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Gradual Warm-up Continues

| October 26, 2014 @ 6:58 am

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The warming trend is expected to continue today with lots of sunshine after the morning fog across North Alabama dissipates. If you have early morning travel plans that take you north, there were dense fog advisories until mid-morning for the Tennessee Valley, Middle and West Tennessee, and the southern sections of Kentucky. By afternoon we should see highs climb into the 79 to 82 range, somewhat warmer than our typical high for late October which runs about 73 degrees.

The upper ridge along with the surface high pressure center will keep us dry into the first of the work week. Come Tuesday a strong trough moving through the Great Lakes will bring a cold front down into the Middle Mississippi River Valley. The front is forecast to affect Central Alabama primarily on Wednesday. Moisture does return in a fairly narrow band, so showers that develop will be scattered meaning that not everyone will see some rain. Greatest rain threat should come Wednesday.

The upper trough moves off quickly by Thursday but another impulse will dive southeastward across the Central Plains states Thursday. It should be enough to push the frontal system further south into the Gulf Coast area drying us out. This sets up a trough along the East Coast and brings another shot of colder air into the Southeast US for the weekend.

Right now it appears likely that Halloween will be dry for trick or treating as we transition to some colder temperatures for the weekend as highs drop back into the 60s. Another ridge will transition across the eastern US late next weekend and into the first part of next week, bringing a return of some warmer temperatures.

Tropics are still fairly quiet. NHC is watching the one area, remnants of TD 9, in the western Caribbean, but this area of disorganized showers should be slow to develop as it treks eastward. An area of showers in the Eastern Pacific off Central America will be moving into an area where conditions favor some additional development in the next few days.

Looking out into voodoo country, the overall pattern remains fairly progressive with troughiness along the East Coast giving way to another strong ridge around November 7th. Another strong trough pushes across the US around the 10th of November, but that trough does not appear as deep as we saw on yesterdays model run.

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James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. Enjoy this wonderful warm Fall weather while we can. Have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

Brian Peters is one of the television meteorologists at ABC3340 in Birmingham and a retired NWS Warning Coordination Meteorologist. He handles the weekend Weather Xtreme Videos and forecast discussion and is the Webmaster for the popular WeatherBrains podcast.

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