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A Freeze Likely Early Tomorrow

| 3:02 pm November 12, 2012

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THIS AFTERNOON: Our cold front is well to the south and east of Birmingham at mid-afternoon, and as expected, temperatures have been steadily falling across our state today. Haleyville, in Winston County, is down to 46 degrees at 2:00, while south of the front Eufaula is at 78. The rain is now mostly south of a line from Heflin to Montgomery to Greenville, and the sky has cleared over the northwest corner of the state. The ABC 33/40 SKYCAM network is showing blue sky at places like Hamilton, Russellville, and Muscle Shoals.

FREEZING TEMPS AHEAD TONIGHT: The clearing line will move steadily south and east tonight, and everybody should be clear after midnight. This, along with a cold, continental airmass and diminishing wind, should mean the coldest night so far this season for much of Alabama, with morning lows generally in the 26 to 33 degree range early tomorrow. For those communities that have not experienced a freeze, tonight will wrap up the 2012 growing season.

REST OF THE WEEK: Our weather will be dry tomorrow through Friday with a slow day to day warming trend. The high will be in the mid 50s tomorrow, upper 50s Wednesday, and then into the low to mid 60s Thursday and Friday. We should note Wednesday morning will be cold again with lows well down in the 30s, with a freeze for the colder spots.

OUR WEEKEND: Looks like Alabama will stay dry, but to the east another nor’easter will form just off the U.S. Atlantic coast that could bring more wind and rain for our friends impacted by Sandy not long ago. Expect a good supply of sunshine around here Saturday and Sunday, with highs in the low 60s, and lows in the 40s early Saturday, and 30s early Sunday morning.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: Remember, there isn’t much skill in a specific forecast beyond seven days… so all of this could, and probably will change. But, for now, the GFS is pretty persistent with the outlook for next week. Wednesday 11/21 here in Alabama looks dry and pleasant with a high in the 60s. Then, clouds increase Thanksgiving Day with some risk of showers by afternoon, followed by a better chance of showers on “Black Friday”.

We note the 12 GFS hints at a good rain/storm event as the holiday weekend ends (Sunday 11/25), followed by the coldest air so far this season by Monday 11/26, with highs only in the 30s. But this is all voodoo, and again expect some changes.

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