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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Archive for November 5th, 2012

Rain Poised To Move Into Alabama

| 3:44 pm November 5, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: We actually have rain already in Alabama this afternoon… over the southwest counties. Rain is falling in places like Citronelle, Jackson, Monroeville, and Georgiana. Up on this end of Alabama, a little virga is showing up (rain aloft that evaporates before reaching the ground), but most of the rain is still to the west over Mississippi, West Tennessee, and Arkansas. We even note a few thunderstorms over Southeast Arkansas.

Rain will slowly overspread much of the state tonight, with rain amounts mostly under 1/2 because of the limited moisture supply. I guess there could be a little thunder in spots, but no severe weather is expected with a cool, stable airmass.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: The rain will end from west to east tomorrow morning, and the day will be cloudy and cool with temperatures holding in the 50s. Then, on Wednesday, clouds could linger over the state early in the day, but the sky should become mostly sunny by midday, but the day will be windy and cool with a high in the upper 50s. Northwest winds of 12-22 mph are likely Wednesday thanks to the combination of a strong nor’easter off the Atlantic coast to the east, and high pressure to the west.

NOR’EASTER: Models continue to show a significant nor’easter impacting the upper half of the U.S. Atlantic coast Wednesday and Thursday with more wind, rain, and coastal flooding. Some interior snow is also possible, if not likely.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These two days should feature a good supply of sunshine with a warming trend. The high Thursday will be near 60, followed by upper 60s Friday. We should note early morning temperatures will be pretty chilly, with 30s like over most of North and Central Alabama.

WEEKEND PEEK: The weather looks dry, mild, and breezy Saturday and Sunday with a high around 70 both days. Winds will pick up, especially Sunday, as a major surface low forms over the nation’s mid-section. This could very well bring a severe weather threat to parts of North Texas, East Oklahoma, Southeast Kansas, and Missouri Sunday afternoon and Sunday night.

SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY? The 12Z GFS shows a more robust setup for strong to severe thunderstorms across Alabama Monday with a long wave upper trough interacting with a moist, unstable airmass. There is no way to resolve specifics this far in advance, but just be aware of the possibility. See the afternoon Weather Xtreme video for the details and graphics.

STORM ALERT XTREME IS SATURDAY: Our annual storm spotter training is coming up this Saturday at the BJCC, as part of the Alabama International Auto show. We begin at 9:00, and you will be done at 2:00. And, as a “thank you”, you will get free admission into the car show. There is no cost, and no need to register, just show up. Brian Peters will be the trainer, and we ask all existing and potential Skywatchers to attend. We are excited that Kevin Laws of the NWS Birmingham will be conducting a session on using dual-pol radar. See you there!

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Should be a lively discussion tonight… the show begins at 8:30 p.m. CST… and you can watch live here.

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I enjoyed school programs today at Gathering Place Christian Academy in Moody, and Gwin Elementary in Hoover. Be looking for these kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Rain Returns Tonight

| 7:19 am November 5, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MORE QUICK CHANGES: A strong upper trough will swing through Alabama tonight, and there will be sufficient moisture for rain just about statewide. The main window for rain comes from about 6:00 this evening through 8:00 a.m. tomorrow. This is very dynamic system that features very cold air aloft, but moisture is rather limited, so we figure rain amounts will be generally 1/2 inch or less for most places. The NAM is printing 0.18″ for Birmingham, while the GFS is at 0.34″. You hear a little thunder due to the cold air aloft, but the air at the surface will be cool and stable, and there is no risk of severe weather.

COOLER TOMORROW: Rain ends from west to east tomorrow morning across Alabama, but clouds will hang tough all day, and we won’t get out of the 50s. Another wave clips the northeast corner of the state tomorrow night, and there might even be a raindrop or two there, but it won’t amount to much.

WEDNESDAY: Sunshine returns to Alabama, but the day will be breezy and cool thanks to another nor’easter that promises to bring more problems to the upper Atlantic coast of the U.S. Of course, there is no hurricane involved like last time, but this will bring winds of 30-50 mph to the coasts of New Jersey and Long Island, with potential for heavy rain on the coast and some inland snow. Here in our state not sure we can make it out of the 50s despite the return of sunshine.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Lots of sunshine on these days with a warming trend. We reach the low 60s Thursday, and upper 60s Friday.

OUR WEEKEND: Delightful weather should be the story, with sunny mild days and clear cool nights. The high both days will be around 70 degrees, with morning lows in the 40s. But, while we enjoy the nice weekend, to the west a large scale upper trough will be over the western half of the nation with very cold air and mountain snow. And, as this moves east, it has the potential to bring strong to severe storms to parts of North Texas, Oklahoma, Southeast Kansas, and Missouri Sunday and Sunday night.

STORMY MONDAY? The big trough will finally push storms into Alabama late Monday or Monday night of next week, and we will be monitoring parameters in coming days for severe weather potential. This is the fall tornado season, so getting this kind of setup is not unusual. Looks like the dynamic support could be weakening a bit when it moves into the state, but this event is 7 days away and it is just too early to be specific. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.

STORM ALERT XTREME IS SATURDAY: Our annual storm spotter training is coming up this Saturday at the BJCC, as part of the Alabama International Auto show. We begin at 9:00, and you will be done at 2:00. And, as a “thank you”, you will get free admission into the car show. There is no cost, and no need to register, just show up. Brian Peters will be the trainer, and we ask all existing and potential Skywatchers to attend. We are excited that Kevin Laws of the NWS Birmingham will be conducting a session on using dual-pol radar. See you there!

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CST… you can watch live here, or on our digital weather channel, James Spann 24/7 on cable systems around the state.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have weather programs today at Gathering Place Christian Academy in Moody, and Gwin Elementary in Hoover. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!