Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Mostly Cloudy Today

| July 31, 2014 @ 6:56 am

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Not nearly as chilly this morning as temperatures were not allowed to drop as much due to increased clouds from the convection off to our west. No new records this morning as the morning lows were about 10 degrees warmer than Wednesday morning.

The upper level flow remains in a trough pattern across the eastern US. This trough is forecast to move westward a little or retrograde, so the trough axis should be just to our west into the weekend. This along with the moisture increase will allow for showers over the weekend with the best chances coming Saturday and Sunday, but there will still be some chance of showers into next week.

NHC continues to watch an area of disturbed weather approaching the Lesser Antilles. Conditions are still conducive for possible development, however, the chances for the formation of a tropical storm have dropped off a tad. So this continues to be watched.

While the trough retrogrades today and Friday, it will migrate back east over the weekend bringing up our rain chances for Saturday and Sunday. Saturday looks like a wetter day for now, but probably not an all day rain event.

The trough over the eastern US weakens as upper ridging strengthens across the southern tier of the US into the first of next week. With moisture in place, we should return to something more summer-ish with daily chances of showers driven primarily by the heat of the afternoon. Afternoon highs will climb back into the 89 to 92 range.

Beach goers will enjoy a good supply of sunshine today but clouds increase for Friday and into the weekend along with shower chances. Highs along the coast will be in the 85 to 88 range with morning lows in the lower and middle 70s. Temperatures will be a little warmer away from the coast.

The overall active pattern with a trough in the East continues into voodoo country or week two. Trough is not nearly as strong as the westerlies tend to move back toward the north. This should signal a warmer period of weather if this verifies, but still nothing in the way of extreme heat appears likely.

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Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

We will be on a one-a-day Weather Xtreme Video through next week as I sub for the vacationing James Spann. Next Weather Xtreme Video by 7 am or so on Friday morning. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

Brian Peters is one of the television meteorologists at ABC3340 in Birmingham and a retired NWS Warning Coordination Meteorologist. He handles the weekend Weather Xtreme Videos and forecast discussion and is the Webmaster for the popular WeatherBrains podcast.

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