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TODAY/TOMORROW: A surface front will pass through here today, but with a serious lack of moisture it looks like most communities over North Alabama will stay dry. Our internal RPM model does hint at a band of showers forming on the boundary south of Birmingham this afternoon, and we will mention a risk of isolated showers, but don’t look for too much action on radar today. Temperatures will rise back into the low to mid 90s today. Tomorrow should be dry with a fresh surge of dry air over Alabama.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: We will introduce some risk of an afternoon storm Friday as the door is open for an MCS to move into Alabama from the northwest. Then, for the Fourth of July holiday weekend, we expect a mixture of clouds and sun Saturday and Sunday with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms both days. The most numerous storms should be over the northern half of the state, but there also should be some decent intervals of sunshine. The GFS is printing highs generally in the upper 80s, but if we get a decent amount of sun we could easily reach 90. This is the middle of summer, after all. It is impossible to tell you exactly when and where the showers will form on Saturday and Sunday, but there is a reasonable chance the showers will fade by the time the fireworks shows begin Saturday night around 9:00.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: A surface front will try to move into Alabama early next week; we all know Alabama is the cold front graveyard time time of the year, and I am not too convinced the boundary will move south of I-20. So, we will keep the chance of scattered showers and storms going on a daily basis through much of next week with afternoon highs in the low 90s, which is where we should be this time of the year.

Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the nasty 5940 meter circle showing up on the 500 mb progs at mid-month from near Birmingham to Omaha; that can represent pretty significant heat. But, this is the first time we have seen it, and hopefully it will be gone on future runs.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!