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A Few Passing Shower/Storms

| April 16, 2015 @ 6:37 am

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RADAR CHECK: We have a few loud thunderstorms passing through North Alabama early this morning… stronger storms feature lots of lightning and heavy rain.

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We will maintain the chance of showers and thunderstorms through tonight. It won’t rain all day, but the rain could come at any time. Organized severe storms are not expected, and the flash flood threat is limited to far Southwest Alabama, where a flash flood watch remains in effect for Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia, and Washington Counties.

Today will be cooler over East Alabama due to the CAD (cold air damming) effect; some communities near the Georgia line will see a high only in the low 60s, but West Alabama will be in the 76-80 degree range this afternoon. The sun could peek out at times, but the sky today will be mostly cloudy.

TOMORROW: It looks like a pretty decent part of the day will be dry; much like yesterday. Showers will be widely spaced, and we should see a few intervals of sunshine. The high tomorrow afternoon will be in the mid to upper 70s.

THE WEEKEND: A big upper trough will be lifting out of the western U.S., and rain will increase again statewide. For now it looks like the main window for organized showers and storms will come from about 4:00 p.m. Saturday through 6:00 p.m. Sunday. It won’t rain during this entire 26 hour block, but occasional showers and storms are likely. With better dynamic forcing due to the upper trough, we will have to watch for potential for strong to severe storms during this time, but for now instability values look pretty low and the risk seems somewhat marginal. SPC does not have any part of North or Central Alabama in a severe weather risk at this point.

Rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely over the weekend; seems like it will be spread out enough for no serious flooding issues around here. Highs will be in the 70s both days.

SPRING FOOTBALL: Alabama’s annual “A Day” spring football game kicks off Saturday at 2:00 at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, and the “A Day” game at Auburn’s Jordan Hare Stadium kicks off at 1:00. Data from the high resolution NAM model suggests the rain could very well hold off until late in the game at Tuscaloosa, with no rain for the game in Auburn. Understand this could change, however, as this pattern makes for a challenging forecast. The sky will be cloudy at both venues with temperatures in the 70s.

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NEXT WEEK: A few stray showers are possible Monday, but Tuesday and Wednesday look dry with a good supply of sunshine both days, along with lower humidity and cooler nights. Then, showers and storms return Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Only a limited amount of sunshine (2 hours or less) each day along the coast (Panama City west to Gulf Shores) through Sunday with occasional showers and thunderstorms likely. A flash flood watch is in effect for the Alabama Gulf Coast, and the western tip of the Florida Panhandle including Pensacola Beach. Highs will be in the 70s.

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I have a weather program this morning at Hokes Bluff Middle School… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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