Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Mainly Dry and Warm Today

| August 6, 2014 @ 6:56 am

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Not much change to the overall forecast thinking for the next several days with a slight northwesterly flow pattern for us. But things do show some signs of changing once again and the GFS has become less consistent for Week Two. So forecast confidence has gone down a bit.

Look for mostly dry weather across North and Central Alabama today with the trough axis east of the area and the nose of the western ridge pushing into the Lower Mississippi River Valley. This should bring mostly warm and sunny weather to Central Alabama today with highs in the 92 to 96 range. Thursday moisture begins to pick up a tad so showers once again enter the forecast.

With moisture up, scattered showers become a possibility for our weekend with rain chances in the 50/50 range. While the pattern sees little overall change, the GFS shows yet another trough developing into early next week, in the Monday/Tuesday time frame. Interesting to note that while this is becoming a familiar pattern for us for the summer of 2014 with an uncharacteristic trough in the East and a substantial ridge over the West, there is a weaker look to this pattern.

Weather looks good at the beaches of Northwest Florida and Alabama. While isolated showers remain possible each day, there should also be a good supply of sunshine each day with highs along the coast in the 87 to 89 range. Water temperatures are running mainly in the lower 80s. Rain chances are likely to ramp up a bit later in the week and into the weekend.

Bertha continued as a tropical storm as she moved northeastward today with no threat to land, just to shipping. Bertha was merging with a frontal zone and should become extratropical in the next 36 hours.

Voodoo country is beginning to live up to its name as we see a fairly dramatic change in the overall look to the pattern for the eastern US. Gone is the deep trough pattern over the East replaced by the subtropical ridge nosing into the East Coast from the Atlantic. After remaining consistent for a number of days, this run signals a flip and shows why the long range pattern is tough to nail down.

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The next Weather Xtreme Video should be coming your way on Thursday morning. Enjoy your day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

Brian Peters is one of the television meteorologists at ABC3340 in Birmingham and a retired NWS Warning Coordination Meteorologist. He handles the weekend Weather Xtreme Videos and forecast discussion and is the Webmaster for the popular WeatherBrains podcast.

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