Several clusters of storms are impacting portions of East Alabama late this afternoon and these storms are meandering about in different directions. The most intense storms currently are affecting portions of Calhoun, Etowah, Cleburne, Blount and Jefferson counties.
No storms are currently severe, but storms are producing tremendous amounts of lightning, torrential tropical downpours, and gusty winds. These storms will continue to next several hours, before winding down with the loss of daytime heating.
A strong thunderstorm developed near the Birmingham Airport before 2:30 and has been pulsing up and down as it has moved slowly southwestward.
At 415 p.m. it was affecting areas from Woodlawn and Irondale back to Cahaba Heights and Liberty Park then over to Inverness and Meadowbrook.
The lightning is not especially heavy, but it only takes one bolt. 1-2 inches of rain has fallen in areas between I-20 and I-459. An areal flood advisory has been issued for eastern Jefferson County, including places inside the green polygon.
Hot, humid weather continues for the weekend with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Best chance of storms comes during the afternoon and evening hours, but with the moisture-rich air mass in place, a late night or morning shower can not be completely ruled out either. Highs today and tomorrow will range from 90-95 degrees, pretty much what we expect in late July around here.
HEAT ADVISORY: The NWS maintains the heat advisory again today, as heat index values will be at or just over 105° at times through out Central Alabama. This should be the last day an advisory is needed for Alabama for the next week or so, but there is still plenty of summer left.
RADAR CHECK: Early this afternoon, we are watching a few showers and storms that are ongoing, but these are rather isolated and confined to northern portions of the state. Through the afternoon, we will continue to see pockets of convection, that will be producing a lot of lightning, heavy rainfall, and gusty winds. General storm motion is towards the south. Typical of this time of year, what storms that are out there, should wind down after sunset.
Traveling weather systems remain well north of the Southeast US, so we are looking at a weather pattern that will not be changing much over the next seven days. There will be minor changes, but they will be subtle and we really won’t see any drastic changes to the weather with heat and showers holding spots in the forecast.
There is a subtle weakness in the 500 millibar pattern in the vicinity of West Tennessee early this morning which was helping to generate showers over Northeast Mississippi and Northwest Alabama. Movement of these showers was southeastward and the motion should gradually become more southward during the late morning. A heat advisory remained in place this morning for the northern two thirds of Alabama, but the presence of the weakness aloft along with the presence of additional clouds could mean that we won’t quite reach heat index values of 105. While we might not reach the “official” criteria for the heat advisory, it will remain hot and steamy. I expect highs today to generally top out in the middle 90s, but the upper 90s are possible generally south and southeast of Birmingham.
For beachgoers, summer weather continues along the Gulf Coast from Dauphin Island to Panama City Beach this weekend and into next week. There will be about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with an occasional passing thunderstorm. Highs will be around 89 on the immediate coast with mid to upper 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
Looking southward, the Atlantic Basin remains quiet, while Frank and Georgette, both tropical storms, were spinning in the Eastern Pacific, neither a threat to land areas.
And as you might expect, the SPC has the risk for organized severe storms confined to the northern tier of the US from the Great Lakes to New England for the next three days. And there is little likelihood that this pattern will change through the week ahead.
Ridging remains the primary feature across the southern tier of the US through the week ahead with only some subtle changes to the pattern. As short waves move across Canada, they will have at least some effect on the ridging by pushing the bulk of the ridge back west beginning Monday and continuing through the middle of the week and into next weekend. The influence of this weak troughiness should be enough to lower our high temperatures some as highs stick in the lower and middle 90s. Morning lows will remain steady, too, with values in the 70 to 75 degree range. And while I would love to say something different than “chance of thunderstorms” in the daily forecast, there is no real pattern change which would warrant saying anything different. Due to the spotty nature of these storms, there is no real relief seen for the drought conditions affecting the northern two-thirds of Alabama during the next week.
Looking into voodoo country, the GFS is big on bringing the ridge back into the Central US as we head into the first few days of August. And the GFS holds the ridge there once again as we head out to August 7th.
I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here first thing on Sunday morning. You can check back here regularly for updates on how the Alabama weather scene is changing. Enjoy your day and Godspeed.
Thunderstorms are strong over parts of Central Alabama this afternoon. The strongest ones can be found over Marion, Lamar and Fayette Counties.
Others are over Cullman and Walker Counties as well as Lauderdale and Colbert Counties of Northwest Alabama.
None of the storms are severe at this time, but there could be a couple of isolated warnings through the evening hours.
Any of the storms will be capable of producing dangerous lightning, heavy rain and gusty winds to 40 mph.
Everything is pushing generally to the south.
The storms will die out later this evening.
How about this one from Glenn Frey?
“The heat is on, on the street
Inside your head, on every beat
And the beat’s so loud, deep inside
The pressure’s high, just to stay alive
‘Cause the heat is on
Caught up in the action I’ve been looking out for you
(Tell me can you feel it)
(Tell me can you feel it)
(Tell me can you feel it)
The heat is on, the heat is on, the heat is on
Oh it’s on the street, the heat is on”
Heat levels are actually down today; clouds this morning have helped. We have mostly low 90s this afternoon, and once again scattered showers and storms are on radar…
Storms are moving south, and will continue into the nighttime hours. Where storms develop, they will be strong with potential for wet microbursts. SPC maintains a “marginal risk” of severe storms for much of Alabama.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: It’s a persistence forecast. Hot, humid weather continues tomorrow and Sunday with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Best risk of storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours, but I can’t totally rule out a late night or morning shower. Highs 90-95 degrees, pretty much what we expect in late July around here.
NEXT WEEK: New week, old forecast. The overall synoptic pattern just won’t change; we will be on the eastern periphery of a heat ridge, so hot, humid summer weather continues with the daily round of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs will be in the low 90s, lows in the 70s. Just impossible to forecast the small scale day to day changes that impact placement and coverage of the summer storms. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin through next week. Lots of dry air.
AT THE BEACH: About 8-10 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through next week with a passing storm from time to time. Highs 87-90 on the immediate coast, with mid 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
I had a great time today visiting with the kids in the summer program at Pinson Elementary today… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!
Skies across Central Alabama are mostly hazy at this moment as we have a cirrus deck left over from storms that formed and moved through much of the area last night. We do have an area of showers that have developed over the northeast corner of Marion and the northwest corner of Winston County. This shower seems to be almost stationary, with maybe a slight drift to the southeast. The rest of Central Alabama is high and dry right now. Showers and thunderstorms are currently located in the southwestern corner of the state, and are pushing off to the south-southwest.
I have noticed that there is a line of storms pushing to the south through western Kentucky at this moment. There may be a possibility for these storms to move into the state later this afternoon. If they hold together, they could move into North Alabama around the 3PM-5PM time frame, about 60-90 minutes later they could reach the northern parts of Central Alabama. We’ll keep an eye on this line to see if we can get a little extra relief from the heat.
HEAT ADVISORY: A Heat Advisory is in effect for much of north and central Alabama. Please use common sense when outside today.
TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: Heat is building as we start to reach the daytime maximum temperatures for the day across the area. Here is a list of temperature observations from across the area:
Alexander City 78
WHAT TO EXPECT FOR TODAY: Hot, hazy, and humid for the remainder of the day, with a risk of scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 90s, and with dewpoints well up into the 70s, the heat index will be up above 100 in many spots. The SPC has defined just about the whole state under a “Marginal Risk” for severe storms through the rest of today, with damaging winds associated with wet microbursts and dangerous frequent cloud-to-ground lightning being the main risks. The odds of any one spot getting rain today is 1 in 3.
CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Yellow” for ozone and particulate matter 2.5. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for July 22nd is 91, while the normal low is 70. The record high for today was set back in 1993 at 100. The record low was set back in 1947 at 55.
THE WEEKEND’S WEATHER: The “Carbon Copy Forecast” can be used for this weekend. Partly to mostly sunny skies with a risk of scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs on both days will be in the mid to upper 90s, with heat indices over 100 for most spots. The odds of any one spot getting rain each day is 1 in 3. Overnight lows will be in the 70s.
HEADED TO THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights though the weekend from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. But, of course, you will probably deal with an occasional storm from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast 87-91, with mid to upper 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
THE TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the next five days.
ON THIS DATE IN 1918: 504 sheep were killed at the Wasatch National Forest in Utah from a single bolt of lightning. Since sheep usually gather together in a herd during a storm, the shock traveled from one sheep to another as they were grouped closely together during this thunderstorm.
WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.
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The champion prevails, Golden Flake’s sale and a couple of fish tales were among the good news stories from our partners at Alabama NewsCenter.
How about this one from Nat King Cole?
“Roll out those lazy, hazy, crazy days of summer
Those days of soda and pretzels and beer
Roll out those lazy, hazy, crazy days of summer
Dust off the sun and moon and sing a song of cheer
Just fill your basket full of sandwiches and weenies
Then lock the house up, now you’re set
And on the beach you’ll see the girls in their bikinis
As cute as ever but they never get ’em wet”
NEW DAY, OLD FORECAST: You probably know what we are going to forecast for today and the weekend… after all, this is late July in Alabama. Our weather will continue to be hot and humid, and scattered showers and thunderstorms will bubble up during the heat of the day. We project a high in the mid 90s in most places today, and with the high dewpoints (well up in the 70s) the heat index will exceed 100 in many spots, and a “heat advisory” remains in effect for much of the state.
Where storms form this afternoon, they will be strong; SPC has a “marginal risk” of severe weather up for much of the state.
Most of the storms will come from 2:00 until 10:00 p.m… and biggest threats will come from lightning, and wet microbursts (local areas of straight line winds high enough to knock down trees and power lines). Chance of any one spot getting wet is about one in three, and there is no way of knowing in advance exactly when and where they form.
NEXT WEEK: No reason for much change. Hot, humid days, a mix of sun and clouds, and “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs generally in the low 90s. There will be day to day variations in the coverage and placement of the storms, but no way of knowing them now, so it is just a broad brush forecast.
TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected in the Atlantic basin through next week.
AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and an occasional passing thunderstorm for the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through next week. Highs 87-90 on the immediate coast, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
I have a summer weather program today at Pinson Elementary… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
Strong storms continue tonight across Central Alabama.
Storms are most intense along I-65 from Alabaster to Calera to Montevallo to Jemison to Thorsby.
The storms are slowly weakening but will continue for a couple of more hours.
Look for gusty winds, very heavy rains and deadly lightning.
…SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHILTON…SOUTHWESTERN SHELBY…
EASTERN BIBB AND WEST CENTRAL COOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 PM CDT…
AT 1102 PM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HELENA TO NEAR
CLANTON. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
UNIVERSITY OF MONTEVALLO…CHILTON COUNTY MOTOR SPORTS PARK…
BRIERFIELD IRONWORKS PARK…HIGGINS FERRY PARK…POOLES CROSSROADS…
ASHBY…MITCHELL LAKE…LAY LAKE DAM AND MAYLENE.