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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Archive for February 14th, 2013

Much Colder Air Arrives Saturday

| 2:54 pm February 14, 2013

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today… am at the BJCC for live weather at the Birmingham Home and Garden Show on ABC 33/40 at 4, 5, and 6:00**

Thanks to Bill Murray for this afternoon’s discussion…..

HAPPY VALENTINE’S DAY! Fog greeted this Valentine’s Day across much of Northwest, West and Central Alabama. It was fun to watch the satellite image this morning, as skies that had cleared last evening filled in overnight with low clouds, only to erode before sunrise over northwestern and western sections. An you watched the skies clear on the satellite animation, you could see fog symbols popping up like mushrooms! You didn’t need a weather map to tell you it was foggy in places like Tuscaloosa, and over in Pickens County. It was a thick as pea soup! Visibilities dropped to less than ¼ mile and it was kind of an eerie sight early this morning. There was even some freezing fog, as temperatures were just below freezing, but no problems were reported.

ROLLERCOASTER OF WEATHER: Do you remember the excellent 1975 disco song, Love Rollercoaster, by the Ohio Players? Well the next two weeks with be a Weather Rollercoaster across Central Alabama with some cold weather this weekend, followed by a active pattern of wet weather systems as we continue to try to erase the drought.

SUNSHINE: That bright yellow orb out there today is the sun. At least for people north of I-65/I-85. South of there, clouds were still thick in places like Mobile, Evergreen, Opp and Florala at late morning. But for Central Alabama, sunshine, with just a few tiny clouds are ruling the day and allowing the mercury to warm into the upper 50s. Tonight will not be as cold as last night, with lows in the middle to upper 30s.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY SYSTEM: Things get a little interesting over the weekend, but the main story will be the cold. The disturbances in the northwesterly flow over western Canada are lined up like planes trying to land at ATL. Each one of those disturbances into and over the weekend will carve out a little more trough over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, allowing for some cold air to come south. Twin disturbances Friday and Saturday will cause Increasing clouds by tomorrow afternoon here in Alabama. There could even be a few sprinkles over the Tennessee Valley down into tomorrow afternoon with the first disturbances. The second disturbance will produce a few more sprinkles changing over to light snow flurries into early Saturday morning. There won’t be any accumulation. It will feel much colder by Saturday morning, with readings in the middle and upper 20s. Highs on Saturday will struggle to get out of the 30s despite a partly sunny sky. A few southern spots may make the lower 40s, but don’t be surprised to see several 30s on the board for highs. Some of the coldest air so far this season will push lows into the middle and even lower 20s by Sunday morning.

SUNDAY WARMUP: After that chilly start Sunday morning, we will be back in the 50s by afternoon.

NEXT SYSTEM: The Gulf will be open for business by Monday morning, with increasing southerly winds ahead of our next system. Clouds will increase during the day and there could even be a shower during the afternoon. Rain will become likely late Monday night into Tuesday morning. There will be a few thunderstorms involved as well, but we don’t expect any severe weather.

BRIEF BREAK WEDNESDAY: No real intrusion of cold air behind the first system, so expect seasonal temperatures on Wednesday in the 60F degree neighborhood with lots of sunshine. So it looks like a beautiful day, but by Thursday, the Gulf will open its little lemonade stand again and sell us some increasing moisture. Expect clouds to increase and there will be another round of rain and storms Thursday night into Friday morning.

SATURDAY BREAK: Like Wednesday, expect a short lived break on Saturday, with sunshine followed by more rain on Sunday. That will be followed by more wet weather probably on the 26th and the 1st of March.

STORM ALERT 2013: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama continues through February. We will share lessons learned after the April 27, 2011 generational tornado event, along with other amazing weather stories. Learn how to keep your family safe during severe weather, and have a chance to win some cool prizes as well. Here are the remaining Storm Alert tour dates…

February 21 Clanton – Jeff State Performing Arts Center
February 26 Ohatchee – Ohatchee High School
February 28 Clay – Clay/Chalkville High School

All shows begin at 6:30… be sure and get there early to get a good seat.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus

I had a great time today visiting with the third graders at Oak Grove Elementary… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

On This Date in 1958

| 1:30 pm February 14, 2013

February 14, 1958 was a Friday night. Snow lovers got a special gift as the heaviest snowfall since 1948 blanketed Birmingham with over two inches of snow. Unprepared celebrants headed out for a night on the town got a rude surprise.

Roads in the Magic City quickly became snow packed and impassable. Roads between Birmingham and Atlanta were especially dangerous.

The northwest corner of Alabama was blanketed with 3-6 inches of snow. Six to eight inches fell in Decatur.

As often is the case around these parts, snowfall amounts varied over a short distance. While there was two inches on the ground in Bessemer, there was none in Tuscaloosa.

At the Birmingham Municipal Airport, A Delta Airlines DC-7 slid off the runway on Saturday morning and buried itself nose deep in slush and mud when the nosewheel broke. None of the 43 passengers were injured.

Noon Valentine’s Update

| 12:37 pm February 14, 2013

Happy Valentine’s Day!

Working on the forecast package for J.B. this afternoon as he has some business to attend to. So no M&M story today. But he will be back with a double helping for us tomorrow.

Fog greeted this Valentine’s Day across much of Northwest, West and Central Alabama. It was fun to watch the satellite image this morning, as skies that had cleared last evening filled in overnight with low clouds, only to erode before sunrise over northwestern and western sections.

An you watched the skies clear on the satellite animation, you could see fog symbols popping up like mushrooms! You didn’t need a weather map to tell you it was foggy in places like Tuscaloosa, and over in Pickens County. It was a thick as pea soup!

Visibilities dropped to less than ¼ mile and it was kind of an eerie sight early this morning on the UA campus and in other West Alabama spots. There was even some freezing fog, as temperatures were just below freezing, but no problems were reported.

Here is a dramatic visible satellite image from this morning, showing the fog clearly in the valleys of West Alabama.

2013-02-14_10-44-37

A few stratocumulus clouds developed late this morning in the I-59 corridor. They show up clearly now on the satellite imagery as well.

2013-02-14_12-30-33

Temperatures are climbing through the lower 50s heading for afternoon highs in the upper 50s. Tonight will not be as cold as last night, with lows in the middle to upper 30s.

Not much change in the thinking for the weekend. Cold Saturday with highs struggling to get out of the 30s. There could be a few sprinkles late tomorrow afternoon and evening and a few flurries Saturday morning. But they certainly won’t cause any accumulation. Just an exclamation point on a raw day! But the cold won’t last long as warmer readings return for Sunday and it looks like we will be heading into a wet, active pattern for the next two weeks with frequent wet weather systems.

Hello Sunshine

| 5:52 am February 14, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BRIGHTER WEATHER: After some early morning fog, the sky will be mostly sunny across Alabama today; our first sunny day since this past Saturday. Temperatures will rise nicely; most communities will see a high in the mid to upper 50s this afternoon.

We will see some increase in clouds tomorrow ahead of a surface front; the RPM has hinted at a few isolated showers tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow evening in advance of the front, and we will probably insert a slight risk of a little light rain in the forecast, but moisture will be very limited and rain amounts, if any, will be light and spotty. The high tomorrow should be close to 60.

SATURDAY COLD SHOT: We start the weekend with a sharp change to colder temperatures Saturday thanks to a deep, cold upper trough forming over the eastern U.S. We will have a hard time getting out of the 30s with an any north wind making it feel colder. While the 1000-500 mb thickness values are very low, the 1000-850 mb thickness values (low level) are not quite as extreme, so we might make it into the low 40s, but one way or another it will be a frigid and blustery day. Forcing associated with the upper trough could squeeze out a few snow flurries, but the lack of moisture should mean nothing really significant.

Sunday morning will be cold, with lows in the 20-25 degree range for many communities around here. But, thankfully the cold shot won’t last long with a very progressive pattern… we warm into the 50s Sunday afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: Winds increase out of the south Monday ahead of a developing storm system over the Great Plains, and we will forecast rain and storms late Monday night into Tuesday morning. The GFS suggests our best chance of rain and thunderstorms will come from about midnight Monday night through 12:00 noon Tuesday; there is no surface based instability, so for now we don’t expect any severe weather, although elevated storms are likely. Rain amounts of around one inch are a good bet.

Drier air returns Tuesday night into Wednesday, but another rain producer is likely by the end of the week.

LATE MONTH: The GFS continues to advertise a very active pattern over the latter half of February with frequent rain/storm events; see the Weather Xtreme video for details.

STORM ALERT 2013: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama continues through February. We will share lessons learned after the April 27, 2011 generational tornado event, along with other amazing weather stories. Learn how to keep your family safe during severe weather, and have a chance to win some cool prizes as well. Here are the remaining Storm Alert tour dates…

February 21 Clanton – Jeff State Performing Arts Center
February 26 Ohatchee – Ohatchee High School
February 28 Clay – Clay/Chalkville High School

All shows begin at 6:30… be sure and get there early to get a good seat.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

I have a weather program today at Oak Grove Elementary School out in western Jefferson County… then I will be live at the Birmingham Home and Garden Show at the BJCC at 4, 5, and 6:00… I will have forecast notes here later this afternoon. Enjoy the day!