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Wednesday Midday Nowcast for Central Alabama

| 11:27 am May 25, 2016

simuawips

Most of Central Alabama at this hour is under mostly clear skies, but a few sections in the area have some clouds. Good news with the clouds that are currently over parts of the area, there is no rain involved with these. We note back to our northwest over Northwestern and Northeastern parts of Arkansas that a line of storms is moving southeastward. No warnings are associated with these at this time, but there is a possibility that the southern end of this feature could clip parts of North Alabama later today.

QUICK LOOK AT TEMPERATURES: A mix of 70s and 80s are being reported across Central Alabama at this time. The warm spot in the state being Montgomery at 83. Here is a list of temperature readings from across the state at this time:

Birmingham 81
Tuscaloosa 79
Muscle Shoals 82
Huntsville 79
Anniston 78
Alexander City 78
Montgomery 83
Dothan 80
Mobile 79

HRRR Model Run valid until midnight tonight.

HRRR Model Run valid until midnight tonight.

REST OF TODAY: Skies should remain mostly clear for most of the area, but some clouds will build during the afternoon hours. According to the latest HRRR model run, there is a chance that the southern end of a MCS that will be moving through Tennessee this afternoon could move through the northwestern counties of the state from the 4PM to 8PM time frame, but totally dissipates by the time it reaches the I-65 corridor. We’ll note that the NAM4k is not even showing it. I’ll mention a small risk of showers and storms for those counties. There is no severe threat with these, and there is no risk outlined by the SPC. Other than that, the rest of Central Alabama will remain dry. Afternoon highs will reach the upper 80s to right at 90. Some places might actually reach 91 or 92 today.

AIR QUALITY ALERT FOR BIRMINGHAM AREA: Today’s Air Quality Index will be in the CODE YELLOW (moderate) for ozone and particulate matter. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high temperature for May 25th in Birmingham is 83, while the normal low is 60. The record high of 95 was reached in 1962. The record low of 45 was set back in 1979.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny skies tomorrow, and the dewpoints and humidity levels are on the rise. Afternoon highs for most communities will be at close to 90 degrees.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Memorial Day from Gulf Shores east to Panama City Beach. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with upper 80s inland. See a very detailed beach forecast here.

TROPICAL MISCHIEF?: Hurricane season in the Atlantic basin officially begins one week from today (also the beginning of meteorological summer), but we are watching a disturbance east of the Bahamas. There is a chance this could become a hybrid type tropical low in coming days as it drifts toward the South Atlantic coast of the U.S. If this happens to develop, it should have no direct impact on Alabama or the Gulf Coast.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It continues through Sunday at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issue. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHERBRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can find it here.

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Summer-Like Weather Through Memorial Day

| 6:20 am May 25, 2016

DRY PATTERN CONTINUES: The overall weather pattern won’t change much; most of the big rain/storm action will remain in the zone from Texas up through the Great Plains and into the Upper Midwest in coming days. Around here, today will be another sunny and warm day with a high between 87 and 90 degrees this afternoon…. about five to eight degrees above average for late May in Alabama.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND: Humidity levels will slowly rise, and we could see a few afternoon showers or storms by Friday and the weekend, but they will be few and far between, and most communities will stay dry. Temperatures will remain above average with highs in the 87 to 90 degree range. Pretty much a persistence forecast thanks to upper ridging across the region.

TROPICS: Hurricane season in the Atlantic basin officially begins one week from today (also the beginning of meteorological summer), but we are watching a disturbance east of the Bahamas. There is a chance this could become a hybrid type tropical low in coming days as it drifts toward the South Atlantic coast of the U.S. If this happens to develop, it should have no direct impact on Alabama or the Gulf Coast.

two_atl_5d0

NEXT WEEK: Global models hint there could be a gradual increase in the chance of showers toward the end of next week; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Memorial Day from Gulf Shores east to Panama City Beach. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with upper 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It continues through Sunday at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issue. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I am speaking to Calhoun County Master Gardners today in Anniston… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Mostly Dry Through Memorial Day

| 3:30 pm May 24, 2016

FLIRTING WITH 90: An upper ridge will keep our weather pretty stagnant through the upcoming holiday weekend with little day to day change. Most of the big storms will remain well to the west of our state, across Texas, the Great Plains, and the Upper Midwest.

Expect the warmest weather so far this year, with afternoon highs in the 87 to 90 degree range on a daily basis. These values are about 5-8 degrees above average for late May in Alabama.

Humidity levels will slowly rise in coming days, and we could see a few isolated afternoon showers or storms by Friday and the weekend, but the chance of any one community seeing rain will be generally 20 percent or less.

And, even into early next week the pattern just doesn’t seem to change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016052412_min_max_16

TROPICS: A sub-tropical storm could form this weekend off the South Atlantic coast of the U.S… if this happens we expect no direct impact on Alabama.

wjxtBlake_2016-May-24

AT THE BEACH: This pattern will bring some perfect weather conditions to the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores through the Memorial Day weekend. Mostly sunny days, fair nights. Highs in the low 80s on the immediate coast, with upper 80s inland.

Sunrise photo below is from Orange beach this morning… taken by @cahabadave

CahabaDave_2016-May-24 1

See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It is starting this afternoon at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights through at least Friday. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Tuesday Midday Nowcast for Central Alabama

| 11:47 am May 24, 2016

simuawips

Mostly sunny skies across Central Alabama at this hour, with no rain on radar. It will stay that way for the rest of today for the area. The main action in the lower 48 states right now is located in West/Central Missouri and extreme Northeastern Arkansas. These slow moving storm are currently below severe limits, but is a high output of lightning and heavy rain associated with these storms. They are pushing to the east, but will be no threat to Alabama’s weather today.

QUICK LOOK AT TEMPERATURES: Almost every reporting station in Central Alabama at this time are up into the 80s, with the warm spot in the state being Montgomery at 85. Here is a list of temperature readings from across the state at this time:

Birmingham 82
Tuscaloosa 82
Muscle Shoals 83
Huntsville 82
Anniston 80
Alexander City 78
Montgomery 85
Dothan 83
Mobile 81

REST OF TODAY: Mostly sunny skies with afternoon highs reaching the mid to upper 80s for most communities in Central Alabama. A few clouds may move across the area later this afternoon and evening. Should still feel fairly comfortable with dew points in the 50s, and that will keep the humidity levels down.

AIR QUALITY ALERT FOR BIRMINGHAM AREA: Today’s Air Quality Index will be in the CODE ORANGE (unhealthy for sensitive groups) for ozone. The following groups should limit prolonged outdoor exertion:
• People with lung or heart disease
• Children and older adults
• People who are active outdoors

CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high temperature for May 24th in Birmingham is 83, while the normal low is 60. The record high of 96 was reached in 1996. The record low of 46 was set back in 1917.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny skies tomorrow, but it will not feel as pleasant as it has due to a rise in dewpoints/humidity levels. Afternoon highs will also be on the rise, as most communities will be close to, or slightly over, 90 degrees.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through the Memorial Day weekend from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with upper 80s inland. Sea water temperatures are generally between 77 and 81 degrees. See a very detailed beach forecast here.

TROPICAL MISCHIEF?: Global models are hinting at a hybrid low forming near the South Atlantic coast late this weekend. There is some chance it could be a “sub-tropical storm”. One way or another it won’t directly impact Alabama weather.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It begins today at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights through Friday. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHERBRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can find it here.

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Summer Preview; Dry Weather Continues

| 6:22 am May 24, 2016

HEATING UP: With a mostly sunny sky today, we project a high between 86 and 89 degrees for most Alabama communities today; the average high for May 24 (for Birmingham) is 83. Dewpoints will hold in the 50s today, so the humidity won’t be too bad.

REST OF THE WEEK: We are forecasting highs pretty close to 90 degrees tomorrow through Friday with a good supply of sunshine each day. Humidity levels will creep up, so nights won’t be quite as pleasant. And, I guess we could mention a slight risk of a shower Friday afternoon as the air will be a tad more unstable, but the risk for any one spot seeing rain is so small I don’t think it is worth the mention for now.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Not much change. An upper ridge will keep Alabama mostly dry with only isolated afternoon showers. The chance of any community seeing a shower is only in the 10-20 percent range, and daily highs will be in the 86-90 degree range.

Birmingham has measured only 0.12″ of rain since May 13, and soil moisture will continue to decrease as we get into early June. Unfortunately there is nothing now to suggest a big, widespread rain event over the next 10 days.

HURRICANE SEASON: It kicks off next Wednesday, June 1. Keep in mind we had a rare January tropical system earlier this year, Hurricane Alex, so the first named storm this summer will be “Bonnie”. When Alex became a hurricane January 14, it marked only the second recorded hurricane formation in January, with the other being Hurricane One in 1938.

We note global models continue to hint at a hybrid low forming near the South Atlantic coast late this weekend; some chance it could be a “sub-tropical storm”. One way or another it won’t directly impact Alabama weather. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016052400_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through the Memorial Day weekend from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with upper 80s inland. Sea water temperatures are generally between 77 and 81 degrees. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It begins today at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights through Friday. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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WeatherBrains 540: Your Pop Filter is the Same Size as Mine

| 5:15 am May 24, 2016

WeatherBrains Episode 540 is now online (May 23, 2016). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain #1 is Jane Cage, the former Chairman of the Joplin Citizens Advisory Recovery Team and head of the Joplin Proud Committee. Jane Cage, welcome to WeatherBrains.

And tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain #2 is a broadcast journalist who is writing a book on the Joplin tornado and how it relates to the larger picture of disaster recovery. Likes loitering, trading insults with his girlfriend, and frozen yogurt. Steve Holmes, welcome to WeatherBrains.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 102 at Persimmon Gap, TX, and 21 at Walden, CO, & Bondurant, WY
  • Nearly a week of severe weather for central US
  • Warm across much of the country
  • Active weather keeps Rick Smith busy in Oklahoma
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • and more!

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: It’s only a little more than a week to the start of the 2016 hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. So many weather enthusiasts will be watching the official National Hurricane Center forecasts for any storms that form. And that forecast has a cone that widens in time. So what is that cone and what does it mean?

Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 540:

Joplin Proud

Telestar by the Tornados (found by WeatherBrains listener Scott)

Apical Ballooning Syndrome

To subscribe to the new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

Picks of the Week:

Jane Cage – Tuscaloosa, AL, Recovery

Steve Holmes – Fatal tornado in India

Nate Johnson – Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic

Bill Murray – Center for Satellite Application and Research

Brian Peters – new Joint Typhoon Warning Center page

Kevin Selle – No Pick

James Spann – Tornado warning for Val Verde

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Close and far Martian oppositions

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Audible.com graphic

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Summer Preview This Week

| 3:19 pm May 23, 2016

HEATING UP: Temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s across Alabama this afternoon, but dewpoints are in the 40s, so the warmth is pretty comfortable. The sky is sunny.

REST OF THE WEEK: Active weather stays well to the west of Alabama; around here we expect mostly sunny days and fair nights with rising afternoon temperatures and humidity levels. We reach the upper 80s tomorrow, and the high will be very close to 90 degrees Wednesday through Friday. There could be sufficient moisture and instability for a few isolated afternoon showers Thursday and Friday, but the chance of any one spot seeing rain is very low.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Not much change. Partly sunny days, fair nights, highs between 87 and 90. A afternoon shower or storm is possible, but they will be very widely separated and most communities will stay dry Saturday through Monday.

We do note global models show some type of hybrid low just off the South Atlantic coast this weekend; some chance it becomes a “sub-tropical storm”. But, no impact on Alabama is expected one way or another. Hurricane season (for the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico) begins next Wednesday, June 1.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016052312_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, clear nights through the Memorial Day weekend from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. Highs in the low 80s on the immediate coast; 87-90 degrees inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It begins tomorrow at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights through at least Friday. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Riverchase Elementary… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Monday Midday Nowcast for Central Alabama

| 11:47 am May 23, 2016

simuawips

After a nice cool morning today in Central Alabama, a great day is in store. Temperatures started off in the low 50s for most spots in the area, but a few upper 40s were reported. Its probably going to be a while, maybe late September, before we will see temperatures this low again. Get ready, as summer is quickly approaching, and we’ll get an early taste of it this week as temperatures will be above normal for this time of year.

QUICK LOOK AT TEMPERATURES: Most communities are into the upper 70s and low 80s, with the warm spot in the state being Huntsville at 82. Here is a list of temperature readings from across the state at this time:

Birmingham 78
Tuscaloosa 80
Muscle Shoals 79
Huntsville 82
Anniston 78
Alexander City 77
Montgomery 81
Dothan 81
Mobile 80

Latest Model Run With Today's Maximum Temperatures

Latest Model Run With Today’s Maximum Temperatures

REST OF TODAY: A beautiful and dry day is expected for the remainder of today. A few clouds may move across the area later this afternoon and evening. Lower dewpoint/humidity will make it feel pretty comfortable, and with a nice northwesterly wind averaging 5 to 10 MPH. Highs will reach the mid to upper 80s for most communities in Central Alabama.

CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high temperature for May 23rd in Birmingham is 83, while the normal low is 60. The record high of 95 was reached in 1996. The record low of 47 was set back in 1954.

TUESDAY: Tomorrow will still feel fairly comfortable, as dewpoints and humidity levels will remain lower. Skies will be mostly sunny, and afternoon temperatures will reach the upper 80s. Early morning lows will be in the mid to upper 50s.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Sunny days, clear nights through the Memorial Day weekend from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. Highs in the low 80s on the immediate coast; 87-90 degrees inland. Sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 78 degrees. See a very detailed beach forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It begins tomorrow at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights through at least Friday. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHERBRAINS: This week, we were talking rip currents with Jeff Medlen from the NWS in Mobile. Did you know that rip currents are typically the deadliest weather phenomenon in their County Warning Area? Learn more about the science behind rip currents on the weekly netcast that’s all about weather at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live at http://live.bigbrainsmedia.com/. You can also see the show on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or satellite or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

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Warmest Weather So Far This Year Ahead

| 6:21 am May 23, 2016

COOL MORNING: Feels good across the great state of Alabama early this morning… come of the coolest temperatures include 46 at Fort Payne, 47 at Cullman and Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden), 48 at Haleyville, and 49 at Concord. For many places, next time we see 40s could be in late September.

DRY DAYS: Today will be sunny with a big warm-up; we wind up in the mid 80s this afternoon. Sunny weather continues tomorrow with a high in the upper 80s. Dewpoints/humidity values will remain fairly low both days.

Then, later in the week, heat and humidity levels will rise. We project a high very close to 90 degrees each afternoon Wednesday through Friday, and the higher dewpoints will sure make it feel like summer. An upper ridge will keep it dry.

Birmingham’s rain total for the month of May is only 1.38″, so we could use a good rain event, but it won’t happen this week.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Not much change; mostly dry and hot weather is the story Saturday through Monday, with partly sunny days and fair nights. We will mention the risk of “widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms” Sunday and Monday, but the chance of any one spot getting wet remains pretty small.

KBHM_2016052300_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, clear nights through the Memorial Day weekend from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. Highs in the low 80s on the immediate coast; 87-90 degrees inland. Sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 78 degrees. Photo below was taken late yesterday at Panama City Beach from Trent Penny.

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See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It begins tomorrow at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights through at least Friday. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will do my last weather program for the 2015-16 school year today at Riverchase Elementary School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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A Border to Border Bridge of Watches

| 8:32 pm May 22, 2016

An unusual sight this evening across the middle of the country tonight.

Screen Shot 2016-05-22 at 8.07.33 PM

You could literally walk from Terrell County, Texas, on the Mexican border, all the way to the Canadian border, and be in a severe weather watch the entire way.

Tornado warnings are in effect in Kansas and Texas as well. There have been 28 tornado reports so far, all the way from South Dakota to Texas.

2016-05-22_20-29-51

A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground northwest of Garden City, Kansas right now. It is reported to be nearly stationary.

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