Find us on Google+

Archive for December 3rd, 2012

Cold Front Arrives Early Wednesday

| 3:11 pm December 3, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FLIRTING WITH RECORD HIGHS: The warmest temperature so far (based on the hourly observations) in Birmingham this afternoon is 73… Tuscaloosa has peaked at 75, while Montgomery reports 79 degrees at 2:00. Highs could be a degree or two warmer than these numbers; Birmingham’s record today of 76 (set in 1933 and 1982) seems safe.

COLD FRONT ON THE WAY: A cold front will bring a chance of showers to Alabama late tomorrow night into Wednesday. The latest GFS is a bit slower; suggesting showers could linger into Wednesday afternoon. Ahead of the front, we expect a high in the low 70s tomorrow, but we won’t get out of the 60s Wednesday with clouds and showers. There won’t be any severe weather with the front, and not even much thunder. And, rain amounts should be generally under one-half inch. The 12Z NAM shows only 0.34″, while the GFS is printing 0.47″.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These two days look generally dry, with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high in the mid 60s.

WEEKEND PREVIEW: I still think the bulk of the showers over the weekend will be north of here. A cold front will drop south and stall somewhere over Tennessee. A few scattered showers are possible Saturday, mainly over Northwest Alabama, and Sunday looks dry statewide. Highs will be in the low 70s as the mild weather pattern continues.

NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE LAND OF VOODOO: A cold front is set to pass through Alabama Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning of next week; a few strong storms could accompany this front, and colder air will follow, but nothing excessively cold for December.

The big news involves potential for a pattern change in the December 15-20 time frame; the GFS continues to show a very deep upper trough forming over the eastern U.S., with very cold air blowing into Alabama around December 18. You must remember, while we are enjoying this mild weather, the air is brutally cold up north, where Eagle, Alaska is at 44 degrees below zero at mid-afternoon. That air has to move, and we should feel some of it later this month. Take a little time and watch the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s episode tonight at 8:30 p.m. CST… you can watch live right here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus

I had a great time today visiting with the third graders at Englewood Elementary School in Tuscaloosa… be watching for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early tomorrow by 7:00 a.m….

Close To A Record

| 1:51 pm December 3, 2012

Birmingham has reached 71 degrees this afternoon, and we will warm a few more degrees before the day is done. Here is a list of the warmest December 3rds in Birmingham…

1933 76
1982 76
1921 75
1961 75
1970 75
1951 74
1955 74
1978 74
1998 74

Where will today fit in? Stay tuned…

Temps Near Record Levels

| 6:08 am December 3, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

LONG LASTING COLD: Scroll down and read the post about “Understanding Alabama Winters”… and you will see that it doesn’t “get cold and stay cold” here. Sure, we do have cold and snow from time to time, but this is a very low latitude state, and old timers tend to have selective memories about weather in previous decades.

AMAZINGLY MILD: We are projecting a high today in the mid 70s around 74 degrees… that is 15 degrees above the average high of 59, and within two degrees of the record high for December 3, 76 set in 1982. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny. Mid 70s are likely tomorrow as well, although clouds will begin to increase ahead of a cold front.

SHOWERS RETURN: That front will bring chance of showers to Alabama late tomorrow night into Wednesday morning. Looks like the main 12 hour for rain will come from about midnight tomorrow night through noon Wednesday. Rain shouldn’t be all that heavy; the NAM is printing only 0.13″ for Birmingham… while the GFS is at 0.36″. No severe weather, and probably not much thunder.

The weather will be a little cooler Wednesday with a high in the mid 60s. Still above average for early December.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: I think these two days will be mostly dry; highs will be in the 60s with a mix of sun and clouds. We might consider a small risk of a shower over Northwest Alabama late Friday or Friday night with an approaching front, but the chance is so small now we won’t mention it in the forecast.

WEEKEND PREVIEW: The weather on Saturday and Sunday will be unseasonably mild with a high in the low to mid 70s, much like this past weekend. A cold front will stall out north of here over Tennessee; I think we will mention just an outside risk of a shower on Saturday, mostly north of Birmingham, and most of Alabama will be dry Sunday as the front lifts northward as a warm front in response to a deepening surface low coming out of the Rockies.

LONG RANGE: The 06Z GFS suggests the next really big rain event for Alabama will come around 12-12-12… with a deep, negative tilt upper trough and a strong cold front. Could very well bring strong to severe storms if correct, followed by sharply colder air. The GFS shows temperatures about 15 degrees below average here around December 18; see the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details of the possible pattern change before Christmas.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 p.m. CST… you can watch live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus

I will be doing a weather program this morning at Englewood Elementary School in Tuscaloosa… the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!