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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Archive for November 26th, 2012

Rain Moves Into Alabama Tonight

| 3:01 pm November 26, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BIG WARM-UP: Some North Alabama communities have warmed up nearly 40 degrees today… from morning low to afternoon high. Birmingham reported 65 degrees at 2:00; Montgomery was at 71. Clouds, as expected, have increased over the past few hours, and are thicker over the western counties.

We note a band of showers and a few thunderstorms over Central Mississippi; those are moving slowly to the east and will impact West Alabama later tonight.

RAIN RETURNS: Not much change in the overall thinking. The primary threat of showers across Alabama will come from about midnight tonight through 12:00 noon tomorrow. The 12Z NAM prints only 0.28″ for Birmingham, while the GFS shows the exact same amount… 0.28″. Sounds about right to me… most folks can expect about a quarter of an inch of rain late tonight and tomorrow morning. Certainly no threat of severe weather, and most folks across North Alabama won’t even hear any thunder with a stable airmass and somewhat weak dynamic support.

Clouds will linger through tomorrow afternoon, and we won’t get out of the 50s due to the clouds and showers.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Look for mostly sunny pleasant days and clear chilly nights over the latter half of the week. The high Wednesday will be near 60, followed by mid 60s Thursday and Friday. The low early Wednesday and Thursday morning will be in the 30-36 degree range, but Friday morning will be warmer with a low somewhere between 38 and 45.

MILD WEEKEND: We are projecting highs around the 70 degree mark both Saturday and Sunday as we begin meteorological winter this weekend. The days will feature a mix of sun and clouds, and we might consider a slight risk of a shower Saturday with a weak impulse passing through, but the chance of rain looks so small now it really isn’t worth mentioning in the forecast.

We stay mild early next week, but the GFS continues to show a cold front passing through here in the December 5-6 time frame, followed by sharply colder air. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 p.m. CDT… you can watch live here.

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I had a great time today visiting with the 7th graders at Helena Middle School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Lunchtime Update

| 12:17 pm November 26, 2012

Checking out the latest satellite image, clouds have been moving into Alabama all morning. High clouds have made it into East Alabama. The more widespread and thicker cumulus clouds are running along and west of the Interstate 65 corridor from Huntsville through Birmingham down towards Montgomery. The clouds off to our west in Mississippi will continue to spread east today as our the atmosphere over us really begins to moisten up.

For much of the morning, many locations in Mississippi have been reporting light to moderate rains at times. As the showers have been working towards Alabama, they have been falling apart and dissipating. That is because the air over Alabama is very dry once you get above the surface layer. As the storm system off to our west continues to develop, our moisture levels will be on the increase today, especially with the winds coming out of the south. Expect our radar to fill in this evening as showers and thunderstorms that develop along the front move our directions. Areas in Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana and eastern Texas are under a slight risk for severe weather today. No risk for any part of Alabama currently, but we will be watching the storms once they fire up and begin their march to the east southeast with the cold front. Damaging winds and large hail look to be the the SPC’s greatest concerns with thunderstorms that develop today.

Rain Returns Late Tonight

| 6:04 am November 26, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER COLD MORNING: Many communities are below freezing again this morning. Some 5:00 a.m. observations include…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 24
Gadsden 27
Noccalula Falls (Gadsden) 27
Fort Payne 28
Valley Head 28
Anniston 29
Coker 29
Concord 30
Montgomery 31

We do note temperatures are much warmer over Northwest Alabama, where clouds have moved in. Muscle Shoals reports 43 degrees.

THE DAY AHEAD: We should warm into the mid 60s today with an increasingly cloudy sky. To the west, we will watch a batch of showers and storms that will form over North Louisiana and some of the adjacent states; SPC has the standard “slight risk” of severe weather for this region this afternoon and tonight, but the risk is somewhat marginal.

RAIN MOVES INTO ALABAMA: It looks like our main window for showers will come from midnight tonight through 12:00 noon tomorrow. Severe weather is not expected, and rain for the northern half of Alabama should be light. The NAM is printing 0.35″ for Birmingham, while the GFS is drier with only 0.11″. I figure most places around here will see a quarter inch or less. And, I doubt if we hear any thunder because the air will be stable.

Tomorrow will be a bit cooler with a high in the upper 50s due to the clouds and morning showers, but there isn’t any really cold air to follow the rain.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: These three days will feature sunny pleasant days and clear chilly nights. Temperatures will be seasonal; highs in the 60s and lows mostly in the 30s. The coldest morning will come early Wednesday with some places reaching the freezing mark.

WEEKEND PEEK: Our weather over the weekend should be mild for early December; the GFS is printing a high of 68 Saturday, followed by 70 degrees Sunday. Mornings won’t be as cold; lows should be in the 46-52 degree range. There will be some increase in moisture, but with little in the way of a trigger I honestly don’t think rain will be an issue. We might consider a slight risk of a shower both days, but for now the chance of getting wet is so small it really isn’t worth mentioning in the forecast.

The weather should stay mild for the first part of next week, but the GFS hints at a cold front around December 5 with a chance of showers, followed by much colder air. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will record this week’s episode tonight at 8:30; you can watch here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Helena Middle School at 9:00…. look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!