Will We See Don This Week?

| July 9, 2017 @ 2:30 pm

The GFS has been consistently predicting that a tropical depression will form in the main development region of the Atlantic by midweek. The latest run says it may no be until Thursday or Friday.

Here is the GFS from this morning on Thursday just after noon.

It then builds the system over the Central Caribbean during the weekend with it hitting Hispaniola early the following week. This is this morning’s GFS on Monday the 17th.

A couple of runs of the deterministic GFS have had it coming through the Bahamas. Here is this morning’s run just for Tuesday evening the 18th.

And this morning’s run moves up the East Coast of Florida and takes a strong tropical storm into the Georgia/South Carolina area.

The past three runs of the GFS have consistently been moving the potential storm into the Carolinas.

The European is not buying in yet.

It may be an interesting two weeks.

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Bill Murray is the President of The Weather Factory. He is the site's official weather historian and a weekend forecaster. He also anchors the site's severe weather coverage. Bill Murray is the proud holder of National Weather Association Digital Seal #0001 @wxhistorian

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