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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Winter Weather Advisory

| 3:27 pm December 4, 2009 | Comments (43)

Here is the WSW from the NWS in Birmingham…

Screen shot 2009-12-04 at 3.26.01 PM

WWUS44 KBMX 042054
WSWBMX

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
254 PM CST FRI DEC 4 2009

…SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT…

.A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM TONIGHT UNTIL 6 AM
SATURDAY MORNING FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS AREA IS
GENERALLY 30 TO 40 MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM DEMOPOLIS TO
CLANTON TO ANNISTON TO CENTRE. ACROSS THIS AREA SNOW ACCUMULATION
UP TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE…MAINLY ON GRASSY AREAS AND
ELEVATED SURFACES. TO THE NORTH OF THE ADVISORY…MOISTURE WILL BE
LIMITED AND ONLY FLURRIES TO A LIGHT COATING OF SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE. TO THE SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY…RAIN IS FORECAST.

ALZ018>021-025>037-039>041-043-050500-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WW.Y.0002.091205T0500Z-091205T1200Z/
ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-ELMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…GADSDEN…ANNISTON…CENTRE…HEFLIN…
COLUMBIANA…PELHAM…ALABASTER…PELL CITY…MOODY…TALLADEGA…
SYLACAUGA…ASHLAND…ROANOKE…LIVINGSTON…EUTAW…GREENSBORO…
MOUNDVILLE…MARION…CENTREVILLE…CLANTON…ROCKFORD…
ALEXANDER CITY…DADEVILLE…DEMOPOLIS…LINDEN…SELMA…
PRATTVILLE…WETUMPKA…TALLASSEE
254 PM CST FRI DEC 4 2009

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM CST SATURDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6
AM CST SATURDAY.

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT…THEN CHANGE TO A
MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW…THEN TO ALL SNOW BY 3 AM ON SATURDAY.
UP TO 1 INCH SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE…MAINLY ON GRASSY
AREAS AND ELEVATED SURFACES. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF
QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES…AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BIRMINGHAM.

Comments

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Comments (43)

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  1. chris, mccalla says:

    lol Jefferson county is so messed up.
    they never release anything until its right there.

  2. Jeff says:

    18z GFS is a whole lot wetter. Deformation zone setting up between Birmingham and Montgomery. Advisory looks good.

    http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p24_030l.gif

  3. Patrick in Riverchase says:

    Time to just wait and see folks.

  4. Adam says:

    Well i Live in sE lee county. we got 5 inches in the snow storm in march so i guess i dont need to be too upset. i wish something would shift to at least have us snow change over. nothing on the ground just something to watch. is this possible? thanks

  5. sassy says:

    Jeff Co. Is not in the advisory.

  6. Parker from vestavia says:

    Dont yall think they will extend the advisory more north when the storm starts to enter the state and come north.

  7. curt0521 says:

    reading Dr. Tim’s post for earlier makes me think there is still alot just wait and see what happens. looks like from montgomery north all of central Bama will see snow. How much is still the question as the storm system approaches. i think a dusting to an inch is a safe bet in most locations…with a “sweet spot” getting maybe 2-3 inches.
    Snow in Alabama is never certain and even when it is…. its no telling who will get what. You gotta love it.

  8. adam says:

    This advisory map makes no sense. Its like, there is no straight line from SW to NW.?

    http://www.accuweather.com/maps-watches.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&traveler=0&type=WW&level=AL_

  9. chris, mccalla says:

    i agree with you Adam.
    it looks like a bunch of guys picked counties out of a hat and put advisory’s on them.

    it makes no sense.

    i just think Jefferson, and Tuscaloosa are holding out.
    they always do.
    i remember when i was in school at mcadory and Jefferson county never put anything out until it got right up on you.

  10. Ryne says:

    Some of the advisories are based on what they get from the models, which is ignorant sometimes in my opinion. Weather models are the best thing we have to forecast weather, and yet it still isnt very good. Based on radar trends, it actually looks to be gaining more moisture than I previously thought it might. Who knows. Remember, most of our good snows come unanticipated. With the exception being the 93 blizzard of course, that was a monster.

  11. Dana says:

    “it looks like a bunch of guys picked counties out of a hat and put advisory’s on them.”

    Brilliant. That’s exactly what happens. They do it in this little building over by the Shelby County Airport. It’s a secret society…handshakes, code words, and all. They draw out of a hat for winter weather and use a dart board for severe weather.

  12. Bill Taylor says:

    i recall vividly though that on the day of that 93 storm just as it started falling from the sky 2 stations in b’ham were calling for a dusting to an inch and when 3 inches were already on they ground they upped it to 3 to 6 inches.

    it was other stations by the way not this one.

  13. WxJoe says:

    HAHA on the advisory map, especially LOWNDES County…Autauga(directly North), and Butler (directly South) are in the advisory, while Lowndes is left out…Comical…

  14. chris, mccalla says:

    Hoover / Pratville game tonight….

    gonna be a collllllldddd game…

  15. Dana says:

    Butler County is in Mobile’s area of responsibility, while Lowndes is under Birmingham. That explains why it doesn’t seem quite congruent there. It’s the same product but two different advisories. The two offices have a little different way of thinking on where the heaviest snow will occur.

  16. chris, mccalla says:

    I’M JUST GONNA PRETEND THAT THERE ARE NO ADVISORY’S, AND JUST WATCH THE RADAR.

  17. Snowmizer says:

    Well I’m gonna make a big ol pot of chili and then some white hot chocolate and peek out the window now and then. :) Stay warm everyone!

  18. Parker from vestavia says:

    I just really hope that the bham mwtro area will get an inch of snow thats it ! inch and more if possible? Wat do yall think the chances are of that?

  19. Rockyj Vestavia says:

    Parker Vestavia… What part of Vestavia? I am off Tyler Rd on Bluff Park side. Hope we cannot get out of our hills tomorow AM.

  20. Parker from vestavia says:

    I am near the high school side

  21. curt0521 says:

    i wouldnt pay much attention to exactly what countys are under the advisory…. all of central Bama is expecting snow…it looks like they based the advisory map on the latest computer model. The models have been flip flopping since yesterday so i wouldnt rely on the model to pinpoint exactly where the most precip will be.
    Here in Alabama snow is a guessing game, and thats what everyone is doing.
    Lets just see what happens later on tonight.
    i wouldnt be surprised if some other advisory or warning comes out later on as the precip starts and temps start to fall.

  22. Rockyj Vestavia says:

    If things start cranking later tonight, we can compare notes. Hope you get snowed on alot!

  23. tbone says:

    All i know is that i will be smoking some ribs around 6:00 tomorrow morning, and some snow would be a first for me, before Alabama spanks Florida!

    By the way RockyJ and Parker…yall might smell me! Of 31 behind Publix

  24. lee county says:

    Yeah sometimes it comes down to the last minute. Lee county was gonna get 1-3 inches and locally we go 5-6 inches. it was crazy.

  25. Ryne says:

    One other thing, and I do not want to sound like I’m being critical of Mr. Spann because I’m not. He is by far the best meteorologist in Alabama, and probably one of the best in the nation. Having said that, for whatever reason, the “S” word brings out the worst in people around here. And, in the past, James has tended to be a little aggressive with potential winter weather scenarios. For example, maybe calling for a dusting when we get nothing, or calling for a couple inches when we actually get maybe a dusting. It’s not that big a deal and some people around here make it a big deal and get upset when it doesnt go exactly as planned. James has mentioned before how much hate mail he receives about the snow forecasts. Having said that, I think James is a little more hesitant now about pulling the trigger on winter weather. Can you blame him though? People are just crazy. It’s weather people!

  26. snowkayaker says:

    The snow is starting to fall apart. It is not looking good:(
    Before anyone calls me a troll. Look at the radar. Maybe it will pick back up.

  27. lee county says:

    this should be in regards to the snow we got on march 1st of this year. :)

  28. snowkayaker says:

    And as soon as i post that…it starts to pick up! Let it snow!

  29. Lefty says:

    Does it appear that it will be worse to the NE?
    My wife is supposed to drive over to Rome, GA tomorrow late AM, and I need to know if I should putting the pressure on her to call off the trip.
    I know James is saying minimal travel risk, but wondering if that direction (and terrain) may be worse.
    Thanks.

  30. Parker from vestavia says:

    Yeah im gettin me some dreamland for the game ROLL TIDE tbone and yeah if things to get cranking we will have to compare Rockyj it should be fun to watch!

  31. tuscsnow says:

    Not really snowkayaker…if you look at the 18z NAM and compare it to the current radar, it’s pretty much on target…maybe even a little bit north of where it was supposed to be.

  32. snowkayaker says:

    Look at the north fringe of snow/rain…watch in motion…it’s not moving north that much at this time. And dry air is starting to work in from mexico. Look at the water vapor. I want it to snow as much as you do. It just doesn’t look like we will see that much.

  33. snow wish says:

    So is it the track of the LOW that is keeping people in Russell County out of the mix?

  34. snowkayaker says:

    The echos are retreating to the gulf…however this could be because the precip is changing over to snow and as we all know snow can be difficult to see on radar. What do you think tuscsnow?

  35. BeninGrantley says:

    I think this thing is setting up pretty good for a snow event across central alabama…prolly the northern extent of the snow will be I59 and will extend about 40 miles south of that line and as it gets toward the Ga line it will widden a bit as the east part of the state gets the downsloping from the appalachian mtns…and thus is always a degree or 2 cooler…thus more snow to be rung out.

  36. tylerwilliams says:

    i think the reason the radar returns are not as spread out is because it is be used juice up the air. Still alot of precp

  37. RPoe says:

    It is always interesting to see how the chance of snow in Alabama affects everyone – I’m NOT saying in a bad way, because my reactions have always been the same! I’m 46 years old and there have been times when I’ve almost cried when we missed a good snow – I’ve also been so mad and frustrated (among other emotions) when it didn’t materialize! Another thing I’m amazed at is that there are so many of you that seem to feel the same way as I do about snow (or LACK of it) and that we continue to live in Alabama! Seems like we should all pull up stakes and move north……nyah, don’t think so.

    I think the best thing to do is what most of you are doing – “wait and see”. And maybe even allow ourselves to get excited for a while.

    Gotta go – gotta wax the runners on my 2 sleds. :)

  38. Matt Marshall says:

    The air warms in a downsloping situation, so there would be less snow on the lee side. It’s a different case than when cold air settles in low spots on a calm night.

  39. Snowangel says:

    I dislike this map. :(

  40. keith says:

    Ryne,
    Is it, “It’s weather people” or ” It’s weather, people”. The first would indicate the faults lay at the feet of weather people (James Spann). The second phrase indicates your request for us to understand the unpredictability of weather itself.

  41. Ryne says:

    Sorry about that. I should have put a comma. It’s weather, people.

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