Dry Today, Stormy Sunday

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Surface high pressure centered over the Outer Banks area of North Carolina will allow our flow to come around our of the south today allowing temperatures to warm up into the middle 60s. Clouds will be on the increase ahead of the next weather system which will be affecting us primarily on Sunday, so most activities will be fine and dry today.

For football interests, it is a big game for the UAB Blazers as they host Marshall at Legion Field with an 11:00 am kickoff. Clouds will increase during the game, but the weather will remain dry. Temperatures will rise from near 61 at kickoff to near 65 by the fourth quarter. In Tuscaloosa, it is homecoming for Alabama versus Western Carolina with kickoff at 3:00 pm. The sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 68 degrees falling to near 60 by the fourth quarter. And the Auburn Tigers will host the Samford Bulldogs this evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The 6:00 pm kickoff will be mostly cloudy but should be dry with the temperatures in the mid 50s dropping to the lower 50s by the fourth quarter.

A strong short wave trough coming out of the southern Rockies tonight and Sunday will generate a surface low over East Texas that should move to near Jonesboro, AR, by Sunday midday. This sets the stage for severe weather potential over the Southeast US for Sunday especially along the immediate Gulf Coast. However, there is a question as to how far north the instability will reach. Both the GFS and Hi-Res NAM keep the greatest severe weather threat generally along and south of the US 80 corridor. It appears that the threat will be a mixed bag including damaging wind and isolated tornadoes. We’ll have to watch the development of this system closely to see just how far north the instability will spread.

The short wave moves quickly northeastward Sunday evening taking the surface low up into the Great Lakes and bringing the cold front through Central Alabama. The main rain threat should be over by Sunday evening or early Monday morning, however, we could see some wrap around moisture into Monday. But the greatest rainfalls of 1 to 2 inches will come during the day Sunday.

The upper air pattern features a long wave trough over the Central US through much of the week ahead, so we stay cool and below climatological values for our highs and lows as we go into Thanksgiving. Highs by Thanksgiving should climb into the lower 60s. Our 30-year average highs are around 63 and lows around 42.

Looking out to voodoo, the weather pattern remains pretty active with another wet system around December 1st and another around the 7th. Looks like things will remain busy in the weather department.

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I plan to have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video posted by 8 am or so on Sunday. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Category: Alabama's Weather