Category: Tropical

TD4 Soon?

TD4 Soon?

| June 19, 2016 @ 10:08 am

Invest 94L over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico may well already be a tropical depression. Air Force Reconnaissance will investigate the system this afternoon. Wind shear is fairly light over the system and thunderstorms continue to concentrate near the center. It will continue moving west northwest and will reach the Mexican Coast late tonight or […]

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We Have Tropical Storm Colin

We Have Tropical Storm Colin

| June 5, 2016 @ 5:33 pm

Reports from the Air Force plan have found surface winds of tropical storm force (34 knots) and Tropical Depression three has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Colin. The highest winds are well to the northeast of the center in our still disorganized system. TROPICAL STORM COLIN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL […]

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TD#3 Remains Disorganized

TD#3 Remains Disorganized

| June 5, 2016 @ 4:02 pm

An Air Force Reserve WX-130 is flying a reconnaissance mission in Tropical Depression Number 3 over the southern Gulf of Mexico. They are not finding a very organized system at this time. It appears to have an elongated center north of the Yucatan Peninsula. The plane found maximum flight level winds of around 30-35 knots […]

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TD #3 Has Formed

TD #3 Has Formed

| June 5, 2016 @ 10:23 am

The system in the Gulf of Mexico has developed enough to be designated tropical depression number three with top winds of 35 mph. It is located on the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula and is moving north at 8 mph. It should become Tropical Storm Colin later today. It won’t become a hurricane, and […]

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Concerning The Gulf Tropical Low

Concerning The Gulf Tropical Low

| June 5, 2016 @ 7:12 am

A few quick notes to answer your questions about the tropical system that will develop in the Gulf of Mexico tonight/tomorrow… LATE UPDATE: This system is now Tropical Depression Three. *The rain across Alabama today doesn’t have anything to do with it; it is related to an upper trough/cold front combination. Additional rain amounts of […]

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Update on Potential in Tropics

Update on Potential in Tropics

| June 4, 2016 @ 12:14 pm

Here is a quick check on the western Caribbean Sea. The satellite image late this morning continued to show an are of lower pressure with numerous showers and thunderstorms in a fairly large area approaching the Yucatan Peninsula. The latest computer model runs show similar patterns for the developing storm system, but there are some […]

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Tropical Mischief Coming?

Tropical Mischief Coming?

| June 3, 2016 @ 1:23 pm

As James has been noting in the Weather Xtreme Video, there is some tropical mischief brewing in the western sections of the Caribbean Sea that may become our next tropical system. Understand that this is early, but the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is talking about it, and the major global models have been suggesting this […]

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TD 2 Becomes Bonnie

TD 2 Becomes Bonnie

| May 28, 2016 @ 3:45 pm

The National Hurricane Center has issued an advisory to upgrade Tropical Depression 2 to Tropical Storm Bonnie. The center of Bonnie was located about 120 miles southeast of Beaufort, SC, with maximum sustained wind of 40 mph. Heavy rain from Bonnie was spreading across the coastal sections of South Carolina. The image below is from […]

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Tropical Depression Number Two Forms

Tropical Depression Number Two Forms

| May 27, 2016 @ 5:13 pm

Invest 91L has been upgraded to Tropical Depression Two this afternoon based on Air Force Reconnaissance which found a closed circulation in the weather system off the Southeast Coast of the United States. It has top winds of 35 mph. It should become Tropical Storm Bonnie overnight tonight. It should reach the South Carolina coast […]

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Alex Becomes Hurricane

Alex Becomes Hurricane

| January 14, 2016 @ 9:07 am

Alex continues to make meteorological news in the Atlantic. And the latest is that Alex has become a hurricane. The Azores Meteorological Service has issued a Hurricane Warning for the islands of Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, and Terceira in the central Azores, and a Tropical Storm Warning for the islands of Sao Miguel and […]

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The 2015 North Atlantic Hurricane Season

The 2015 North Atlantic Hurricane Season

| December 2, 2015 @ 8:17 am

The 2015 North Atlantic Hurricane Season was fairly slow, as had been predicted in most seasonal forecasts. There were eleven named storms, which is very close to the long term average of 11.5. Four of the storms became hurricanes and two went on to become major hurricanes, below the long term averages of 6.1 hurricanes […]

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Kate Arrives ! !

Kate Arrives ! !

| November 9, 2015 @ 7:31 am

Kate has arrived. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has issued an advisory at 7:20 am CST as Tropical Depression 12 strengthened enough to become a tropical storm. That advisory is shown below. As we note, the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data were instrumental in providing the information to forecasters. The depression strengthened pretty much as expected […]

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Could We Have Kate Tomorrow?

Could We Have Kate Tomorrow?

| November 8, 2015 @ 8:18 pm

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is watching an area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure area located just east of the southern Bahama Islands. This area has shown some signs of becoming better organized since this morning, and forecasters have pegged the chance of formation through the next 48 hours at […]

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Another Tropical Cyclone Aiming for Yemen

Another Tropical Cyclone Aiming for Yemen

| November 8, 2015 @ 4:48 pm

Yemen is a popular spot for tropical cyclones this time of year – well, at least this year. The second tropical cyclone in about a week is taking aim at Yemen. After forming in the Arabian Sea, Cyclone Megh has been tracking on a westerly course. It passed over the Socotra Archipelago yesterday and was […]

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48-Hour Rainfall Ending Nov. 2

48-Hour Rainfall Ending Nov. 2

| November 3, 2015 @ 8:06 am

The National Weather Service (NWS) office in Birmingham tweeted this graphic which quite nicely shows the rain that has fallen over Alabama during the last several days. The graphic illustrates two important items. First, ALL of the state of Alabama has had rain – some more than others. Looks like the northwest corner was a […]

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Chapala Churning Closer to Land

Chapala Churning Closer to Land

| November 2, 2015 @ 8:17 am

Typhoon Chapala remained a hurricane this morning and continued to churn across the Arabian Sea and the Gulf of Aden as it gets closer to landfall in Yemen. This is the latest satellite view of Chapala. It was getting closer to Yemen after brushing just north of the island of Socotra in the Arabian Sea. […]

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Tropical Troubles in Arabian Sea

Tropical Troubles in Arabian Sea

| October 31, 2015 @ 10:15 am

I know that it is one the other side of the world, but while the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins were quiet, Tropical Cyclone Chapala was taking advantage of the warmest waters ever recorded in the Arabian Sea for this time of year to rapidly intensify overnight. Chapala topped out for the time being as […]

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Patricia Strongest Hurricane Ever in Western Hemisphere

Patricia Strongest Hurricane Ever in Western Hemisphere

| October 23, 2015 @ 11:37 am

Hurricane Patricia in the eastern Pacific underwent an incredible rapid intensification yesterday and overnight and aircraft reconnaissance found 175 knot winds (200 mph) just before 2 a.m. this morning. The central pressure was estimated at 880 millibars. I say estimated, because the dropsonde instrument used to record pressure, wind, temperature and other parameters did not […]

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