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Fall-like Day for Central Alabama

| May 15, 2016 @ 6:26 am

The front that we saw yesterday morning well northwest of Alabama moved through the state during the day yesterday, so most of Alabama is waking up to a cool morning. Most places across North and Central Alabama were in the 40s this morning, temperatures more like Fall than late Spring. The day should see passing clouds from time to time from convection that occurred west and northwest of us. Temperatures today should reach highs in the lower 70s for most locations.

Monday will be another nice day as we warm up. Morning temperatures will dip into the lower and middle 50s with a few 40s across the northeast part of Alabama. Highs under a partly cloudy sky should move back toward the 80-degree mark.

Gorgeous weather is expected along the Gulf Coast today and through much of the week ahead. Scattered showers and storms return by midweek, but there will still be plenty of sunshine to work on those tans. Afternoon highs will be around 80 on the immediate coast. Sea water temperatures along the coast were running about 79 degrees. For the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner click here.

Regions Traditions golf tournament tees off this week at the Greystone Golf and Country Club. The daily threat of scattered showers and storms are in the forecast and it will be warm. Click here for Regions Traditions Tickets.

The SEC Baseball Tournament returns to the Hoover Met from May 24the to 29th. Way to early for event specific forecast, but looking at the long range models shows a few dry days are expected, with at least one passing storm system that could delay some games. A lot to watch the next couple of weeks. Click here For Event and Ticket information.

Tuesday the surface flow really comes around to the south with moisture increasing across the area as dew points climb back into the upper 50s. There’s still some question as to whether or not we see widely scattered showers on Tuesday, and I think most of us remain dry. Highs should be in the lower 80s.

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The upper flow goes nearly zonal or slightly southwesterly from Wednesday through the start of the weekend helping to provide moisture aloft. That combined with low level moisture, heating of the day, and embedded short waves in the flow, we will have the potential for showers or a thunderstorm just about each day. Lows will be in the 60s with highs in the lower 80s, so it will be fairly typical as we push toward the latter part of May.

Rainfall through the end of this coming week does not appear to be be very heavy as the main rain threat remains well to our west but just east of the trough in the southern Rockies.

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By next Sunday, the GFS remains consistent with the model run yesterday morning with a closed low developing over the South Carolina/Georgia area and becoming detached from the main westerly flow pattern. This pattern carries us into the first portion of voodoo country. But just as we saw yesterday, the GFS keeps that closed low east of Alabama, so we stay on the dry side of the closed low. Afternoon heating may be enough to generate showers from day to day. That closed low finally weakens and moves out around the 24th of May, but it appears to be replaced by a trough over the Central US around the 27th of May which could spell another round of wet weather.

Special thanks to everyone who came out for the Buck Creek Festival this weekend. It was a stupendous festival with great weather and some great music. Mark your calendar for next year – May 12 and 13, 2017!

James Spann will have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video here on Monday morning generally by 7 am. Enjoy another great day. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

Brian Peters is one of the television meteorologists at ABC3340 in Birmingham and a retired NWS Warning Coordination Meteorologist. He handles the weekend Weather Xtreme Videos and forecast discussion and is the Webmaster for the popular WeatherBrains podcast.

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