Light Rain Tomorrow; Very Active Next Week

ANOTHER COLD MORNING: Temperatures are generally in the 20s across North/Central Alabama again this morning; our Skywatcher Vic Bell at Black Creek reports 21 degrees just before sunrise. Today will feature a sun filled sky with a high between 67 and 70 degrees for most places.

TO THE WEST: Severe storms are possible later today and tonight over parts of East Texas and Southeast Oklahoma, ahead of a weather system coming out of the Rockies. Clouds will increase across Alabama after midnight tonight, and it won’t be as cold as recent nights.

TOMORROW: We will continue to mention a chance of mostly light rain across North and Central Alabama tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours. Latest model output is now suggesting rain amounts of about 0.10″ for most places, with a few spots seeing 0.20″. Remember, soil moisture is depleted due to the drought and there is less water available for evaporation from the soil surface, and less water available for transpiration from vegetation. This is why it is so hard to break out of a drought, and these initial waves after the pattern flip are struggling to produce meaningful rain.

While the light rain tomorrow won’t make a dent in the drought, anything we get is certainly welcome. The sky will be generally cloudy tomorrow with a high again in the 67-70 degree range.

THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Clouds could linger into Thanksgiving morning, but the sky becomes partly sunny Thursday afternoon with a high close to 70 degrees. Black Friday looks good with ample sunshine and a high also near 70. Cooler air slips into the state over the weekend; we expect a high in the low 60s Saturday and upper 60s Sunday… the air stays dry and the sky will be mostly sunny both days.

IRON BOWL: For the biggest college football game of the year in Alabama, Saturday for now looks like a perfect day for the game, with ample sunshine and a kickoff temperature in Tuscaloosa (2:30p at Bryant-Denny Stadium) near 63 degrees, falling into the 50s by the final whistle.

ACTIVE WEATHER NEXT WEEK: Most folks will “believe it when they see it” when it comes to rain returning to Alabama, but global models are on board for a very active week with multiple rounds of showers, even potential for strong thunderstorms along the way. Rain and storms are a good bet in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, with more rain later in the week. Some beneficial rain amounts are likely.

Just too early to know if we will have a severe weather threat, but understand this is the fall tornado season in Alabama, and even though it has been so dry for so long, we have to be vigilant. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Just a small risk of a shower on the coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores Thursday and Friday, otherwise mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend with highs mostly in the 70s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

OTTO: The tropical storm in the far Southwest Caribbean is not moving this morning, but it will begin to drift to the west later today, and make landfall on the Central American coast later this week. No impact on the U.S. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Tags: ANC, dry

Category: Alabama's Weather