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Archive for April 2nd, 2013

Rain Getting Closer To Alabama

| 3:45 pm April 2, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CLOUDS THICKEN TONIGHT: The sky will become cloudy over Alabama in coming hours ahead of a storm system to the west. A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect over parts of South Texas from the Davis Mountains through the Hill Country over to Austin, but we don’t expect any severe weather in our state from this one.

Some light rain is likely at times tomorrow; the rain is most likely over the western half of the state, and it should be light and spotty. Then, the rain becomes more widespread tomorrow night into Thursday. Late model data hints the most widespread rain around here will come from midnight tomorrow night through noon Thursday as a surface low passes just south of Mobile Bay.

Not much change in our thinking; rain totals of at least one inch are likely here, with totals to two inches possible over the southern counties of the state. Not much thunder for us, and no chance of severe weather. It will be a cool rain with temperatures Thursday holding in the 50s.

A few severe storms are possible tomorrow night and Thursday near the immediate Gulf Coast over into Florida… mostly for areas south of I-10.

The rain moves out Friday morning, and the sky will clear late Friday afternoon or Friday night.

WONDERFUL WEEKEND: We are still forecasting sunny mild days and fair cool nights over the weekend…. highs in the mid 70s. Saturday morning will be cool; most places will drop into the 40-45 degree range, and some 30s are possible across the colder pockets of Northeast Alabama. There could be a touch of frost in places like Valley Head and Black Creek, but for a large majority (greater than 90 percent) of the state you can go and plant safely now with no more big worries about a frost or a freeze.

WARMEST SO FAR: Next week will be warm. A good chance we see 80 degree warmth for the first time this season by Tuesday and Wednesday. Unfortunately a major storm system will come out of the Southwest U.S., and could bring a major severe weather threat to parts of Texas and the Southern Plains by Tuesday… as it works it was to the east we could very well have some severe weather issues in Alabama late Wednesday or Thursday. Way too early to be specific, but something to watch in coming days since there should be a high degree of instability available, along good dynamic forcing.

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details…

AT THE BEACH: Showers and storms are likely tomorrow and Thursday, but sunshine returns Friday, and the weekend looks great along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs will be mostly in the low to mid 70s… the sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 66 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll for for the show notes for this week’s new episode recorded last night.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

A Little Cooler Today; Rain Thursday

| 5:52 am April 2, 2013

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

A TOUCH COOLER: A cold front passed through Alabama in dry fashion last night; the airmass now in place will knock about 5 to 8 degrees off the high temperatures we enjoyed yesterday. With a partly sunny sky, we project a high in the mid to upper 60s for most communities today.

Clouds thicken tonight, and tomorrow looks to be a mostly cloudy day as a storm system gathers strength to the west. A little model madness… the 4km NAM wants to bring some rain in here during the day thanks to isentropic lift, while the GFS is dry. We will probably introduce the risk of some light rain during the daytime hours tomorrow if the 12Z run of the NAM is similar.

THURSDAY SOAKER: One way or another, the big rain day will be Thursday thanks to a deep surface low just south of Mobile Bay. Rain amounts of at least one inch are likely here, and it should rain most of the day. It will be a cool rain with temperatures in the 50s, and there is no risk of severe weather with the surface low so far south.

Some rain could linger into Friday morning as the surface low moves northeast up the Atlantic coast; I doubt if we see any sunshine Friday, and we stay cool with many places having a hard time getting out of the 50s.

FINE WEEKEND: Saturday and Sunday still look delightful. Highs in the mid 70s… the low Saturday morning will be in the 40-45 degree range, and Sunday morning’s lows will be in the 49-53 degree range. A great weekend to get outside and enjoy the fresh air.

NEXT WEEK: For us, it should be the warmest week so far this year with highs not too far from 80 degrees for the first half of the week. To the west, a deep upper trough should bring a significant severe weather/tornado setup to areas west of Alabama Monday and Tuesday. And, it could very well bring the risk of strong to severe storms to our state by Wednesday or Thursday… it remains to be seen what kind of threat, and the exact timing. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics, maps, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Today will be mostly sunny on the Gulf Coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, but clouds return tonight with a chance of showers tomorrow. Rain and storms are likely Thursday; rain could be heavy in spots. The sky will clear Friday, followed by a beautiful weekend with highs in the low 70s on the immediate coast. Sea water temperatures are generally in the mid 60s.

POLLEN: Levels are expected to be very high today and tomorrow before the rain helps Thursday… here is the outlook from pollen.com

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night. Good to have Dr. Laura Myers on the show with us discussion the social science aspect of the severe weather warning process.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

WeatherBrains 375: I Took my Girlfriend to Hooters

| 5:15 am April 2, 2013

WeatherBrains Episode 375 is now online (April 1, 2013). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Dr. Laura Myers, Mississippi State UniversityTonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is no stranger to the WeatherBrains crew. This friend of the podcast is a leading social scientist that has made a name for herself in the weatherworld. She is a Research Professor with the Social Science Research Center (SSRC) at Mississippi State University. Dr. Laura Myers serves as Principal Investigator on a Department of Homeland Security grant concerning regional disaster response planning; through this grant, she will develop regional emergency planning networks on the Gulf Coast of the United States. Dr. Myers holds a doctorate in criminology from Florida State University, and her publication and training areas include disaster management and planning, criminal justice education, criminal courts, criminal justice ethics, criminal justice administration, and cultural diversity. Her publications can be found in the Journal of Business Continuity and Emergency Planning, the Journal of Criminal Justice Education, and the Prison Journal, among others. Dr. Myers’ latest textbook on criminal justice will be her third book published in this field.!

Conley Isom, KXXV-TVOur guest panelist is from Waco, TX. Conley Isom works for KXVV-TV. Conley grew up in the Fort Worth area and was fascinated with weather at an early age. It was the hail storm of May, 1995, that made him want to become a TV meteorologist. He took that passion to Texas A&M University where he received his B.S. in Meteorology. While in college, Conley had the opportunity to storm chase and loves to track severe storms.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • National extremes: 91 at Laredo, Pecos, and Weslaco, TX, and -3 at Minot AFB, ND
  • Amazing drop off in the number of winter weather advisories
  • Lake effect snow into Tuesday northern New York state
  • Low humidity in Arizona – 11 Percent at Phoenix
  • Snow cover declining to around 30 percent
  • Still 62 inches of snow on the ground at Valdez
  • Severe thunderstorm moving through northern Texas during the podcast
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners, so keep Nate busy by piling on those emails.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: Admit it – the field of meteorology has almost as many abbreviations and acronyms as the U. S.Government!! One of those that you run into often is MOS, not to be confused with the 12,000 variations of carpeted green “moss” in the woods. There is much that goes into creating the MOS table that many of us refer to, so this episode takes a look at what comprises MOS.

    TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of April 1. This week in weather history included the Super Outbreak of Tornadoes on April 3rd and 4th, 1974.

    Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 375:

    Mississippi State University Social Science Research Center

    Center for Advanced Public Safety, University of Alabama

    Meteorological Development Lab

    Skydaver’s Blog

    Picks of the Week:

    Conley Isom – Texas Storm Chaser web page

    Nate Johnson – 53rd Anniversary of First Weather Satellite Images
    Dark Sky Forecast

    Bill Murray – Analysis of Tri-State Tornado of March, 1925

    Brian Peters – Weather Message – software to help with siren activation

    Kevin Selle – Snow when to hold ‘em

    James Spann – Article about James Hansen leaving NASA

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

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