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Archive for March 4th, 2013

Wet Tomorrow; Colder Wednesday

| 3:46 pm March 4, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PLEASANT MONDAY: Temperatures are near 60 degrees across much of Alabama this afternoon; the actual range at mid-afternoon is from 52 at Fort Payne to 64 at Tuscaloosa. The sky is partly to mostly sunny as dry air remains in place.

ON THE MAPS: A strong disturbance moving through the Northern Plains is bringing blizzard conditions to parts of the Dakotas, and that will push eastward and will help to drag a cold front across Alabama tomorrow. Rain amounts tomorrow should be in the 1/4 to 1/2 inch range, and while there could be some elevated thunder, severe storms should not be a problem with no surface based instability.

ONE DAY SHOT OF COLDER AIR: We turn colder for one day on Wednesday; the sky becomes mostly sunny with a high around 50 degrees along with a chilly north wind. Then, by early Thursday, we will be below freezing with lows in the 27-32 degree range.

LATE WEEK WARM-UP: Thankfully the cold snap won’t last long. We warm into the upper 50s Thursday afternoon, followed by mid 60s Friday. The sky will be sunny each day Wednesday through Friday as dry air stays in place.

MILD WEEKEND: Sure looks nice here Saturday and Sunday. Lots of sun Saturday with a high in the upper 60s; we could touch 70 degrees Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds. The latest GFS run keeps the rain west of Alabama Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The GFS finally brings in the next batch of showers Monday night, while the ECMWF holds off the rain until Wednesday. We will have to wait on future runs for better clarity.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will record this week’s episode tomorrow night at 8:30 p.m. CST.

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I had a great time today visiting with the second graders at Onenota Elementary School…. be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News… the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Nice Warm-Up Today; Rain Returns Tomorrow

| 5:51 am March 4, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD START: Temperatures are below freezing across most of North Alabama early this morning… Vic Bell at Black Creek, northeast of Gadsden, reports 22 degrees at 2:00 a.m. Most places are in the 27-32 degree range… not feeling like March at all. Temperatures this weekend were 25-30 degrees below average complete with snow flurries.

But, the good news is that we warm up nicely today. The GFS prints a high of 63 today (for Birmingham), while the NAM is at 61. Sure will feed good after the frigid weekend. The sky will be partly sunny, and clouds will thicken tonight.

WET TOMORROW: We will forecast periods of rain and possibly a thunderstorm tomorrow as a cold front pushes through the state. No severe weather is expected, although the lifted index does go negative over about the southern half of Alabama. Rain amounts of 1/4 to 1/2 inch are likely. I guess there could be a few snow flurries on the back side of the departing system late tomorrow night over Northeast Alabama, but they won’t pose any issues.

COLDER WEDNESDAY: The sky becomes mostly sunny Wednesday, but the day will be breezy and colder with cold air advection going on as a major storm impacts the middle Atlantic coast region; sure looks like a good snow for Washington/Baltimore, with potential for over two feet of snow west of Washington in spots. Our high Wednesday should be in the upper 40s.

WARMING UP: Thursday, Friday, and Saturday will be dry with a sunny sky all three days, and we turn warmer. We project a high around 60 Thursday, low 60s Friday, and Saturday will feature a high very close to 70 degrees… quite the contrast to this past Saturday. It will finally feel like spring.

Moisture begins to return Sunday, and we will forecast a good chance of showers and thunderstorms Sunday night into Monday. Models are not in good agreement about the specifics of that system, but for now the severe weather risk looks low. See the Weather Xtreme video for the details, maps, and graphics.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s episode tonight at 8:30 p.m. CST… watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program today at Oneonta Elementary School…. look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!