Snow Flakes Possible Saturday Morning
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TONIGHT AND TOMORROW: Cloudy and cold weather continues. We might see a peek of the sun tomorrow at times, but a southwest flow aloft will keep us generally overcast. And, like today, we won’t get out of the 40s.
SNOW OR NO SNOW? All of the attention continues to be focused on the potential weather for Alabama with the next wave down in the Gulf of Mexico. The morning computer model runs really suggest our forecast is right on track. Be sure and watch the Weather Xtreme video for a detailed look at the graphics that go with this discussion.
Let me continue to stress we do not believe this will be a big winter storm, just a Gulf system that has the potential to bring some light snow to the central counties of the state. Soil temperatures are warm (see Dr. Coleman’s post below), so we do not expect widespread travel problems and accumulation, if any, will be light.
WHEN? The best chance of snow for Alabama will come from about 2:00 a.m until 11:00 a.m. Saturday.
WHO? The best chance of getting a little snow on the ground in grassy areas will be south of I-59 (south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Gadsden), and north of a line from Jackson to Greenville to Eufaula. Looks like only light flurries for the Tennessee Valley, and to the south some sleet and snow is not out of the question down to the Florida line, but it will be mostly rain.
HOW MUCH? Most spots across Central Alabama will see only a dusting to around one inch; a few isolated amounts to two inches are possible mainly across higher terrain. A few people could have enough snow for a snowball fight, or to make a decent snowman.
TRAVEL PROBLEMS? Nothing widespread, but remember, we have more accidents when we have 1 inch of rain compared to 1 inch of snow. The roads will be simply wet. However, an icy patch or two is possible on bridges where temperatures get down to 32 early Saturday morning. Many places will hover in the 33 to 35 degree range during the light snow.
REMEMBER: There is limited skill in forecasting winter weather events in Alabama, so this is subject to change. Keep an eye on the blog for possible changes during the next 36 hours. But, confidence in this scenario is growing.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the remaining Super 6 games at Bryant-Denny Stadium, the weather will be cloudy and cold. Temperatures for tonight’s Demopolis/Russellville game will hover in the 42 to 45 degree range with a chilly north breeze. Pretty much the same situation tomorrow; for the day games temperatures in Tuscaloosa will be in the 45 to 48 degree range, dropping into the low 40s for tomorrow night’s Hoover/Prattville 6A title game.
Of course, Alabama/Florida is inside the Georgia Dome, but some light snow is likely for Atlanta Saturday outside the dome, but no major accumulation or travel problems are expected.
REST OF THE WEEKEND: The sky becomes partly sunny Saturday, and Sunday will feature a good supply of sunshine. We will struggle to reach the mid 40s Saturday, but low to mid 50s are possible Sunday.
NEXT WEEK: The weather turns wet again with moisture returning. Some rain is possible at times Monday and Tuesday; the rain will be heavier and some thunderstorms could become involved by Tuesday night and Wednesday as a strong upper trough approaches.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….
December 3rd, 2009 at 2:34 pm
Last year the snow storm did the same thing…south of B’ham…and we all got to see the beauty of the snow in Clanton…from our Living room chairs…LOL…personally, I would like to see it personally, and be able to build a snowman with my kids…here’s hoping.
December 3rd, 2009 at 2:37 pm
18z Nam coming in drying – farther east
December 3rd, 2009 at 2:44 pm
I agree, 18z says bust!
December 3rd, 2009 at 2:44 pm
This is all James Spann’s fault. NO SNOW
December 3rd, 2009 at 2:51 pm
Current temp here in Vigo is 45.4 after a low this morning of 42.3 and a high earlier of 46.3. It has been cloudy all day and a little misty. our storm total for the last rain event was 1.42 inches. I would say that we got our fair share of the rain.
If Dr. Tim’s predictions or models are correct looks as if we here in E Alabama at least localy here should get some where around 1 inch of the white fluffy stuff. That will be ok with me as I will get to step out and send pics to my kids in Fl. and brag a little. Then on Sunday morning I will be able to take picts of beautiful sunshine lol and no snow probably.
Don’t ya just love it here.
Have a good day everyone and keep watching for the updates.
Bill
December 3rd, 2009 at 3:21 pm
The 18z NAM is drier and now matched up well with the other models. I would not be shocked if Central Alabama did not even see flurries. having said that, tomorrow night is when you want to look at the trends in the gulf. The low has not even formed yet.
December 3rd, 2009 at 3:32 pm
Ok guys y’all are really dashing my hopes here. Guess it was a little soon to be excited anyway considering we’re talking snow ….in Bama… in Dec.
December 3rd, 2009 at 3:43 pm
The NWS has changed the forecast on Saturday to a 50% chance of rain/snow before 1 p.m. here in Atlanta!
December 3rd, 2009 at 3:48 pm
The lates GFS is dry as a bone for Bham. Not even a flurry.
December 3rd, 2009 at 3:53 pm
GFS has been an outlier this whole time…so I’m not even looking at it =/… but there may be a touch of “it’s not doing what I want it to so I’m ignoring it” type thing too lol…As much as I’d love to see some snow in my neck of the woods (Cullman) I’m really not looking forward to my 2 kids driving me crazy to go out in it..they are both sick as of the moment. So I am fine with no accumulation..watching it fall would be enough for me…for now
.
December 3rd, 2009 at 3:57 pm
HAHAHAHA I love it!!!!! Go ahead and say it with me….B-U-S-T
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:04 pm
We still have 36 hours until the main event snow is hard to forecast down here it could easily change within now and the time of the event!
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:05 pm
http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/topheadline/2009/SESnowStorm.jpg
look at this picture
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:07 pm
that looks great chris
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:09 pm
Question – when has any model in the past couple of years got the track of a winter gulf low correct? Just a little movement one way or the other can totally affect how much snow, if any comes along. Given previous winter forecasts, I’m not holding my breath.
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:11 pm
How many times do I have to post? I predict 6 inches of mostly cloudy and breezy!
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:11 pm
well actually its this one.
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&article=1
and hears what it says.
A foot of powdery snow has already fallen in the mountains of southern Colorado and northern New Mexico, and the skiing there must be great. West Texas will be getting a couple/few inches overnight, then the storm will dwindle as it moves into the central part of the state. Snowfall will increase again later Friday in southeastern Texas as a new area of low pressure forms over the western Gulf of Mexico.
Friday night, the snow will spread across southern Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama, reaching northwestern Georgia late at night. Getting snow this far south so early in the season is quite unusual, but not entirely unheard of. In any case, snowfall through this area will average 1 to 3 inches, with up to 5 inches in some locations. No doubt, it will be a headache for those that will be out and about.
Saturday, the storm will shift out of the South and focus its attention on the central Atlantic region.
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:12 pm
IF!!!! and when the low forms that will be the question on who gets what… Try this on for size say it forms 50 miles to the north of what is forcast more moisture could be pulled in and wow we have a winter storm..just an idea
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:15 pm
and here is one more.
this one kinda made me laugh but would be awesome for the championship game.
but check this one out.
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&article=3
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:17 pm
Planning to dust off the sled for a run down 280
starting at the Highland lakes entrance, should make
it to the Summit with no auto traffic!
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:36 pm
chris, mccalla I really like your info. Kinda unbelievable but at least it gives us hope. LOL.
Keep up the good work of giving us snow lovers hope.
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:48 pm
so what are they saying about phenix city alabama? i know it said something about eufaula, al and we are about 45 min north. thanks
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:55 pm
Looking very dry…not good:( But none of the models agree on one thing which means a lot of this is up in the air. Which means a lot could change.
December 3rd, 2009 at 4:57 pm
Adam check it out
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?article=3
December 3rd, 2009 at 5:03 pm
Euro/UKMET are juicy while the NAM/GFS are dry. It’s American models versus world models. Which side will win?
December 3rd, 2009 at 5:04 pm
Skiing sounds like fun! I haven’t done it for many years but have enjoyed Lake Placid, Wisp, Snowshoe, Seven Springs, etc.
December 3rd, 2009 at 5:13 pm
jeff,
can you post the Euro/UKMET models…to show us what you mean??
THANKS!
December 3rd, 2009 at 5:20 pm
Hey KIM, it looks like we are on the line. i guess we need the low to shift a little more south than expected?
December 3rd, 2009 at 5:23 pm
Everyone look @ Eastern Texas they mentioned in there discussion of how the moisture is starting to increase
December 3rd, 2009 at 5:43 pm
Hope JB is feeling ok. I noticed that James and Dr. Tim are handling blog comments. I have a sore throat and slight cold. Thank goodness it isn’t worse.
December 3rd, 2009 at 5:46 pm
Accuweather.com is very enthusiastic with this moisture. Do they think the low will move north?
December 3rd, 2009 at 5:50 pm
Tyler,
I was looking at the same thing. I really can see this being a big storm. More moisture, low tracks 75 miles more north, etc…Lets see where this low develops.
December 3rd, 2009 at 6:01 pm
Really I think the best time to decide will be when the gulf low does form. Cause these swaths of snow always move a lot. Also noticed a forecaaster for the NWS say that with it being an El Nino year the snow generally is painted more towards the south and moves northward with time. But it is possible that it becomes a hugh bust. I generally think the sweet spot will be in southwest AL and move northeast towards east central AL, the northern part of central AL
December 3rd, 2009 at 6:14 pm
Also interesting to note TWC says unsure how far north the low will be around texas, but they said
“were pretty confident that it will move more northward as it heads to Louisiana and Mississippi. I think the question in north and central AL is the moisture. Also the cold air to me and all maps show the 540 freezing line moving steeply northeast from southwest to east central. Best moisture and cold temps match up from Coffeeville, Alabama to just north of Phoenix City, Alabama.
December 3rd, 2009 at 6:18 pm
Can someone speak in dumby language. I have no idea how to understand what you guys are talking about. Can you please explain to me what the models are now showing. TIA!
December 3rd, 2009 at 6:27 pm
There isn’t such a thing as a dumb question. All questions are good ones.
December 3rd, 2009 at 6:50 pm
It’s a
BUST! Very limited moisture being associated with the system over
Texas if that trends continuesno one will even see a snow flake pay attention to James and company tonight it looks like Alabama gets passed up
December 3rd, 2009 at 6:56 pm
This was the latest discussion from the Jackson, MS Weather Service on the issue of the placement of the gulf low as referenced by different weather models. Interesting read.
THE BIGGEST FORECAST CONCERNS ARE WITH SNOWFALL TOTALS AND NORTHWARD
EXTENT OF SNOW. THE AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE HIGHLY TIED TO THE
EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW…FOR WHICH NWP GUIDANCE IS STILL
EXPERIENCING MODEST SPREAD. THE LATEST NAM/EC TAKE THE LOW ON A
NORTHEASTWARD TRAJECTORY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF WHILE
DEEPENING THE LOW AT ABOUT 1 MB PER 6 HOURS…WHILE THE OPERATIONAL
GFS TAKES A MORE SOUTHERN TRACK TOWARD WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH
LITTLE CYCLOGENESIS. THE UKMET AND CMC FOLLOW SIMILAR TRACKS AS THE
NAM/EC COMBINATION. GIVEN BETTER CONSENSUS THAT THE GFS COULD BE
SUFFERING FROM GRID-SCALE FEEDBACK ISSUES OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF…THUS FORCING STRONGER ASCENT AND ITS OWN TRACK FURTHER SOUTH
AS WHAT WAS SEEN WITH THE PREVIOUS GULF LOW…THE MORE NORTHERLY LOW
TRACK WITH SLOW DEEPENING IS THE PREFERRED SOLUTION. THE IMPLICATION
FOR THE FORECAST IS FOR GREATER AMOUNTS OF LOW/MID-LEVEL MOISTURE TO
BE ADVECTED FURTHER NORTHWARD THAN WHAT THE GFS DEPICTS…ALONG WITH
HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION MOSTLY SNOW.
AT THIS POINT…IT LOOKS LIKE LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL
RECEIVE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES…CONSISTENT WITH
THE 03/1500 UTC SREF RUN…WHICH IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE
RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENT EC. A BAND OF MODERATE 850-700 MB FRONTOGENESIS
WILL DEVELOP OVER THIS REGION AS LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE DEEPENING LOW TIGHTENS A PRE-EXISTING BAROCLINIC ZONE
NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW. THIS WILL PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL FOCUS
LOW-LEVEL ASCENT IN THE PRESENCE OF DEEP MOISTURE. ALSO IN THIS
REGION…SATURATED EQUIVALENT POTENTIAL VORTICITY VALUES WITHIN THE
H7-H5 LAYER ARE FOUND TO BECOME NEGATIVE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY…WHICH
SUGGESTS THAT SLANTWISE INSTABILITY WILL FURTHER ENHANCE BANDS OF
SNOW. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 INDICATE THE
DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE BETWEEN THE -10 AND -20 LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE NEARLY SATURATED WITH LAPSE RATES OF 7 TO 8 C/KM ENHANCED BY
MID-LEVEL COLD AIR POOLING INTO THE REGION. THESE FACTORS WILL
COMBINE WITH STRONG MID/UPPER-LEVEL ASCENT TO PROMOTE EFFICIENT SNOW
GROWTH…ESPECIALLY AS THE DENDRITIC LAYER DESCENDS CLOSER TO H7
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH A DECENT DEPTH OF AT LEAST 50-75 MB. ONE OR
MORE BANDS OF MODERATE SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA FRIDAY
NIGHT…WHERE A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED. THE SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO BE OF THE WET VARIETY…WHICH WILL REDUCE SNOW RATIOS TO
5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW FOR 1 INCH OF LIQUID. HOWEVER…SHOULD DYNAMIC
COOLING BE STRONGER OR MORE COLD AIR FILTER INTO THE AREA THAN
ANTICIPATED…THEN EVEN HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE
WATCH INCLUDES HATTIESBURG AND NATCHEZ…BUT DOES NOT INCLUDE JACKSON
OR MERIDIAN.
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:00 pm
they have played the Texas snow way down until today becuase they wanted 2 be sure. But now they are predicting snow of 1-3 with a sweet spot somewhere. Everything is depending on the low and how much moisture can get wrapped into it. I worry that if it was to all come together then a dry slot could work in or low could not throw moisture very far north. BIGGEST CONCERN IS THE MOISTURE!!
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:05 pm
When will the next couple of models come out?
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:19 pm
I am quite positive that I have at some point in time offended the snow gods because the snow stops at the TN/AL line North of me and at the Cullman/Winston line South of me. Or, I was quite positive, until I read some of the posts on the blog –and now I realize it is just that snow is simply easy to predict so long as you are not a meteorologist.
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:28 pm
OK the lead story on Drudge is “Houston may see earliest snowfall ever” and then – Please be kind to your local forecaster
We are not alone, folks
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:33 pm
I say “LET IT SNOW!!!” But, if it does not, oh well maybe better luck next time. I refuse to blame the meteorologists on this as they are not God and don’t pretend to be, they are just trying to give us the information they have on hand at the current time and that is all we can ask of them. So everyone just have fun if it does snow and if it does not, maybe next go round it will.
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:37 pm
i hope it does, we all need some excitement in our lives. this potentially might be the earliest snowfall that we have ever seen as i recall. i love snow and hope it comes to pass. God bless James and his crew.
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:42 pm
i sure hope it happens. i look forward to it and blogging all Fri-Sat morning. fun, fun, fun
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:50 pm
The 00z NAM is starting to run as I am typing this. Will be into the snow cast hours within the next 20 mins. So it will give some more insight into the storm.
December 3rd, 2009 at 7:59 pm
Why dont animals in the jungle play poker??? There are too many cheat-a’s. hahaha
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:08 pm
00Z Nam is trending more west so far
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:11 pm
just saw the first half of the 00z run and it is wetter!
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:11 pm
Nam is very wet on this run. If this holds out, light snow for central Alabama.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:13 pm
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/fp0_036.shtml
Looks great that could mean 1-2 inches for bham!!
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:17 pm
42 hr out looks good… between 36 & 42 someone in east central AL might see 1.5 or 2″
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:18 pm
NAM is back on!…more moisture, more north, and that doesn’t include the moisture in texas/ok, which is does not pick up…im telling yall this has potential to be big!!
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:18 pm
It shows maybe an inch or 1 1/2 for bham that would be great! I feel a lot better than earlier!
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:19 pm
look at the map… but to me this NAM just came back in line with the previous other NAM model runs… 18z was an outlier…
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:19 pm
to me, it looks like the NAM picks up the moisture to far west…not picking up on tex/ok…any thoughts??
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:21 pm
I agree Tbone but that could be good for us dont yoy see 1-2 inches for bham in this model?
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:21 pm
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/graphicast.php?site=bmx&gc=2
I think a dusting common with an area 40-50 mile wide with 1″-1.5″ with a 2″ sweet spot somewhere. Looking at the maps in history probably sweet spot in Southwest and East central.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:26 pm
Tyler that graphic came out before the 00z nam so they might have to change that a little.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:29 pm
THis is name simulated activity .. 30 hrs and 36 hrs.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_ref_036m.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_ref_036m.gif
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:31 pm
Parker…agree. This is going to be interesting, i really believe this thing will be quite suprising
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:31 pm
It did but it also came before the 18z NAM which was dry. Now the 00z is back in line with the previous 00z,06z,12z. So yes the placement may change, but amounts generally still fit the same amounts. With the current 00z NAM there could possibly be a more widespread 1/2 inch to 1″. But not a greater amount then 2″. Would need the third shade of green to enter the map to up it to 1.5″ to 2″ widespread
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:33 pm
Yeah I see where you are coming from but that should make people in bham feel better bout getting at least an inch than a dusting in my opinion.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:35 pm
Also do yall see an advisory or watch being issued with this system and if it is when do you think it will be issued?
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:37 pm
Thats correct (Parker from vestavia) . I just think the GFS will stay near the previous GFS models. But after reading many discussion from several NWS offices in AL,GA,MISS,Louisiana, they say its an outlier and has acquired some bad data into the model. It would be nice if the 00z GFS came back in line with all the other global models… and just may.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:38 pm
Biggest snow lover of all here but cant get too excited when ground temps are so warm. Wont last long whatever falls. Just a nice little event to get us in the Christmas spirit and get the ground temps colder for the big one to come in Jan/Feb.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:39 pm
I feel as if they will by 11 am tmw, cause it will be under 24hrs. It probably will only be a Winter Weather Advisory for most of AL. They possibly might extend the Winter Storm Watch out in Southwest AL by a few counties. NWS of BHM,ATL are very conservative
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:41 pm
…Huntsville not looking good is it?
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:41 pm
wonder what James and the crew have been doing???
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:42 pm
Any predictions for Montgomery al?
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:42 pm
You know what this blog needs? A forum.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:42 pm
Yeah that sounds about right and i agree it wont last long but it will be reall pretty for a couple of hours and will melt off just in time for the big SEC championship by the way Roll Tide!
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:42 pm
Ah, the voice of reason for the season. Thanks, J.b.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:44 pm
How does Atlanta look in this new model run?
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:45 pm
I would think james will post something in the next hour or so??
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:46 pm
Weather channel updated their forecast map at 8:17 and shows just rain in bham.
http://www.weather.com/maps/news/forecastsummary/floater6_large.html?from=hp_main_maps
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:46 pm
Parker, you are reading my mind…LET IT SNOW and then some ROLL TIDE!!!
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:47 pm
they will probably wait until a few more models come in. I bet later tonight someone will post something. Forecasting a southern snow is really like finding a needle in a hay stack…
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:49 pm
Quick question. I keep reading all this stuff about putting out watches and warnings. In the past when little snow showers came through I never heard anything about that. Why now?
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:50 pm
I wonder why TWC changed there minds models have gotten better for snow not worse?
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:50 pm
hey tyler….what can we expect in phenix city alabama? when should we know for sure ? thanks
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:54 pm
they are crazy…. who knows
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:54 pm
00z NAM woohoo!!!
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_pcp_036s.gif
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:55 pm
Because it’s the behemoth The Weather Channel. The probably have hours of meetings, politics and change notifications before they can update the map..lol
I’m glad I have a job, but big companies are too slow.
December 3rd, 2009 at 8:57 pm
Does Atlanta look better in this?
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:03 pm
Looks like on the Nam the ever popular rain/snow line has dropped to south of Auburn now. Woohoo this is what I was looking for. Remember if this were January this would be big. I am very excited about this winter.
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:06 pm
Parker, what are the models showing for montgomery, AL?
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:07 pm
Mike, If I am reading the Nam right the rain snow line is south of you and into East Alabama just south of Auburn. Parker can confirm or deny.
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:09 pm
the only concern is what time of day/night this occurs. Temps are good.. but i could see them being an issue down the road.
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:14 pm
Mike the models look just as good or even better than they do for bham right now by looking at that i would say bout an 1 inch to 1 1/2 thats my opinion.
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:15 pm
Thats for montgomery
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:15 pm
Where is the current rain snow line ?? thanks
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:17 pm
Thanks guys.
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:31 pm
the 00z GFS is starting to run
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:32 pm
I am sitting here reading this and flipping through complex weather models and actually understanding what they represent. Im in a nice house, have a good job, a beautiful wife who is a saint, two perfect little boys and a jack russell keeping my feet warm. I paused to remember my childhood in the suburbs of Atlanta. I would watch Glen Burns on WSB because of his obvious bias towards snow and his majority share holdings in the bread, milk and egg companies. I would go 3 days without sleep waiting for the next reports to come out at 6am, 12 and 11pm. The pace of information back in the 80s was painfully slow. I would bundle up and stand out in the middle of the yard at 2am with a flashlight pointed to the sky, wishing, praying, and making deals with snow gods in the hope that a single flake would pass through the beam. I remember all the actual events and the fun I had. On nights like this, I like to think the younger me would be pleased with me.
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:35 pm
lake charles just changed their winter storm watch to a warning!!……
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:37 pm
the 30 hr GFS on the 00Z GFS run is not great but all the forecaster are saying the GFS is being an outlier
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:41 pm
the 24-40 hour 00Z GFS run is bone dry… like expected… but its been an outlier based on several NWS discussions.
December 3rd, 2009 at 9:43 pm
GFS must be an outlier cause it is very dry