Midday Forecast: Calm Today, Strong Storms Develop Late Tonight

We are seeing a mix of sun and clouds today and overall it is a calm day across the state. There are a few sprinkles showing up on the radar, but nothing too widespread.

Another very warm day and late this morning, temperatures are into the 60s, which is well-above average for this time of year. We are going to see highs this afternoon in the 70s.

In the latest day one convective outlook, the SPC has upgraded to an “enhanced risk” of severe storms across areas of South Mississippi and Louisiana, and maintains parts of West and Southwest Alabama in the standard “slight risk” of severe storms, with a “marginal” risk northeast to Birmingham.

The convective outlooks is valid through 6 AM CST tomorrow, so that is why we are seeing parts of the state highlighted in a risk for today. There is no threat of severe weather in Alabama today, this is for late tonight, after midnight, when we expect the first round of storms to begin to impact portions of Alabama.

This first initial round of storms will develop along the Gulf Coast of Louisiana and Mississippi in response to an upper-level jet streak that will provide the dynamic support for storms. These are expected to develop around midnight southwest of Alabama and rapidly head towards the northeast across the areas highlighted in the risk area.

For Alabama, the first chance of severe storms will come from roughly 3AM until 10AM tomorrow. During this time frame, these storms will certainly be capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. It looks to be a rather stormy start to our Saturday especially across portions of South and Southwest Alabama.

I am just highlighting round one of the storms. There will be several rounds of storms through the weekend. We want to urge folks to remain weather aware this weekend, as this system has the potential to be a high impact event for the state. Make sure you have multiple reliable sources to receive severe weather notifications in the event a warning is issued for your location. With some of the severe weather occurring during the overnight hours, it extremely important that you are able to receive the alerts. As we head into tonight and through the weekend, be sure to check the blog frequently for the latest on the severe weather threat.

Tags: ANC

Category: Alabama's Weather