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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Archive for November 29th, 2012

November Shaping Up as Very Dry

| 4:32 pm November 29, 2012

Since the forecast calls for no rain through the end of the month, I think we can safely say that November, 2012, will be one of THE driest Novembers on record for Central Alabama.

According to the observations made at the Birmingham Shuttlesworth International Airport, November, 2012, will tie 1910 as the eighth driest in our period of record from 1900 to the current day.

Place Year Rain Total
1 1901 & 1903 0.00″
2 1924 0.01″
3 1949 0.42″
4 1939 0.75″
5 1909 1.05″
6 1908 1.07″
7 1912 1.18″
8 2012 & 1910 1.46″
9 1917 1.55″
10 1942 1.57″

The period of record for Tuscaloosa began in 1948, and for the observations there, this November is the third driest at 1.18″. Anniston is nearly identical to Tuscaloosa. The records there began in 1950 and this November is the third driest at 1.19″.

Montgomery is even drier with the monthly total there standing at 0.97″ which makes this November their fourth driest on record since records begain in 1950.

According to the U. S. Drought Monitor, much of Alabama from Jackson County southwestward to Tuscaloosa and then southward to Mobile has no drought. But that ramps up to exceptional drought, the worst condition, in East Central Alabama centered on Randolph, Clay, Tallapoosa, and Chambers counties.

For a point of reference, the 30-year average rainfall for November is 4.63″ which is a long way from the 1.46″ we’ve actually recorded.

-Brian-

Mild Afternoons Ahead

| 3:36 pm November 29, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

NICE WARM-UP: A very nice temperature recovery for Alabama today. Most places started the day below freezing; this afternoon we are seeing low 60s around here with a cloudless sky. Tonight won’t be as cold as last night; most places will wind up somewhere between 36 and 42, but the colder valleys over Northeast Alabama might make a run at freezing.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The warming trend continues. We reach the mid 60s tomorrow, and the high Saturday and Sunday will be very close to 70 degrees to kick off the month of December. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny, and there is no significant chance of rain. Early morning lows will be in the 45-50 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z GFS continues the idea of a cold front passing through Tuesday night with a decaying band of showers along with light rain amounts. We will still enjoy a high around 70 degrees Monday and Tuesday, but temperatures drop a bit Wednesday with a high in the low 60s. Thursday and Friday of next week look dry and pleasant.

LONG RANGE: The GFS still likes the idea of a cold front passing through Alabama Saturday December 8 with a good chance of showers and storms, followed by a sharp but temporary change to colder weather Sunday 12/9. See the Weather Xtreme video for details… until the omega block breaks down over the Bering Sea cold snaps down here won’t last too long.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the first graders at Brent Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here early tomorrow morning by 7:00 a.m.

Big Warm-Up In Coming Days

| 5:51 am November 29, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER COLD START: Temperatures are well below freezing over much of North Alabama this morning… some 5:00 a.m. temperatures…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 23
Haleyville 24
Valley Head 25
Concord 26
Gadsden 27
Fayette 27
Coker 27
Bessemer 28
Anniston 30
Birmingham 32

The dry air over Alabama will heat very effectively today, and most places will enjoy a high in the low 60s with maximum available sunshine.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: The warm-up continues. The high tomorrow will be in the mid 60s, and then very close to 70 degrees Saturday and Sunday. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny, and nights won’t be as cold; the early morning low tomorrow will be around 40, and close to 50 Saturday and Sunday.

A high of 70 for the first of December is ten degrees above average. We should note Alabama’s warmest December temperature on record is 80 degrees, recorded on December 7, 1951.

NEXT WEEK: We stay very mild Monday with a high at or just over 70, but a cold front is due in here Tuesday night or early Wednesday. This front will bring some risk of showers to the state, but the latest GFS runs, and the ECWMF, both show that rain will be relatively light, and there won’t be any problem with severe weather. And, the air following the front will be cooler, but not really cold for December.

LAND OF VOODOO: The weather looks very changeable for the rest of December. The GFS hints at a cold front on Saturday December 8 with a chance of showers/storms, followed by much colder air the following day. Another similar front shows up around December 12. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program today at Brent Elementary School in Bibb County…. be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!