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TURNING COOLER: A brisk northwest wind will usher in much cooler air into Alabama today. The high will drop into the low 70s, and by daybreak tomorrow temperatures should be in the 42 to 47 degree range for most places. Some of the colder spots across North Alabama could reach the upper 30s. The incoming air, needless to say, is very dry, and the sky will be bright and sunny today and tomorrow.
OUR WEEKEND: Doesn’t get much better. Tons of sun… highs in the 70s, lows in the 40s, with very low humidity levels. Just remember our state is very dry, and a fire alert remains in effect for all 67 counties until further notice. Wildfires are a very real problem with these conditions.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tonight and tomorrow night, the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from the mid 60s at kickoff into the low 50s by the fourth quarter.
This is homecoming weekend at the University of Alabama… the Crimson Tide will host Ole Miss at 8:00 Saturday night; the sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature of in the low 60s, falling to near 50 by the final whistle. Auburn hosts the Arkansas Razorbacks at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday afternoon at 2:30. The sky will be sunny with temperatures in the mid 70s at kickoff, falling into the 60s by the fourth quarter. And, at Legion Field, UAB will host UTEP Saturday at 3:00. The sky will be clear, with a kickoff temperature near 75 degrees, falling into the 60s by the end of the game. You can clearly see this is going to be a great weekend for football, at least in terms of weather!
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: Not much model consistency now… the 00Z GFS hints of a few widely scattered showers Tuesday night, followed by a fresh surge of cool air Wednesday. Unfortunately the model continues to trend dry for next week, which is pretty much what we expect in October. And, while the operational GFS has lost the long wave upper trough over the eastern U.S. in the week prior to Halloween, we note the NAO is expected to be strongly negative, and I still think the door will be open for some chilly air during the last week of the month.
PAULA: Strong winds aloft are taking their toll on this minimal hurricane near the western tip of Cuba. The weakening process will continue, and Paula will bring very heavy rain to Cuba as it moves slowly to the east/southeast in coming days. It is no threat to the Gulf of Mexico, and the rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.
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I will be speaking at Georgia Tech in Atlanta this morning (to the AMS local chapter on campus)… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!