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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Archive for March 15th, 2013

Warmest So Far In 2013

| 3:41 pm March 15, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FEELS GOOD: Mid-afternoon temperatures across Alabama include 78 at Muscle Shoals, 77 at Tuscaloosa and Alexander City, and 75 in Birmingham and Anniston. Easily the warmest day so far this year, and if you like the weather today, you should love the weekend.

We will enjoy highs up in the mid 70s both tomorrow and Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds both days. Clouds will be a bit thicker Sunday, but the sun should still get through at times.

STRONG STORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK: SPC has introduced a severe weather risk for about the northern third of Alabama up through Middle Tennessee and Kentucky Monday; a strong short wave will pass north of the state, and the air becomes very unstable during the day with surface temperatures climbing into the upper 70s, and surface dewpoints into the mid 60s. Surface based CAPE values of over 1,500 k/kg and lifted index values below -5 develop, and we will continue the chance of showers and strong storms Monday afternoon and Monday night.

Thankfully the main upper support remains well to the north, and bulk shear values are not extremely high, but clearly we will have the risk of a few strong to severe storms around here, and we will keep an eye on conditions over the weekend. Rain amounts of around one-half inch are likely.

The sky becomes sunny on Tuesday, but we turn cooler with a high in the upper 50s. Dry weather continues Wednesday into most of the day Thursday, but showers and storms should return late in the week on Friday with another storm system approaching from the west.

COLD SNAP BEFORE MARCH ENDS: Global models continue to point toward a cold period for Alabama and the Deep South in the March 24-28 time frame; would not be surprised if we have multiple mornings with sub-freezing temperatures. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: The weekend will be dry on the Gulf Coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores… a few showers are possible late Monday or Monday night, otherwise dry weather continues through much of next week. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 60s, with 70s just a few miles inland. The ocean water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is a cool 60 degrees… that will limit the afternoon temperatures on the immediate coast.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the kids today at Pinson Elementary and South Shades Crest Elementary… lots of great KIDCAM videos coming up on ABC 33/40 News at 5 and 6 today. Look for my next Weather Xtreme video early Monday by 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Warm Weekend; Strong Storms Monday

| 5:56 am March 15, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

HEADED FOR THE 70s: It is another cold mid-March morning across Alabama; Gadsden is below freezing at daybreak (30 degrees); many other locations are in the mid to upper 30s. But, the dry air will heat very effectively, and most communities will reach the low to mid 70s this afternoon with a good supply of sunshine.

Not much change tomorrow as we kick off the weekend. Lots of sun with a high in the mid 70s. Doesn’t get much better in mid-March. Then, on Sunday, we will see some increase in clouds, but the weather stays dry, and we should go back into the mid 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. Any showers Sunday across the Southeast U.S. will remain well to the north, generally north of I-40.

STRONG STORMS MONDAY: SPC has introduced a risk of severe weather Monday for about the northern third of Alabama, northward through Tennessee and Kentucky. One thing is for sure… the air will be very unstable through the afternoon and evening hours, with a high in the upper 70s and surface dewpoints headed for the mid 60s. The surface based CAPE will be higher than 1,500 j/kg, with a lifted index below -5. The big question is the dynamic support; the short wave will be pretty far to the north, but still we are seeing bulk shear values that will support organized strong to severe storms at least for the northern half of Alabama.

The main window for strong to severe storms Monday will come from about 2:00 p.m. until 11:00 p.m. The main risk will come from hail and gusty winds, but an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out, especially north of U.S. 278. We will keep a close eye on parameters over the weekend.

Drier and cooler air moves into the state Tuesday as the high drops into the upper 50s with a cool north breeze.

The GFS suggests the next big rain event will come toward the end of the week, or around Saturday March 23.

VOODOO LAND: The NAO wants to spike negative later this month, and the operational GFS (00Z run) shows a big shot of colder air moving in here in the March 24-27 time frame, that would easily get us below freezing on a morning or two. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus

I have weather programs today at Pinson Elementary, and South Shades Crest Elementary… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!