Archive for February 26th, 2012
A quick note:
The National Weather Service in Birmingham has two safety talks scheduled for this week. They will be working to educate people about the warning process and how to protect themselves.
The first will be tonight from 6-8 p.m. in Tuscaloosa at Calvary Church in Tuscaloosa.
The second one will be at More than Conquerors Faith Church in Birmingham on Tuesday, February 28th from 7-9 p.m.
More information at: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/bmx/?n=outreach_safetytalks.
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Some morning clouds from the weak short wave moving along the Gulf Coast will give way to lots of sunshine for the afternoon allowing temperatures to climb into the middle 60s for most locations. And as we head back to work Monday, we should see another nice weather day as the warming trend continues as we plod closer to the start of Spring. And don’t forget that Daylight Savings Time starts in just two weeks.
A strong trough will come out of the Rockies on Tuesday bringing another round of rain and perhaps some thunderstorms to Central Alabama. It appears the main timing will be late Tuesday and into early Wednesday. At the moment, this system does not appear likely to produce severe weather for Alabama, but we’ll watch its evolution to make certain that is the case. SPC does have a slight risk on Day 3 centered primarily on Arkansas.
A weak ridge will develop after the trough goes by giving us a nice day for Thursday before the next trough comes out of the Rockies to give us another shot at rain and thunderstorms. The initial look on the GFS and the ECMWF does not appear too bullish on severe weather potential, and as SPC points out there continue to be too many differences in model solutions to identify a specific threat area this far out. So another watch and see situation. The GFS suggests that this front will move by with a drop in temperatures once again though still nothing extreme to note.
Rainfall amounts with the first system are likely to average around an inch for most locations. The second system could bring as much, however, if the storms move through fast rainfall totals might be closer to a half inch than to one inch.
Voodoo country continues to remain progressive with a train of systems, one around the 7th and another around the 11th/12th. Still nothing to suggest any extreme cold.
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