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CLOUDS THICKEN TONIGHT: The sky will become cloudy over Alabama in coming hours ahead of a storm system to the west. A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect over parts of South Texas from the Davis Mountains through the Hill Country over to Austin, but we don’t expect any severe weather in our state from this one.
Some light rain is likely at times tomorrow; the rain is most likely over the western half of the state, and it should be light and spotty. Then, the rain becomes more widespread tomorrow night into Thursday. Late model data hints the most widespread rain around here will come from midnight tomorrow night through noon Thursday as a surface low passes just south of Mobile Bay.
Not much change in our thinking; rain totals of at least one inch are likely here, with totals to two inches possible over the southern counties of the state. Not much thunder for us, and no chance of severe weather. It will be a cool rain with temperatures Thursday holding in the 50s.
A few severe storms are possible tomorrow night and Thursday near the immediate Gulf Coast over into Florida… mostly for areas south of I-10.
The rain moves out Friday morning, and the sky will clear late Friday afternoon or Friday night.
WONDERFUL WEEKEND: We are still forecasting sunny mild days and fair cool nights over the weekend…. highs in the mid 70s. Saturday morning will be cool; most places will drop into the 40-45 degree range, and some 30s are possible across the colder pockets of Northeast Alabama. There could be a touch of frost in places like Valley Head and Black Creek, but for a large majority (greater than 90 percent) of the state you can go and plant safely now with no more big worries about a frost or a freeze.
WARMEST SO FAR: Next week will be warm. A good chance we see 80 degree warmth for the first time this season by Tuesday and Wednesday. Unfortunately a major storm system will come out of the Southwest U.S., and could bring a major severe weather threat to parts of Texas and the Southern Plains by Tuesday… as it works it was to the east we could very well have some severe weather issues in Alabama late Wednesday or Thursday. Way too early to be specific, but something to watch in coming days since there should be a high degree of instability available, along good dynamic forcing.
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AT THE BEACH: Showers and storms are likely tomorrow and Thursday, but sunshine returns Friday, and the weekend looks great along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs will be mostly in the low to mid 70s… the sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 66 degrees.
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