Spectacular Spring Day

TONS O’ SUN: A cool, dry continental airmass is over Alabama this morning; we are starting the day with most communities down in the cool 40s; we rise into the low 70s this afternoon with a sunny sky and low humidity.

Sure looks like we stay generally dry tomorrow; we might consider a small risk of a shower late in the day, but the latest guidance holds off the showers until tomorrow night. Tomorrow will be warmer with a high between 77 and 80 degrees.

We note that severe storms will likely erupt tomorrow well to the west of Alabama, with an “enhanced” severe weather risk over North Texas and South Oklahoma.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Moist air returns to Alabama, and there will some risk of showers and a few thunderstorms both days. For Thursday, models show the best chance of showers during the morning hours, with a generally rain-free afternoon. Then, on Friday, the best chance of showers and storms should come during the afternoon and nighttime hours as an upper trough approaches from the west. Highs will be generally in the low 70s on these two days.

SATURDAY: Still no really good agreement on details between the American (GFS) model and the European (ECMWF) model. The GFS suggests a weakening surface low will move along I-40, and will being a continued chance of showers and storms, mainly during the morning hours. Wind fields are relatively weak, and marginal instability values, so the overall severe weather threat looks rather low.

The Euro is a bit more robust Saturday morning, showing a deeper surface low over Missouri and better dynamics for stronger storms. One way or another, both models do suggest the best chance of showers and storms will come during the first half of the day, with potential for drier air to enter North Alabama by afternoon. The high Saturday should be in the upper 70s.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: These two days are looking dry and pleasant with lower humidity and a good supply of sunshine. Showers return by the middle of next week; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I have weather programs today at Englewood Elementary in Tuscaloosa, and McElwain Christian Academy in Birmingham. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!

Tags: sunny

Category: Alabama's Weather