Rain Moving In Later Today

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WET START TO THE WEEKEND: We are starting the day with mostly cloudy and cold conditions across the great state of Alabama; as cold as 28 degrees at daybreak up at Fort Payne. We project a high around 50 degrees today with a cloudy sky, and short wave energy approaching from the west will bring rain in here later in the day.

Rain will move into Southwest Alabama this morning, and it should reach the I-20 corridor by 3:00-5:00 p.m. We will forecast periods of rain tonight; the rain probably won’t be too heavy over the northern half of the state with amounts generally under 1/2 inch. No risk of severe weather, and with a stable airmass I don’t expect any thunder.

The rain will end early tomorrow; it will be over by 6:00-8:00 a.m. for most places.

REST OF THE WEEKEND: The sun might break out a bit tomorrow afternoon as drier air works back into the state; the high tomorrow will be in the upper 50s. Then, for Sunday, the sky will be occasionally cloudy with a high up in the low 60s. A wave of low pressure forming down in the Gulf will bring the risk of some light rain back in here by Sunday night; best chance of rain will be south of I-20, and east of I-65. That light rain will end pretty early in the day Monday.

MILD AFTERNOONS EARLY NEXT WEEK: The GFS is printing a high of 64 Monday, and 68 degrees Tuesday for Birmingham as we enjoyed two mild December days. We will mention a chance of showers Tuesday, and as a cold front approaches, showers and storms will become more widespread Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. If temperatures do reach the upper 60s, there could be some surface based instability and we could very well see a few strong thunderstorms Tuesday evening. Not a classic severe weather setup, but always something to watch this time of the year.

COLDER CHRISTMAS EVE: The rain will move out very early Wednesday morning (probably in the pre-dawn hours), and the day Wednesday will be breezy and colder with lingering clouds; a decent chance we won’t get out of the 40s. The sky will clear late in the day.

Christmas Day looks wonderful with a good supply of sunshine. We start the day Thursday near freezing, and then we rise well into the 50s by afternoon. The 00Z GFS hints we could touch 60 degrees Thursday afternoon.

LONG RANGE: Seems like the ingredients are coming together for a colder pattern for the Deep South as we approach the beginning of the new year with the AO (Arctic Oscillation)/NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) combo trending negative; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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Tags: rain

Category: Alabama's Weather