Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Showers Return Tomorrow

| March 21, 2012 @ 6:15 am

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LONG WARM SPELL ROLLS ALONG: We are projecting a high today of 83 degrees… if we reach that, today will be the 8th consecutive day with a high of 80 degrees or higher. Pretty remarkable considering our average high is 68. The sky will be partly sunny, and most of the state will be dry, although a few isolated showers could pop up over far West Alabama this afternoon.

TO THE WEST: Serious flooding continues over parts of Louisiana thanks to a band of rain and storms that has barely moved over the past 24 hours. Radar suggests some communities there have received over 8 inches of rain since early yesterday, and it it still pouring. In addition, SPC has issued a tornado watch for much of East Louisiana and parts of Southwest Mississippi until 12:00 noon. All of this active weather will remain west of our state today.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: The upper low over Texas will move slowly northeast, and should be close enough for a few showers and storms to develop over Alabama tomorrow. The rain should be a little more widespread on Friday. We do not expect any really significant severe weather threat here, and SPC does not have any part of the state in a formal risk area over the next few days. The dynamics are just too marginal.

Hopefully we will get enough rain for a decent “pollen flush”… the NAM has become very aggressive with rain amounts here, showing 1.41” for Birmingham through 84 hours. The GFS is much drier with 0.32″… and as usual the truth is somewhere between those two values. We figure rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are a decent bet by Friday night.

THE WEEKEND: The GFS looks a little wetter for Saturday on the 00Z run as the upper low passes to the north… we will maintain a chance of scattered showers and storms with a mix of sun and clouds, along with a high in the mid to upper 70s. Sunday still looks beautiful with dry air in place… the sky will be sunny, humidity levels will be lower, and the high will remain between 75 and 79 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look great with a sunny sky and a high in the upper 70s. Moisture returns later in the week, and a few showers could show up Wednesday through Friday, but for now it doesn’t look like anything really widespread or heavy.

AT THE BEACH: About 2 to 4 hours of sun today, with a chance of scattered showers and storms this afternoon (for the area from Panama City west to Gulf Shores). Rain and storms are likely tomorrow, but showers become scattered Saturday with some decent intervals of sunshine. The weather looks delightful on the Gulf Coast Sunday through Tuesday, with lots of sunshine each day. Highs will remain in the low 70s along the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 70 degrees.

LONG RANGE/VOODOO LAND: The GFS has on occasion shown a deep upper trough over the eastern third of the nation a few days into April that might bring the cold snap I believe will happen, but it vanished on the 00Z run. Such is life in voodoo land… but I figure it will come back in future runs. See the Weather Xtreme video for long range ideas and details.

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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Faucett-Vestavia Elementary School in Northport… and later today we will be programming weather radio receivers at the Publix on Southview Lane in Tuscaloosa from 3:30 until 7:00 p.m. Come by if you need some help!

The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 3:30 this afternoon if the travel schedule allows… have a great day!

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Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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