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New Tornado Watch for Much of Mississippi; A Few Thoughts on Rounds 3 and 4

| January 21, 2017 @ 8:07 pm

A new tornado watch has been issued that will cover much of their forecast area, which covers most of northern Mississippi.

The temperatures shown are dewpoint temperatures.

Storms are firing now in Central Louisiana that will enter Mississippi near Vicksburg in the next couple of hours. Additionally, storms over northern Louisiana and southern Arkansas will move into the Mississippi River Delta of West Central Mississippi in three hours or so as well.

All of this activity will affect Central Alabama later tonight.

We are now about to enter Round Two of this severe weather event. It will last through 3-4 a.m. tomorrow morning when most of the second round of activity will be out of Alabama.

The third round of weather will come into West Central and Southwest Alabama by 9-10 a.m. and will quickly overspread the area from the southwest through early afternoon. Heavy rain, gusty winds and lightning will be the main threats. The best threat of severe weather in round three

Then, as the upper low rotates into Alabama late tomorrow night, additional showers and storms will form under the cold air aloft. Hail will be a threat.

The activity should be gone by Monday. Expect colder air for the end of the week into the weekend.

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PDS Tornado Watch Issued for Southern 2/3rds of Alabama Until 3 a.m.

| January 21, 2017 @ 6:59 pm

A tornado watch has been issued for is being considered right now for a large part of Central Alabama and South Alabama by the National Weather Service. It is a PDS or Particularly Dangerous Situation watch.

It goes until 3 a.m. CST. In Central Alabama, it includes: Autauga, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Chambers, Chilton, Clay, Coosa, Dallas, Elmore, Greene, Hale, Lee, Lowndes, Macon, Marengo, Montgomery, Perry, Pike, Randolph, Russell, Shelby, Sumter, Talladega and Tallapoosa Counties.

There is a high probability of tornadoes and a high probability of EF2 or greater tornadoes in the tornado watch area.

This is a serious situation and requires your full attention overnight if you live in the tornado watch area. Have a way to get warnings, stay abreast of the situation and know what your tornado plan is.

Storms have intensified rapidly in the past couple of hours over southeastern Louisiana and coastal Mississippi. They are spreading northeastward along a surge of warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. There have been a few reports of large hail over southeastern Louisiana and Mississippi Coast.

Storms have also formed rapidly in Northwest Louisiana between Ruston and Alexandria. There have been several tornado warnings in that area. Lots of large hail reports here, including several 1.75-2 inch reports over NW Louisiana and southern Arkansas. Some really cold air aloft here is helping the hail to happen.

Tornado watches are already in effect from southeastern Oklahoma to the border of Mississippi and Alabama.

Thunderstorms are already over Mobile County should be deeper into Southwest Alabama by 8 p.m. There is already a tornado warning for Mobile County. They will spread quickly northeast into South Central Alabama, generally east of I-65 and south of I-85 by 10 pm. A couple of rounds may affect this same area into East Central Alabama between then and 2 a.m.

More storms will move into West Central Alabama by 10 pm. And will overspread areas north of I-59 through 4 a.m. Some of these storms will be severe as well, with large hail and damaging winds being the main threat but an isolated tornado is possible as well.

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Watches Have Been Issued To Our West

| January 21, 2017 @ 4:30 pm

Two tornado watches to our west already this afternoon.

The first is for southern Mississippi and southeastern Louisiana until 9 p.m.

There are storms over southeastern Louisiana that are expected to increase this evening as they spread northeastward.

The second is for extreme southeastern Oklahoma, northeastern Texas, northwestern Louisiana and southwestern Arkansas.

There is moderate chance of tornadoes and damaging winds and a high risk of large hail in this watch.

Thunderstorms have developed across the western part of this watch area and they will spread northeastward this evening and overnight. There is also a tornado watch for parts of the Florida Panhandle until 6 p.m. CST for the line of storms we experienced this morning.

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Significant Severe Weather Threat Possible for Portions of Alabama Tonight

| January 21, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

Later tonight, we are going to see another strong upper-level jet streak round the base of the trough, and this will cause a shortwave to eject out of the upper-level low over the Southern Plains. This is going to allow numerous storms to develop to our west and move towards Alabama late tonight. We should see two areas of convection develop, the first being the activity to the west, while another round of storms develops along the Gulf Coast, much like we saw earlier this morning. All modes of severe weather are going to be possible and that includes large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, some of which could be large, violent tornadoes.

PLACEMENT: In the latest day one outlook, the SPC has upgraded to a “moderate risk” (level 4 out of 5) across much of South Alabama, roughly along and south of the U.S. Highway 80 and Interstate 85 corridors. Cities included are Montgomery, Auburn, Troy, Selma, Greenville, Monroeville, Evergreen, Opp, and all locations in between. An “enhanced risk” covers the rest of the southern half of Alabama, while the northern half of Alabama is in the standard “slight risk”.

Overnight, strong low-level shear will promote rotation, and there is a threat for tornadoes across the entire state, however, the highest tornado threat seems to be over the southern half of the state within the “moderate risk” area. STP (Significant Tornado Parameter) values are highest there, and is where we are going to see the best combination of instability and shear. Below is the projected STP values for 11PM tonight.

The main window for strong to severe storms will come from roughly 8PM tonight through 6AM tomorrow morning. This system has the POTENTIAL to be a high impact event for the state. We have already seen significant damage from the first round of storms this morning across South Alabama and South Mississippi. Please remain weather aware as we head into the overnight hours.

Along with threat of storms, we have to mention the threat for some flooding issues across the state as an additional 1-3 inches rain is possible.

Make sure you have multiple reliable sources to receive severe weather notifications in the event a warning is issued for your location. With some of the severe weather occurring during the overnight hours, it extremely important that you are able to receive the alerts. Continue to check the blog frequently for severe weather updates.

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A Calm Afternoon; More Severe Storms Tonight

| January 21, 2017 @ 9:32 am

After a very rough morning across Alabama, the storms have shifted into Georgia, an we expect a quiet afternoon with some sun breaking through the clouds and a high in the low 70s. But, another round of severe weather is likely late tonight and early tomorrow as a deep upper low approaches from the west.

ROUND TWO: The main window for strong to severe storms will come from roughly 11:00 tonight through 6:00 a.m. tomorrow.

Highest tornado threat seems to be over the southern half of the state; STP (Significant Tornado Parameter) values are highest there, with a good combination of instability and shear.

But, understand the chance of a tornado over North Alabama is not zero, just much smaller. Storms tonight will also be capable of producing large hail and damaging straight line winds.

Additional rain amounts of 1-2 inches could also create some flooding issues.

CALL TO ACTION: Be sure you have a way of hearing severe weather watches and warnings. At home, you need a properly programmed NOAA Weather Radio with a battery backup. On your phone, for warnings we recommend WeatherRadio by WDT. You can watch our live severe weather coverage on the free ABC 33/40 app. Here are the links…

ABC 33/40 iOS version for iPhones and iPads

ABC 33/40 Android version for Android phones and tablets

Review your action plan in case a tornado warning polygon includes your home. Get in a small room, on the lowest floor, away from windows, and near the center of the house. You do NOT have to be underground. Never be in a car or mobile home.

Stay tuned to the blog for updates throughout the day…

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Tornado Warning Continues for Pike County Until 945 AM CST

| January 21, 2017 @ 9:23 am

UPDATE 930 AM

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTY…

At 930 AM CST, a severe squall line capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located along a
line extending from near Boot Hill to near Ariton, moving east at 50
mph.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include…
Tennille and Josie.
___________________________________________________________________

DAMAGE REPORT at 9:25
Trees were reported down on George Wallace Drive in Troy. Possible tornado.
___________________________________________________________________
CURRENT WARNING INFO

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CST FOR EASTERN
PIKE COUNTY…

At 921 AM CST, tornado producing storms were located along a line
extending from near Beans Crossroads to 7 miles south of Brundidge,
moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD…Damaging tornado.

SOURCE…Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include…
Troy, Brundidge, Banks, Linwood, Antioch, Brundidge Municipal
Airport, Josie, Sandfield, Tennille, Tarentum, Monticello and
Hamilton Crossroads.

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New Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Pike County Until 9:30 AM CST

| January 21, 2017 @ 8:50 am

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for…
Pike County in southeastern Alabama…

* Until 930 AM CST

* At 847 AM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Grady to near Brantley, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD…60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE…Radar indicated.

IMPACT…Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include…
Troy, Brundidge, Goshen, Banks, Ansley, Troy Municipal Airport,
Troy University, Linwood, Antioch, Brundidge Municipal Airport,
Mossy Grove, Josie, Tennille, China Grove, Henderson, Tarentum,
Monticello, Sandfield, Orion and Hamilton Crossroads.

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Tornado Warning Canceled for Lee and Chambers Counties

| January 21, 2017 @ 8:43 am

The tornado warning has been canceled for Lee and Chambers Counties. The storms have moved into Georgia.

The tornado watch remains in effect until 11 a.m. though.
____________________________________________________________________________________

917 UPDATE
The most dangerous part of the storm is over Smith’s Station now. Take cover now!

908 UPDATE

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CST FOR EASTERN
LEE AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES…

At 908 AM CST, tornado producing storms were located along a line
extending from near Ridge Grove to near Beans Mill to near Griffen
Mill, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD…Damaging tornado.

SOURCE…Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include…
Opelika, Valley, Lanett, Lafayette, Smiths, Smiths Station, La
Fayette, Lakeview, Cusseta, West Chambers, Beans Mill, Ridge Grove,
Huguley, Trammel Crossroads, Fairfax, Chambers County Lake, Bleecker,
Griffen Mill, River View and Post Oak Forks.

_________________________________________________________________________

854 AM UPDATE

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CST FOR LEE AND
CHAMBERS COUNTIES…

At 854 AM CST, tornado producing storms were located along a line
extending from near Trammel Crossroads to near Beauregard to near
Uchee, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD…Damaging tornado.

SOURCE…Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include…
Auburn, Opelika, Valley, Lanett, Lafayette, Smiths, Smiths Station,
La Fayette, Waverly, Lakeview, Cusseta, West Chambers, Beans Mill,
Ridge Grove, Huguley, Trammel Crossroads, Fairfax, Chambers County
Lake, Bleecker and Griffen Mill.

ORIGINAL POST

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for…
Northeastern Macon County in southeastern Alabama…
Lee County in east central Alabama…
Chambers County in east central Alabama…

* Until 945 AM CST

* At 840 AM CST, severe thunderstorms capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage were located
along a line extending from near Jacksons’ Gap to near Tuskegee
National Forest to 6 miles southwest of Society Hill, moving east
at 60 mph.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include…
Auburn, Opelika, Valley, Lanett, Notasulga, Lafayette, Smiths,
Smiths Station, La Fayette, Waverly, Lakeview, Cusseta, West
Chambers, Beans Mill, Fairfax, Bleecker, Post Oak Forks, Denson,
Beulah and Auburn University.

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Tornado Warning Continues for Parts of Lee County Until 9:15 AM

| January 21, 2017 @ 8:26 am

UPDATE 905 AM

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN LEE COUNTY…

At 905 AM CST, a severe squall line capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located along a
line extending from 6 miles northeast of Jacksons’ Gap to near
Auburn, moving east at 30 mph.

There is a second tornado warning as well for Lee County.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include…
Auburn, Notasulga, Waverly, Loachapoka and Roxana.


…The tornado warning for SE Tallapoosa County has been canceled.


At 852 AM CST, a severe squall line capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located along a
line extending from near Jacksons’ Gap to near Tuskegee National
Forest, moving east at 30 mph.
HAZARD…Tornado.
SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
Locations impacted include…
Auburn, Dadeville, Camp Hill, Notasulga, Jacksons’ Gap, Waverly,
Northern Lake Martin, Eastern Lake Martin, Loachapoka, Roxana and
Eagle Creek.

Tornado Warning Canceled For Parts Of Macon County

Jan 21st @ 8:35 am


area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.
A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM CST for southeastern
and east central Alabama.
LAT…LON 3254 8559 3257 8566 3258 8566 3258 8568
3292 8589 3298 8559 3273 8559 3273 8552
3258 8549
TIME…MOT…LOC 1452Z 262DEG 26KT 3292 8582 3254 8558


Tornado Warning Continues For Parts Of Lee, Macon, And Tallapoosa Counties Until 915 AM

Jan 21st @ 8:35 am

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL MACON…NORTHWESTERN LEE AND CENTRAL TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES…

At 843 AM CST, tornado producing storms were located along a line
extending from near Alexander City to near Notasulga, moving east at
30 mph.

HAZARD…Damaging tornado.

SOURCE…Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include…
Auburn, Alexander City, Dadeville, Camp Hill, Notasulga, Jacksons’
Gap, Waverly, Northern Lake Martin, Wind Creek State Park, Still
Waters Resort, Eastern Lake Martin, Liberty City, Western Lake
Martin, Loachapoka, Blue Creek Marina, Eagle Creek, Susannah
Crossing, Roxana, Maxwell Gunter Recreation Area and Dare Park.

…THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ELMORE COUNTY IS CANCELLED…

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

UPDATE 834 AM

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL MACON…NORTHEASTERN ELMORE…NORTHWESTERN LEE AND CENTRAL
TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES…

A tornado debris signature was indicted just north of the Maxwell Radar site at 8:34 a.m.

At 834 AM CST, tornado producing storms were located along a line
extending from near Alexander City to near Notasulga, moving east at
30 mph.

HAZARD…Damaging tornado.

SOURCE…Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include…
Auburn, Alexander City, Tuskegee, Dadeville, Camp Hill, Notasulga,
Jacksons’ Gap, Waverly, Kowaliga Bridge, Western Lake Martin, Eastern
Lake Martin, Martin Dam, Northern Lake Martin, Wind Creek State Park,
Still Waters Resort, Liberty City, Loachapoka, Blue Creek Marina,
Eagle Creek and Susannah Crossing.

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL MACON…NORTHEASTERN ELMORE…NORTHWESTERN LEE AND CENTRAL
TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES…

At 833 AM CST, a severe squall line capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located along a
line extending from Alexander City to near Notasulga, moving
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include…
Auburn, Alexander City, Tuskegee, Dadeville, Camp Hill, Notasulga,
Jacksons’ Gap, Waverly, Kowaliga Bridge, Western Lake Martin, Eastern
Lake Martin, Martin Dam, Northern Lake Martin, Wind Creek State Park,
Still Waters Resort, Liberty City, Loachapoka, Blue Creek Marina,
Eagle Creek and Susannah Crossing.

…THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN COOSA COUNTY IS CANCELLED…

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM CST for southeastern
and east central Alabama.

_____________________________________________________________________________

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for…
North central Macon County in southeastern Alabama…
Northeastern Elmore County in east central Alabama…
Northwestern Lee County in east central Alabama…
Southeastern Coosa County in east central Alabama…
Tallapoosa County in east central Alabama…

* Until 915 AM CST

* At 822 AM CST, severe thunderstorms capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage were located
along a line extending from near Pentonville to near Reeves
Airport, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD…Tornado.

SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include…
Auburn, Alexander City, Tuskegee, Tallassee, Dadeville, Camp Hill,
Notasulga, Equality, Jacksons’ Gap, Franklin, Waverly, Kowaliga
Bridge, Western Lake Martin, Tallapoosa City, Eastern Lake Martin,
Reeves Airport, Martin Dam, Northern Lake Martin, Wind Creek State
Park and Highway 9 and Highway 22.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

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Even More Counties Dropped From Tornado Watch

| January 21, 2017 @ 8:19 am

The latest counties to be dropped from the Tornado Watch are Shelby, Chilton, Autauga, and Lowndes counties. The severe threat for those counties have diminished.

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Coosa County until 8:30 AM CST

| January 21, 2017 @ 8:18 am

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for…
Coosa County in east central Alabama…

* Until 830 AM CST

* At 807 AM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Stewartville to near Speed, moving northeast at
45 mph.

HAZARD…60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE…Radar indicated.

IMPACT…Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include…
Goodwater, Rockford, Kellyton, Stewartville, Equality, Highway 9
and Highway 22, Crewsville, Cottage Grove, Bradford, Pentonville,
Hatchet, Bentleyville, Hanover, Speed, Nixburg, Welona, Parkdale,
Western Lake Martin, Hissop and Fishpond.

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Tornado Warning Continues For Parts Of Elmore County Until 830 AM CST.

| January 21, 2017 @ 8:00 am

At 808 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
     was located over Ten Cedar Estates, or 8 miles north of Wetumpka,
     moving east at 40 mph.
     HAZARD…Tornado.
     SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.
     IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
     shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
     to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
     likely.
     Locations impacted include…
     Eclectic, Kowaliga Bridge, Ten Cedar Estates, Santuck, Dexter,
     Western Lake Martin, Jordan Lake and Central.


Tornado Warning Continues For Parts Of Elmore County Until 830 AM CST

Jan 21st @ 8:00 am


At 801 AM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Wetumpka, moving
     northeast at 35 mph.
     HAZARD…Damaging tornado.
     SOURCE…Radar confirmed tornado.
     IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
     shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
     to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
     likely.
     Locations impacted include…
     Wetumpka, Eclectic, Kowaliga Bridge, Dexter, Ten Cedar Estates,
     Santuck, Western Lake Martin, Blue Ridge, Jordan Lake, Central,
     Claud, Wallsboro and Jordan Dam.


Tornado Warning Issued For Parts Of Elmore County

Jan 21st @ 8:00 am


The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for…
     Northwestern Elmore County in east central Alabama…

* Until 830 AM CST

* At 758 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
     was located over Wetumpka, moving northeast at 35 mph.
     HAZARD…Tornado.
     SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.
     IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
     shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
     Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
     damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include…
     Wetumpka, Eclectic, Kowaliga Bridge, Dexter, Ten Cedar Estates,
     Santuck, Western Lake Martin, Blue Ridge, Jordan Lake, Central,
     Claud, Wallsboro and Jordan Dam.

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