Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

A Quick Look At Our Weather Situation At 1:00PM

| March 27, 2017 @ 1:12 pm

RADAR CHECK
We have a few isolated showers breaking out over parts of the state right now, but the severe activity is really starting to pick up to our northwest.

Severe thunderstorms have formed over the extreme northern parts of Mississippi and into the western parts of Tennessee. A severe Thunderstorm Watch is currently in effect for the northern parts of Mississippi, into the western parts of Tennessee, the extreme eastern parts of Arkansas, and up into the western parts of Kentucky until 8:00PM tonight. These storms will continue to push into North/Central Alabama later this afternoon.

SEVERE OUTLOOK FROM THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER
The latest update from the SPC has the northwest corner of the state in an enhanced risk for severe storms throughout the day, with a good portion of the northern half of the state in a slight risk, and a marginal risk stretching all the way out to Mobile and Baldwin counties to Greenville and Montgomery and out to east and northeastern Alabama. The next update will be out by 3:00PM.

LATEST THINKING
We are still on course for having a threat for severe storms this afternoon and into the evening hours. The broad, upper-level through continues to move towards the southeastern states, and supercells and clusters of strong to severe storms are expected to continue to develop ahead of the lagging associated front. CAPE values are still expected to be in the 1000-2000 J/kg range, and along with abundant dry air aloft and 0-6 km shear of 35-45 knots. It appears that the best chance for severe storms will be to the west and northwest of the I-59 corridor, with a lesser threat stretching down as far as the I-85 corridor.

TIMING
The main risk for strong to severe storms across the area today will be from roughly 2:00PM until 9:00PM this evening. With the cold front lagging and a low-level jet in place, more showers and storms are possible after that during the late evening and overnight hours, but these will not be severe.

TIMING
The main risk for strong to severe storms across the area today will be from roughly 3:00PM until 9:00PM this evening. With the cold front lagging and a low-level jet in place, more showers and storms are possible after that during the late evening and overnight hours, but these will not be severe.

WORD OF ADVICE
Continue to be in a position to hear severe weather watches and warnings throughout the day if they are needed. Stay tuned to the Alabama Wx Weather Blog throughout the day for regular updates. Have your NOAA Weather Radio handy and your smart phone charged and nearby.

HEADS UP FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER ON THURSDAY
Our next system that will move across the area will be on Thursday afternoon and Thursday night, and the SPC already has much of the state defined in a severe weather risk on their “Day 4” outlook. The synoptic pattern looks favorable for strong to severe storms as of now, but we need to get through today’s event before focusing on Thursday.

Tags:

Category: ALL POSTS, Severe Weather

About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

Comments are closed.