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BIG WARM-UP: Some North Alabama communities have warmed up nearly 40 degrees today… from morning low to afternoon high. Birmingham reported 65 degrees at 2:00; Montgomery was at 71. Clouds, as expected, have increased over the past few hours, and are thicker over the western counties.
We note a band of showers and a few thunderstorms over Central Mississippi; those are moving slowly to the east and will impact West Alabama later tonight.
RAIN RETURNS: Not much change in the overall thinking. The primary threat of showers across Alabama will come from about midnight tonight through 12:00 noon tomorrow. The 12Z NAM prints only 0.28″ for Birmingham, while the GFS shows the exact same amount… 0.28″. Sounds about right to me… most folks can expect about a quarter of an inch of rain late tonight and tomorrow morning. Certainly no threat of severe weather, and most folks across North Alabama won’t even hear any thunder with a stable airmass and somewhat weak dynamic support.
Clouds will linger through tomorrow afternoon, and we won’t get out of the 50s due to the clouds and showers.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Look for mostly sunny pleasant days and clear chilly nights over the latter half of the week. The high Wednesday will be near 60, followed by mid 60s Thursday and Friday. The low early Wednesday and Thursday morning will be in the 30-36 degree range, but Friday morning will be warmer with a low somewhere between 38 and 45.
MILD WEEKEND: We are projecting highs around the 70 degree mark both Saturday and Sunday as we begin meteorological winter this weekend. The days will feature a mix of sun and clouds, and we might consider a slight risk of a shower Saturday with a weak impulse passing through, but the chance of rain looks so small now it really isn’t worth mentioning in the forecast.
We stay mild early next week, but the GFS continues to show a cold front passing through here in the December 5-6 time frame, followed by sharply colder air. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.
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I had a great time today visiting with the 7th graders at Helena Middle School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….