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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Archive for February 22nd, 2013

More Showers and Storms

| 6:12 pm February 22, 2013

More showers and storms are moving back into North Central Alabama this evening. Heavy rains last night moved out and most of today was dry, but cloudy. Now another energy impulse is moving across the state allowing for additional showers and thunderstorms to develop across much of the region. We have seen a few strong and locally severe storms across the Southeast today. Most of the storms should stay below severe limits, but hail and damaging winds are possible. Lightning and loud claps of thunder are likely and a flooding threat is possible in many area. Some of our southeastern counties remain under a flash flood watch.

If you are heading out this evening make sure you take the rain gear as most every location across the state will receive some rain this evening and tonight. Heaviest activity is currently along I-85 between Montgomery and Auburn. Also watching a strong thunderstorm across Central Wilcox County. For the Birmingham metro we have to look to our west in Pickens and Sumter Counties for the heaviest activity that will impact us later. Light to moderate rain is falling across Tuscaloosa and is making its way into West Jefferson County. Very wet night on tap, but things will improve as we head into tomorrow as sunshine and dry conditions will return.

2-22-2013 5-58-45 PM

Severe Thunderstorm Warning: Southern Marengo County

| 3:17 pm February 22, 2013

Aliant Bank is a proud sponsor of AlabamaWX.com!

UPDATE 3:30
Here is a four panel depiction of radar products of the storm in Marengo County with a brief explanation of what they indicate. The path is more clearly indicated as well. The storm is moving at nearly 60 mph.

2013-02-22_15-23-54

The NWS has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for the southern half of Marengo County. The main threat is for large hail.

2013-02-22_15-20-20

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHERN MARENGO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 400 PM CST

* AT 315 PM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR ARARAT…OR 32 MILES NORTHWEST OF GROVE HILL…AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
PUTNAM…NANAFALIA…SWEET WATER…DIXONS MILL…WAYNE…SHAWNEE…
MILLER AND SURGINER.



More Rain For Alabama Tonight

| 3:09 pm February 22, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RAIN MOVING BACK IN: Rain has re-entered West Alabama this afternoon, and that rain will expand to the east and north with time tonight. Temperatures are all over the board thanks to CAD (cold air damming)… Fort Payne reports only 45 degrees at mid-afternoon, while West Alabama communities are in the low to mid 60s. Yet another great example of why this is not a “one number” kind of place when it comes to forecasting temperatures.

Additional rain amounts of one-half inch are likely tonight, with more possible in a few spots. Some thunder is possible, but severe weather is not expected over the northern counties of Alabama. Heavier rain is likely over South Alabama, and our friends down there could see some strong storms tonight as well. A flash flood watch is in effect for most of South Alabama.

TOMORROW: The rain tomorrow should be confined to the southern half of Alabama, mainly south of U.S. 80. Over the northern half of the state, the sky will remain cloudy throughout the day with a high in the low 60s. The sky will finally clear tomorrow night.

SUNDAY: This will clearly be the best day over the weekend, with ample sunshine and a high in the mid 60s. But, clouds return quickly Sunday night ahead of another major upper trough.

MONDAY: Lots of model madness, but confidence is high in a good chance of showers and storms on Monday. The 12Z NAM shows potential for severe weather over about the southern half of Alabama, while the GFS shows the risk mainly over the southeast corner of the state around Dothan. We will just have to wait for more clarity over the weekend. The latest data hints that some rain could linger into Monday night.

The sky clears on Tuesday, and the rest of the week should be dry. But, much colder air blows in here at the end of the week on Friday, March 1, right at the beginning of meteorological spring. The following weekend looks very cold for early March, but mostly dry. See the Weather Xtreme video for the details, maps, and graphics.

STORM ALERT 2013: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama continues through February. We will share lessons learned after the April 27, 2011 generational tornado event, along with other amazing weather stories. Learn how to keep your family safe during severe weather, and have a chance to win some cool prizes as well. Here are the remaining Storm Alert tour dates…

Tuesday February 26 Ohatchee – Ohatchee High School
Thursday February 28 Clay – Clay/Chalkville High School

All shows begin at 6:30… be sure and get there early to get a good seat.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus

Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday; my next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00. Enjoy the weekend!

How Wet Is It?

| 8:57 am February 22, 2013

If you think February in Central Alabama has been wet, I would agree with you. But it really hasn’t been that wet for some of us.

Looking at the climatological reports for Central Alabama, nearly everyone is above the average monthly rainfall with the exception of Anniston. I’ve assembled some data on the rainfall reported so far this month from stations across Central Alabama in the table below. The table clearly shows that the rain has been less in the East Central part of the state and wetter in the Central and West Central sections.

Rainfall Rainfall
Station Feb. 2013 30-Yr Avg
Birmingham 4.29″ 4.21″
Anniston 2.93″ 4.80″
Tuscaloosa 5.44″ 5.07″
Helena 5.81″

With a couple more rounds of wet weather forecast for Central Alabama, these numbers will go up. When you combine them with the values for January, 2013 has really gotten off to a wet start! The monthly and three-monthly outlooks suggest a change to a pattern with above average rain for the northwest corner of Alabama and below average rain for the southeast corner. Central Alabama shows as about equal chances of above or below!

Now if you really want wet, just go a bit further south. Montgomery has seen 8.62″ of rain for February which is 4.80″ above the 30-year average.

-Brian-

More Rain Tonight; Mostly Dry This Weekend

| 5:56 am February 22, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: The big rain mass that was over our part of the state last night is now well to the south of here early this morning; in fact the rain is generally south and east of Montgomery. Clouds linger over the state, and temperatures are mostly in the upper 40s and low 50s at daybreak.

Rain during the day today will be confined to the far southern counties of Alabama… up this way the clouds will linger, and temperatures will rise into the mid 60s this afternoon.

MORE RAIN TONIGHT: A wave of low pressure will form on the boundary to the south of here, and the rain mass will move northward, and periods of rain are likely tonight along the I-20-59 corridor (Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden). Additional rain amounts should be one-half inch or less, and the rain should be over by daybreak tomorrow for our part of the state.

WEEKEND FORECAST: Not so sure we see much sunshine tomorrow, but the rain will be confined to the southern half of Alabama. Montgomery and points south will have a wet Saturday, but up this way the day should be generally rain-free. Our high should be in the low to mid 60s. Then, on Sunday, the day looks bright and sunny; we start the day in the mid to upper 30s, but warm into the mid 60s by afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: The good news is that SPC has removed the severe weather risk for most of Alabama, except for southeast corner. Models are now consistent on the idea of a surface low over Missouri, and a secondary surface low near Montgomery by midday Monday ahead of the next major upper trough. This means the best risk of severe weather will come over far Southeast Alabama, South Georgia, and North Florida… up this way we will have rain and thunderstorms, but for now the severe weather risk looks minimal. The main window for rain based on the latest guidance will come from about 3:00 a.m. until 12:00 noon Monday.

Cooler and drier air moves in for Tuesday and Wednesday, but much colder air is due in here later in the week Thursday and Friday as a major upper through forms over the eastern third of the nation. Still looks like March will get off to a cold start across the Deep South. Will there be any winter weather mischief here the following weekend? Not out of the question based on pattern recognition, but nothing showing up on the operational GFS for now. See the Weather Xtreme video for all the details, maps, and graphics.

STORM ALERT 2013: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama continues through February. We will share lessons learned after the April 27, 2011 generational tornado event, along with other amazing weather stories. Learn how to keep your family safe during severe weather, and have a chance to win some cool prizes as well. Here are the remaining Storm Alert tour dates for next week…

Tuesday February 26 Ohatchee – Ohatchee High School
Thursday February 28 Clay – Clay/Chalkville High School

All shows begin at 6:30… be sure and get there early to get a good seat.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day….