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Mix of Sun, Clouds, and Showers

| September 6, 2014 @ 6:48 am

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Summer continues to roll along with another day forecast to include scattered showers. And Sunday is likely to be a close copy to today. A weak front sagging into Alabama will give us a bit better chance for showers today and again Sunday as the front washes out. Slightly drier air will lower our chances for showers as we head into next week.

By Tuesday and Wednesday, a weak ridge aloft will help to keep us warm with highs in the upper 80s. While moisture will be somewhat limited we’ll still have to include a small chance of showers – in the 20 to 30 percent range – until the end of the week. At the end of the week, a fairly strong trough but traveling across the Great Lakes promises to bring a front into the Southeast US. There are some timing differences between the GFS and the ECMWF with the GFS latest run coming in slightly faster with the front. We’ll have to keep an eye on this timing since it could impact the weather for high school football games next Friday.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Alabama hosts Florida Atlantic University (FAU) at Bryant-Denny Stadium for an 11:00a kickoff. Expect a mix of sun and clouds with the risk of a passing shower or thunderstorm during the game. The temperature will rise from near 86 at kickoff, to near 92 by the final whistle. Auburn will host San Jose State at Jordan-Hare Stadium this evening (6:00p kickoff)… it will be warm and humid with a kickoff temperature in the mid 80s; the chance of a shower or storm is about one in three, mainly during the first half of the game. Temperatures will fall into the upper 70s by the fourth quarter. UAB is on the road, playing Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville (2:00p kickoff). Hot and muggy conditions are likely during the game, with a kickoff temperature near 89 degrees. A shower or storm is possible during the game, but the rain won’t be continuous, and the sun will be out at times.

Heading to the beach? Look for 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day of the weekend with a passing shower possible. Rain chances should run about 30 percent. Highs will be in the upper 80s. Sea water temperature along the Alabama and Northwest Florida coastal area was running in the middle to upper 80s.

Tropics remain relatively quiet considering that we are at the heart of the Atlantic hurricane season. An area of disturbed weather along the Southeast US coast will bring rain to the coastal area but any development of this area will be slow to occur as it drifts slowly northeastward. An elongated area of lower pressure was situated southeast of the Cape Verde Islands, however, dry air over the tropical Atlantic is expected to limit any development of this system.

Looking out into Week 2 or voodoo country, the GFS is painting a long wave trough position over the eastern half of the country. This could include the passage of a front or two during that time frame. Days are getting shorter as we head toward the autumnal equinox on September 22nd.

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The next Weather Xtreme Video should be posted on Sunday morning by 8 am or so. Enjoy the day and good luck to everyone’s favorite football teams. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

Brian Peters is one of the television meteorologists at ABC3340 in Birmingham and a retired NWS Warning Coordination Meteorologist. He handles the weekend Weather Xtreme Videos and forecast discussion and is the Webmaster for the popular WeatherBrains podcast.

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