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FLIRTING WITH RECORD HIGHS: The warmest temperature so far (based on the hourly observations) in Birmingham this afternoon is 73… Tuscaloosa has peaked at 75, while Montgomery reports 79 degrees at 2:00. Highs could be a degree or two warmer than these numbers; Birmingham’s record today of 76 (set in 1933 and 1982) seems safe.
COLD FRONT ON THE WAY: A cold front will bring a chance of showers to Alabama late tomorrow night into Wednesday. The latest GFS is a bit slower; suggesting showers could linger into Wednesday afternoon. Ahead of the front, we expect a high in the low 70s tomorrow, but we won’t get out of the 60s Wednesday with clouds and showers. There won’t be any severe weather with the front, and not even much thunder. And, rain amounts should be generally under one-half inch. The 12Z NAM shows only 0.34″, while the GFS is printing 0.47″.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These two days look generally dry, with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high in the mid 60s.
WEEKEND PREVIEW: I still think the bulk of the showers over the weekend will be north of here. A cold front will drop south and stall somewhere over Tennessee. A few scattered showers are possible Saturday, mainly over Northwest Alabama, and Sunday looks dry statewide. Highs will be in the low 70s as the mild weather pattern continues.
NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE LAND OF VOODOO: A cold front is set to pass through Alabama Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning of next week; a few strong storms could accompany this front, and colder air will follow, but nothing excessively cold for December.
The big news involves potential for a pattern change in the December 15-20 time frame; the GFS continues to show a very deep upper trough forming over the eastern U.S., with very cold air blowing into Alabama around December 18. You must remember, while we are enjoying this mild weather, the air is brutally cold up north, where Eagle, Alaska is at 44 degrees below zero at mid-afternoon. That air has to move, and we should feel some of it later this month. Take a little time and watch the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.
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I had a great time today visiting with the third graders at Englewood Elementary School in Tuscaloosa… be watching for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early tomorrow by 7:00 a.m….