Debby Early Morning Notes

Bill Murray | 5:43 am June 24, 2012

Here is the latest on Debby:

NOTES

…Top winds still 50 mph. Pressure 998.
…Motion north at 3 mph.
…Official track shifted a little to the right or north.
…Tropical storm warnings along the Louisiana coast.
…Still amazing disagreement among models, so forecast is a little uncertain.
…European now into predicting landfall in southeastern Louisiana late Tuesday Wednesday as hurricane.
…Canadian output shows Destin landfall Monday/Tuesday as tropical storm.
…GFS still consistent with its idea o an eastward movement toward Florida Big Bend.

MY THOUGHTS
Still have to put you most faith in the NHC guys. They are the most knowledgeable hurricane forecasters in the world. Just know this forecast isn’t carved in stone yet and pay attention to the latest.

GULF COAST IMPACTS
Thinking unchanged for now. Outer feeder band is on the coast near Panama City this morning. Heavy rain along the coast at times. Most likely today around Panama City. Tonight from Pensacola to Panama City. Tides will run 2 feet above normal and waves 5-7 feet above normal. Rip currents will be deadly and folks are being urged to stay out of the water. Winds along the coast will average 10-20 mph out of the east and east southeast.

OUR WEATHER
Hot and dry unless one of the more northerly tracks materializes. The big story for us will be the heat. A heat advisory has been issued for parts of West Alabama including Bibb, Dallas, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Lamar, Marengo, Perry, Pickens, Sumter and Tuscaloosa counties through Monday.

SHOWERS TODAY?
Showers and storms were a little more plentiful that we expected over Central Alabama yesterday than we expected, possibly thanks to convergence caused by Debby and that frontal system that was fizzling out. You could see a few showers and maybe a storm in the same areas south of I-20 and east of I-65 this afternoon as well.