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RADAR CHECK: We actually have rain already in Alabama this afternoon… over the southwest counties. Rain is falling in places like Citronelle, Jackson, Monroeville, and Georgiana. Up on this end of Alabama, a little virga is showing up (rain aloft that evaporates before reaching the ground), but most of the rain is still to the west over Mississippi, West Tennessee, and Arkansas. We even note a few thunderstorms over Southeast Arkansas.
Rain will slowly overspread much of the state tonight, with rain amounts mostly under 1/2 because of the limited moisture supply. I guess there could be a little thunder in spots, but no severe weather is expected with a cool, stable airmass.
TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: The rain will end from west to east tomorrow morning, and the day will be cloudy and cool with temperatures holding in the 50s. Then, on Wednesday, clouds could linger over the state early in the day, but the sky should become mostly sunny by midday, but the day will be windy and cool with a high in the upper 50s. Northwest winds of 12-22 mph are likely Wednesday thanks to the combination of a strong nor’easter off the Atlantic coast to the east, and high pressure to the west.
NOR’EASTER: Models continue to show a significant nor’easter impacting the upper half of the U.S. Atlantic coast Wednesday and Thursday with more wind, rain, and coastal flooding. Some interior snow is also possible, if not likely.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These two days should feature a good supply of sunshine with a warming trend. The high Thursday will be near 60, followed by upper 60s Friday. We should note early morning temperatures will be pretty chilly, with 30s like over most of North and Central Alabama.
WEEKEND PEEK: The weather looks dry, mild, and breezy Saturday and Sunday with a high around 70 both days. Winds will pick up, especially Sunday, as a major surface low forms over the nation’s mid-section. This could very well bring a severe weather threat to parts of North Texas, East Oklahoma, Southeast Kansas, and Missouri Sunday afternoon and Sunday night.
SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY? The 12Z GFS shows a more robust setup for strong to severe thunderstorms across Alabama Monday with a long wave upper trough interacting with a moist, unstable airmass. There is no way to resolve specifics this far in advance, but just be aware of the possibility. See the afternoon Weather Xtreme video for the details and graphics.
STORM ALERT XTREME IS SATURDAY: Our annual storm spotter training is coming up this Saturday at the BJCC, as part of the Alabama International Auto show. We begin at 9:00, and you will be done at 2:00. And, as a “thank you”, you will get free admission into the car show. There is no cost, and no need to register, just show up. Brian Peters will be the trainer, and we ask all existing and potential Skywatchers to attend. We are excited that Kevin Laws of the NWS Birmingham will be conducting a session on using dual-pol radar. See you there!
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Should be a lively discussion tonight… the show begins at 8:30 p.m. CST… and you can watch live here.
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I enjoyed school programs today at Gathering Place Christian Academy in Moody, and Gwin Elementary in Hoover. Be looking for these kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….