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CLOUDS; SOME SUN: While much of East Alabama is cloudy, the sun is shining on some West Alabama counties this afternoon. We note a thin band of radar echoes over North Alabama, but these raindrops, most likely, are not reaching the ground due to the very dry air near the surface. Temperatures remain below average, with mostly mid to upper 50s showing up at mid-afternoon.
The clouds are ahead of a strong short wave moving into Alabama. If we had a moist airmass, today would be wet and stormy, but due to the dry air most everybody stays dry.
TONIGHT/TOMORROW: The 12Z models are more optimistic on clouds across Alabama, suggesting much of the state will be mostly fair late tonight and tomorrow as the wave axis moves to the east. Still, some clouds could linger over far East Alabama tomorrow, but for most places it looks like a partly sunny Thursday with a high around 60 degrees. Any rain with the short wave will be east of Alabama.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Looks very pleasant. Mostly sunny cool days, clear cold nights. Highs between 61 and 65, with lows between 36 and 43.
THANKSGIVING WEEK: The benign weather should continue through the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, as the 12Z GFS run looks mostly dry next week. We might consider a small risk of a shower Tuesday night, but most places stay dry. Temperatures will be near seasonal averages, with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. A very good chance we make it all the way through November with no severe weather issues. Pretty unusual, but we will take it.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looks great for the high school playoff games Friday night; the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from near 52 at kickoff into the 40s by the second quarter.
Alabama will host Western Carolina Saturday morning at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (11:21 a.m. kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny, with temperatures rising from near 60 at kickoff to 64 at the final snap. Auburn hosts Alabama A&M at 1:00 Saturday afternoon… there will be a good supply of sunshine during the game; the kickoff temperature will be near 63 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter as the sun goes low on the horizon.
Very similar weather for the UAB/Memphis game Saturday afternoon at Legion Field (1:00 kickoff); lots of sunshine with a kickoff temperature near 64 degrees, but falling into the 50s late in the game as darkness nears.
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