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Archive for November 14th, 2012

Only A Few Sprinkles

| 3:15 pm November 14, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CLOUDS; SOME SUN: While much of East Alabama is cloudy, the sun is shining on some West Alabama counties this afternoon. We note a thin band of radar echoes over North Alabama, but these raindrops, most likely, are not reaching the ground due to the very dry air near the surface. Temperatures remain below average, with mostly mid to upper 50s showing up at mid-afternoon.

The clouds are ahead of a strong short wave moving into Alabama. If we had a moist airmass, today would be wet and stormy, but due to the dry air most everybody stays dry.

TONIGHT/TOMORROW: The 12Z models are more optimistic on clouds across Alabama, suggesting much of the state will be mostly fair late tonight and tomorrow as the wave axis moves to the east. Still, some clouds could linger over far East Alabama tomorrow, but for most places it looks like a partly sunny Thursday with a high around 60 degrees. Any rain with the short wave will be east of Alabama.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Looks very pleasant. Mostly sunny cool days, clear cold nights. Highs between 61 and 65, with lows between 36 and 43.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: The benign weather should continue through the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, as the 12Z GFS run looks mostly dry next week. We might consider a small risk of a shower Tuesday night, but most places stay dry. Temperatures will be near seasonal averages, with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. A very good chance we make it all the way through November with no severe weather issues. Pretty unusual, but we will take it.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looks great for the high school playoff games Friday night; the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from near 52 at kickoff into the 40s by the second quarter.

Alabama will host Western Carolina Saturday morning at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (11:21 a.m. kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny, with temperatures rising from near 60 at kickoff to 64 at the final snap. Auburn hosts Alabama A&M at 1:00 Saturday afternoon… there will be a good supply of sunshine during the game; the kickoff temperature will be near 63 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter as the sun goes low on the horizon.

Very similar weather for the UAB/Memphis game Saturday afternoon at Legion Field (1:00 kickoff); lots of sunshine with a kickoff temperature near 64 degrees, but falling into the 50s late in the game as darkness nears.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Clouds Return To Alabama

| 6:10 am November 14, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ON THE MAPS: A strong short wave was just west of the state this morning, and this feature will push clouds in here today, with only a limited amount of sunshine. Despite the upward motion created by the wave, the chance of rain will be very small across Alabama today due to the very dry airmass in place. The higher resolution models suggest a few sprinkles are possible over the eastern third of the state (mainly along and east of U.S. 431), but even there most places won’t get a drop. We stay well below seasonal averages today with a high in the mid 50s.

The weather won’t change much tomorrow; an easterly flow could keep clouds in place over the state; the best chance of seeing a decent amount of sun tomorrow will come over the western counties. Where the sky stays cloudy, the high will be in the mid 50s, but where the sun breaks out the high will be closer to 60.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: These three days will feature some very nice fall weather, with mostly sunny days and clear nights. Highs will be in the 62-65 degree range, with lows in the upper 30s and low to mid 40s.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: The latest GFS hints at some risk of showers late Tuesday or Tuesday night (not a big rain event at all), otherwise the week will be dry and seasonal. See the Weather Xtreme video for travel weather and a day by day break down.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looks great for the high school playoff games Friday night; the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from near 55 at kickoff into the 40s by halftime.

Alabama will host Western Carolina Saturday morning at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (11:21 a.m. kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny, with temperatures rising from near 60 at kickoff to 64 at the final snap. Auburn hosts Alabama A&M at 1:00 Saturday afternoon… there will be a good supply of sunshine during the game; the kickoff temperature will be near 63 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter as the sun goes low on the horizon.

Very similar weather for the UAB/Memphis game Saturday afternoon at Legion Field (1:00 kickoff); lots of sunshine with a kickoff temperature near 64 degrees, but falling into the 50s late in the game as darkness nears.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
Google Plus

I will be speaking today at a meeting of the Alabama Golf Course Superintendents Association… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!