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The weather pattern for Central Alabama remains mostly unchanged as the main storm track remains well to our north and we remain under weak ridging aloft. This will result in some passing clouds and warm afternoons through Tuesday with highs in the lower 70s, about 10 to 12 degrees above where we typically are for early December. Morning lows will also be about 10 degrees above climatology with values around 50.
A strong short wave traveling across the Ohio River Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday will drag a cold front into and through Central Alabama Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning. Still looks like the best chance for some rain for us will come between about 6 pm on Tuesday and 6 am on Wednesday. While we really could use some rain, it appears the amounts are likely to be relatively light with most locations getting one quarter of an inch of rain with spots seeing as much as about half an inch.
The weather improves on Wednesday with a slight cool down as highs drop back to the mid 60s and lows drop into the 40s. The nearly zonal flow will continue through the end of the week and into the weekend which means a very slow warm up. By Friday, another short wave is likely to drag a weak front into our area, but the front is expected to become parallel to the flow aloft meaning it is likely to stall or wash out in the area. This could result in isolated daily showers for the weekend, but certainly not expected to be any kind of wholesale washout.
SPC has not outlooked any areas for risk of severe storms for the next several days. And the National Hurricane Center is still issuing special tropical weather outlooks on the large cloud mass in the Central Atlantic. Not much change in the system though there is still some potential for storm formation to occur. Nobody has informed that cloud mass that the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season ended on Friday!!
Long range GFS projections continue to point to a fairly substantial cool down around the 11th continuing to the middle of the month. While the pattern has changed a bit, the overall trend of a colder pattern is still there along with potential for a good rain event. We’ll keep watching and see how it shapes up.
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I had a great time narrating the 42nd annual Helena Christmas Parade yesterday. The weather was ideal with lots of sun and temperatures around 70 for the parade. And lots of people lined Helena Road (261) for the numerous floats and marching groups. Already looking forward to the 43rd parade next year.
I’m happy to be filling in once again for Ashley Brand. She had her baby on Friday, so will be out for December and some of January, so I’ll be handling the weekend weather duties until she returns. Mother and baby are doing well. Enjoy the mild weather and Godspeed.
Category: Alabama's Weather