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THIS AFTERNOON: The sky is generally cloudy across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; temperatures are in the 48-54 degree range, which is a little below average for early February. Nothing is showing up on the radar.
A short wave will move over the state late tonight and early tomorrow, but the 12Z models still look pretty dry. I guess a touch of light rain, or a few sprinkles, could show up early tomorrow morning, but the chance of measurable rain looks very small. We should begin to see some partial clearing tomorrow afternoon as the trough axis moves east of Alabama, and the day should be warmer with a high in the mid 60s.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Wednesday looks like a delightful day with ample sunshine and a high in the mid 60s. Then, another short wave will bring a chance of showers to the state before the week is over. The 12Z GFS hints the best chance of rain will come from about 6:00 p.m. Thursday through 12:00 noon Friday; amounts of one-half inch or less are expected. While there might be some thunder, no severe weather is expected. We might see a tad of sun Friday afternoon following the rain if we are lucky. The high will be in the low 60s Thursday and Friday.
OUR WEEKEND: Saturday still looks great; mostly sunny with a high in the 62-65 degree range. But, on Sunday, the big upper low that is forecast to be over the Southwest U.S. late this week will begin to lift out, and we should begin to see an increase in rain, mainly over the northern third of the state. The 12Z GFS shows the best chance of rain Sunday afternoon over the Tennessee Valley, with few showers for Tuscaloosa/Birmingham/Anniston/Gadsden. We stay mild with a high between 60 and 65.
NEXT WEEK: Potential for a heavy rain event remains Monday and Tuesday as the upper low lifts out of the Southwest U.S. Way too early to be really specific, of course, but we still see signs of a potential 2-4 inch rain event for North Alabama Sunday through Tuesday. Possibly some flooding problems, but for now the severe weather risk looks low. Colder air returns at mid-week Wednesday; even some hint the rain could briefly change to light snow before ending at mid-week.
VOODOO LAND: The GFS paints a voodoo snow storm for Alabama on February 18, but we all know those rarely pan out. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.
STORM ALERT 2013: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama kicks off this week; we will be at Holt High School Thursday night; the show begins at 6:30. We will share lessons learned after the April 27, 2011 generational tornado event, along with other amazing weather stories. Learn how to keep your family safe during severe weather, and have a chance to win some cool prizes as well. Here is the entire Storm Alert tour schedule for the year…
February 7 Holt – Holt High School
February 12 Jasper – CHS Community Building
February 21 Clanton – Jeff State Performing Arts Center
February 26 Ohatchee – Ohatchee High School
February 28 Clay – Clay/Chalkville High School
All shows begin at 6:30… be sure and get there early to get a good seat.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show at 8:30 p.m. CDT… you can watch it live here.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
I had a great time today visiting schools… be watching for the third graders at Chelsea Park Elementary on the KIDCAM at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News… followed by the 6th graders from North Jefferson Middle School on ABC 33/40 News at 6:00. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….
Category: Alabama's Weather