Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport, yesterday’s rain total was about 1/3 of an inch (0.32″), bringing the total for the month to 0.68″. Unfortunately, additional rain is very unlikely this week as a dry airmass settles into the state. We will project mostly sunny days and fair nights through Friday with afternoon highs around 90, and morning lows between 66 and 70 degrees. Any showers will be almost impossible to find as the air will be pretty dry, and an upper ridge will rebuild across the region.

THE WEEKEND: Very little change. Mostly sunny weather is likely Saturday and Sunday with only very isolated afternoon and evening showers; the high will be close to 90 with morning lows in the upper 60s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 86 at kickoff, to 90 degrees by the final whistle. The risk of a shower looks very low for now.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures dropping from near 88 degrees at kickoff to near 80 by the end of the game. The chance of a shower is very small.

NEXT WEEK: Scattered showers and storms are possible early in the week with a surface front approaching; the high will drop back into the mid 80s Monday. Drier/cooler air should slip into the state by the middle of the week… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

kbhm_2016091900_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach this week with only widely scattered storms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Julia was downgraded to a “remnant low” off the South Carolina coast this morning; what is left of the system will drift into eastern North Carolina tonight and tomorrow.

Tropical Storm Karl could strengthen into a hurricane late this week in the Atlantic; it could be close to the island of Bermuda this weekend, but it will recurve in that region and is no threat to the U.S.

And, a wave in the eastern Atlantic could develop into a tropical storm this week, but it will move northward and is no threat to land.

screen-shot-2016-09-19-at-5-25-54-am

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Donehoo Elementary School in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

We’re Losing The Sun & Storms Are Losing Their Strength

| September 18, 2016 @ 7:14 pm

radar

Storms have really lost their strength since the last post as the sun has made its way beneath the horizon. There are still a few showers in progress over in eastern parts of Central Alabama at this time, as they are continuing to push off to the east towards Georgia. None are of any concern and should start to fall apart in about an hour.

As for the storms that were pushing in from Mississippi earlier, almost all of those have dissipated within the last hour. There is a decent storm that is pushing to the south in southern Sumter County that is putting down some heavy rain and is still showing some lightning strikes.

Looking at the latest run of the HRRR, these showers will continue to diminish over the next few hours and we should have no concern for any of these becoming strong.