Tropical Depression Four Forms

Tropical Depression Four has formed in the Atlantic a little more than 1,600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

The depression is moving just north of west at 13 mph.

Top winds are 35 mph according to satellite estimates and the central pressure is estimated at 1009 mb.

The system will likely become Tropical Storm Danny tonight or early Wednesday. It should become a hurricane by Friday.

But the system will weaken as it approaches the islands over the weekend. It may well get into the eastern Caribbean, but it will encounter more unfavorable conditions and could weaken further.

By late in the weekend, the Bermuda high should start to weaken and a trough will develop over the East Coast. I don’t think this trough will be strong enough to recurve Danny if the tropical cyclone holds together. It could deflect Danny into South Florida. Or it could build back in time to keep Danny steaming on a westward course across the Caribbean. We will wait and see!

Category: Tropical