Archive for December, 2016

Cloudy and Wet Final Day to 2016

| December 31, 2016 @ 1:35 pm

The clouds and rain moved into Alabama during the overnight hours, and the rain was mixing with some sleet early today. A break in the action late morning and early this afternoon, but more rain is developing and moving towards the area.

For the rest of today, we stay cloudy and we are going to see periods of rain. It is a chilly day with temperatures holding in the 40s and 50s in most spots.

As we head through the night, rain will be increasing in coverage and intensity and as the New Year comes in, it will be wet.

For tomorrow, the first day of 2017, will be a wet and unsettled one. We are going continue to see the threat of rain and we may have a few rumbles of thunder during the day. Temperatures will be warmer Sunday due to the warm air advection, but it will still be cool with highs in the lower 60s. The next 24 hours, the main rain axis will the southern half of the state, where 2-4 inches of rain will be possible, but for North Alabama one half to one inch of rain is possible. Every little bit helps as the drought continues across the state.

Complex Forecast for First of 2017

| December 31, 2016 @ 7:10 am

Strap on your seat belts! The forecast for the start of 2017 looks complicated and is likely to feature something for everyone ranging from sunshine to thunderstorms to wintery precipitation.

Clouds increased across the Southeast US overnight as good Pacific moisture began to be pumped into the area as the upper flow began to take on a more southwesterly character. The surface flow was also beginning to go southerly picking up low level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Temperatures were all over the board this morning ranging from 32 at Fort Payne to 48 at Mobile. Flash flood watches were issued for portions of Southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, Southwest Alabama, and extreme western sections of the Florida Panhandle in anticipation of the multi-day rain event that we’ve been forecasting.

While temperatures near the ground are warm, the temperature/moisture profile of the lower portion of the atmosphere still supports the potential for precipitation to begin as light sleet. Radar showed numerous patches of light rain in Alabama with almost no observation sites reporting rain at the ground. The dry layer near the ground will allow some evaporative cooling thus the potential for some light sleet as the column moistens up. But by this afternoon the temperature/moisture profile will have moderated with all precipitation coming in the form of rain. It will be chilly today with highs climbing only into the lower 50s.

Weather will not affect either the Alabama or the Auburn games since both are being played inside domed stadiums. But you may need some rain gear going and coming from the games. Alabama faces the Washington Huskies in the Georgia Dome this afternoon at 2:00 pm. The day looks cloudy with rain expected to move into northern Georgia during the evening hours. High will be near 50 in Downtown Atlanta. Auburn goes against the Oklahoma Sooners in New Orleans in the Super Dome on Monday evening at 7:30 pm. Weather looks rather warm, wet, and unsettled with showers and thunderstorms likely and temperatures in the middle 70s.

If your plans include the beach, cloudy skies are forecast together with multiple chances of rain for the weekend and into the beginning of next week. High temperatures will be in the upper 60s today climbing into the lower 70s Sunday and into the first several days of next week. See the complete Gulf Coast 7-Day Planner here.

The upper flow becomes decidedly southwesterly Sunday as a deep trough and a closed low did into Northwest Mexico south of the Four Corners area. This just keeps the flow of Pacific moisture coming into the Southeast US, so Sunday will be a wet day with rain off and on. Some peals of thunder are possible Sunday as well with the best chances for severe weather across the eastern two-thirds of Texas.

The upper flow stays southwesterly into Monday as the closed low comes out across East Texas as an open trough. The surface low will be in Northwest Kansas with a front pushing across the Lower Mississippi River Valley. SPC has the standard slight risk area across a large portion of Mississippi, most of Louisiana, East Texas, and a small sliver of Alabama from the West Central counties to Mobile. CAPE values are forecast to near 2000 j/kg over the slight risk area along with helicity values in the 200-300 range. SPC may adjust this area in future updates, so we’ll have to watch carefully to see if there will be any impact on North and Central Alabama.

Tuesday the upper trough zips well northeast of us and the surface front moves into Georgia, so Tuesday will be a transition day as we dry out with precipitation ending from the west. Monday and Tuesday should be fairly warm days with a strong southerly flow so highs will be well into the 60s. GFS MOS guidance suggests we could reach the 70s on Monday, but I’m not as optimistic as MOS is since we’ll have showers and thick clouds around.

Rainfall during the five-day period ending Thursday morning will be in the 2 to 4 inch range across North and Central Alabama with amounts of 4 to 7 inches possible from Dothan westward across Mobile and into the southern half of Louisiana.

Wednesday and Thursday will be somewhat nondescript days with partly cloudy skies and temperatures kept on the chilly side with a surface high off to our northwest. Highs will be a bit cooler than typical for early January with highs in the 40s and lows in the 30s.

Friday is shaping up to be a challenging day for forecasters. The ECMWF and the GFS are completely our of phase with each other, so confidence on the forecast for the end of the week and into the weekend is not terribly high. Unfortunately, the normally stable ECMWF has been flipping dramatically between runs while the GFS has maintained at least some continuity, so for now I’m going with the GFS. A short wave moves across the Central US on Friday and into Saturday. This is forecast to set up a broad low in the Gulf as colder air to the north sinks southward. As the GFS did yesterday, it is suggesting a band of sleet and light snow across northern portions of the Southeast US on Friday. The best chances for any snow will be across the Tennessee River Valley and northern third of Mississippi. It is much too early to be able to say whether or not this could create any travel issues particularly because our ground temperatures are so warm. But as we all know all too well, those exposed elevated roadways and bridges will respond differently. So this situation definitely falls in the category of careful watching.

By Saturday the upper trough moves eastward sweeping the clouds and precipitation with it but leaving us somewhat chilly with highs in the 40s.

Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS has gone quite bullish on the return of the upper ridge over the Gulf and Bahamas. This would definitely suggest some milder weather for the Southeast US.

I’ll be helping to handle the weather duties on ABC 3340 this weekend, so you can watch at 6 and 10 pm today for the latest forecast information. I hope you have a great day. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Three Weather Issues Ahead

| December 31, 2016 @ 4:15 am

Here is a quick look at the three issues facing Alabama over the next week…

WEEKEND RAIN: A good rain event will unfold this weekend with rising moisture levels, isentropic lift, and an approaching wave aloft.

As you can see, the heaviest rain should fall over South Alabama, where the NWS Mobile has issued a flash flood watch for seven Alabama counties, and Escambia County in Florida (including Pensacola)…

There will be breaks in the rain, but this looks like a very wet New Years weekend for most of Alabama.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY: Warm, unstable air will move northward during the day Monday ahead of another wave to the west, and by Monday afternoon dewpoints will be in the 60s well into North Alabama. This will make the air unstable, and set the stage for the chance of strong to severe storms. SPC has most of the state in a “marginal” severe weather risk, with a more significant “slight” risk over far West and Southwest Alabama.

Just too early to resolve the mesoscale details that will determine the severity of the threat for now, but these cold season systems can be very tricky to deal with. Looks like a classic “low CAPE, high shear” event we see this time of the year. Limited instability, but good veering of the wind with altitude. Looks like strong to severe storms could be possible from Monday afternoon well into Monday night and early Tuesday morning.

WINTER MISCHIEF LATE IN THE WEEK? Much colder, Arctic air will settle into Alabama Thursday and Friday, and with a broad southwest flow aloft with potential for embedded waves, that sets the stage for some potential for wintry precipitation somewhere across the southern U.S.

As usual, there is complete model madness for now. Best way to deal with this is to use the ensemble approach; this is model output using multiple runs (or members), with each using a slightly different set of initialization conditions. The collection of different runs from the series of initialization “tweaks” is called an ensemble.

Output from the GEFS (global ensemble forecast system with 21 members) still suggests some potential for wintry precipitation (snow, sleet, or freezing rain) across the southern U.S. in the January 5-7 time frame…

There is absolutely no way to resolve the details on this; some in this zone could very well see some sleet, freezing rain, or snow, but others will see just a cold rain, and some will get nothing.

Why share the idea at all? Because we are within 7 days of the event, where there is some forecast skill. And, it is our job to give you the range of possibilities out to seven days. We really need to get past the severe weather threat Monday night before we can have a good grasp on this; just something to watch for now.

As always, keep an eye on the blog for details on these three events…

2016 Ends With Rain And 2017 Starts Off With Thunder, And I Don’t Mean Fireworks

| December 30, 2016 @ 4:19 pm

Finishing Out The Final Friday Of 2016 On A Sunny Note
Sunny skies and cool temperatures are continuing to be the main weather feature across Central Alabama at this late afternoon hour. The only cloud cover showing up in the state is currently over the extreme southern parts of Mobile and Baldwin counties. Hope you enjoy this last Friday of 2016 because it will be the last dry day for the year. The New Year’s weekend looks to be cloudy and quite wet.

Temperatures Across Central Alabama
Temperatures at 3:45 PM have fallen a few degrees from the daytime highs. Current temperatures are ranging ranging from the upper 40s in the northern parts of the area, to the mid 50s in the south. The warm spot is Montgomery at 57 degrees. The cool spot is currently Haleyville at 48 degrees.

Weather For The Remainder Of The Day
Skies will be mostly clear to start off the evening, but will be mostly cloudy by daybreak. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s to the mid 30s. Winds have already died down from the day, and will become calm at sunset, before picking up to 1-5 MPH out of the south after midnight.

The New Years Eve Forecast
Saturday will start off dry, but clouds and rain chances will rapidly increase through the day from the south and west. There is a possibility that there may be a few ice pellets or a stray snow flurry or two as the moisture first moves into our dry airmass and evaporative cooling takes place, but temperatures will be above freezing and there will be no impact. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 40s in the northeast to the mid 50s to the southwest. Rainfall will become likely, and temperatures will warm during the evening and overnight hours. Temperatures will be coolest around 6:00 PM in the mid 40s to low 50s across the area, but will be in the low to upper 50s by daybreak.

GFS Model Run: Expected Rainfall Totals from Now to 12AM Monday

New Year’s Day
The first day of 2017 will have rain throughout the day, and a few rumbles of thunder may be possible. Temperatures will be warmer on Sunday due to warm air advection, with highs ranging throughout the 60s. The European model is painting rain totals of 0.25 inches for the north, and as high as 3.0 inches for the southern parts of Central Alabama. The GFS model is relatively close in its run, with close to 0.5 inches for the northern parts, and between 1-2 inches for much of the south, with some spots getting over 3 inches in the southeastern part.

Alabama At The Peach Bowl
Alabama will be facing the Washington Huskies in the Georgia Dome on Saturday afternoon at 2:00 PM. The day looks cloudy and rain is expected to move into North Georgia during the evening hours on Saturday. High will be near 50 in Downtown Atlanta. Weather won’t impact the game since it is indoors.

Auburn At The Sugar Bowl
Auburn will be facing the Oklahoma Sooners down in New Orleans in the Super Dome on Monday evening at 7:30 PM. Weather looks rather wet and unsettled, with showers and thunderstorms likely, and temperatures in the middle 70s. Once again, weather will not impact this game as it is indoors.

The First Part Of Next Week
Monday will feature rain and storms, as an upper-level shortwave moves out of the Rockies and sends a low north out of the Gulf of Mexico. A surge of warm, moist air will move in across the state, and temperatures will climb well into the 60s. Strong to severe storms could be possible on Monday as instability (CAPE) values rise into the range of 1,000 to 1,200 J/kg with shear (helicity) values in the 200 to 400 range.

It is still too early to be specific about the severe weather threat, and SPC has not outlined any specific area with just a casual reference to low probability factors, but a set-up like this could allow for some strong, and possibly severe storms. Make sure you check the blog through the weekend to see how things unfold.

The surface low moves quickly into the Great Lakes region on Tuesday, with a front moving across Central Alabama, bringing us a break in the rain late on Tuesday and through the day Wednesday. Afternoon highs for both of these days will be in the 50s for most of us. Between now and the middle of next week, many locations are likely to receive 2-4 inches of rain, which will be very beneficial and will help the ongoing drought conditions.

The End Of Next Week
The forecast models are at it again, and have started trying to produce a little wintry mischief for the Southeast. Clouds and rain will return quickly with an active southwesterly flow setting up over the state. A surface high to our northwest will bring much colder air in our direction, and this will overlap with the moisture already in place. The GFS is showing a narrow band of wintry precipitation possible across North Alabama as the moisture exits and the colder air arrives.

Now there are still so many uncertainties with this event, so don’t chisel it in stone. There is a good chance that you will start seeing posts on social media calling for the worst snow storm ever. This is NOT the case, and please do not share such falsities. Don’t rush out and get milk and bread for your milk sandwiches yet. All of us here on the Alabama Wx Weather Blog will continue to keep a close eye on the situation with later model runs. This is a week away, so things can and will change.

Latest On Our Drought Situation
The latest U.S. Drought Monitor continues to indicate extreme to exceptional drought conditions persist across much of Central Alabama. There is no change in the percentage numbers for the drought conditions for this week compared to last week. Over 86% of the state remains defined in severe drought conditions, over 51% of the state defined in extreme drought conditions, and over 19% of the state defined in exceptional drought conditions. Only the extreme southeastern parts of the state (parts of Geneva and Houston counties) are out of any drought definition. Here is a list of cities and their current rainfall totals for 2016 and their deficits:

  • Birmingham 39.83 in (-13.50 in)
  • Montgomery 40.89 in (-11.76 in)
  • Anniston 31.39 in (-17.92 in)
  • Tuscaloosa 37.05 in (-15.18 in)
  • Calera 36.94 in (-17.29 in)
  • Troy 39.92 in (-14.40 in)

The fire danger risk has decreased across much of the state due to rainfall over the past 30 days. While the statewide burn ban has been rescinded, there remains concern that many pine trees could still die due to the drought that has plagued the state. The state forester continues to urge people that are doing any outside burning to follow safety precautions such as not leaving any fire unattended and having the proper equipment and personnel to control the fire. Since October 1st, over 1,100 wildfires have occurred in Central Alabama, and over 20,000 acres have burned based on reports from the Alabama State Forestry Commission. At this time, there are no ongoing wildfires.

Headed To The Beach
Cloudy skies and multiple chances of rain returns for the weekend and into the beginning of next week. See the complete Gulf Coast 7-Day Planner here..

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Remember that we are also on Facebook and on Twitter.

WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)

Sunny Skies And Cool At Midday For The Last Friday Of 2016

| December 30, 2016 @ 11:54 am

The Last Sunny Day Of 2016
Sunny skies and cool temperatures are the main weather feature across Central Alabama at the midday hour. The only cloud cover showing up in the state is currently over Mobile and Washington counties. Hope you enjoy this last Friday of 2016 because it will be the last sunny day for the year. The New Year’s weekend looks to be cloudy and quite wet.

Temperatures Across Central Alabama
Temperatures at 11:45 AM are ranging from the mid 40s in the northern parts of the area, to the mid 50s in the south. The warm spots are currently Alexander City and Jasper at 54 degrees. The cool spot is currently Cullman at 45 degrees.

Birmingham’s Climatology And Records
The normal high for December 30th is 53, while the normal low is 33. The record high for today was set back in 1984 at 76 degrees. The record low was set back in 1917 at 8 degrees.

Weather For The Remainder Of The Day
The remainder of the afternoon will be filled with sunshine, with high temperatures only making it into the upper 40s to mid 50s across the area from the northeast to the southwest. Winds will once again be out of the northwest at 5-10 MPH, and that will make wind chill temperatures feel 3 to 6 degrees cooler than the actual temperature. Skies will be mostly clear to start off the evening, but will be mostly cloudy by daybreak. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s to the mid 30s. Winds will become calm at sunset then start to average 1-5 MPH out of the south after midnight.

The New Years Eve Forecast
Saturday will start off dry, but clouds and rain chances will rapidly increase through the day from the south and west. There is a possibility that there may be a few ice pellets or a stray snowflurry or two as the moisture first moves into our dry airmass and evaporative cooling takes place, but temperatures will be above freezing and there will be no impact. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 40s in the northeast to the mid 50s to the southwest. Rainfall will become likely, and temperatures will warm during the evening and overnight hours. Temperatures will be coolest around 6:00 PM in the mid 40s to low 50s across the area, but will be in the low to upper 50s by daybreak.

Latest On Our Drought Situation
The latest U.S. Drought Monitor continues to indicate extreme to exceptional drought conditions persist across much of Central Alabama. There is no change in the percentage numbers for the drought conditions for this week compared to last week. Over 86% of the state remains defined in severe drought conditions, over 51% of the state defined in extreme drought conditions, and over 19% of the state defined in exceptional drought conditions. Only the extreme southeastern parts of the state (parts of Geneva and Houston counties) are out of any drought definition. Here is a list of cities and their current rainfall totals for 2016 and their deficits:

  • Birmingham 39.83 in (-13.50 in)
  • Montgomery 40.89 in (-11.76 in)
  • Anniston 31.39 in (-17.92 in)
  • Tuscaloosa 37.05 in (-15.18 in)
  • Calera 36.94 in (-17.29 in)
  • Troy 39.92 in (-14.40 in)

The fire danger risk has decreased across much of the state due to rainfall over the past 30 days. While the statewide burn ban has been rescinded, there remains concern that many pine trees could still die due to the drought that has plagued the state. The state forester continues to urge people that are doing any outside burning to follow safety precautions such as not leaving any fire unattended and having the proper equipment and personnel to control the fire. Since October 1st, over 1,100 wildfires have occurred in Central Alabama, and over 20,000 acres have burned based on reports from the Alabama State Forestry Commission. At this time, there are no ongoing wildfires.

Alabama At The Peach Bowl
Alabama will be facing the Washington Huskies in the Georgia Dome on Saturday afternoon at 2:00 PM. The day looks cloudy and rain is expected to move into North Georgia during the evening hours on Saturday. High will be near 50 in Downtown Atlanta. Weather won’t impact the game since it is indoors.

Auburn At The Sugar Bowl
Auburn will be facing the Oklahoma Sooners down in New Orleans in the Super Dome on Monday evening at 7:30 PM. Weather looks rather wet and unsettled, with showers and thunderstorms likely, and temperatures in the middle 70s. Once again, weather will not impact this game as it is indoors.

Headed To The Beach
Sunny and breezy today, but cloudy skies and multiple chances of rain returns for the weekend and into the beginning of next week. See the complete Gulf Coast 7-Day Planner here..

On This Day In Weather History: 1933
The temperature reached 50 degrees below zero at Bloomfield, VT. It was the coldest reading in modern records for New England. The temperature at Pittsburgh NH reached 44 degrees below zero.

Follow The Blog On Social Media
Remember that we are also on Facebook and on Twitter.

WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)

Remembering the Best of 2016 and Looking Forward to the New Year With Our Alabama NewsCenter Partners!

| December 30, 2016 @ 11:25 am

As we ring in the New Year, our friends at Alabama NewsCenter show us that festivities abound and highlight the best of 2016!  Here are some of our favorite stories.

Take a hike this New Year’s Day at one of these six Alabama State Parks

A quick how-to guide to ring in the New Year in Can’t Miss Alabama

Best of Alabama NewsCenter 2016: Entertainment stories

Best of Alabama NewsCenter 2016: Alabama Makers

Best of Alabama NewsCenter: Sports stories

Birmingham Bowl showcases Magic City to South Florida, South Carolina

Famous Alabamians’ holiday greetings are tiny windows on history, culture

Montgomery’s Hope Inspired Ministries expands into Woodlawn

Director of Shelby County research center gets national recognition as power industry leader, mentor

Alabama auto industry drives into new era with brainpower jobs, deeper skills

Muscle Shoals National Heritage Area filled with natural, cultural resources

UAB emergency docs take teaching skills to Kenya

Samford pharmacy students, faculty complete unique research with Children’s of Alabama

Celebrities, alumni join Samford University in celebration of its 175th year

Tuscaloosa martial artist wins 3 gold medals at international event

Take Action: Dr. Josh offers tips to make your New Year’s resolutions stick

How one Alabama woman came to give the perfect Christmas gift

Chilly Today Becoming Wet Late Saturday

| December 30, 2016 @ 7:14 am

Clear skies prevail across the northern two-thirds of Alabama this morning with the day expected to be mostly sunny but chilly. Morning temperatures are starting out mainly in the 30s across North and Central Alabama. Even with the sunshine today highs will struggle to reach the 50-degree mark. But warmer and wetter weather is on tap for Central Alabama.

Headed to the beach? Sunny skies and breezy conditions are expected along the Alabama and Florida Panhandle beaches today with highs in the upper 50s. Clouds return along with multiple chances of rain for the weekend and into the start of next week. Highs Saturday will warm into the 60s then into the 70s of Sunday and beyond. See the complete Gulf Coast 7-Day Planner here.

For football enthusiasts, Alabama is in Atlanta for the Peach Bowl against the Washington Huskies with a Saturday afternoon 2:00 pm kickoff inside the Georgia Dome. The day looks cloudy with rain expected to move into North Georgia during the evening hours on Saturday. The high will be near 50 in Downtown Atlanta.

Auburn is heading to New Orleans for the Sugar Bowl against the Oklahoma Sooners for a 7:30 pm kickoff inside the Super Dome on Monday, January 2. The weather looks rather wet and unsettled down in the Big Easy, with showers and thunderstorms likely, and temperatures in the middle 70s.

Both of these football games will be held inside domed stadiums, so weather will not impact either game.

With a surface high settling in across the Southeast US, Saturday morning will be chilly again with temperatures falling into the range of 27 to 32. Clouds will be on the increase beginning before sunrise on Saturday as moisture increases with a southwesterly flow aloft tapping into Pacific moisture with the digging in of a strong closed low over Baja California. Rain will become likely by Saturday afternoon across much of Central Alabama. There remains some question as to whether or not we will see some light sleet with the initial onset of precipitation in the morning and early afternoon. The atmospheric profile shows moistening from the top down leaving some space for evaporative cooling to chill down the lowest portion of the atmosphere. This profile would support the presence of light sleet as precipitation begins, but with the atmosphere forecast to warm up fairly quickly, it does not appear likely that the sleet would create any kind of travel issues for North or Central Alabama.

The moist southwesterly flow will stay with us from late Saturday through Sunday and Monday. Rain will occur off and on with the potential for rainfall amounts to reach the 2 to 4 inch range with the heaviest amounts likely to fall across the southwest quadrant of Alabama. A strong short wave comes out of the Southwest US on Monday with the development of a strong surface low in eastern Colorado. This may set the stage for a round of strong to severe storms on Monday as CAPE values rise into the range of 1,000 to 1,400 j/kg with helicity values in the 200 to 400 range. It’s too early to be specific about the severe weather threat, and SPC has not outlined any specific area with just a casual reference to low probability factors. Temperatures will be mild with highs primarily in the 60s.

The surface low rolls quickly into the Great Lakes on Tuesday with a front moving across the Southeast US. This will bring an end to the rainy period and drop our temperatures back somewhat. Highs Wednesday and Thursday should be in the 50s.

For the end of the week the GFS is presenting a challenge with a threat for wintery precipitation across northern sections of the Southeast US. As southwesterly flow increases moisture once again on Thursday and Friday, a surface high to our northwest will bring colder air southward. The GFS is signaling a narrow band of wintery precipitation possible across North Alabama. This is the classic situation of the cold air arriving as the moisture is leaving. If this scenario develops – and often times they don’t simply because the timing has to be pretty exact – it looks like any winter weather would be short lived and not likely to produce any serious issues for travel. So there is no need to rush out and get milk and bread, but we will continue to keep a close eye on the situation with later model runs.

Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS maintains a practically zonal flow across the southern tier of the US out to the 12th of January. From the 12th of January to the end of the period around the 14th, an upper ridge develops over the East Coast of the US while a strong trough develops over the Rockies. This pattern could result in a strong surface system in the Central Plains states. But there is not a great deal of confidence out this far since we’ve been seeing the GFS bounce back and forth between zonal flow and a parade of short waves.

I expect to post the next Weather Xtreme Video here between 7 and 7:30 am Saturday. Check back here often for updates on the Alabama weather situation. Have a great day, stay warm, and Godspeed.

-Brian-

A Cold Night Expected, With Rain Returning For New Year’s Weekend

| December 29, 2016 @ 4:31 pm

Clear Skies And Colder Temperatures For This Evening
At the 4 o’clock hour for Central Alabama, skies are sunny across the entire area with the exception of some pesky clouds still hanging tough in the extreme southern parts of the area over Troy and Eufaula. All rain has pushed well out of the state to the south. Behind the front, the wind is still averaging at 10-20 MPH, with gusts up to 25 MPH at times.

Temperatures Across Central Alabama
Temperatures at this hour are ranging from 50 degrees in the northern parts of the area, to the low 60s in the south. The warm spot is Eufaula at 61 degrees. The cool spots are currently Haleyville and Cullman at 50 degrees.

Weather For This Evening And The Overnight Hours
A clear night is expected for this evening, and overnight lows will be in the low to mid 30s. Winds will be averaging 5-10 MPH out of the northwest, making it feel 5 to 7 degrees cooler than the actual temperature.

The Last Friday Of 2016
Temperatures will start off in the low to mid 30s across Central Alabama, and with a day filled with sunshine, temperatures will only make it into the upper 40s to mid 50s across the area from the northeast to the southwest. Winds will once again be out of the northwest at 5-10 MPH, and that will make wind chill temperatures feel 3 to 6 degrees cooler than the actual temperature. Clouds will be on the increase during the evening and overnight hours ahead of our next rain maker that will be moving in for the weekend and throughout the first part of next week. Overnight lows will be in the low 20s to the mid 30s.

Rain Returns For The New Years Weekend
A pattern of active weather returns for Central Alabama, and this means our weather will change quickly. Saturday will start off dry, but clouds and rain will rapidly increase through the day from the south and west. Soaking rains are expected for Sunday and for the first several days of 2017. We could even see some storms along the way through Monday. Beneficial rains should fall with this event, which will continue to help decrease our deficits in our drought conditions through the area. Temperatures this weekend should be in the 60s for highs.

Headed Out Of State To Bowl Games
Alabama is in Atlanta for the Peach Bowl against the Washington Huskies, Saturday afternoon 2:00 PM kickoff inside the Georgia Dome. The day looks cloudy and rain is expected to move into North Georgia during the evening hours on Saturday. Highs will be in the lower 50s in Downtown Atlanta. Weather won’t impact the game since it is indoors.

Auburn is heading to New Orleans for the Sugar Bowl against the Oklahoma Sooners, for a 7:30 PM kickoff inside the Super Dome on Monday, January 2. The weather looks rather wet and unsettled down in the Big Easy with temperatures in the 70s. Once again, weather will not impact this game as it is indoors.

First Full Week Of 2017
The first half of the will remain mild and unsettled with rain continuing through at least Tuesday. Another strong cold front looks to arrive midweek, and that could mean another round of strong and severe storms. Also, the second half of next week should be much colder behind the front with 40s expected for highs late in the week.

Headed To The Beach
Cloudy skies with multiple chances of rain throughout the rest of the week and weekend, with the exception of Friday, where skies will be mostly clear. See the complete Gulf Coast 7-Day Planner here..

Follow The Blog On Social Media
Remember that we are also on Facebook and on Twitter.

WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)