Archive for January 11th, 2017

Warm January Weather Ahead

| January 11, 2017 @ 3:24 pm

RADAR CHECK: Just a few sprinkles/patches of light rain across Alabama this afternoon… the sky is mostly cloudy.

Temperatures have pushed into the 70s in a few spots; Tuscaloosa is a warm 74 degrees this afternoon.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: A strong upper ridge will build across the Southeast U.S., meaning warm and mostly dry weather on these four days. A few showers are possible tomorrow and Friday across the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama, but the rest of the state should be rain-free. The high tomorrow and Friday should be in the 70-73 degree range for most, with 72-75 degree readings this weekend. These values are not too far from record values; the record high for Saturday (January 14) is 78 set in 1932.

FYI, we have seen 80 degree warmth in January in Alabama… the warmest temperature on record for the month is 81 degrees, measured in Birmingham on January 10, 1949.

ICE FOR THE NATION’S MID-SECTION: While we enjoy the warmth, very cold air is over the northern U.S., and that could set the stage for some nasty icing conditions from the Texas Panhandle to Washington D.C. and Baltimore by Friday and Saturday…

NEXT WEEK: A storm system lifting out of the Southwest U.S. will bring rain back to Alabama by Wednesday… for now it looks like about 1/2 to 1 inch of rain with little if any risk of severe storms. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

And, long range data from the CFS model hints cold air returns to Alabama around the last week of the month.

WORLD CLASS TENNIS RETURNS TO BIRMINGHAM: The BJCC will host the first-round tie against Switzerland February 3rd-5th. Single-day tickets are on sale now. Get them while they last! Buy tickets here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

A Cloudy But Very Mild Midday Across The Area

| January 11, 2017 @ 12:27 pm

At the midday hour, it is a relatively cloudy Wednesday across Central Alabama. There are a few breaks in the clouds allowing the day to brighten just for a minute or two. In the southwestern parts of the state, the cloud cover is less. The cloud cover is moving to the northeast, so hopefully we can get some of that clearing up this way so we can have a spectacular sunset this evening.

There are a few showers out there at the midday hour across Central Alabama. The heaviest shower is showing up down in Hale County in-between Moundville and Greensboro. A few lighter showers are located in northern Talladega and southern Calhoun counties, mainly affecting Alexandria, Saks, and Weaver. All of these showers are pushing off to the northeast.

Skies will remain mainly cloudy with a small risk of scattered showers across the area throughout the day, with that risk moving to only the northern half of the area by the evening. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s across Central Alabama, with lows in the 50s.

Temperatures Across Central Alabama
At 12:21 PM, temperatures are ranging from the lower 60s in the northern parts of the area, to the mid 70s in the southern parts of the area. The warm spot is currently Eufaula at 74 degrees. The cool spot is Cullman at 60 degrees.

Birmingham’s Climatology And Records
The normal high for January 11th is 52, while the normal low is 32. The record high for today was set back in 1949 at 78 degrees. The record low was set back in 1982 at -1 degrees.

Clouds And Warm Temperatures For Thursday
On Thursday, clouds will hang tough throughout the area, as skies will be mostly cloudy. A very small risk for a passing shower or two are possible west of a line from Snead in Blount County, to Birmingham, to Centreville in Bibb County, to Thomaston in Marengo County. A few sprinkles are possible during the early morning hours for the northern half of the area. Afternoon highs will be around 20 degrees above normal, reaching the 70s across the area.

For Those Who Are Beach Bound
A small risk for showers for today, with mostly clear skies through the rest of the week and weekend. A small chance of thunderstorms return for Martin Luther King Day. Highs will be at or just over 70 for the remainder of the week through Monday. Click here to see the Beach Forecast Center page.

National High & Low Temperature
The warmest high temperature for the United States on Tuesday was 90 degrees, recorded at Rio Grande Village in Texas. The coldest low temperature for the United States on Tuesday night into early this morning was -29 degrees, recorded at Havre in Montana.

On This Day In Weather History: 2008
The people of Baghdad woke up to the novelty of falling snowflakes as the city experienced its first snowfall in about 100 years.

World Class Tennis Returns To Birmingham
The BJCC will host the first-round tie against Switzerland February 3rd-5th. Single-day tickets are on sale now. Get them while they last! Buy tickets here.

Central Alabama Chapter Of The NWA
The Central Alabama Chapter of the National Weather Association will be hosting famed engineer and storm chaser Tim Marshall. He will speak at Vulcan Museum on the evening of Tuesday, January 24th. This is an event you won’t want to miss. Look for details on the chapter’s website.

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WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)

WeatherBrains 573: Fastest Thing on the Highway

| January 11, 2017 @ 8:06 am

WeatherBrains Episode 573 is now online (January 10, 2017). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

John Murphy, COO NWSTonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is the Chief Operating Officer (COO) for the National Weather Service. He was formerly the Director of the NWS Office of Science and Technology. He served as a career meteorologist in the United States Air Force for 29 years before joining the NWS in 2011. He was the Commander of the Air Force Weather Agency. His meteorology degree is from Lyndon State and his Masters is from Penn State. John Murphy, welcome to WeatherBrains!

The Office of the Chief Operating Officer (OCOO) manages the day-to-day mission execution units responsible for delivering NWS weather, water, climate and space weather products, services, and information as well as the budgetary planning for 11 National Service Programs. The Office is responsible for coordinating and integrating all aspects of mission execution to ensure consistency of NWS products and services. The Office is responsible for enforcing National Service Program policy. The Office manages the NWS Operations Center (NWSOC) and provides liaison services to other partnering agencies. The Office is the lead for Continuity of Operations (COOP) planning to ensure organizational and management continuity. The Office monitors and reports service delivery performance measures, conducts and evaluates operational service efficiency, effectiveness, and customer satisfaction, and develops NWS policy delineating NWS’s mission and its public sector responsibility to produce and disseminate information. The Office manages and oversees resources to maintain and sustain effective mission execution, identifies and validates needed service requirements, and ensures those needs are incorporated into cross-portfolio planning activities. These activities require active coordination and collaboration with all members of the climatological, hydrometeorological, space weather, and oceanographic communities as well as all weather-sensitive constituent communities including other Federal, state, and local government agencies; the media; the private weather information sector; academic institutions; non-governmental organizations; constituent organizations; and the public.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 88 at McAllen, TX, & Edinburg, TX, and -17 at Lewistown, MT
  • Cold relinquishing it’s grip for now
  • New storm on the horizon for next weekend for Central US
  • With cold, little severe weather next several days
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • and more!

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: There’s a lot of cold over the eastern US the last several days, and cold weather can lead to some issues later in the year. These issues can be ice jams produced by ice forming on the surface of rivers, streams, and creeks. Debris jams are similar, but can occur at anytime of the year.

Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 573:

Jobs web site

Occupational workforce analysis (NWS)

NWS Office of Chief Operating Officer web page

NWS organizational structure

Warn on Forecast program

HR-1561, Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Act of 2016

To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

Picks of the Week:

Nate Johnson – Weather video by Mike Olbinski

Bill Murray – gets the fog horn!

Brian Peters – Weather and inauguration days

Kevin Selle – Skybrary, a single point of reference for aviation safety

James Spann – Interactive snow information

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Sierra Nevada cam with 8 feet of snow

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Audible.com graphic

A Few Showers For North Alabama Today

| January 11, 2017 @ 6:11 am

RADAR CHECK: A few showers are over the northern half of Alabama early this morning… moving east/northeast…

The sky is mostly cloudy, and temperatures are in the upper 50s and low 60s at daybreak. Expect a high in the upper 60s today; clouds will persist and we will maintain the risk of scattered showers, but nothing heavy or widespread.

We note the average high for Birmingham on January 11 is 52; based on averages this is the coldest time of the year; the average high slips up to 53 on January 19.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: An upper ridge will continue to build across the Southeast U.S… pushing highs up into the low 70s both day, a good 20 degrees above average. We will hang on to a small risk of a shower tomorrow; Friday should be dry.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A far cry from last weekend’s ice issues; we project a high between 70 and 73 Saturday and Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds. The upper ridge will keep Alabama dry, while some places across the Central U.S. deal with freezing rain and ice (in a broad zone from Amarillo to Cincinnati).

NEXT WEEK: The GFS continues to trend slower with the next weather feature to the west; it now hints our next decent chance of rain will come around Wednesday of next week. And, for now, it doesn’t look like a really big event, and no risk of severe weather. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

35 YEARS AGO: On January 11, 1982, the low in Birmingham was 1 below zero. Then, in coming days, Birmingham would experience one of its worst ice storms of the twentieth century as freezing rain and sleet swept into Central Alabama about midday on January 12, 1982. Morning forecasts had called for a winter storm watch for occasional sleet and freezing rain that would arrive by sundown. By mid-morning, as freezing rain and sleet across South Alabama was spreading rapidly north, the watch was changed to a winter storm warning.

The snow arrived about 8 hours earlier than anticipated in the Birmingham area and quickly changed over to a mix of freezing rain and sleet that turned roads in skating rinks. Thousands of motorists had to abandon their vehicles on roads and hike home or spend the night in shelters. Brookwood Village mall became a huge shelter. So many wrecks occurred that the Birmingham Police Department could not answer the calls for accident investigation. As temperatures hovered near the freezing mark through the night, freezing rain created a thick coating on all exposed objects. Trees snapped, pulling down power lines and putting as many as 750,000 Alabamians in the dark. A state of emergency was declared in Alabama and National Guard Armories were opened to serve as shelters.

WORLD CLASS TENNIS RETURNS TO BIRMINGHAM: The BJCC will host the first-round tie against Switzerland February 3rd-5th. Single-day tickets are on sale now. Get them while they last! Buy tickets here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking at a meeting of the Alabama Golf Course Superintendents Association in Oxford… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!