Muggy Holiday Weekend: A Few Storms
An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player below, and on iTunes…
Happy Fourth of July. We are working on a holiday schedule, so just one video per day through Sunday; we get back to the normal routine Monday.
STANDARD SUMMER WEATHER: Quite frankly, our weather won’t change much at all for the next seven days, just what you expect in early July in Alabama. Hot muggy days, a partly sunny sky, and a few storms bubbling up during the afternoon heat on a daily basis. It is impossible to tell you exactly when and where the storms will form; they will be your typical airmass thunderstorms in a mT (maritime tropical) airmass. Most of them will come from 1:00 until 8:00 p.m., and the chance of any one spot getting wet in coming days is about one in three.
Steering currents are light, so some spots will get heavy amounts of rain with the slow moving tropical downpours. And, the rain should last no more than one hour if a shower forms over your neighborhood.
Most of the fireworks shows tonight will not be threatened by rain since the showers and storms should fade away soon after sundown.
Afternoon highs will peak somewhere in the 88 to 92 degree range in most communities today and over the weekend.
TROPICS: Watch the Weather Xtreme video for all of the graphics associated with Tropical Storm Bertha. The 12Z tropical model output seems to suggest a recurving scenario is not a lock now. Yes, this system will pass north of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico, but a couple of runs hint that folks in the Bahamas might need to watch this one closely. I would say the most likely scenario is a recurve track over the open Atlantic, but there seems to be a window open for the ridge north of the system to rebuild; if this happens the Bahamas and the East Coast of the U.S. might be in play. So, stay tuned.
Winds in Bertha are 50 mph, it should become a minimal hurricane in coming days, but the strengthening will not be rapid due to marginal SSTs. It is rather unusual to have a Cape Verde hurricane so early in the season.
Also, a tropical wave is moving through the Caribbean; the GFS takes this toward the lower Texas coastal plain (just as a wave) next week, and some heavy rain could very well be a problem there mi mid-week.
TWITTER: Don’t forget, you can follow our news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. And, my personal Twitter feed is here if you want to keep up with my adventures in life. Twitter is a short messaging service you can receive via the web, cell phone, or IM.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
Guess I need to fire up the grill before heading down to ABC 33/40 this afternoon for the TV night shift. Have a wonderful holiday weekend!
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